REALREALConsumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

REAL Stock Forecast: The RealReal, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$9.10
−7.24% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The RealReal, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +97.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
80 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$192.6M+16.6% y/y
Operating income−$2.3M
Net income−$27.2M
Free cash flow−$6.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−6.7%
YTD
−42.3%
1Y
−11.8%
From 52W high
−46.2%
From 52W low
+12.1%
$8
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

REAL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The RealReal, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
80 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
94
Accruals
91
Growth
80
Issuance
67
Quality
63
Value
44
Size
42
Momentum
39
Volatility
4

Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

REAL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on REAL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16$18$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26REALHigh $20Median $18Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $18High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +97.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Sept 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$17
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$14 → $16
3 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$17
3 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
8 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 Feb 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
27 Feb 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
22 Jan 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 Dec 2025BTIGMaintainsBuy—
16 Dec 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
15 Dec 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—
12 Dec 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Nov 2025B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
11 Nov 2025BairdMaintainsNeutral—
11 Nov 2025BTIGMaintainsBuy—
11 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
5 Nov 2025KeybancUpgradeOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. REAL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

REAL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, The RealReal, Inc. returned −11.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

REAL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26REALS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

REAL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+64.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−27.3×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / book
−3.1×

Cheaper than 96% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
57.8×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.6%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Gross margin
74.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
−1.2%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.8%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.1%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.0%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The RealReal, Inc. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $749.9M. The latest quarter grew 16.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$81.1M, a −10.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.12.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $23.0M, after $13.2M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 121.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: −27.3×; forward P/E: 33.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • The RealReal, Inc. employs 3,140 people — $239K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

REAL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelLuxury Goods
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
REALThe RealReal, Inc.$1.2B
80
CPRICapri Holdings Ltd.$1.7B
53
MOVMovado Group, Inc.$505.3M
99
ELAEnvela Corp.$309.0M
78
SIGSignet Jewelers Ltd.$4.0B
93
BRLTBrilliant Earth Group, Inc.$145.6M
81
LANVLanvin Group Holdings Ltd.$109.3M
24

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The RealReal, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest REAL news & analysis

The RealReal Announces Timing of Its Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call

PRNewsWire · 14 Oct 2026neutral

The RealReal announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 29, 2026, and host a conference call at 2:00 p.m.

Why it matters — The announcement gives REAL watchers the timing for the company’s quarterly results and related conference call.

The RealReal Expands Ask TRR AI Shopping Agent With Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise

PRNewsWire · 8 Oct 2026positive

The RealReal announced it is expanding Ask TRR, its AI shopping agent built with Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise, to enhance personalized discovery across more than one million unique luxury items.

Why it matters — The expansion reflects REAL's use of AI to support product discovery across its luxury inventory.

Cedar Grove Capital Q3 2026 Portfolio Update

Seeking Alpha · 7 Oct 2026neutral

Cedar Grove Capital’s Q3 2026 update reports closing its long positions in MTY Food Group, uniQure, ClearPoint Neuro, and Suja Life, as well as several short positions. It also initiated a small tracking position in Zedcor while conducting due diligence.

Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention The RealReal or disclose a position in REAL, so it provides no direct company-specific portfolio update for REAL watchers.

The RealReal: Debt Refinancing Could Unlock The Turnaround

Seeking Alpha · 2 Oct 2026neutral

The RealReal, the largest online marketplace for authenticated luxury resale, saw its shares fall about 43% year-to-date to $8.95 amid market pessimism. Recent catalysts include a debt refinancing in early October and its upcoming Q3 earnings report on November 3.

Why it matters — A REAL watcher would care because the debt refinancing and Q3 results are key events that may signal whether the company's turnaround is gaining traction.

THE REALREAL OPENS FIRST MASSACHUSETTS STORE IN CHESTNUT HILL

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026positive

The RealReal announced the opening of its first Massachusetts store at The Street Chestnut Hill in Newton, scheduled for October 15. The physical location will offer personalized luxury consignment, authentication expertise, and a rotating assortment of designer items.

Why it matters — This marks The RealReal's expansion into a new regional market with its first brick-and-mortar location in Massachusetts, broadening its physical retail footprint.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about REAL stock

What is the REAL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The RealReal, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $15 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is REAL stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering The RealReal, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The RealReal, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank REAL?

As at 14 Oct 2026, The RealReal, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).

Will REAL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +97.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The RealReal, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the REAL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The RealReal, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for REAL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has REAL stock performed over the past year?

The RealReal, Inc. returned -11.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The RealReal, Inc. do?

The RealReal Inc. is an online marketplace focused on authenticated resale luxury goods.

What is the latest news on REAL?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 14 Oct 2026): "The RealReal Announces Timing of Its Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call". The RealReal announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 29, 2026, and host a conference call at 2:00 p.m.

Company

About The RealReal, Inc.

The RealReal Inc. is an online marketplace focused on authenticated resale luxury goods. The company connects sellers and buyers through a full-service consignment model that covers listing, authentication, pricing support, merchandising, and fulfillment. Its platform spans women’s and men’s fashion, jewelry, watches, home items, art, and other high-end categories, making it a key participant in the circular luxury market. The RealReal operates across its website, mobile app, retail stores, and service options that support both remote and in-person consignments. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, The RealReal serves consumers seeking access to pre-owned designer goods and consignors looking to resell luxury items through a trusted marketplace.

CEO Ms. Rati Sahi Levesque · 3,140 employees · United States · https://www.therealreal.com