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CHEFCHEFConsumer Defensive · Food Distribution

CHEF Stock Forecast: The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$109
−2.65% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $123 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 79 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$4.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
79 / 100
Median analyst target
$123
Analysts covering
9
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.0%
1M
+10.4%
YTD
+75.0%
1Y
+78.0%
From 52W high
−5.4%
From 52W low
+99.8%
$55
$115
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CHEF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
79 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
97
Momentum
92
Quality
87
Growth
58
Issuance
49
Accruals
46
Value
44
Volatility
40
Size
26

Revisions (97): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (40): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (26): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CHEF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CHEF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CHEFHigh $125Median $123Low $93

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $93Median $123High $125

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$106 → $125
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$100 → $125
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$97 → $104
30 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$110 → $123
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$114 → $125
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$83 → $97
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$90 → $106
14 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
7 July 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy$110
11 June 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
23 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
15 Apr 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
12 Feb 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
29 Jan 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
14 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
30 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CHEF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

CHEF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+13.8%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
51.7×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

Price / book
6.9×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.2×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
59.0%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.1%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.3%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

CHEF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFood Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.$4.5B
79
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.$3.0B
77
ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.$2.2B
86
PFGCPerformance Food Group Co.$16.8B
59
AVOMission Produce, Inc.$1.2B
57
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.$24.0B
84
SYYSysco Corp.$39.7B
81

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CHEF news & analysis

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Announces Redemption of All Outstanding 2.375% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2028

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026positive

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. announced it has issued a redemption notice calling all $287.5 million aggregate principal amount of its 2.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 for redemption on October 15, 2026. The redemption right arose because the last reported sale price of the company's common stock exceeded 130% of the conversion price on at least 20 trading days during the 30 consecutive trading days preceding the redemption notice date.

Why it matters — The redemption eliminates the company's outstanding convertible notes ahead of their 2028 maturity and reflects that the common stock has been trading well above the conversion price.

Can CHEF's Q2 Margin Gains Keep Profit Growth Ahead of Sales Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Zacks reported that The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. posted Q2 margin gains that drove profit growth well ahead of sales, and the company raised its EBITDA guidance despite ongoing Middle East uncertainty.

Why it matters — A CHEF watcher would care because margin-driven profit outperformance and an increased EBITDA outlook signal improving operational efficiency and higher earnings expectations for the company.

Is CHEF Worth Buying as Strong Growth Meets Its Premium Valuation?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reported that The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is experiencing double-digit organic growth and faster profit expansion alongside improving financial flexibility, while also noting that its premium valuation leaves little room for missteps.

Why it matters — CHEF watchers would care because the article highlights both the company's strong growth and profit momentum as well as the risk its current valuation poses.

CHEF Rises 10.7% in the Past Month: Can Its Momentum Keep Building?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) shares rose 10.7% over the past month, a gain the report attributes to earnings growth, organic volume gains, and wider margins. However, the article notes that CHEF's premium valuation raises the stakes for continued execution.

Why it matters — A CHEF watcher would care because the monthly surge reflects improving underlying fundamentals, yet the stock's premium valuation means investors will be watching closely whether the company can sustain its performance.

The Data Science Disconnect: High Performance With Low Assets

ETF Trends · 10 Aug 2026neutral

An article from ETF Trends discusses the JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ), noting that while investors focus on its options strategy, its performance is largely driven by a less-highlighted underlying engine.

Why it matters — CHEF watchers may find this relevant as it highlights how a data-driven or asset-light investment approach can deliver high performance, which could inform perspectives on companies with similar operational models.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CHEF stock

What is the CHEF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $123, with estimates ranging from $93 to $125. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CHEF stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 79 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CHEF?

As at 15 Aug 2026, The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. ranks 79 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (97 of 100).

Will CHEF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 79 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CHEF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CHEF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $93 to $125 over the next 12 months.

How has CHEF stock performed over the past year?

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. returned +78.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. do?

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a leading distributor of specialty food and culinary products.

What is the latest news on CHEF?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 12 Aug 2026): "The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Announces Redemption of All Outstanding 2.375% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2028". The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. announced it has issued a redemption notice calling all $287.5 million aggregate principal amount of its 2.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 for redemption on October 15, 2026. The redemption right arose because the last reported sale price of the company's common stock exceeded 130% of the conversion price on at least 20 trading days during the 30 consecutive trading days preceding the redemption notice date.

Company

About The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a leading distributor of specialty food and culinary products. It primarily serves the foodservice industry, focusing on high-quality and unique ingredients that cater to chefs across a variety of dining establishments, ranging from fine-dining restaurants to upscale hotels and resorts. The company's product offerings include a broad range of specialty cheeses, artisan charcuterie, regional olive oils, and an array of authentic seasonings and condiments. Notable for its extensive catalog, The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. plays a crucial role in bridging the gap between specialty food producers and culinary professionals. It impacts sectors such as food distribution and hospitality by ensuring that chefs have access to premium ingredients necessary for creating distinguished dining experiences. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut, The Chefs' Warehouse has established a significant presence across North America, leveraging strategic acquisitions and expanding its market reach. Its importance in the financial market lies in its unique niche operations that cater to the growing demand for gourmet food supplies and support the evolving needs of a dynamic foodservice landscape.

CEO Mr. Christopher Pappas · 5,156 employees · United States · https://www.chefswarehouse.com