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RSKD Stock Forecast: Riskified Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$8.09
−4.37% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Riskified Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $7.5 — -7.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 99 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
99 / 100
Median analyst target
$7.50
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$98.7M+21.8% y/y
Operating income−$7.4M
Net income−$9.1M
Free cash flow$12.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
+28.6%
YTD
+62.8%
1Y
+73.2%
From 52W high
−5.6%
From 52W low
+113.5%
$3.79
$8.57
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RSKD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Riskified Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
99 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
99
Issuance
97
Momentum
89
Volatility
81
Revisions
77
Quality
76
Value
76
Growth
73
Size
43

Accruals (99): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (73): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (43): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RSKD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RSKD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RSKDHigh $9.00Median $7.50Low $6.25

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
3 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $6.25Median $7.50High $9.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −7.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Oct 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$5.50 → $7.50
28 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$7.50 → $9.00
24 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$7.50
24 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$6.00 → $7.50
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$4.75 → $5.50
13 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
13 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
13 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$5.50 → $6.25
13 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$5.00 → $6.75
13 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$5.25 → $5.50
13 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
5 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$8.00 → $7.00
5 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2025JP MorganUpgradeNeutral—
13 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
20 Aug 2025JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RSKD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RSKD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Riskified Ltd. returned +73.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RSKD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RSKDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RSKD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−44.9×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
5.1×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−49.0×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
21.8%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
21.8%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.6%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
−7.5%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Net margin
−4.2%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.7%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
−3.4%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Riskified Ltd. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $917.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $368.1M. The latest quarter grew 21.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$15.6M, a −4.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.11.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $46.0M, after $878K of capital spending.

  • Riskified Ltd. spent $154.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 132.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: −44.9×; forward P/E: 20.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Riskified Ltd. employs 655 people — $562K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RSKD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RSKDRiskified Ltd.$1.1B
99
IBTAIbotta, Inc.$1.1B
87
APPSDigital Turbine, Inc.$1.1B
94
GTMZoomInfo Technologies, Inc.$1.2B
81
RDVTRed Violet, Inc.$1.2B
95
DFINDonnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.$1.3B
96
PDPagerDuty, Inc.$1.3B
93

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Riskified Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RSKD news & analysis

Riskified Launches Agent Identity Risk Intelligence: Know Who Is Behind AI Personal Assistants like Muse at Checkout and in Customer Service

Business Wire · 8 Oct 2026positive

Riskified announced Agent Identity Risk Intelligence, a new set of capabilities designed to identify the AI personal assistant behind an order or customer service request, link it to a real consumer identity, and provide a real-time risk signal. The company said this extends its AI intelligence platform to consumers’ personal AI agents.

Why it matters — RSKD watchers may note the launch as an expansion of Riskified’s fraud and risk intelligence capabilities to AI-agent activity in commerce.

Riskified (RSKD) Stock Jumps 10.4%: Will It Continue to Soar?

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Sept 2026neutral

Riskified's stock rose 10.4% in the last session on higher-than-average trading volume. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

Why it matters — A Riskified watcher would care because the sharp price jump may not be sustainable given a less supportive trend in earnings estimate revisions.

Riskified Brings Identity Risk Intelligence to Zendesk, Helping Retailers Stop Returns Fraud Without Sacrificing Customer Experience

Business Wire · 15 Sept 2026positive

Riskified is integrating its Identity Risk Intelligence into Zendesk's workflow, providing customer-service agents with real-time signals to help them resolve claims faster while curbing returns fraud. The integration is designed to help retailers stop returns fraud without sacrificing customer experience.

Why it matters — This expands Riskified's product reach into a widely used customer-service platform, potentially broadening its adoption among retailers seeking to manage returns fraud within their existing workflows.

Riskified Expands its Risk Intelligence Platform with ARIA

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026positive

Riskified announced the expansion of its risk intelligence platform with ARIA (AI Risk Intelligence Analyst), a tool that gives fraud teams instant answers from their order data. The announcement was made via Business Wire.

Why it matters — The launch of ARIA signals a product enhancement that could strengthen Riskified's platform capabilities, which is relevant for investors watching the company's competitive positioning in the fraud-risk space.

Riskified Analysis Finds Travel Fraudsters Are Adapting Faster Than Traditional Signals Can Keep Up, With May Flight Risk Up 32%

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Riskified released a new Travel report finding that fraud rings are exploiting trusted customer behaviors across flights, hotels, and travel platforms. The analysis reports that travel fraudsters are adapting faster than traditional signals can keep up, with May flight risk up 32%.

Why it matters — This highlights ongoing fraud challenges in the travel sector, underscoring the relevance and potential demand for Riskified's fraud-detection services.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RSKD stock

What is the RSKD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Riskified Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $7.5, with estimates ranging from $6.25 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RSKD stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Riskified Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Riskified Ltd. 99 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RSKD?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Riskified Ltd. ranks 99 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (99 of 100).

Will RSKD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies -7.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Riskified Ltd. 99 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RSKD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Riskified Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RSKD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6.25 to $9 over the next 12 months.

How has RSKD stock performed over the past year?

Riskified Ltd. returned +73.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Riskified Ltd. do?

Riskified Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares represents equity in Riskified Ltd., a software company focused on ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence.

What is the latest news on RSKD?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 8 Oct 2026): "Riskified Launches Agent Identity Risk Intelligence: Know Who Is Behind AI Personal Assistants like Muse at Checkout and in Customer Service". Riskified announced Agent Identity Risk Intelligence, a new set of capabilities designed to identify the AI personal assistant behind an order or customer service request, link it to a real consumer identity, and provide a real-time risk signal. The company said this extends its AI intelligence platform to consumers’ personal AI agents.

Company

About Riskified Ltd.

Riskified Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares represents equity in Riskified Ltd., a software company focused on ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence. Riskified provides a risk management platform that helps online merchants assess orders, reduce chargebacks, and manage account abuse while supporting smoother checkout experiences for legitimate customers. Its products include Chargeback Guarantee, Dispute Resolve, Policy Protect, and Account Secure, which are used by merchants across retail, travel, payments, ticketing, and other digital commerce sectors. The company serves businesses operating in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific, and other global markets, making it a specialized technology provider in online transaction security and merchant risk management. Riskified Ltd. is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

CEO Mr. Eido Gal · 655 employees · United States · https://www.riskified.com