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TPBTPBConsumer Defensive · Tobacco

TPB Stock Forecast: Turning Point Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$84
−3.72% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Turning Point Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $125 — +49.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
36 / 100
Median analyst target
$125
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.4%
1M
+5.0%
YTD
−22.8%
1Y
−15.6%
From 52W high
−41.5%
From 52W low
+18.4%
$71
$143
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TPB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Turning Point Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
36 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
75
Revisions
60
Growth
59
Value
46
Momentum
45
Size
39
Volatility
32
Issuance
30
Accruals
18

Quality (75): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TPB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TPB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TPBHigh $140Median $125Low $115

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $115Median $125High $140

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +49.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 May 2026NeedhamUpgradeBuy$125
19 Nov 2025OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
6 Nov 2025Alliance Global PartnersMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2025OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
1 Aug 2025NeedhamInitiatesHold—
8 May 2025OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
10 Jan 2025Roth MKMReiteratesBuy—
17 Dec 2024Roth MKMReiteratesBuy—
5 Dec 2024Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2024OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
12 Nov 2024BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
19 Sept 2024Roth MKMInitiatesBuy—
2 Aug 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
5 June 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
3 May 2024BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
6 June 2023BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—
10 Oct 2022BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight—
31 Aug 2022BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
5 Oct 2020BarclaysInitiatesOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TPB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TPB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−12.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.3×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / book
3.9×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.9×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−75.2%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Gross margin
65.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
8.8%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.6%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.8%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 7% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TPB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTobacco
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TPBTurning Point Brands, Inc.$1.7B
36
AIIRAIR Global PLC$1.2B
4
UVVUniversal Corp.$1.1B
57
ISPRIspire Technology, Inc.$85.4M
39
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.*$1.7B
58
NOMDNomad Foods Ltd.*$1.7B
50
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.*$1.8B
62

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few tobacco companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Turning Point Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TPB news & analysis

ALP Introduces the Frontier Collection: Three New Flavors and a Cinematic Campaign Inspired by the American West

PRNewsWire · 18 Aug 2026positive

ALP, a nicotine pouch brand, announced the launch of the Frontier Collection, a limited-edition lineup with three new flavors — Cowboy Coffee, Campfire Cinnamon, and Sunset Mango — new nicotine strengths, and a cinematic campaign featuring a short film shot with a live horse roundup and a Black Hawk helicopter. The direct-to-consumer launch expands ALP's product lineup with some of its most-requested flavors.

Why it matters — As a nicotine pouch brand within Turning Point Brands' portfolio, ALP's new product expansion and marketing campaign could be relevant to TPB watchers following the brand's growth and direct-to-consumer strategy.

FRE® Nicotine Pouches Announces FRE Labs: The Flavor Experiment Where Consumers Call the Shots

Business Wire · 12 Aug 2026positive

Turning Point Brands' FRE brand announced FRE Labs, a new flavor innovation platform featuring bold, limited-edition flavor drops released in small batches. The platform gives adult consumers first access to small-batch, limited-run flavors and invites their feedback as part of a consumer-powered innovation approach.

Why it matters — The launch positions TPB's FRE brand to engage adult consumers through limited-edition, consumer-driven flavor innovation, potentially strengthening the brand's product pipeline and customer engagement.

Can Turning Point Brands Defend a "Dr. Pepper"‑Size Share After the FDA's Nicotine Pouch Decision?

The Motley Fool · 9 Aug 2026neutral

Turning Point Brands derives over 40% of its sales from fast-growing nicotine pouches. Upcoming earnings will show whether the company can defend its niche share as big tobacco companies increase their presence in the pouch market.

Why it matters — TPB watchers will be watching earnings to see if the company can hold onto its niche nicotine-pouch market share amid growing competition from big tobacco.

Turning Point Brands Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026neutral

Turning Point Brands reported second-quarter 2026 sales growth led by its Modern Oral nicotine pouch business, while increased spending on sales, marketing and retail execution weighed on adjusted EBITDA.

Why it matters — The quarter highlights both a growing key segment and cost pressures that affected profitability, which TPB watchers would want to track.

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Turning Point Brands, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published on Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides investors and analysts with detailed information on TPB's financial performance and strategic outlook for the quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TPB stock

What is the TPB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Turning Point Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $125, with estimates ranging from $115 to $140. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TPB stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Turning Point Brands, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Turning Point Brands, Inc. 36 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TPB?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Turning Point Brands, Inc. ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (75 of 100).

Will TPB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +49.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Turning Point Brands, Inc. 36 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TPB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Turning Point Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TPB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $115 to $140 over the next 12 months.

How has TPB stock performed over the past year?

Turning Point Brands, Inc. returned -15.6% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Turning Point Brands, Inc. do?

Turning Point Brands Inc. is a consumer products company that focuses on offering a wide range of tobacco products and related alternatives.

What is the latest news on TPB?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 18 Aug 2026): "ALP Introduces the Frontier Collection: Three New Flavors and a Cinematic Campaign Inspired by the American West". ALP, a nicotine pouch brand, announced the launch of the Frontier Collection, a limited-edition lineup with three new flavors — Cowboy Coffee, Campfire Cinnamon, and Sunset Mango — new nicotine strengths, and a cinematic campaign featuring a short film shot with a live horse roundup and a Black Hawk helicopter. The direct-to-consumer launch expands ALP's product lineup with some of its most-requested flavors.

Company

About Turning Point Brands, Inc.

Turning Point Brands Inc. is a consumer products company that focuses on offering a wide range of tobacco products and related alternatives. Its primary function is to manufacture and distribute well-known brands such as Zig-Zag, Stoker's, and VaporBeast, which cater to diverse consumer preferences in the tobacco industry. The company operates through three main segments: Smokeless Products, Smoking Products, and NewGen Products, each serving specific demands in the market, such as moist snuff, smoking papers, and vaping products, respectively. Turning Point Brands Inc. holds a significant position in the niche segment of the industry with a combination of traditional and innovative products. Renowned for its strong retail presence and multi-channel distribution strategy, the company plays a pivotal role in shaping consumer choices by balancing traditional offerings with modern alternatives in response to evolving consumer trends.

CEO Mr. Graham A. Purdy · 484 employees · United States · https://www.turningpointbrands.com