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PFGC Stock Forecast: Performance Food Group Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$107
+2.65% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Performance Food Group Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $130 — +21.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 59 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$16.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
59 / 100
Median analyst target
$130
Analysts covering
14
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.7%
1M
−5.1%
YTD
+19.3%
1Y
+6.5%
From 52W high
−8.1%
From 52W low
+32.4%
$81
$117
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PFGC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Performance Food Group Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
59 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
77
Momentum
75
Volatility
62
Accruals
60
Value
60
Quality
59
Growth
53
Revisions
47
Size
12

Issuance (77): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Revisions (47): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PFGC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PFGC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PFGCHigh $144Median $130Low $72

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says14 analysts
12 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $72Median $130High $144

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$132 → $130
13 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$143 → $144
13 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$128 → $120
22 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$135 → $143
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$120 → $131
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$115 → $130
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy$128
29 June 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
6 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
5 Feb 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
5 Feb 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
7 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PFGC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PFGC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Performance Food Group Co. (PFGC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
46.6×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 91% of US stocks

Price / book
3.4×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.4×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.3%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
23.4%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
11.9%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.2%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Net margin
0.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.0%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PFGC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFood Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PFGCPerformance Food Group Co.$16.8B
59
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.$24.0B
84
SYYSysco Corp.$39.7B
81
CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.$4.4B
79
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.$3.0B
77
ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.$2.2B
86
AVOMission Produce, Inc.$1.2B
57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Performance Food Group Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PFGC news & analysis

PFGC Q4 Earnings Miss on Higher Fuel Costs, Sales Increase Y/Y

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Performance Food Group's fourth-quarter earnings missed estimates due to higher fuel costs, though sales increased year over year, driven by growth in independent Foodservice, Convenience and Specialty segments.

Why it matters — PFGC watchers would note that the earnings miss reflects ongoing cost pressures that could weigh on profitability, even as the company's top-line growth indicates resilience across its business segments.

Performance Food Group's Underperformance Gives Investors A Tasty Snack

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026positive

Performance Food Group maintained a 'buy' rating despite missing Q4 2026 expectations, reporting strong year-over-year growth and positive long-term guidance. Its Foodservice and Convenience segments drove revenue and profit gains through acquisitions and organic case growth, while the Specialty segment faced margin pressure; management projected 2027 revenue of $72.5-$73 billion and normalized EBITDA of about $2.13 billion, with further upside expected by 2028.

Why it matters — PFGC watchers would care because the report highlights ongoing segment-driven growth and management's forward revenue and EBITDA projections despite a quarterly miss.

Performance Food Group Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 12 Aug 2026positive

Performance Food Group reported fiscal fourth-quarter growth in sales, gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, citing market-share gains across its foodservice, convenience and specialty businesses. This came despite pressure on restaurant traffic and operating costs.

Why it matters — The reported growth in sales, gross profit and adjusted EBITDA indicates the company expanded its market share even as broader restaurant traffic and cost pressures weighed on the sector.

Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) held its fourth-quarter 2026 earnings call, the transcript of which has been published on Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's quarterly results and management commentary.

Why it matters — A PFGC watcher would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's recent financial performance and management's discussion of its business.

Earnings Results in Focus

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

The Department of Labor reported that the headline consumer price index rose 0.1% in July, following a 0.4% decline in June. The July CPI print came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Why it matters — As a food distributor, Performance Food Group's costs and pricing are influenced by inflation trends, making CPI data a relevant indicator for watchers of the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PFGC stock

What is the PFGC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Performance Food Group Co. have a median 12-month price target of $130, with estimates ranging from $72 to $144. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PFGC stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Performance Food Group Co., 12 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Performance Food Group Co. 59 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PFGC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Performance Food Group Co. ranks 59 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (77 of 100).

Will PFGC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +21.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Performance Food Group Co. 59 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PFGC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Performance Food Group Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PFGC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $72 to $144 over the next 12 months.

How has PFGC stock performed over the past year?

Performance Food Group Co. returned +6.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Performance Food Group Co. do?

Performance Food Group Co. is a leading foodservice distribution company that supplies a vast array of food products, beverages, and related goods to a diverse array of customers across the United States.

What is the latest news on PFGC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "PFGC Q4 Earnings Miss on Higher Fuel Costs, Sales Increase Y/Y". Performance Food Group's fourth-quarter earnings missed estimates due to higher fuel costs, though sales increased year over year, driven by growth in independent Foodservice, Convenience and Specialty segments.

Company

About Performance Food Group Co.

Performance Food Group Co. is a leading foodservice distribution company that supplies a vast array of food products, beverages, and related goods to a diverse array of customers across the United States. Its primary function is to deliver high-quality food supplies and logistics solutions to restaurants, healthcare facilities, cafeterias, and hospitality venues. With an extensive portfolio of top-tier brands and private label offerings, Performance Food Group Co. plays a crucial role in the supply chain of the foodservice industry. Key features of the company include its expansive distribution network, innovative technology to enhance supply chain efficiencies, and a strong focus on customer service. The company impacts sectors such as dining, catering, and institutional meal services, ensuring that clients receive timely and reliable product deliveries. Performance Food Group Co.'s market significance is underscored by its ability to adapt to consumer preferences and industry demands, making it a vital component of the food distribution landscape. The company's operations promote seamless transitions of food products from manufacturers to end-users, thus supporting the sustainability and growth of the foodservice market.

CEO Mr. Scott E. McPherson · 43,560 employees · United States · https://www.pfgc.com