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RGR Stock Forecast: Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$41
+2.04% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$654.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
96 / 100
Median analyst target
$43
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$158.1M+19.3% y/y
Operating income$7.6M
Net income$7.0M
Free cash flow$14.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+8.6%
1M
+8.9%
YTD
+26.8%
1Y
−60.6%
From 52W high
−67.1%
From 52W low
+43.7%
$29
$125
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RGR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
96 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
95
Value
90
Accruals
89
Issuance
87
Growth
86
Quality
72
Momentum
61
Size
50
Revisions
44

Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.

Revisions (44): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RGR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RGR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RGRHigh $46Median $43Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
1 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $43High $46

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Mar 2026Lake StreetMaintainsBuy$41 → $43
24 Sept 2020Aegis CapitalInitiatesHold—
21 Aug 2017Aegis CapitalInitiatesBuy—
14 Mar 2017WunderlichInitiatesHold—
14 Mar 2017Wunderlich SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
6 June 2016BB&T CapitalDowngradeHold—
24 July 2015BB&T CapitalInitiatesBuy—
23 Apr 2015DoughertyUpgradeBuy—
23 Apr 2015Dougherty & Co.UpgradeBuy—
5 Mar 2015CRT CapitalUpgradeBuy—
27 Aug 2014CRT CapitalDowngradeFair Value—
7 Jan 2014CRT CapitalInitiatesBuy—
24 Sept 2013DoughertyInitiatesNeutral—
24 Sept 2013Dougherty & Co.InitiatesNeutral—
7 Nov 2012CL KingUpgradeStrong Buy—
1 Nov 2012CL KingDowngradeNeutral—
15 Aug 2012KeybancDowngradeUnderweight—
15 Aug 2012KeyBancDowngradeUnderweight—
10 May 2012BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RGR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RGR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. returned −60.6% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RGR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RGRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RGR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. (RGR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
55.4×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.6×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.3%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.3%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.3%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.5%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.1%

Higher than 45% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. (RGR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. has a market value of $654.5M and an enterprise value of $538.5M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $577.2M. The latest quarter grew 19.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $12.2M, a 2.1% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $47.3M.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. spent $10.0M on share buybacks and $6.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 16.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 55.4×; forward P/E: 20.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.05%, paying out 53% of earnings.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. employs 1,780 people — $324K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RGR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RGRSturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.$654.5M
96
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.$659.9M
86
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.$688.9M
6
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.$606.9M
100
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.$710.5M
7
SATLSatellogic, Inc.$785.6M
41
TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.$493.5M
50

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RGR news & analysis

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Ruger & Company, Inc. (NYSE – RGR), Atkore, Inc. (NYSE – ATKR), Centerspace (NYSE – CSR), Aethlon Medical, Inc. (Nasdaq – AEMD)

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026negative

Brodsky & Smith, a law firm, issued a shareholder update reminding investors that it is investigating Ruger & Company, Inc. along with several other companies. The notice invites affected shareholders to contact the firm at no cost to discuss the investigation.

Why it matters — A law firm has announced an investigation involving Ruger, which RGR shareholders may want to track as a potential legal or regulatory development.

BERETTA HOLDING S.A. COMMENCES CASH TENDER OFFER FOR SHARES OF STURM, RUGER & COMPANY, INC.

PRNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Beretta Holding S.A., based in Luxembourg, announced on Sept. 17, 2026 that it is commencing a cash tender offer for shares of Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc., according to a PR Newswire release.

Why it matters — RGR watchers would care because a Beretta tender offer could affect the ownership and strategic direction of Sturm, Ruger.

Italian gunmaker Beretta to raise stake in Sturm Ruger to 25%, paper says

Reuters · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Italian gunmaker Beretta is set to launch a bid to increase its stake in Sturm, Ruger & Co from 10% to 25%, according to Italian newspaper Il Sole 24 Ore, which cited sources close to the matter.

Why it matters — RGR watchers would care because a 25% stake by Beretta represents a significant ownership change that could affect the company's governance and shareholder structure.

Ruger Provides Update on Strategic Cooperation Agreement with Beretta Holding

Business Wire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. announced that the regulatory conditions under its previously announced Strategic Cooperation Agreement with Beretta Holding S.A. have been satisfied, and its Board of Directors has unanimously approved an amendment to the Company's shareholder rights consistent with the agreement's terms.

Why it matters — A RGR watcher would care because the satisfaction of regulatory conditions and the approved shareholder rights amendment mark concrete progress toward completing the strategic cooperation with Beretta Holding.

Sturm, Ruger: Debt-Free And Trading Below Beretta's Own Price Tag

Seeking Alpha · 9 Aug 2026positive

Sturm, Ruger is debt-free and cash-rich amidst muted firearm demand. Beretta's standstill agreement and $44.80 per share tender offer establish a price floor and strategic upside, though a near-term takeover is unlikely, while the company's 'Ruger 2030' strategy drives sequential sales and profitability gains for a multi-year turnaround.

Why it matters — An RGR watcher would care because Beretta's tender offer establishes a price floor and the firm's strategy signals a potential multi-year turnaround despite weak near-term demand.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RGR stock

What is the RGR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $40 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RGR stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RGR?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).

Will RGR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. 96 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RGR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RGR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $46 over the next 12 months.

How has RGR stock performed over the past year?

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. returned -60.6% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. do?

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on RGR?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 17 Sept 2026): "BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Ruger & Company, Inc. (NYSE – RGR), Atkore, Inc. (NYSE – ATKR), Centerspace (NYSE – CSR), Aethlon Medical, Inc. (Nasdaq – AEMD)". Brodsky & Smith, a law firm, issued a shareholder update reminding investors that it is investigating Ruger & Company, Inc. along with several other companies. The notice invites affected shareholders to contact the firm at no cost to discuss the investigation.

Company

About Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is a U.S. firearms manufacturer that designs, manufactures, and sells firearms and related accessories for commercial sporting and specialized markets. Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. offers a broad product lineup that includes rifles, pistols, revolvers, and lever-action firearms, along with replacement parts and accessory products. The company also operates a castings segment that produces precision investment castings and metal injection molded components used in its own operations and sold to outside customers. Its brands and product families are widely recognized in the American firearms market, with distribution centered on federally licensed wholesale channels and selected export customers. Based in Southport, Connecticut, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. plays a significant role in the U.S. small arms industry through its manufacturing, product development, and supporting metal components business.

CEO Mr. Todd W. Seyfert · 1,780 employees · United States · https://www.ruger.com