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RKLB Stock Forecast: Rocket Lab Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$51
−7.98% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $105 — +106.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$37.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
$105
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$234.1M+62.0% y/y
Operating income−$57.5M
Net income−$49.3M
Free cash flow−$110.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−25.5%
1M
−20.2%
YTD
−27.1%
1Y
−24.1%
From 52W high
−66.2%
From 52W low
+28.8%
$39
$150
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RKLB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rocket Lab Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Oct 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
70
Growth
69
Momentum
59
Revisions
54
Quality
52
Value
31
Volatility
18
Accruals
15
Size
7

Issuance (70): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RKLB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RKLB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RKLBHigh $150Median $105Low $64

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
18 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $64Median $105High $150

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +106.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$122
9 Oct 2026BarclaysInitiatesOverweight$85
9 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$120 → $90
1 Oct 2026CitigroupInitiatesBuy$105
1 Oct 2026CitigroupInitiatesBuy—
11 Sept 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform—
11 Sept 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform$80
31 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
31 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$115 → $110
11 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
11 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$96 → $122
11 Aug 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform—
11 Aug 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$130
27 July 2026KGI SecuritiesUpgradeOutperform—
27 July 2026KGI SecuritiesUpgradeOutperform$107
16 July 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$83
16 July 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
30 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
30 June 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RKLB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RKLB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Rocket Lab Corp. returned −24.1% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RKLB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
50100150200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RKLBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RKLB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Rocket Lab Corp. (RKLB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−160.0×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / sales
49.2×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / book
10.1×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−220.8×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
62.0%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
62.0%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Operating margin
−24.6%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Net margin
−21.5%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−7.9%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.6%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Rocket Lab Corp. (RKLB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Rocket Lab Corp. has a market value of $37.8B and an enterprise value of $33.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $769.1M. The latest quarter grew 62.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$165.5M, a −21.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.27.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$371.1M.

  • Shares outstanding: 639.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −160.0×; forward P/E: 910.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Rocket Lab Corp. employs 2,600 people — $296K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RKLB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RKLBRocket Lab Corp.$37.8B
31
ESLTElbit Systems Ltd.$31.4B
—
AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.$31.7B
32
HEIHEICO Corp.$37.3B
70
ARXSArxis, Inc.$23.3B
4
LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.$46.4B
78
WWDWoodward, Inc.$19.7B
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rocket Lab Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RKLB news & analysis

Rocket Lab: Neutron Delayed, Strong Buy Intact

Seeking Alpha · 17 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports that Rocket Lab’s Neutron launch target has shifted to 2027 due to a manufacturing process setback, which it characterizes as an issue of process rather than design. The item also discusses the Iridium acquisition as a move into space systems and constellation operations, while noting equity financing and dilution risk.

Why it matters — The delay and financing risk are balanced in the article against the company’s reliability-focused approach and diversification through Iridium.

Rocket Lab Drops 6% as Citizens Cuts Target Over Neutron Delay; Planet Labs Slides 5%, SpaceX Slips

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Oct 2026negative

Rocket Lab shares fell 6% to $51 as the delayed debut of its next-generation Neutron rocket weighed on space stocks. The headline also reports that Citizens cut its target, while Planet Labs and SpaceX shares slipped.

Why it matters — The Neutron delay and the reported share decline are relevant to RKLB watchers tracking the rocket’s development and market reaction.

Rocket Lab Has Imploded For 3 Months: 145% Gains Are Coming According to This Pro Analyst

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Rocket Lab’s shares fell nearly one-fifth in one week despite a record backlog and numerous analyst buy ratings. The article notes a claimed contradiction between the recent decline and those indicators.

Why it matters — The contrast between the stock’s recent weakness and the backlog and analyst ratings is a point of interest for RKLB watchers.

Space Stock Watch: SpaceX Spectrum Deal, Rocket Lab Delays, Tesla Merger Chatter

Benzinga · 16 Oct 2026negative

The excerpt says space stocks spent most of the week in the red, while SpaceX’s $8 billion push into terrestrial wireless set the agenda. The headline also references Rocket Lab delays, but the excerpt provides no details about them.

Why it matters — The headline flags Rocket Lab delays amid a weak week for space stocks, though the excerpt offers no specifics on the delays.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RKLB stock

What is the RKLB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $105, with estimates ranging from $64 to $150. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RKLB stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rocket Lab Corp. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RKLB?

As at 16 Oct 2026, Rocket Lab Corp. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (70 of 100).

Will RKLB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +106.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rocket Lab Corp. 31 out of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RKLB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Rocket Lab Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RKLB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $64 to $150 over the next 12 months.

How has RKLB stock performed over the past year?

Rocket Lab Corp. returned -24.1% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Rocket Lab Corp. do?

Rocket Lab Corporation is an aerospace and space systems company that provides launch and mission services for commercial, government, and defense customers. The company operates through Launch Services and Space Systems, combining dedicated and rideshare rocket launches with spacecraft engineering, manufacturing, components, and on-orbit mission operations.

What is the latest news on RKLB?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 17 Oct 2026): "Rocket Lab: Neutron Delayed, Strong Buy Intact". Seeking Alpha reports that Rocket Lab’s Neutron launch target has shifted to 2027 due to a manufacturing process setback, which it characterizes as an issue of process rather than design. The item also discusses the Iridium acquisition as a move into space systems and constellation operations, while noting equity financing and dilution risk.

Company

About Rocket Lab Corp.

Rocket Lab Corporation is an aerospace and space systems company that provides launch and mission services for commercial, government, and defense customers. The company operates through Launch Services and Space Systems, combining dedicated and rideshare rocket launches with spacecraft engineering, manufacturing, components, and on-orbit mission operations. Its offerings support satellite deployment, space infrastructure, and secure communications, serving organizations that need access to space and specialized mission hardware. Rocket Lab Corporation also develops launch vehicles and spacecraft platforms designed for small and medium-class payloads, making it a key supplier across the broader space economy. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Long Beach, California, Rocket Lab Corporation plays a significant role in enabling recurring launches and end-to-end space mission capabilities.

CEO Sir Peter Beck · 2,600 employees · United States · https://rocketlabcorp.com