TICKERNERD
Menu
OWLOWLFinancial Services · Asset Management

OWL Stock Forecast: Blue Owl Capital, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$12
−3.48% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Capital, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — -1.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$29.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
36 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
17
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.9%
1M
+29.4%
YTD
−13.1%
1Y
−33.0%
From 52W high
−33.0%
From 52W low
+54.8%
$8
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OWL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Owl Capital, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
36 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
72
Revisions
68
Quality
61
Growth
58
Value
55
Accruals
51
Momentum
26
Issuance
16
Size
11

Volatility (72): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (16): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OWL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OWL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16$18$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OWLHigh $20Median $12Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says17 analysts
10 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $9Median $12High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$11 → $12
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$9.50 → $11
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$9.00 → $10
17 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$16 → $15
17 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
13 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$12 → $11
13 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$10 → $9.00
9 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
9 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$21 → $17
18 May 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
1 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
29 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
13 Apr 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OWL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

OWL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
11
Fundamentals

Blue Owl Capital, Inc. (OWL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
101.8×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
10.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / book
4.2×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.8×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−34.6%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Gross margin
52.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.9%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
2.7%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
5.7%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.5%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
7.5%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

OWL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OWLBlue Owl Capital, Inc.$29.8B
36
TPGTPG, Inc.$20.4B
48
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.$17.8B
32
BENFranklin Resources, Inc.$17.6B
87
PSPershing Square, Inc.$16.3B
3
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.$15.7B
43
EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc.$15.2B
25

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Owl Capital, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OWL news & analysis

BLUE OWL CAPITAL ANNOUNCES PRICING OF SENIOR NOTES OFFERING

PRNewsWire · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Blue Owl Capital announced the pricing of a previously announced offering of $750,000,000 of 6.750% Senior Notes due 2036 by its indirect subsidiary Blue Owl Finance LLC. The notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Blue Owl and a range of affiliated entities.

Why it matters — The pricing of this senior notes offering signals how Blue Owl is raising capital through debt markets to fund its operations.

BLUE OWL CAPITAL ANNOUNCES SENIOR NOTES OFFERING

PRNewsWire · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Blue Owl Capital announced that its indirect subsidiary, Blue Owl Finance LLC, intends to offer 10-year senior unsecured notes, subject to market and other conditions. The notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Blue Owl and several of its related entities.

Why it matters — A Blue Owl Capital watcher would care because this senior notes offering represents a new debt financing arrangement by the company and its subsidiaries.

Blue Owl Capital: Set For A Full NAV Rerating

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026positive

Blue Owl Capital lowered its dividend by 16% in Q2, improving dividend coverage to 116.1% despite a 14.3% drop in net investment income. The company maintains strong asset quality with a non-accrual ratio of just 0.8%, although its stock trades at a significant discount to NAV amid investor concerns following a failed merger and sector-wide AI disruption risk.

Why it matters — OWL watchers will want to track this reset that improves dividend coverage and the stock's persistent discount to NAV, which the analysis suggests may be poised for a rerating.

Blue Owl Capital: Bears Are In A Self-Imposed Virtual Reality As AUM Grows

Seeking Alpha · 10 Aug 2026positive

Blue Owl Capital faces elevated short interest that the article considers disconnected from improving fundamentals and record AUM growth. The piece notes that fee-paying AUM and fee-related earnings are expanding, with dividend coverage expected to exceed 100% as $31.1 billion in AUM becomes fee-paying, and argues that the company's durable capital base and lack of exposure to recent credit events reduce downside risk.

Why it matters — OWL watchers would care because the article challenges the elevated short-interest narrative, pointing to record AUM growth and expanding fee-related earnings that could influence the stock's outlook.

Private Credit Is Under Growing Strain, Despite Industry's Upbeat Tone

WSJ · 10 Aug 2026negative

According to a Wall Street Journal analysis, private credit is facing growing strain as default rates reach recent highs and internal reviews of loan health point to tougher times ahead, despite the industry's upbeat public tone.

Why it matters — As a private-credit lender, Blue Owl Capital could be directly affected by rising defaults and deteriorating loan quality in the sector.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OWL stock

What is the OWL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Capital, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $9 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OWL stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering Blue Owl Capital, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Owl Capital, Inc. 36 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OWL?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Blue Owl Capital, Inc. ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (72 of 100).

Will OWL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies -1.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Owl Capital, Inc. 36 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OWL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Blue Owl Capital, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OWL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has OWL stock performed over the past year?

Blue Owl Capital, Inc. returned -33.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Blue Owl Capital, Inc. do?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a diversified alternative asset management firm headquartered in New York City.

What is the latest news on OWL?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 11 Aug 2026): "BLUE OWL CAPITAL ANNOUNCES PRICING OF SENIOR NOTES OFFERING". Blue Owl Capital announced the pricing of a previously announced offering of $750,000,000 of 6.750% Senior Notes due 2036 by its indirect subsidiary Blue Owl Finance LLC. The notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Blue Owl and a range of affiliated entities.

Company

About Blue Owl Capital, Inc.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a diversified alternative asset management firm headquartered in New York City. The company focuses on providing private capital solutions to businesses and tailored alternative investment products to institutional investors, individual investors, and insurance companies. Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates across three primary multi-strategy platforms: Credit, Real Assets, and GP Strategic Capital. Through its Credit platform, the firm runs a scaled direct lending business, offering private credit and financing to U.S. middle-market and upper middle-market companies across a range of sectors. Its Real Assets strategies concentrate on net lease and real estate credit, along with investments in digital infrastructure and other income-oriented real estate solutions. The GP Strategic Capital platform provides long-term minority equity and financing to private capital investment managers, enabling them to strengthen and grow their franchises. Founded in the United States and headquartered in New York, Blue Owl Capital Inc. plays a significant role in the global private markets ecosystem by delivering specialized, outcome-focused alternative asset management services.

CEO Mr. Douglas Irving Ostrover · 1,380 employees · United States · https://www.blueowl.com