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TOST Stock Forecast: Toast, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$31
−0.07% on the day

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Toast, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +27.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$17.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$39
Analysts covering
30
Revenue$1.9B+23.1% y/y
Operating income$152.0M
Net income$154.0M
Free cash flow$130.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.4%
1M
−8.3%
YTD
−14.0%
1Y
−16.8%
From 52W high
−21.8%
From 52W low
+36.7%
$22
$39
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TOST stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Toast, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
99
Revisions
79
Issuance
78
Growth
73
Volatility
65
Value
44
Momentum
37
Accruals
17
Size
11

Quality (99): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (17): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TOST stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TOST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TOSTHigh $45Median $39Low $25

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says30 analysts
20 Buy10 Hold0 Sell
Low $25Median $39High $45

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Sept 2026BNP ParibasDowngradeNeutral$38 → $35
31 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$36 → $44
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$33 → $39
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$30 → $34
10 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$39 → $45
5 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
5 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$35 → $39
5 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
5 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$35 → $40
5 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$36 → $39
5 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
5 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
5 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$35 → $40
5 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$30 → $35
5 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
5 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$35 → $45
5 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TOST appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TOST vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Toast, Inc. returned −16.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TOST vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TOSTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TOST analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.8%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Toast, Inc. (TOST) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
38.7×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / book
8.6×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
33.4×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
92.5%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Gross margin
27.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.4%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Net margin
7.1%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
25.2%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.0%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Toast, Inc. (TOST) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Toast, Inc. has a market value of $17.7B and an enterprise value of $15.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.8B. The latest quarter grew 23.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $486.0M, a 7.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.78.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $576.0M, after $59.0M of capital spending.

  • Toast, Inc. spent $562.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 577.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 38.7×; forward P/E: 17.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Toast, Inc. employs 6,500 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TOST vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TOSTToast, Inc.$17.7B
62
NTNXNutanix, Inc.$19.8B
69
AKAMAkamai Technologies, Inc.$14.5B
41
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.$14.5B
56
CHKPCheck Point Software Technologies Ltd.$14.0B
48
GENGen Digital, Inc.$13.6B
95
IOTSamsara, Inc.$23.8B
63

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Toast, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TOST news & analysis

New Toast IQ Team and Expanded Toast IQ Grow Help Businesses Drive Profits, Attract Guests, and Manage Labor

Business Wire · 6 Oct 2026positive

Toast introduced Toast IQ Team, a labor management solution for restaurant and retail operators, and expanded Toast IQ Grow, its marketing solution. The offerings include tools for managing labor costs and generating guest reviews.

Why it matters — The announcement adds labor management capabilities and expands Toast's marketing tools for its restaurant and retail business customers.

Toast (TOST) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

In its latest trading session, Toast (TOST) closed at $29.79, up 1.92% from the previous day, outperforming the broader market. The move reflects a stronger-than-average session for the stock relative to the wider market.

Why it matters — A TOST watcher would care because the stock gaining more than the broader market in the session could signal positive momentum or investor interest worth tracking.

Here's Why Toast (TOST) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Toast (TOST) as a strong growth stock, using its Style Scores feature to identify stocks that appeal to growth-oriented investors. The article positions Toast favorably within Zacks' screening framework.

Why it matters — TOST watchers would note the positive attention from Zacks' research service, which could raise visibility of the stock among growth-focused investors.

Toast, Inc. (TOST) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Toast, Inc. (TOST) has drawn notable attention from Zacks.com users recently, prompting the article to outline the facts that could affect the stock's prospects. The piece aims to inform investors about the company's outlook.

Why it matters — TOST watchers may want to review the key fundamentals and developments highlighted by Zacks as the stock gains investor visibility.

Toast (TOST) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026negative

On the latest trading day, Toast (TOST) closed at $28.99, a -4.83% move from its previous close, representing a steeper decline than the broader market.

Why it matters — A TOST watcher would note that the stock's decline outpaced the broader market, indicating company-specific or sector pressure on the share price.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TOST stock

What is the TOST stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Toast, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $25 to $45. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TOST stock a buy right now?

Of the 30 analysts covering Toast, Inc., 20 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Toast, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TOST?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Toast, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (99 of 100).

Will TOST stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 30 analysts implies +27.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Toast, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TOST stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Toast, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TOST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $45 over the next 12 months.

How has TOST stock performed over the past year?

Toast, Inc. returned -16.8% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Toast, Inc. do?

Toast, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents Toast, Inc., a cloud-based technology company focused on the restaurant industry.

What is the latest news on TOST?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 6 Oct 2026): "New Toast IQ Team and Expanded Toast IQ Grow Help Businesses Drive Profits, Attract Guests, and Manage Labor". Toast introduced Toast IQ Team, a labor management solution for restaurant and retail operators, and expanded Toast IQ Grow, its marketing solution. The offerings include tools for managing labor costs and generating guest reviews.

Company

About Toast, Inc.

Toast, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents Toast, Inc., a cloud-based technology company focused on the restaurant industry. Toast provides an all-in-one platform that combines point-of-sale software, payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, online ordering, delivery tools, reporting and analytics, and kitchen display systems. Its products are designed to help restaurants manage front-of-house and back-of-house operations through a single integrated system. The company also supports guest engagement and workflow automation with tools that serve dine-in, takeout, delivery, catering, and retail service models. Toast’s platform is used by restaurants and broader hospitality businesses seeking to streamline daily operations, connect digital and in-person sales channels, and centralize business data in one environment. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Boston, Toast plays a significant role in restaurant technology by combining software, hardware, and financial services capabilities into a unified operating platform.

CEO Mr. Aman Narang · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.pos.toasttab.com