REALConsumer Cyclical · Luxury GoodsThe 9 Wall Street analysts covering The RealReal, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +70.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The RealReal, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on REAL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +70.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sept 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $17 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $14 → $16 |
| 3 June 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $17 |
| 3 June 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 8 May 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Jan 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Dec 2025 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | William Blair | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 12 Dec 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Nov 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Nov 2025 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Keybanc | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. REAL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 15 Oct 2026, The RealReal, Inc. returned +0.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 57% of US stocks
Cheaper than 96% of US stocks
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The RealReal, Inc. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $749.9M. The latest quarter grew 16.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$81.1M, a −10.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.12.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $23.0M, after $13.2M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: −27.3×; forward P/E: 33.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
The RealReal, Inc. employs 3,140 people — $239K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The RealReal, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The RealReal is replacing high-interest debt due in 2029 with lower-cost debt due in 2033. The company is entering its third consecutive year of positive free cash flow and could double free cash flow next year.
Why it matters — The debt refinancing and free-cash-flow outlook are relevant to investors assessing the company’s financing costs and cash generation.
The RealReal entered into a credit agreement for a $150 million senior secured term loan and a $25 million senior secured revolving credit facility. The company intends to use the term-loan proceeds to redeem its outstanding 2029 notes at par; the refinancing extends secured debt maturity to 2033 and reduces interest expense.
Why it matters — The refinancing changes the company’s debt maturity and interest costs, while the release also outlines a medium-term leverage target.
The RealReal announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 29, 2026, and host a conference call at 2:00 p.m.
Why it matters — The announcement gives REAL watchers the timing for the company’s quarterly results and related conference call.
The RealReal announced it is expanding Ask TRR, its AI shopping agent built with Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise, to enhance personalized discovery across more than one million unique luxury items.
Why it matters — The expansion reflects REAL's use of AI to support product discovery across its luxury inventory.
Cedar Grove Capital’s Q3 2026 update reports closing its long positions in MTY Food Group, uniQure, ClearPoint Neuro, and Suja Life, as well as several short positions. It also initiated a small tracking position in Zedcor while conducting due diligence.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention The RealReal or disclose a position in REAL, so it provides no direct company-specific portfolio update for REAL watchers.
The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The RealReal, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $15 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 9 analysts covering The RealReal, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The RealReal, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, The RealReal, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +70.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The RealReal, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The RealReal, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for REAL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $20 over the next 12 months.
The RealReal, Inc. returned +0.1% over the 12 months to 15 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The RealReal Inc. is an online marketplace focused on authenticated resale luxury goods.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 15 Oct 2026): "Why The RealReal Stock Popped on Thursday". The RealReal is replacing high-interest debt due in 2029 with lower-cost debt due in 2033. The company is entering its third consecutive year of positive free cash flow and could double free cash flow next year.
The RealReal Inc. is an online marketplace focused on authenticated resale luxury goods. The company connects sellers and buyers through a full-service consignment model that covers listing, authentication, pricing support, merchandising, and fulfillment. Its platform spans women’s and men’s fashion, jewelry, watches, home items, art, and other high-end categories, making it a key participant in the circular luxury market. The RealReal operates across its website, mobile app, retail stores, and service options that support both remote and in-person consignments. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, The RealReal serves consumers seeking access to pre-owned designer goods and consignors looking to resell luxury items through a trusted marketplace.
CEO Ms. Rati Sahi Levesque · 3,140 employees · United States · https://www.therealreal.com
