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TRN Stock Forecast: Trinity Industries, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$31
+0.32% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $35 — +11.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$35
Analysts covering
2
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−15.5%
1M
−7.4%
YTD
+22.0%
1Y
+34.9%
From 52W high
−17.7%
From 52W low
+32.4%
$24
$38
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TRN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trinity Industries, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
97
Volatility
83
Accruals
69
Quality
61
Momentum
60
Value
54
Revisions
38
Growth
37
Size
33

Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (37): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (33): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trinity Industries, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

TRN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TRN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TRNHigh $35Median $35Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $35High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$35 → $34
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$34 → $35
1 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 Feb 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
26 Jan 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
29 July 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
17 Apr 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
18 Nov 2024Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
21 Oct 2024SusquehannaDowngradeNeutral—
2 May 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
23 Feb 2024SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
3 Nov 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Oct 2023SusquehannaUpgradePositive—
4 Oct 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Aug 2023SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
2 Aug 2023Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

TRN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.4×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.4×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−4.2%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
597.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.7%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.1%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Net margin
16.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
30.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.0%

Higher than 76% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TRN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRailroads
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TRNTrinity Industries, Inc.$2.5B
64
GBXGreenbrier Cos., Inc.$1.5B
31
FSTRL.B. Foster Co.$427.5M
100
RAILFreightCar America, Inc.$261.2M
54
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp.$49.4B
60
DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.*$2.5B
64
ATKRAtkore, Inc.*$2.5B
89

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few railroads companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TRN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest TRN news & analysis

Trinity Industries Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 1 Aug 2026neutral

Trinity Industries reported second-quarter earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.25, supported by a $132 million pre-tax, non-cash gain related to its Napier Park railcar partnership transaction. The company noted its leasing business maintained high utilization with improved pricing indicators, while its Rail Products segment was pressured by production and manufacturing-footprint disruptions.

Why it matters — The results highlight a divergence in Trinity's performance, with a resilient leasing business offset by margin pressure in its rail products operations, plus a notable non-cash gain from the Napier Park transaction.

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Trinity Industries' Q2 2026 earnings call, covering management's prepared remarks and the subsequent question-and-answer session.

Why it matters — The transcript provides TRN investors with a direct record of management's discussion of quarterly results and business outlook.

Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 30 July 2026positive

Trinity Industries reported second quarter 2026 results with total revenues of $485 million, EPS from continuing operations of $1.25 per diluted share, lease fleet utilization of 97.3%, and railcar deliveries of 1,570 with 1,560 new orders.

Why it matters — The results provide a snapshot of Trinity's operational and financial performance midway through 2026, including key metrics on lease fleet performance and railcar demand.

Trinity Industries Offers Upside Even With The Bump Ride That Lies Ahead (Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Trinity Industries received an upgrade to a soft Buy on Seeking Alpha, with analysts citing robust leasing revenues and high utilization rates that offset headwinds from falling railcar deliveries and backlog.

Why it matters — The upgrade highlights how TRN's high-margin leasing segment is driving profitability and stock outperformance even as near-term earnings and railcar production face challenges.

Trinity Industries: This Is Now A Leasing Business, And I'm Loving The Growth Story Of It

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Trinity Industries is transitioning from railcar manufacturing to a leasing-focused business model, with leasing now accounting for 83% of EBIT, amid a market-wide railcar shortage.

Why it matters — TRN watchers would care because this article highlights the company's strategic shift to leasing, which is now the primary driver of earnings and margin expansion despite a 16% year-over-year revenue decline.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TRN stock

What is the TRN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $35, with estimates ranging from $35 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TRN stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Trinity Industries, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TRN?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Trinity Industries, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).

Will TRN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +11.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trinity Industries, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TRN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trinity Industries, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TRN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has TRN stock performed over the past year?

Trinity Industries, Inc. returned +34.9% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trinity Industries, Inc. do?

Trinity Industries Inc. operates as a leading provider of rail transportation products and services throughout North America under the TrinityRail brand.

What is the latest news on TRN?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 1 Aug 2026): "Trinity Industries Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Trinity Industries reported second-quarter earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.25, supported by a $132 million pre-tax, non-cash gain related to its Napier Park railcar partnership transaction. The company noted its leasing business maintained high utilization with improved pricing indicators, while its Rail Products segment was pressured by production and manufacturing-footprint disruptions.

Company

About Trinity Industries, Inc.

Trinity Industries Inc. operates as a leading provider of rail transportation products and services throughout North America under the TrinityRail brand. The company functions through two primary business segments: the Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, which owns and operates an extensive fleet of railcars while providing third-party fleet leasing, management, and administrative services; and the Rail Products Group, which manufactures, sells, and maintains freight and tank railcars along with their components. Trinity Industries serves a diverse customer base including railroads, leasing companies, and shipping companies operating across agriculture, construction, consumer products, energy, and chemical sectors. Additionally, the company produces highway infrastructure products such as guardrail and barrier systems. Founded in 1933 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Trinity Industries delivers comprehensive rail transportation solutions designed to optimize customers' equipment ownership and usage while enhancing value across the rail modal supply chain.

CEO Ms. E. Jean Savage · 6,110 employees · United States · https://www.trin.net