AVOConsumer Defensive · Food DistributionThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +28.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mission Produce, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (75): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (11): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | $17 |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | $16 → $17 |
| 11 Sept 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 May 2024 | Lake Street | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 22 Dec 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 Nov 2023 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Sept 2023 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 June 2023 | Roth MKM | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 9 June 2023 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Dec 2022 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Apr 2022 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 23 Dec 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Mar 2021 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 11 Mar 2021 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 3 Nov 2020 | Roth Capital | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 26 Oct 2020 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AVO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Mission Produce, Inc. returned +6.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 72% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mission Produce, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $1.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 25.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.5M, a 0.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.03.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: −$2.3M.
Mission Produce, Inc. spent $10.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 427.0×; forward P/E: 16.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Mission Produce, Inc. employs 3,800 people — $352K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mission Produce, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Mission Produce's avocado volumes surged 38% in the fiscal third quarter, driven by its Calavo acquisition, stronger sourcing flexibility, and robust consumer demand.
Why it matters — The volume surge signals strong operational growth for AVO, making the sustainability of this momentum a key focus for investors.
Mission Produce shares rose 7.1% over the past three months. The article attributes the gain to resilient avocado demand, synergies from its Calavo acquisition, and higher Peruvian output supporting its growth outlook.
Why it matters — AVO watchers would care because the report highlights the company's recent price performance and the demand, supply, and merger-related factors behind its growth outlook.
Mission Produce's expanding blueberry acreage in Peru could boost seasonal earnings, cash generation, and diversification as its newer plantings mature, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — AVO watchers would care because the maturing blueberry acreage could strengthen Mission Produce's earnings, cash flow, and business diversification.
Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article that highlighted Mission Produce, along with Corteva, Archer Daniels Midland, The Scotts Miracle-Gro, and Dole. The article named Mission Produce among the companies featured in the industry outlook.
Why it matters — AVO watchers would care because Mission Produce was singled out in a prominent equity-research industry overview, drawing attention to the company within the broader agricultural sector.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted the Agriculture - Operations industry as well-positioned to benefit from innovation, automation, and shifting food demand despite ongoing cost and commodity pressures. The firm named CTVA, ADM, SMG, AVO, and DOLE as promising stocks in the sector.
Why it matters — The item positions AVO among a select group of agriculture-operations stocks viewed as well-placed to tap long-term growth trends, which is a favorable signal for AVO watchers.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $15 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mission Produce, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Oct 2026, Mission Produce, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (75 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +28.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mission Produce, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mission Produce, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Mission Produce, Inc. returned +6.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mission Produce Inc. is a global fresh produce company focused on the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, along with mangoes and blueberries.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Sept 2026): "AVO's Avocado Volumes Surge: Can Strong Growth Momentum Continue?". Mission Produce's avocado volumes surged 38% in the fiscal third quarter, driven by its Calavo acquisition, stronger sourcing flexibility, and robust consumer demand.
Mission Produce Inc. is a global fresh produce company focused on the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, along with mangoes and blueberries. The company serves retail, wholesale, and foodservice customers across the United States and international markets, supporting the supply of fresh fruit through integrated operations and quality-focused handling services. Its business is organized around Marketing and Distribution, International Farming, and Blueberries, giving it exposure across the produce value chain from cultivation to customer delivery. Mission Produce also provides services such as ripening, custom packing, bagging, logistical management, merchandising support, and market insights, which help customers manage product availability and presentation. Headquartered in Oxnard, California, Mission Produce plays a significant role in the global avocado market and the broader fresh produce industry.
CEO Mr. John Pawlowski · 3,800 employees · United States · https://missionproduce.com
