RSKDTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 6 Wall Street analysts covering Riskified Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $6.5 — -16.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 100 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Riskified Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (99): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (74): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (44): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RSKD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −16.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $7.50 → $9.00 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $7.50 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $6.00 → $7.50 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | $4.75 → $5.50 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $5.50 → $6.25 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $5.00 → $6.75 |
| 13 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $5.25 → $5.50 |
| 13 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $8.00 → $7.00 |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Nov 2025 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 13 Nov 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2025 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 19 Aug 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RSKD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Riskified Ltd. returned +67.2% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Riskified Ltd. has a market value of $1.0B and an enterprise value of $831.2M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $368.1M. The latest quarter grew 21.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$15.6M, a −4.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.11.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $46.0M, after $878K of capital spending.
Riskified Ltd. spent $154.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: −43.5×; forward P/E: 20.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Riskified Ltd. employs 655 people — $562K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Riskified Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Riskified's stock rose 10.4% in the last session on higher-than-average trading volume. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.
Why it matters — A Riskified watcher would care because the sharp price jump may not be sustainable given a less supportive trend in earnings estimate revisions.
Riskified is integrating its Identity Risk Intelligence into Zendesk's workflow, providing customer-service agents with real-time signals to help them resolve claims faster while curbing returns fraud. The integration is designed to help retailers stop returns fraud without sacrificing customer experience.
Why it matters — This expands Riskified's product reach into a widely used customer-service platform, potentially broadening its adoption among retailers seeking to manage returns fraud within their existing workflows.
Riskified announced the expansion of its risk intelligence platform with ARIA (AI Risk Intelligence Analyst), a tool that gives fraud teams instant answers from their order data. The announcement was made via Business Wire.
Why it matters — The launch of ARIA signals a product enhancement that could strengthen Riskified's platform capabilities, which is relevant for investors watching the company's competitive positioning in the fraud-risk space.
Riskified released a new Travel report finding that fraud rings are exploiting trusted customer behaviors across flights, hotels, and travel platforms. The analysis reports that travel fraudsters are adapting faster than traditional signals can keep up, with May flight risk up 32%.
Why it matters — This highlights ongoing fraud challenges in the travel sector, underscoring the relevance and potential demand for Riskified's fraud-detection services.
Riskified reported second-quarter revenue growth of 22% year over year to $98.7 million, its fastest growth rate in more than four years, driven by new merchant activity, upsells, and demand for fraud-management tools. The company also raised its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for the second time this year.
Why it matters — A RSKD watcher would care because accelerating revenue growth and a second full-year guidance raise signal strengthening commercial momentum for the fraud-management platform.
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Riskified Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $6.5, with estimates ranging from $5.5 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 6 analysts covering Riskified Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Riskified Ltd. 100 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Riskified Ltd. ranks 100 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies -16.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Riskified Ltd. 100 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Riskified Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RSKD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $5.5 to $9 over the next 12 months.
Riskified Ltd. returned +67.2% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Riskified Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares represents equity in Riskified Ltd., a software company focused on ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Sept 2026): "Riskified (RSKD) Stock Jumps 10.4%: Will It Continue to Soar?". Riskified's stock rose 10.4% in the last session on higher-than-average trading volume. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.
Riskified Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares represents equity in Riskified Ltd., a software company focused on ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence. Riskified provides a risk management platform that helps online merchants assess orders, reduce chargebacks, and manage account abuse while supporting smoother checkout experiences for legitimate customers. Its products include Chargeback Guarantee, Dispute Resolve, Policy Protect, and Account Secure, which are used by merchants across retail, travel, payments, ticketing, and other digital commerce sectors. The company serves businesses operating in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific, and other global markets, making it a specialized technology provider in online transaction security and merchant risk management. Riskified Ltd. is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.
CEO Mr. Eido Gal · 655 employees · United States · https://www.riskified.com
