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RXORXOIndustrials · Trucking

RXO Stock Forecast: RXO, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$21
−5.59% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering RXO, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $23 — +8.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
70 / 100
Median analyst target
$23
Analysts covering
21
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−9.3%
1M
−17.0%
YTD
+68.4%
1Y
+25.4%
From 52W high
−27.4%
From 52W low
+103.1%
$10
$29
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RXO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores RXO, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
70 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
94
Momentum
74
Growth
65
Quality
58
Value
57
Accruals
57
Volatility
39
Issuance
33
Size
28

Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (33): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RXO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RXO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30$35Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RXOHigh $35Median $23Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
7 Buy11 Hold3 Sell
Low $13Median $23High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$30 → $23
7 Aug 2026CitizensUpgradeMarket Outperform$30
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsSell$19 → $18
7 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$30 → $28
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$26 → $23
28 July 2026TD CowenDowngradeSell$24 → $19
28 July 2026TD CowenDowngradeSell—
16 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$18 → $20
16 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$26 → $30
14 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform$35
14 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
14 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNegative$18 → $20
14 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNegative—
13 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$22 → $30
13 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$24 → $30
9 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RXO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

RXO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+112.0%
Analysts raising
12
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

RXO, Inc. (RXO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
645.3×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
48.2×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.6%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
0.7%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.7%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−6.8%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.3%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RXO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTrucking
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RXORXO, Inc.$3.7B
70
ARCBArcBest Corp.$3.2B
92
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.$2.3B
64
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.$6.3B
91
SAIASaia, Inc.$9.6B
56
MRTNMarten Transport Ltd.$1.2B
64
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Inc.$11.6B
74

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own RXO, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RXO news & analysis

RXO, Inc. (RXO) Presents at Deutsche Bank's Chicago Industrials Summit Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

RXO, Inc. presented at Deutsche Bank's Chicago Industrials Summit, and a transcript of the presentation has been published. The item reports that this presentation event occurred and is now available in transcript form.

Why it matters — RXO watchers would care because the summit presentation offers insight into how the company communicates its business and strategy to an investor audience in an industrials-focused setting.

5 Broker-Loved Stocks to Watch as September Rate Hike Seems Unlikely

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research noted that weak July jobs data made a September rate hike seem unlikely, putting broker-favored stocks including RXO in focus.

Why it matters — RXO investors may monitor how shifting rate-cut expectations could affect the stock's near-term market sentiment and sector positioning.

RXO Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

RXO reported second-quarter results that beat its prior outlook, driven by brokerage volume growth and strong last-mile stops. The company expects brokerage momentum to continue into the third quarter, though it anticipates weaker conditions in its last-mile business.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and continued brokerage momentum signal near-term operational strength, while the anticipated last-mile weakness presents a headwind for that segment.

RXO: Expectations Seem Imaginary As Core Metrics Worsen In Q2

Seeking Alpha · 8 Aug 2026negative

RXO reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $1.77B in Q2 but failed to achieve earnings growth, with margins continuing to compress. Gross margin fell to 17% from 21.2% a year earlier, while negative operating cash flow and rising long-term debt point to deteriorating fundamentals despite a rich valuation of 33x EV/EBITDA and 164x forward P/E.

Why it matters — RXO watchers would care because the report highlights worsening core metrics, including margin compression and deteriorating cash flow, against a valuation the article deems unsustainably rich.

RXO Still Unable To Capture Upcycle Economics, And Now At 20x Cycle-Average Earnings

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026negative

RXO, Inc. reported strong Q2 revenue growth, but profits and margins failed to improve, with gross profit declining and adjusted EBITDA flat. Most revenue gains came from higher freight rates and fuel prices rather than underlying business economics, while working capital needs and leverage increased. The current valuation implies roughly 20x normalized earnings even under optimistic scenarios, despite management targeting mid-single-digit EBITDA margins through the cycle.

Why it matters — A RXO watcher would care because the report suggests the company has not yet captured upcycle economics and faces a rich valuation relative to cycle-average earnings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RXO stock

What is the RXO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering RXO, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $23, with estimates ranging from $13 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RXO stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering RXO, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks RXO, Inc. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RXO?

As at 22 Aug 2026, RXO, Inc. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).

Will RXO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +8.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks RXO, Inc. 70 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RXO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering RXO, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RXO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has RXO stock performed over the past year?

RXO, Inc. returned +25.4% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does RXO, Inc. do?

Rxo Inc. is a leading player in the transportation and logistics sector, focusing on providing innovative shipping solutions.

What is the latest news on RXO?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 12 Aug 2026): "RXO, Inc. (RXO) Presents at Deutsche Bank's Chicago Industrials Summit Transcript". RXO, Inc. presented at Deutsche Bank's Chicago Industrials Summit, and a transcript of the presentation has been published. The item reports that this presentation event occurred and is now available in transcript form.

Company

About RXO, Inc.

Rxo Inc. is a leading player in the transportation and logistics sector, focusing on providing innovative shipping solutions. The company specializes in managing a comprehensive logistics network that offers a variety of services, including freight brokerage, last-mile delivery, and managed transportation. By leveraging technology, Rxo Inc. facilitates efficient and cost-effective transportation of goods, catering to a diverse clientele whose needs range from small businesses to large enterprises. One of the notable features of Rxo Inc. is its integration of cutting-edge technology to streamline operations, enhance route optimization, and ensure timely deliveries. This emphasis on technological advancement not only increases operational efficiency but also provides clients with real-time tracking and data analytics capabilities. Rxo Inc. plays a vital role in the logistics and supply chain industry by addressing the growing demand for reliable and scalable distribution solutions. Its contributions to this sector help in maintaining supply chain integrity and support the seamless flow of goods in various economic environments. As a cornerstone in transportation logistics, Rxo Inc. continues to influence industry practices and standards through its commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction.

CEO Mr. Drew M. Wilkerson · 6,906 employees · United States · https://www.rxo.com