SWBIIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

SWBI Stock Forecast: Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026

$13

−1.05% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +31.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 100 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap

$589.6M

Ticker Nerd rank

100 / 100

Median analyst target

$17

Analysts covering

Revenue$112.6M+32.3% y/y

Operating income$4.2M

Net income$2.6M

Free cash flow−$20.8M

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

+7.2%

−7.5%

YTD

+35.5%

+46.3%

From 52W high

−20.5%

From 52W low

+65.9%

$17

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

SWBI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026

100 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value

Accruals

Revisions

Growth

Issuance

Volatility

Momentum

Quality

Size

Value (98): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Quality (77): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Size (52): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SWBI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SWBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts

2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Low $17Median $17High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +31.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
18 June 2026	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	$14 → $17
6 Mar 2026	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
23 June 2025	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
7 Mar 2025	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
27 Jan 2025	Lake Street	Upgrade	Buy	—
6 Dec 2024	Craig-Hallum	Downgrade	Hold	—
6 Dec 2024	Lake Street	Downgrade	Hold	—
21 June 2024	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
8 Mar 2024	Craig-Hallum	Upgrade	Buy	—
8 Mar 2024	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
8 Dec 2023	Craig-Hallum	Maintains	Hold	—
9 Sept 2022	Lake Street	Maintains	Buy	—
3 Dec 2021	Cowen & Co.	Downgrade	Market Perform	—
5 Mar 2021	Craig-Hallum	Downgrade	Hold	—
24 Sept 2020	Aegis Capital	Initiates	Buy	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SWBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

SWBI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. returned +46.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SWBI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SWBI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+66.7%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 23.9×
Price / sales: 1.1×
Price / book: 1.6×
EV / EBITDA: 10.1×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 32.3%
Earnings growth (YoY): 87.9%
Gross margin: 28.7%
Operating margin: 1.2%
Net margin: 4.4%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 6.6%
Return on assets: 3.8%
Dividend yield: 4.0%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. has a market value of $589.6M and an enterprise value of $637.2M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $551.4M. The latest quarter grew 32.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $24.5M, a 4.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.54.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $82.0M.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. spent $23.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Shares outstanding: 44.8M.
Trailing P/E: 23.9×; forward P/E: 21.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.95%, paying out 95% of earnings.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. employs 1,378 people — $400K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SWBI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.	$589.6M	100
RGRSturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.	$601.4M	95
TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.	$499.3M	50
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.	$690.8M	86
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.	$485.4M	5
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.	$734.9M	7
SATLSatellogic, Inc.	$736.4M	43

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SWBI news & analysis

Smith & Wesson Q1 Earnings: Rising Spending Weighs On The Balance Sheet

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026neutral

Smith & Wesson reported Q1 net sales up 32.3% year-over-year to $113 million, with gross margin rising to 28.7%, though part of the margin gain came from one-off tariff refunds. Management guided to 5-7% full-year revenue growth, expecting softer demand in the second half after a regulatory-driven Q1 surge.

Why it matters — The results show improving demand and market share, but rising spending and a weaker second-half outlook raise questions about the balance sheet and whether the Q1 surge is sustainable for SWBI investors.

I Have To Pull This Trigger On Smith & Wesson (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Smith & Wesson was upgraded from 'hold' to 'buy' following a strong Q1 FY2027, with revenue rising 32.3% year over year driven by robust handgun and long gun demand, innovation, and favorable product mix. Recent NICS background check data and management commentary indicate strengthening end-user demand and successful new product introductions.

Why it matters — A rating upgrade citing strong quarterly results and rising demand signals improving sentiment for SWBI among investors tracking the company.

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. held its Q1 2027 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the proceedings. The transcript provides a record of management's remarks and discussion during the call.

Why it matters — A SWBI watcher would care because the earnings call transcript offers direct insight into management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

Smith & Wesson Brands Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026positive

Smith & Wesson Brands reported higher first-quarter fiscal 2027 sales and a return to profitability. The company cited demand across its consumer and professional firearms channels, increased product shipments, and higher average selling prices.

Why it matters — The results signal improved performance and growing demand across SWBI's firearms channels, which could matter for investors tracking the company's financial trajectory.

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results

Newsfile Corp · 3 Sept 2026positive

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. reported first quarter fiscal 2027 financial results for the period ended July 31, 2026. Net sales were $112.6 million, up $27.5 million (32.3%) from the comparable quarter last year, with gross margin of 28.7% and EPS of $0.06 per share.

Why it matters — The results show a substantial year-over-year increase in revenue for the company's first fiscal quarter of 2027.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SWBI stock

What is the SWBI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $17 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SWBI stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. 100 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SWBI?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. ranks 100 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (98 of 100).

Will SWBI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +31.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. 100 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SWBI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SWBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $17 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has SWBI stock performed over the past year?

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. returned +46.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. do?

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on SWBI?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Sept 2026): "Smith & Wesson Q1 Earnings: Rising Spending Weighs On The Balance Sheet". Smith & Wesson reported Q1 net sales up 32.3% year-over-year to $113 million, with gross margin rising to 28.7%, though part of the margin gain came from one-off tariff refunds. Management guided to 5-7% full-year revenue growth, expecting softer demand in the second half after a regulatory-driven Q1 surge.

Company

About Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. is a U.S. firearms manufacturer that designs, produces, and sells a broad range of firearms and related products worldwide. Its core offerings include handguns such as revolvers and pistols, long guns including modern sporting rifles, pistol caliber carbines, and lever-action rifles, as well as suppressors, handcuffs, and other firearm accessories. The company serves consumer, law enforcement, and professional markets through brands such as Smith & Wesson, M&P, Thompson/Center Arms, and Gemtech. Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. also provides manufacturing services and firearm training programs, reinforcing its role across both product supply and specialized support services in the firearms industry.

CEO Mr. Mark Peter Smith · 1,378 employees · United States · https://www.smith-wesson.com