TRNIndustrials · RailroadsThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +26.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trinity Industries, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (37): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (34): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TRN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +26.3% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $35 → $34 |
| 1 May 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $34 → $35 |
| 1 May 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2025 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Mar 2025 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 Nov 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Susquehanna | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 2 May 2024 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 2 May 2024 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 3 Nov 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Susquehanna | Upgrade | Positive | — |
| 4 Oct 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 2 Aug 2023 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Aug 2023 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TRN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. returned −3.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 68% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Trinity Industries, Inc. has a market value of $2.1B and an enterprise value of $7.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 4.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $353.3M, a 17.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$351.3M, after $739.6M of capital spending.
Trinity Industries, Inc. spent $62.4M on share buybacks and $98.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 6.2×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.72%, paying out 29% of earnings.
Trinity Industries, Inc. employs 6,110 people — $334K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| TRNTrinity Industries, Inc. | $2.1B | 76 |
| GBXGreenbrier Cos., Inc. | $1.2B | 43 |
| FSTRL.B. Foster Co. | $360.1M | 98 |
| RAILFreightCar America, Inc. | $197.3M | 52 |
| CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.* | $2.1B | 67 |
| PRLBProto Labs, Inc.* | $2.1B | 93 |
| RDWRedwire Corp.* | $2.1B | 49 |
* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trinity Industries, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Trinity Industries said it will report financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, before markets open on October 29, 2026. It will hold a conference call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern that day to discuss the results.
Why it matters — TRN watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's results and related conference call.
Trinity Industries issued a statement acknowledging a petition filed by Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary UTLX with the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission seeking antidumping and countervailing duties on railway tank car imports from Mexico. Trinity said it is aware of the petition and will fully defend against it.
Why it matters — A TRN watcher would care because the trade petition targets imports relevant to the company's railcar business and could affect its competitive position and import-related operations.
Trinity Industries, Inc. declared a quarterly dividend of 31 cents per share on its common stock, payable October 30, 2026 to stockholders of record on October 15, 2026. This marks the company's 250th consecutively paid dividend.
Why it matters — The declaration of Trinity's 250th consecutive dividend reflects the company's consistent record of returning cash to shareholders, which is relevant to those monitoring TRN's shareholder returns.
On CNBC's "Mad Money Lightning Round," Jim Cramer said he would not put his money on AstraZeneca because it has been missing some of its trials, while expressing a preference for a steel stock. The commentary did not address Trinity Industries directly.
Why it matters — A TRN watcher would care only in that broader market commentary from a widely followed commentator can affect sector sentiment, though this particular segment contains no direct reference to Trinity Industries.
Trinity Industries reported second-quarter earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.25, supported by a $132 million pre-tax, non-cash gain related to its Napier Park railcar partnership transaction. The company noted its leasing business maintained high utilization with improved pricing indicators, while its Rail Products segment was pressured by production and manufacturing-footprint disruptions.
Why it matters — The results highlight a divergence in Trinity's performance, with a resilient leasing business offset by margin pressure in its rail products operations, plus a notable non-cash gain from the Napier Park transaction.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $32 to $34. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +26.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Trinity Industries, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TRN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $34 over the next 12 months.
Trinity Industries, Inc. returned -3.3% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 8 Oct 2026): "Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Date for Earnings Release". Trinity Industries said it will report financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, before markets open on October 29, 2026. It will hold a conference call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern that day to discuss the results.
Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions. Through its TrinityRail platform, the company serves freight operators, shippers, and leasing customers with railcars, railcar parts, fleet management services, and software-enabled logistics support. Its operations are organized around Railcar Leasing and Services and Rail Products, reflecting its role across the rail equipment lifecycle from production to ongoing fleet support. Trinity Industries also supplies specialized components and services that help move bulk commodities and other goods efficiently through the rail network. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Trinity Industries Inc. plays a significant role in supporting North American supply chains and industrial transportation needs.
CEO Ms. E. Jean Savage · 6,110 employees · United States · https://www.trin.net
