SWBIIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +18.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 100 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (98): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Quality (77): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (50): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SWBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 June 2026 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | $14 → $17 |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 June 2025 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Lake Street | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Lake Street | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 21 June 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Mar 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 8 Mar 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Dec 2023 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 9 Sept 2022 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Dec 2021 | Cowen & Co. | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Mar 2021 | Craig-Hallum | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 24 Sept 2020 | Aegis Capital | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SWBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. returned +52.9% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. has a market value of $651.1M and an enterprise value of $698.6M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $551.4M. The latest quarter grew 32.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $24.5M, a 4.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.54.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $82.0M.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. spent $23.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 26.9×; forward P/E: 24.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.58%, paying out 96% of earnings.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. employs 1,378 people — $400K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research upgraded Smith & Wesson (SWBI) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.
Why it matters — A rating upgrade reflects increased expectations around Smith & Wesson's earnings outlook, which SWBI watchers would note as a shift in analyst sentiment.
Smith & Wesson reported Q1 net sales up 32.3% year-over-year to $113 million, with gross margin rising to 28.7%, though part of the margin gain came from one-off tariff refunds. Management guided to 5-7% full-year revenue growth, expecting softer demand in the second half after a regulatory-driven Q1 surge.
Why it matters — The results show improving demand and market share, but rising spending and a weaker second-half outlook raise questions about the balance sheet and whether the Q1 surge is sustainable for SWBI investors.
Seeking Alpha reports that Smith & Wesson was upgraded from 'hold' to 'buy' following a strong Q1 FY2027, with revenue rising 32.3% year over year driven by robust handgun and long gun demand, innovation, and favorable product mix. Recent NICS background check data and management commentary indicate strengthening end-user demand and successful new product introductions.
Why it matters — A rating upgrade citing strong quarterly results and rising demand signals improving sentiment for SWBI among investors tracking the company.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. held its Q1 2027 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the proceedings. The transcript provides a record of management's remarks and discussion during the call.
Why it matters — A SWBI watcher would care because the earnings call transcript offers direct insight into management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.
Smith & Wesson Brands reported higher first-quarter fiscal 2027 sales and a return to profitability. The company cited demand across its consumer and professional firearms channels, increased product shipments, and higher average selling prices.
Why it matters — The results signal improved performance and growing demand across SWBI's firearms channels, which could matter for investors tracking the company's financial trajectory.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $17 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. 100 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. ranks 100 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +18.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. 100 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SWBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $17 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. returned +52.9% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 22 Sept 2026): "All You Need to Know About Smith & Wesson (SWBI) Rating Upgrade to Buy". Zacks Investment Research upgraded Smith & Wesson (SWBI) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. is a U.S. firearms manufacturer that designs, produces, and sells a broad range of firearms and related products worldwide. Its core offerings include handguns such as revolvers and pistols, long guns including modern sporting rifles, pistol caliber carbines, and lever-action rifles, as well as suppressors, handcuffs, and other firearm accessories. The company serves consumer, law enforcement, and professional markets through brands such as Smith & Wesson, M&P, Thompson/Center Arms, and Gemtech. Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. also provides manufacturing services and firearm training programs, reinforcing its role across both product supply and specialized support services in the firearms industry.
CEO Mr. Mark Peter Smith · 1,378 employees · United States · https://www.smith-wesson.com
