RGRRGRIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

RGR Stock Forecast: Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Nov 2026
$50
−0.82% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — -13.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$790.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
89/ 100
Median analyst target
$43
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$158.1M+19.3% y/y
Operating income$7.6M
Net income$7.0M
Free cash flow$14.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+8.1%
1M
+11.5%
YTD
+53.2%
1Y
+14.2%
From 52W high
−1.2%
From 52W low
+73.6%
$29
$50
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RGR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Nov 2026
89/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
95
Growth
90
Issuance
79
Value
76
Accruals
70
Momentum
69
Quality
68
Size
46
Revisions
43

Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.

Revisions (43): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

RGR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RGR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RGRHigh $46Median $43Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
1 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $43High $46

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −13.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Mar 2026Lake StreetMaintainsBuy$41 → $43
24 Sept 2020Aegis CapitalInitiatesHold—
21 Aug 2017Aegis CapitalInitiatesBuy—
14 Mar 2017WunderlichInitiatesHold—
14 Mar 2017Wunderlich SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
6 June 2016BB&T CapitalDowngradeHold—
24 July 2015BB&T CapitalInitiatesBuy—
23 Apr 2015DoughertyUpgradeBuy—
23 Apr 2015Dougherty & Co.UpgradeBuy—
5 Mar 2015CRT CapitalUpgradeBuy—
27 Aug 2014CRT CapitalDowngradeFair Value—
7 Jan 2014CRT CapitalInitiatesBuy—
24 Sept 2013DoughertyInitiatesNeutral—
24 Sept 2013Dougherty & Co.InitiatesNeutral—
7 Nov 2012CL KingUpgradeStrong Buy—
1 Nov 2012CL KingDowngradeNeutral—
15 Aug 2012KeybancDowngradeUnderweight—
15 Aug 2012KeyBancDowngradeUnderweight—
10 May 2012BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

RGR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

RGR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. returned +14.2% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RGR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RGRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RGR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. (RGR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
66.0×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.3%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.3%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.3%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.5%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 77% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. (RGR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. has a market value of $790.9M and an enterprise value of $681.5M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $577.2M. The latest quarter grew 19.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $12.2M, a 2.1% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $47.3M.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. spent $10.0M on share buybacks and $6.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 16.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 66.0×; forward P/E: 24.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.70%, paying out 52% of earnings.

  • Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. employs 1,780 people — $324K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RGR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RGRSturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.$790.9M89
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.$772.0M100
YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.$756.8M0
NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.$1.0B72
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.$547.1M6
AVEXAEVEX Corp.$1.2B12
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.$516.9M3

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RGR news & analysis

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Sturm, Ruger & Company’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company and conference-call participants and begins the call’s opening remarks.

Why it matters — The transcript provides RGR watchers with a record of the company’s quarterly call, though the excerpt contains no financial results or business updates.

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Sturm, Ruger & Company reported third-quarter 2026 net sales of $147.6 million, up 16.5% from $126.8 million in the year-earlier quarter. Diluted earnings were $0.36 per share, compared with $0.10 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — The results provide RGR watchers with an update on the company’s sales and diluted earnings compared with the prior-year quarter.

Sturm, Ruger: Strategic Alliance With Beretta Supports Long-Term Growth

Seeking Alpha · 26 Oct 2026positive

The Seeking Alpha item says Beretta’s 25% strategic stake in Sturm, Ruger is expected to expand international reach and create potential synergies. It also cites recent sales growth and premium-product mix as factors supporting the company’s long-term growth outlook.

Why it matters — RGR watchers may view the alliance as a source of potential international expansion and synergies alongside the operating trends described in the item.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RGR stock

What is the RGR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $40 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RGR stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RGR?

As at 5 Nov 2026, Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).

Will RGR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies -13.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RGR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RGR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $46 over the next 12 months.

How has RGR stock performed over the past year?

Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. returned +14.2% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. do?

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on RGR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 5 Nov 2026): "Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Sturm, Ruger & Company’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company and conference-call participants and begins the call’s opening remarks.

Company

About Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is a U.S. firearms manufacturer that designs, manufactures, and sells firearms and related accessories for commercial sporting and specialized markets. Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. offers a broad product lineup that includes rifles, pistols, revolvers, and lever-action firearms, along with replacement parts and accessory products. The company also operates a castings segment that produces precision investment castings and metal injection molded components used in its own operations and sold to outside customers. Its brands and product families are widely recognized in the American firearms market, with distribution centered on federally licensed wholesale channels and selected export customers. Based in Southport, Connecticut, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. plays a significant role in the U.S. small arms industry through its manufacturing, product development, and supporting metal components business.

CEO Mr. Todd William Seyfert · 1,780 employees · United States · https://www.ruger.com