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CHEFCHEFConsumer Defensive · Food Distribution

CHEF Stock Forecast: The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$106
−1.31% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $125 — +18.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$4.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
82/ 100
Median analyst target
$125
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.2B+12.9% y/y
Operating income$58.6M
Net income$33.8M
Free cash flow$49.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.8%
1M
−2.8%
YTD
+69.9%
1Y
+80.2%
From 52W high
−9.1%
From 52W low
+84.9%
$57
$116
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CHEF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 24 Oct 2026
82/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
99
Momentum
98
Quality
91
Growth
57
Issuance
49
Accruals
47
Value
46
Volatility
42
Size
25

Revisions (99): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (42): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (25): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CHEF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CHEF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CHEFHigh $131Median $125Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
7 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $119Median $125High $131

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$104 → $120
11 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$123 → $131
11 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$106 → $125
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$100 → $125
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$97 → $104
30 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$110 → $123
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$114 → $125
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$83 → $97
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$90 → $106
14 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy$110
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
11 June 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

CHEF appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

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Performance

CHEF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. returned +80.2% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CHEF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CHEFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CHEF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.9%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
50.2×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

Price / book
6.6×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.9×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
59.0%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.1%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.3%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. has a market value of $4.3B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.4B. The latest quarter grew 12.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $92.0M, a 2.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.10.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $125.8M, after $36.0M of capital spending.

  • The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. spent $15.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 40.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 50.2×; forward P/E: 33.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. employs 5,156 people — $852K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CHEF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFood Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.$4.3B82
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.$2.9B91
ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.$2.2B83
PFGCPerformance Food Group Co.$14.9B57
AVOMission Produce, Inc.$1.0B33
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.$22.3B80
SYYSysco Corp.$39.0B74

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CHEF news & analysis

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says Chefs’ Warehouse lacks the combination of two key ingredients it identifies as supporting a likely earnings beat ahead of the upcoming report. The item outlines expectations for next week’s release.

Why it matters — CHEF watchers may use the article’s earnings-beat assessment and upcoming report expectations as context ahead of the release.

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) as a top-ranked momentum stock, in an article framed around whether it should be bought. The excerpt describes Zacks Style Scores as a feature of its Premium research service for identifying stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles.

Why it matters — CHEF watchers may note the article's momentum-focused framing and its reference to Zacks' stock-ranking tool.

3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF)

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says Chefs' Warehouse has solid growth attributes that could help it outperform the market.

Why it matters — The item presents a positive view of CHEF's growth characteristics for investors following the company.

The Chefs' Warehouse: A Strong Track Record Of EPS Beats

Seeking Alpha · 16 Oct 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha article argues that The Chefs’ Warehouse is positioned for strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, citing operating leverage, resilient fine-dining demand, and a record of earnings beats. It also points to free cash flow and lower net leverage as support for increased share repurchases.

Why it matters — The article highlights operating performance, valuation, and balance-sheet factors that may be relevant to investors following CHEF.

The Chefs' Warehouse Is Too Expensive, Even With Management's Rosy Long-Term View

Seeking Alpha · 15 Oct 2026negative

The Chefs' Warehouse reported strong Q2 2026 results and extended bullish guidance through 2030, projecting 7%–10% annual revenue growth, EBITDA of $450–$520 million, and revenue of $6–$6.5 billion. The article says CHEF's premium valuation versus peers makes its shares unattractive despite operational strength and market-share gains.

Why it matters — CHEF watchers may weigh management's growth outlook against the valuation premium highlighted in the article.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CHEF stock

What is the CHEF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $125, with estimates ranging from $119 to $131. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CHEF stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CHEF?

As at 24 Oct 2026, The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (99 of 100).

Will CHEF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +18.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 82 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CHEF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CHEF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $131 over the next 12 months.

How has CHEF stock performed over the past year?

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. returned +80.2% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. do?

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a specialty food distributor that supplies restaurants, hotels, country clubs, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, specialty retailers, and other foodservice operators.

What is the latest news on CHEF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Oct 2026): "Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release". Zacks Investment Research says Chefs’ Warehouse lacks the combination of two key ingredients it identifies as supporting a likely earnings beat ahead of the upcoming report. The item outlines expectations for next week’s release.

Company

About The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a specialty food distributor that supplies restaurants, hotels, country clubs, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, specialty retailers, and other foodservice operators. The company focuses on hard-to-find ingredients and center-of-the-plate products, along with a broad assortment of everyday staples used in professional kitchens. Its portfolio includes specialty cheeses, charcuterie, premium proteins, seafood, produce, oils, dairy, baking ingredients, and other culinary essentials. The Chefs' Warehouse serves customers across the United States, Canada, the Middle East, and selected metropolitan foodservice markets, supporting chefs and operators with product selection, category expertise, and distribution services. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut, The Chefs' Warehouse plays a key role in the foodservice supply chain by connecting specialty suppliers with high-end culinary customers.

CEO Mr. Christopher Pappas · 5,156 employees · United States · https://www.chefswarehouse.com