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PAGSPAGSTechnology · Software - Infrastructure

PAGS Stock Forecast: PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$9.02
+1.69% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering PagSeguro Digital Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +21.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
67 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$5.1B+0.4% y/y
Operating income$2.0B
Net income$549.0M
Free cash flow$491.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
−5.7%
YTD
−1.5%
1Y
−0.8%
From 52W high
−20.8%
From 52W low
+10.0%
$8
$11
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAGS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PagSeguro Digital Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
97
Growth
95
Volatility
71
Quality
68
Momentum
58
Issuance
57
Revisions
41
Size
32
Accruals
19

Value (97): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PAGS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAGS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$6$8$10$12$14Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGSHigh $14Median $11Low $7

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
6 Buy9 Hold1 Sell
Low $7Median $11High $14

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$13 → $11
23 July 2026JefferiesInitiatesHold$10
23 July 2026JefferiesInitiatesHold—
17 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$14 → $13
17 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
13 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
28 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2025SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
14 Oct 2025Goldman SachsDowngradeNeutral—
19 Sept 2025B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
16 July 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
14 May 2025SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
23 Apr 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
22 Apr 2025CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
16 Jan 2025CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
16 Dec 2024JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
18 Nov 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
15 Nov 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
23 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAGS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PAGS vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. returned −0.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PAGS vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGSS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PAGS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.3×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
0.3×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.2%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
2.3%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Gross margin
53.4%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Operating margin
36.2%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
10.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.5%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.4%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.2%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • PagSeguro Digital Ltd. has a market value of $2.5B and an enterprise value of $550.3M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $20.6B. The latest quarter shrank 0.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 10.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.50.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.9B.

  • PagSeguro Digital Ltd. spent $1.0B on share buybacks and $916.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 275.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.3×; forward P/E: 4.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 6.21%, paying out 17% of earnings.

  • PagSeguro Digital Ltd. employs 0 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PAGS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd.$2.5B
67
EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.$2.4B
55
PAYOPayoneer Global, Inc.$2.4B
42
FIVNFive9, Inc.$2.6B
83
CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.$2.7B
43
NNNextNav, Inc.$2.4B
28
STNEStoneCo Ltd.$2.3B
49

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PagSeguro Digital Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAGS news & analysis

Buy 19 September LoPrice/HiYield Dividend Dogs Out Of 38

Seeking Alpha · 30 Sept 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article highlights low-priced, high-yield dividend stocks (called "Dividend Dogs"), noting analyst projections for the top ten suggest average net gains of about 50% by September 2027. It also reports that 24 of 38 highlighted stocks have dividends supported by free cash flow, while 14 rely on borrowed funds.

Why it matters — PagSeguro Digital watchers would care because the article's dividend-screen methodology and risk assessment could influence whether PAGS is viewed among safer or riskier income-paying stocks.

Why PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026negative

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. shares closed at $8.9 on the recent trading day, a -1.66% decline from the prior session, falling more than the broader market. The drop reflects a single day of trading performance for the stock.

Why it matters — PagSeguro watchers would note the stock underperformed the broader market on the day, signaling weaker relative momentum in that session.

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026negative

In the latest trading day, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) shares fell 3.14% to close at $9.26, a decline that came despite an uptick in the broader market.

Why it matters — PAGS watchers would care because the stock declined even as the wider market rose, indicating stock-specific weakness worth monitoring.

25 Dividend Buys You May Want To Hold Forever From September's Russell Index

Seeking Alpha · 16 Sept 2026neutral

The article highlights top dividend-yielding stocks from September's Russell Index, noting that the top ten SML Russell MHFS "dividend dogs" are forecast to deliver average net gains of 40.06% by September 2027, with yields up to 22.18%. It also cautions that fifteen of fifty-one SML Russell MHFS stocks have negative free cash flow margins, making their dividends less secure and riskier for income-focused investors.

Why it matters — A PAGS watcher would care because the article assesses dividend security and free cash flow risks among Russell Index stocks, conditions relevant to evaluating income-focused holdings such as PagSeguro Digital.

PagSeguro Digital: The Market Is Pricing In Way Too Much Risk

Seeking Alpha · 29 Aug 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha analysis reiterates a Strong Buy rating on PagSeguro Digital, noting the stock trades at a deep discount with re-rating potential as macro conditions improve. Q2 showed modest revenue and EPS growth, supported by robust credit portfolio expansion and continued share buybacks, though unchanged 2026 guidance assumes a lower Selic rate with persistent high rates posing a risk of cuts and near-term volatility.

Why it matters — PAGS watchers would care because the analysis highlights both the bullish case for the stock's valuation and credit growth, as well as the sensitivity of its 2026 guidance to Brazil's interest-rate trajectory.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAGS stock

What is the PAGS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering PagSeguro Digital Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6.92 to $14. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAGS stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering PagSeguro Digital Ltd., 6 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PagSeguro Digital Ltd. 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAGS?

As at 2 Oct 2026, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (97 of 100).

Will PAGS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +21.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PagSeguro Digital Ltd. 67 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAGS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PagSeguro Digital Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAGS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6.92 to $14 over the next 12 months.

How has PAGS stock performed over the past year?

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. returned -0.8% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PagSeguro Digital Ltd. do?

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Class A Common Shares represents ownership in PagSeguro Digital Ltd., a financial technology company serving consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small to medium-sized businesses in Brazil.

What is the latest news on PAGS?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 Sept 2026): "Buy 19 September LoPrice/HiYield Dividend Dogs Out Of 38". A Seeking Alpha article highlights low-priced, high-yield dividend stocks (called "Dividend Dogs"), noting analyst projections for the top ten suggest average net gains of about 50% by September 2027. It also reports that 24 of 38 highlighted stocks have dividends supported by free cash flow, while 14 rely on borrowed funds.

Company

About PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Class A Common Shares represents ownership in PagSeguro Digital Ltd., a financial technology company serving consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small to medium-sized businesses in Brazil. Through its PagBank and PagSeguro brands, the company provides digital payment processing, point-of-sale solutions, and a range of financial services designed to support day-to-day transactions and business operations. Its product set includes online and in-person payment acceptance, digital banking tools, cards, credit-related services, and cash management features that help users manage payments and access financial services in one ecosystem. PagSeguro Digital Ltd. plays an important role in Brazil’s payments and digital finance market by connecting merchants and individuals to integrated financial solutions.

CEO Mr. Alexandre Magnani · Brazil · https://pagbank.com.br