RKLBIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 22 Wall Street analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — +56.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rocket Lab Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (67): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (18): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RKLB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +56.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $130 → $90 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $122 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $135 → $100 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $90 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | $85 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $120 → $90 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Initiates | Buy | $105 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Initiates | Outperform | $80 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $115 → $110 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $96 → $122 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | $130 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 July 2026 | KGI Securities | Upgrade | Outperform | $107 |
| 27 July 2026 | KGI Securities | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | $83 |
| 16 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
RKLB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 12 Nov 2026, Rocket Lab Corp. returned +28.2% against +12.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Rocket Lab Corp. has a market value of $40.1B and an enterprise value of $35.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $769.1M. The latest quarter grew 72.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$165.5M, a −21.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: −$0.27.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$371.1M.
Trailing P/E: −181.4×; forward P/E: 987.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Rocket Lab Corp. employs 2,600 people — $296K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rocket Lab Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Rocket Lab’s Electron rocket is set to make its 100th launch this week. The excerpt says Electron would reach the milestone faster than any other commercially developed rocket in history.
Why it matters — The launch milestone highlights Electron’s pace of operations and is relevant to watchers of Rocket Lab.
Rocket Lab's ESCAPADE spacecraft completed precise Mars-bound maneuvers, demonstrating its deep-space propulsion, navigation, and mission operations capabilities.
Why it matters — The maneuvers showcase capabilities relevant to Rocket Lab's work in deep-space missions.
Rocket Lab CEO Peter Beck said the Neutron rocket could give the company a competitive advantage over SpaceX’s Starship, even if Starship achieves full reusability.
Why it matters — The comments highlight how Rocket Lab’s leadership sees Neutron positioned competitively against SpaceX.
Seeking Alpha argues that Rocket Lab’s long-term fundamentals remain intact despite Neutron’s first launch being delayed to 2027. It cites record Q3 revenue of $267.8 million, a 52% backlog increase to $3.57 billion, and higher-priced Neutron bookings, alongside elevated R&D and delayed Neutron profitability.
Why it matters — RKLB watchers may note the combination of strong reported revenue and backlog growth with the delay to Neutron’s first launch and profitability.
The article notes that Rocket Lab shares have risen 23.5% over a year, citing expanding launch services, a growing spacecraft portfolio and a strong contract pipeline. It also flags losses and execution risks as ongoing concerns.
Why it matters — RKLB watchers may weigh the company’s business and pipeline growth against its losses and execution risks.
The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $58 to $150. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 22 analysts covering Rocket Lab Corp., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rocket Lab Corp. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Nov 2026, Rocket Lab Corp. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (67 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +56.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rocket Lab Corp. 32 out of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Rocket Lab Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RKLB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $58 to $150 over the next 12 months.
Rocket Lab Corp. returned +28.2% over the 12 months to 12 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Rocket Lab Corporation is an aerospace and space systems company that provides launch and mission services for commercial, government, and defense customers. The company operates through Launch Services and Space Systems, combining dedicated and rideshare rocket launches with spacecraft engineering, manufacturing, components, and on-orbit mission operations.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 12 Nov 2026): "Rocket Lab To Launch Milestone 100th Electron Rocket This Week". Rocket Lab’s Electron rocket is set to make its 100th launch this week. The excerpt says Electron would reach the milestone faster than any other commercially developed rocket in history.
Rocket Lab Corporation is an aerospace and space systems company that provides launch and mission services for commercial, government, and defense customers. The company operates through Launch Services and Space Systems, combining dedicated and rideshare rocket launches with spacecraft engineering, manufacturing, components, and on-orbit mission operations. Its offerings support satellite deployment, space infrastructure, and secure communications, serving organizations that need access to space and specialized mission hardware. Rocket Lab Corporation also develops launch vehicles and spacecraft platforms designed for small and medium-class payloads, making it a key supplier across the broader space economy. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Long Beach, California, Rocket Lab Corporation plays a significant role in enabling recurring launches and end-to-end space mission capabilities.
CEO Sir Peter Beck · 2,600 employees · United States · https://rocketlabcorp.com
