UNFIConsumer Defensive · Food DistributionThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering United Natural Foods, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $48 — +6.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Natural Foods, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (92): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (31): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UNFI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.5% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $44 → $47 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | BMO Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 17 July 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 July 2025 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 June 2025 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 12 June 2025 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UNFI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Sept 2026, United Natural Foods, Inc. returned +55.7% against +18.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
United Natural Foods, Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $31.2B. The latest quarter shrank 4.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$37.0M, a −0.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.66.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $329.0M, after $174.0M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 40.8×; forward P/E: 14.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
United Natural Foods, Inc. employs 25,600 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Natural Foods, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
United Natural Foods reported fourth-quarter earnings that beat estimates, driven by margin gains and cost savings that offset a 0.7% sales decline. Adjusted EBITDA jumped 48.3% in the quarter.
Why it matters — A UNFI watcher would take note that the company's improved profitability and cost discipline helped it beat expectations even as sales declined slightly.
Natural-food demand is accelerating as shoppers increasingly favor clean labels, according to a Zacks Investment Research report. The report highlights Dole's expansion of sourcing and distribution to capture healthier food spending.
Why it matters — As a major natural-foods distributor, UNFI operates within the clean-label segment where demand is reportedly accelerating, making industry demand trends relevant to its business.
United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE: UNFI) announced that CEO Sandy Douglas will participate in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs 33rd Annual Global Retailing Conference on September 15, 2026, beginning at 7:45 a.m. Eastern Time. A live audio webcast will be available via the investor relations section of the company's website.
Why it matters — A UNFI watcher would care because the CEO's appearance at a major investor conference offers a public platform where company leadership may discuss its business with the investment community.
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) released its Q4 2026 earnings call transcript, published on Seeking Alpha. The transcript documents the company's fourth-quarter earnings call.
Why it matters — UNFI watchers would turn to the earnings call transcript for details on the company's fourth-quarter results and management commentary.
United Natural Foods reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results in line with its outlook. The grocery distributor cited improved operating leverage, higher free cash flow and lower leverage after the second year of its value creation strategy.
Why it matters — UNFI watchers would care because the results signal progress from its value creation strategy, with improved cash flow and reduced leverage.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering United Natural Foods, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $48, with estimates ranging from $43 to $56. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering United Natural Foods, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Natural Foods, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Sept 2026, United Natural Foods, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +6.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Natural Foods, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering United Natural Foods, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UNFI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $56 over the next 12 months.
United Natural Foods, Inc. returned +55.7% over the 12 months to 9 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
United Natural Foods Inc. is a wholesale grocery distributor focused on natural, organic, specialty, and conventional food products, along with a range of non-food items.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Sept 2026): "UNFI Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Margin Gains and Cost Savings". United Natural Foods reported fourth-quarter earnings that beat estimates, driven by margin gains and cost savings that offset a 0.7% sales decline. Adjusted EBITDA jumped 48.3% in the quarter.
United Natural Foods Inc. is a wholesale grocery distributor focused on natural, organic, specialty, and conventional food products, along with a range of non-food items. The company serves supermarkets, independent retailers, natural food stores, e-commerce customers, and food service operators across the United States and Canada. Its product assortment includes fresh produce, perishables, frozen foods, grocery and general merchandise, nutritional supplements, personal care items, and private-label offerings. United Natural Foods Inc. also provides value-added services such as supply chain support, logistics, merchandising, and data-driven tools that help retailers and suppliers manage assortment and shelf availability. The company operates through wholesale and retail businesses, making it an important link between manufacturers, growers, brands, and store operators in the North American food distribution market.
CEO Mr. James Alexander Miller Douglas Jr. · 25,600 employees · United States · https://www.unfi.com
