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TRN Stock Forecast: Trinity Industries, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$32
+6.83% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $31 — -2.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
85/ 100
Median analyst target
$31
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$485.1M−4.2% y/y
Operating income$58.8M
Net income$98.3M
Free cash flow−$32.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+24.8%
1M
+23.6%
YTD
+25.7%
1Y
+27.2%
From 52W high
−15.2%
From 52W low
+33.4%
$24
$38
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TRN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trinity Industries, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
85/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Volatility
90
Revisions
80
Accruals
72
Quality
67
Momentum
63
Value
52
Growth
43
Size
32

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (43): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (32): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

TRN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TRN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TRNHigh $32Median $31Low $30

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $30Median $31High $32

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$35 → $34
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$34 → $35
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
26 Jan 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
29 July 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
17 Apr 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
18 Nov 2024Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
21 Oct 2024SusquehannaDowngradeNeutral—
2 May 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
23 Feb 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
3 Nov 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Oct 2023SusquehannaUpgradePositive—
4 Oct 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Aug 2023SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
2 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

TRN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

TRN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. returned +27.2% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TRN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TRNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TRN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.0×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−41.9%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.7%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
13.4%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Net margin
15.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
29.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.1%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.1%

Higher than 91% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. has a market value of $2.3B and an enterprise value of $7.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 17.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $353.3M, a 17.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$351.3M, after $739.6M of capital spending.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. spent $62.4M on share buybacks and $98.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 79.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 7.3×; forward P/E: 13.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.15%, paying out 30% of earnings.

  • Trinity Industries, Inc. employs 6,110 people — $334K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TRN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.$2.3B85
GBXGreenbrier Cos., Inc.$1.4B28
FSTRL.B. Foster Co.$432.9M100
RAILFreightCar America, Inc.$137.7M49
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp.$50.0B75
ATROAstronics Corp.*$2.5B75
CECOCECO Environmental Corp.*$2.7B32

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trinity Industries, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TRN news & analysis

Trinity Industries Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 Oct 2026positive

Trinity Industries said its third-quarter results reflected strengthening railcar demand, improving manufacturing volumes, and continued cash generation. Management maintained its full-year earnings outlook and said it expects 2026 to be the cyclical low point for industry railcar deliveries.

Why it matters — The update gives TRN watchers context on current operating trends, management’s outlook, and its view of the railcar delivery cycle.

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Trinity Industries, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The excerpt provides no details about the discussion or results.

Why it matters — The transcript may provide information about the company’s quarterly performance and management commentary, but none is included in the excerpt.

Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Trinity Industries reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $535 million and diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.27. The company also reported 97.0% lease fleet utilization, a 0.1% FLRD, 2,190 new railcar orders, and 2,030 railcar deliveries.

Why it matters — The results provide TRN watchers with a snapshot of quarterly earnings and railcar leasing and demand activity.

Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Date for Earnings Release

Business Wire · 8 Oct 2026neutral

Trinity Industries said it will report financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, before markets open on October 29, 2026. It will hold a conference call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern that day to discuss the results.

Why it matters — TRN watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's results and related conference call.

Trinity Industries Statement on Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Petition Filed Against Railway Tank Car Imports from Mexico

Business Wire · 5 Oct 2026negative

Trinity Industries issued a statement acknowledging a petition filed by Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary UTLX with the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission seeking antidumping and countervailing duties on railway tank car imports from Mexico. Trinity said it is aware of the petition and will fully defend against it.

Why it matters — A TRN watcher would care because the trade petition targets imports relevant to the company's railcar business and could affect its competitive position and import-related operations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TRN stock

What is the TRN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $31, with estimates ranging from $30 to $32. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TRN stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TRN?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will TRN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies -2.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 85 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TRN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trinity Industries, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TRN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $30 to $32 over the next 12 months.

How has TRN stock performed over the past year?

Trinity Industries, Inc. returned +27.2% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trinity Industries, Inc. do?

Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions.

What is the latest news on TRN?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 Oct 2026): "Trinity Industries Q3 Earnings Call Highlights". Trinity Industries said its third-quarter results reflected strengthening railcar demand, improving manufacturing volumes, and continued cash generation. Management maintained its full-year earnings outlook and said it expects 2026 to be the cyclical low point for industry railcar deliveries.

Company

About Trinity Industries, Inc.

Trinity Industries Inc. is a North American rail transportation products and services company focused on railcar leasing, railcar manufacturing, maintenance, modifications, and related logistics solutions. Through its TrinityRail platform, the company serves freight operators, shippers, and leasing customers with railcars, railcar parts, fleet management services, and software-enabled logistics support. Its operations are organized around Railcar Leasing and Services and Rail Products, reflecting its role across the rail equipment lifecycle from production to ongoing fleet support. Trinity Industries also supplies specialized components and services that help move bulk commodities and other goods efficiently through the rail network. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Trinity Industries Inc. plays a significant role in supporting North American supply chains and industrial transportation needs.

CEO Ms. E. Jean Savage · 6,110 employees · United States · https://www.trin.net