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TRN Stock Forecast: Trinity Industries, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$28
+0.39% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $34 — +21.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
68 / 100
Median analyst target
$34
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$485.1M−4.2% y/y
Operating income$58.8M
Net income$98.3M
Free cash flow−$32.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.6%
1M
−10.3%
YTD
+9.4%
1Y
+4.8%
From 52W high
−26.2%
From 52W low
+16.2%
$24
$38
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TRN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trinity Industries, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
68 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
97
Volatility
91
Accruals
70
Quality
65
Momentum
59
Value
55
Revisions
43
Growth
37
Size
35

Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (37): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (35): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TRN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TRN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TRNHigh $34Median $34Low $34

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $34Median $34High $34

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$35 → $34
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$34 → $35
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
26 Jan 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
29 July 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
17 Apr 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
18 Nov 2024Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
21 Oct 2024SusquehannaDowngradeNeutral—
2 May 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
23 Feb 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
3 Nov 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Oct 2023SusquehannaUpgradePositive—
4 Oct 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Aug 2023SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
2 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TRN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TRN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. returned +4.8% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TRN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TRNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TRN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.6×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−4.2%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
597.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.7%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Net margin
16.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
30.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.4%

Higher than 80% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. has a market value of $2.2B and an enterprise value of $7.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 4.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $353.3M, a 17.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$351.3M, after $739.6M of capital spending.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. spent $62.4M on share buybacks and $98.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 79.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.6×; forward P/E: 12.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.45%, paying out 29% of earnings.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. employs 6,110 people — $334K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TRN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.$2.2B
68
GBXGreenbrier Cos., Inc.$1.3B
33
FSTRL.B. Foster Co.$385.7M
98
RAILFreightCar America, Inc.$219.9M
52
KMTKennametal, Inc.*$2.2B
84
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.*$2.3B
59
CMPRCimpress PLC*$2.2B
89

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trinity Industries, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TRN news & analysis

Trinity Industries Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 1 Aug 2026neutral

Trinity Industries reported second-quarter earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.25, supported by a $132 million pre-tax, non-cash gain related to its Napier Park railcar partnership transaction. The company noted its leasing business maintained high utilization with improved pricing indicators, while its Rail Products segment was pressured by production and manufacturing-footprint disruptions.

Why it matters — The results highlight a divergence in Trinity's performance, with a resilient leasing business offset by margin pressure in its rail products operations, plus a notable non-cash gain from the Napier Park transaction.

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Trinity Industries' Q2 2026 earnings call, covering management's prepared remarks and the subsequent question-and-answer session.

Why it matters — The transcript provides TRN investors with a direct record of management's discussion of quarterly results and business outlook.

Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 30 July 2026positive

Trinity Industries reported second quarter 2026 results with total revenues of $485 million, EPS from continuing operations of $1.25 per diluted share, lease fleet utilization of 97.3%, and railcar deliveries of 1,570 with 1,560 new orders.

Why it matters — The results provide a snapshot of Trinity's operational and financial performance midway through 2026, including key metrics on lease fleet performance and railcar demand.

Trinity Industries Offers Upside Even With The Bump Ride That Lies Ahead (Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Trinity Industries received an upgrade to a soft Buy on Seeking Alpha, with analysts citing robust leasing revenues and high utilization rates that offset headwinds from falling railcar deliveries and backlog.

Why it matters — The upgrade highlights how TRN's high-margin leasing segment is driving profitability and stock outperformance even as near-term earnings and railcar production face challenges.

Trinity Industries: This Is Now A Leasing Business, And I'm Loving The Growth Story Of It

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Trinity Industries is transitioning from railcar manufacturing to a leasing-focused business model, with leasing now accounting for 83% of EBIT, amid a market-wide railcar shortage.

Why it matters — TRN watchers would care because this article highlights the company's strategic shift to leasing, which is now the primary driver of earnings and margin expansion despite a 16% year-over-year revenue decline.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TRN stock

What is the TRN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $34, with estimates ranging from $34 to $34. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TRN stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TRN?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).

Will TRN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +21.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 68 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TRN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trinity Industries, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TRN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $34 over the next 12 months.

How has TRN stock performed over the past year?

Trinity Industries, Inc. returned +4.8% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trinity Industries, Inc. do?

Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions.

What is the latest news on TRN?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 1 Aug 2026): "Trinity Industries Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Trinity Industries reported second-quarter earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.25, supported by a $132 million pre-tax, non-cash gain related to its Napier Park railcar partnership transaction. The company noted its leasing business maintained high utilization with improved pricing indicators, while its Rail Products segment was pressured by production and manufacturing-footprint disruptions.

Company

About Trinity Industries, Inc.

Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions. Through its TrinityRail platform, the company serves freight operators, shippers, and leasing customers with railcars, railcar parts, fleet management services, and software-enabled logistics support. Its operations are organized around Railcar Leasing and Services and Rail Products, reflecting its role across the rail equipment lifecycle from production to ongoing fleet support. Trinity Industries also supplies specialized components and services that help move bulk commodities and other goods efficiently through the rail network. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Trinity Industries Inc. plays a significant role in supporting North American supply chains and industrial transportation needs.

CEO Ms. E. Jean Savage · 6,110 employees · United States · https://www.trin.net