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RAIL Stock Forecast: FreightCar America, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$7.01
+4.47% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering FreightCar America, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +114.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$220.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$113.1M−4.6% y/y
Operating income−$4.3M
Net income−$30.1M
Free cash flow$11.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−14.9%
YTD
−36.7%
1Y
−16.4%
From 52W high
−52.6%
From 52W low
+4.8%
$7
$15
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RAIL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores FreightCar America, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
90
Value
76
Size
67
Quality
65
Issuance
51
Momentum
39
Growth
32
Revisions
32
Volatility
13

Accruals (90): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RAIL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RAIL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$6$8$10$12$14$16Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RAILHigh $16Median $15Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $13Median $15High $16

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +114.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Aug 2023Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight$3.00
10 Apr 2023TD CowenMaintainsMarket Perform—
28 Mar 2023Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
15 Apr 2020Cowen & Co.MaintainsMarket Perform—
1 Nov 2018CL KingDowngradeNeutral—
13 Aug 2018BuckinghamMaintainsNeutral—
13 Aug 2018Buckingham ResearchMaintainsNeutral—
3 Aug 2018StifelMaintainsHold—
3 Aug 2018Stifel NicolausMaintainsHold—
7 May 2018StifelMaintainsHold—
7 May 2018Stifel NicolausMaintainsHold—
28 Feb 2018BuckinghamMaintainsNeutral—
28 Feb 2018Buckingham ResearchMaintainsNeutral—
4 Jan 2018Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
13 July 2016StifelDowngradeHold—
13 July 2016Stifel NicolausDowngradeHold—
22 June 2016Cowen & Co.InitiatesMarket Perform—
4 May 2016Longbow ResearchDowngradeNeutral—
16 July 2015UBSDowngradeSell—
16 June 2015StifelUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RAIL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RAIL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, FreightCar America, Inc. returned −16.4% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RAIL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RAILS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RAIL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
6.1×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.7×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−4.6%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.6%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
5.5%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−3.8%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.7%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−34.3%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.4%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • FreightCar America, Inc. has a market value of $220.0M and an enterprise value of $302.8M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $463.5M. The latest quarter shrank 4.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$12.5M, a −2.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.54.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $17.9M.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 6.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.36%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • FreightCar America, Inc. employs 1,986 people — $233K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RAIL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RAILFreightCar America, Inc.$220.0M
52
FSTRL.B. Foster Co.$385.7M
98
SWVLSwvl Holdings Corp.$50.6M
35
GBXGreenbrier Cos., Inc.$1.3B
33
TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.$2.2B
68
PPIHPerma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc.*$220.7M
56
AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.*$217.6M
8

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own FreightCar America, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RAIL news & analysis

FreightCar America Eyes Railcar Rebound After Major Market Share Gains

MarketBeat · 28 Aug 2026positive

FreightCar America (RAIL) is positioning itself to expand in railcar manufacturing and aftermarket components as CEO Nick Randall told investors the company sees railcar demand recovering from a cyclical trough following major market share gains.

Why it matters — This signals that management expects demand to rebound and sees room for growth in both manufacturing and aftermarket segments, which could be relevant to RAIL's near-term outlook.

FreightCar America, Inc. to Present at Midwest IDEAS Conference

GlobeNewsWire · 19 Aug 2026neutral

FreightCar America announced that senior management, including CEO Nick Randall and CFO Michael Riordan, will present and host one-on-one investor meetings at the Midwest IDEAS Conference on August 27, 2026 in Chicago.

Why it matters — The presentation and investor meetings give RAIL watchers an opportunity to hear directly from the company's leadership about its business.

The Board of Directors of FreightCar America, Inc. Adopts a Limited Duration Stockholder Rights Plan

GlobeNewsWire · 5 Aug 2026neutral

The Board of Directors of FreightCar America, Inc. announced it has adopted a limited duration stockholder rights plan to protect the interests of all stockholders. The new Rights Plan is intended to replace the Company's existing limited duration rights plan, which expires on August 5, 2026.

Why it matters — The adoption of a stockholder rights plan is a significant governance action that affects shareholder rights, so RAIL watchers would pay attention to its terms and replacement of the expiring plan.

The London Company Large Cap Vs. Russell 1000 Q2 2026 Portfolio Review

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

The London Company Large Cap portfolio returned 10.9% (10.7% net) in Q2 2026, versus a 15.1% rise in the Russell 1000 Index. ENTG was a top contributor on improving fab utilization and AI-driven semiconductor demand, while RSG declined despite a solid quarter due to softer Environmental Solutions results and weak construction-related volumes.

Why it matters — The item is a fund manager's portfolio review that does not mention FreightCar America, so it offers no direct information relevant to RAIL investors.

Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund reported Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting Astrana Health's outperformance, a share decline at Magnolia Oil & Gas following the US-Iran war-end and Strait of Hormuz reopening agreement, and a new position in Insteel Industries, a manufacturer of steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction.

Why it matters — The item contains no mention of FreightCar America, so it offers no directly relevant news for a RAIL watcher.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RAIL stock

What is the RAIL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering FreightCar America, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $13 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RAIL stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering FreightCar America, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks FreightCar America, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RAIL?

As at 2 Sept 2026, FreightCar America, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (90 of 100).

Will RAIL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +114.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks FreightCar America, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RAIL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering FreightCar America, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RAIL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $16 over the next 12 months.

How has RAIL stock performed over the past year?

FreightCar America, Inc. returned -16.4% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does FreightCar America, Inc. do?

FreightCar America Inc. is a railcar manufacturer and supplier focused on railroad freight cars, railcar parts, and related components.

What is the latest news on RAIL?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 28 Aug 2026): "FreightCar America Eyes Railcar Rebound After Major Market Share Gains". FreightCar America (RAIL) is positioning itself to expand in railcar manufacturing and aftermarket components as CEO Nick Randall told investors the company sees railcar demand recovering from a cyclical trough following major market share gains.

Company

About FreightCar America, Inc.

FreightCar America Inc. is a railcar manufacturer and supplier focused on railroad freight cars, railcar parts, and related components. FreightCar America Inc. provides new railcar designs and production for a range of freight applications, including cars used to move bulk commodities and containerized cargo. Its offerings also extend to railcar rebuilds, conversions, repairs, and aftermarket parts, supporting the upkeep and reuse of existing rail assets. The company serves railroads, shippers, leasing companies, and other transportation customers across North America, with operations centered on manufacturing and parts supply. Through its product mix and service capabilities, FreightCar America Inc. plays a practical role in the rail transportation market by supporting freight equipment availability, maintenance, and fleet modernization.

CEO Mr. Nicholas J. Randall · 1,986 employees · United States · https://freightcaramerica.com