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USFDUSFDConsumer Defensive · Food Distribution

USFD Stock Forecast: US Foods Holding Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$109
−1.06% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering US Foods Holding Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $120 — +10.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$23.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
84 / 100
Median analyst target
$120
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.0%
1M
+7.8%
YTD
+44.6%
1Y
+41.2%
From 52W high
−1.8%
From 52W low
+55.5%
$70
$111
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

USFD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores US Foods Holding Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
84 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
93
Quality
86
Momentum
85
Value
79
Issuance
67
Revisions
66
Accruals
61
Growth
51
Size
9

Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (51): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

USFD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on USFD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26USFDHigh $130Median $120Low $61

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says16 analysts
12 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $61Median $120High $130

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$88 → $108
7 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$105 → $120
7 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$110 → $124
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$115 → $120
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$116 → $119
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$117 → $127
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$110 → $125
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$94 → $103
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
1 June 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
14 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
11 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
13 Feb 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 Feb 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. USFD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

USFD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.5%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
33.5×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
5.5×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.2×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.5%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
22.8%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.2%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.2%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
1.8%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.8%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

USFD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFood Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.$23.6B
84
PFGCPerformance Food Group Co.$16.8B
59
SYYSysco Corp.$39.7B
81
CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.$4.4B
79
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.$3.0B
77
ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.$2.2B
86
CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.*$24.7B
67

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few food distribution companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own US Foods Holding Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest USFD news & analysis

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: 5 Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet

Benzinga · 15 Aug 2026neutral

Benzinga's weekly "Stock Whisper Index" used proprietary data and pattern recognition to showcase five stocks that are just under the surface and deserve attention. The excerpt does not specify which five stocks were included.

Why it matters — A USFD watcher would care if the stock were among those featured, but the excerpt does not mention USFD, so this item offers no direct relevance to the company.

Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy US Foods (USFD) Now

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published a piece highlighting that US Foods (USFD) possesses solid growth attributes that could help it outperform the market, recommending it to growth investors.

Why it matters — A USFD watcher would care because the report highlights the company's growth characteristics and its potential to outperform the broader market.

Invest in These 4 Stocks With Amazing Interest Coverage Ratios Now

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that a stock screen has identified Vertiv Holdings and three other companies with impressive interest coverage ratios, highlighting them as financially resilient opportunities.

Why it matters — While US Foods Holding Corp. is not mentioned, the piece points to the financial-strength metric of interest coverage as a criterion investors may apply when evaluating resilience among stocks.

US Foods Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

US Foods reported record second-quarter adjusted EBITDA and margin, driven by accelerating growth with independent restaurants, healthcare and hospitality customers. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook.

Why it matters — A record quarterly result and reaffirmed outlook signal continued momentum for USFD across key customer segments.

These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On US Foods After Upbeat Q2 Results

Benzinga · 7 Aug 2026positive

US Foods Holding Corp. reported better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter on Thursday. Following these upbeat results, analysts raised their forecasts on the company.

Why it matters — A USFD watcher would care because better-than-expected quarterly earnings and upward analyst forecast revisions indicate improving business performance for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about USFD stock

What is the USFD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering US Foods Holding Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $120, with estimates ranging from $61 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is USFD stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering US Foods Holding Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks US Foods Holding Corp. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank USFD?

As at 15 Aug 2026, US Foods Holding Corp. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).

Will USFD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +10.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks US Foods Holding Corp. 84 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the USFD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering US Foods Holding Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for USFD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $61 to $130 over the next 12 months.

How has USFD stock performed over the past year?

US Foods Holding Corp. returned +41.2% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does US Foods Holding Corp. do?

US Foods Holding Corp is a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, supplying a broad range of food and related products to commercial and institutional customers. The company serves independent and multi-unit restaurants, healthcare and hospitality operators, government and educational institutions, and other foodservice providers.

What is the latest news on USFD?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 15 Aug 2026): "Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: 5 Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet". Benzinga's weekly "Stock Whisper Index" used proprietary data and pattern recognition to showcase five stocks that are just under the surface and deserve attention. The excerpt does not specify which five stocks were included.

Company

About US Foods Holding Corp.

US Foods Holding Corp is a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, supplying a broad range of food and related products to commercial and institutional customers. The company serves independent and multi-unit restaurants, healthcare and hospitality operators, government and educational institutions, and other foodservice providers. US Foods Holding Corp offers an extensive portfolio of fresh, frozen, and dry food products, as well as beverages, equipment, and supplies used in professional kitchens and service environments. In addition to distribution, it provides value-added services such as menu development, culinary support, and technology solutions designed to enhance operational efficiency for its customers. Headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, the company operates a nationwide distribution network that enables reliable, large-scale delivery and tailored solutions across diverse customer segments. Founded in the United States, US Foods Holding Corp plays a significant role in supporting the foodservice ecosystem by connecting producers with operators that require consistent quality, variety, and service at scale.

CEO Mr. David E. Flitman · 30,000 employees · United States · https://www.usfoods.com