AVOConsumer Defensive · Food DistributionThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $16 — +36.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mission Produce, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (77): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (11): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $15 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | $17 |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | $16 → $17 |
| 11 Sept 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2024 | Lake Street | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 May 2024 | Lake Street | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 22 Dec 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 Nov 2023 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Sept 2023 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 June 2023 | Roth MKM | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 9 June 2023 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Dec 2022 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Apr 2022 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 23 Dec 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Mar 2021 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 11 Mar 2021 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 3 Nov 2020 | Roth Capital | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AVO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Mission Produce, Inc. returned −0.4% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mission Produce, Inc. has a market value of $1.0B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 25.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.5M, a 0.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.03.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: −$2.3M.
Mission Produce, Inc. spent $10.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 389.7×; forward P/E: 14.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Mission Produce, Inc. employs 3,800 people — $352K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mission Produce, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Mission Produce’s acquisition of Calavo marks its entry into Prepared Foods and opens potential growth opportunities. The excerpt highlights guacamole, sourcing strength and efficiency as areas of focus.
Why it matters — AVO watchers may follow how the company develops Prepared Foods as a new part of its business.
Zacks reports that rising avocado yields in Peru, expanding global distribution and a stronger fourth-quarter sales outlook position Mission Produce for an earnings recovery.
Why it matters — AVO watchers may track whether Peru production and broader distribution support the company’s sales outlook and earnings recovery.
At its Investor Day, Mission Produce outlined a long-term growth strategy focused on avocado leadership, expanding higher-margin prepared foods, developing its mango business, and turning heavy investment into stronger cash flow and shareholder returns. The headline states targets of $4 billion in sales and $450 million in EBITDA by 2035.
Why it matters — AVO watchers can track the company’s long-term targets and its stated priorities for growth, margins, cash flow, and shareholder returns.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Mission Produce, Inc.’s Analyst/Investor Day.
Why it matters — The transcript provides AVO watchers with a record of the company’s Analyst/Investor Day discussion.
A Zacks Investment Research headline reports that Mission Produce (AVO) is down 6.8% since its earnings report 30 days ago and asks whether it can rebound.
Why it matters — AVO watchers may note the reported share decline since the latest earnings and the article’s focus on what could come next.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $16, with estimates ranging from $15 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Mission Produce, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mission Produce, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Mission Produce, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (77 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +36.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mission Produce, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mission Produce, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Mission Produce, Inc. returned -0.4% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mission Produce Inc. is a global fresh produce company focused on the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, along with mangoes and blueberries.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 16 Oct 2026): "Can Prepared Foods Become Mission Produce's Next Growth Engine?". Mission Produce’s acquisition of Calavo marks its entry into Prepared Foods and opens potential growth opportunities. The excerpt highlights guacamole, sourcing strength and efficiency as areas of focus.
Mission Produce Inc. is a global fresh produce company focused on the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, along with mangoes and blueberries. The company serves retail, wholesale, and foodservice customers across the United States and international markets, supporting the supply of fresh fruit through integrated operations and quality-focused handling services. Its business is organized around Marketing and Distribution, International Farming, and Blueberries, giving it exposure across the produce value chain from cultivation to customer delivery. Mission Produce also provides services such as ripening, custom packing, bagging, logistical management, merchandising support, and market insights, which help customers manage product availability and presentation. Headquartered in Oxnard, California, Mission Produce plays a significant role in the global avocado market and the broader fresh produce industry.
CEO Mr. John Pawlowski · 3,800 employees · United States · https://missionproduce.com
