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STZSTZConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

STZ Stock Forecast: Constellation Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$131
+1.37% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Constellation Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $150 — +14.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$21.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$150
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$2.4B−3.3% y/y
Operating income$863.6M
Net income$671.9M
Free cash flow$484.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.1%
1M
+6.8%
YTD
−2.8%
1Y
−3.0%
From 52W high
−20.1%
From 52W low
+16.5%
$113
$164
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STZ stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Constellation Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Oct 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
94
Quality
80
Value
73
Revisions
63
Volatility
62
Momentum
46
Accruals
43
Growth
36
Size
9

Issuance (94): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (36): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STZ stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STZ, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STZHigh $209Median $150Low $99

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
14 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $99Median $150High $209

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 14 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$136 → $127
8 Oct 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy$173 → $158
8 Oct 2026HSBCDowngradeHold$192 → $135
8 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$133 → $136
8 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$158 → $145
8 Oct 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$185 → $150
8 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$161 → $125
8 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$185 → $182
8 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$145 → $144
5 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$170 → $140
2 Oct 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$185
25 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
25 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$165 → $133
23 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$168 → $145
23 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
22 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$132 → $122
22 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
22 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$185 → $165
21 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$175 → $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STZ appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

STZ vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Constellation Brands, Inc. returned −3.0% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

STZ vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STZS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

STZ analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
11
Fundamentals

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.4×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
2.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.5×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
21.4%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
54.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Operating margin
33.6%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
20.9%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
24.0%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.2%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Constellation Brands, Inc. has a market value of $21.9B and an enterprise value of $32.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $9.1B. The latest quarter grew 6.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 21.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $1.8B, after $859.4M of capital spending.

  • Constellation Brands, Inc. spent $841.8M on share buybacks and $712.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 171.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.6×; forward P/E: 10.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.18%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Constellation Brands, Inc. employs 9,400 people — $963K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

STZ vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBeverages - Brewers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.$21.9B
62
TAPMolson Coors Beverage Co.$7.5B
56
SAMBoston Beer Co., Inc.$1.9B
71
USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.*$22.5B
85
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.*$23.9B
87
BGBunge Global SA*$20.6B
43
CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.*$24.8B
77

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few beverages - brewers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Constellation Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STZ news & analysis

STZ vs. TAP: Which Beer Stock Will Actually Grow Your Retirement Income?

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Oct 2026neutral

A 24/7 Wall Street article compares Constellation Brands and Molson Coors, saying both beer stocks are down but warning that one has a concerning dividend history and business trajectory that could make its yield a trap. The excerpt does not identify which company the warning concerns.

Why it matters — STZ investors may want to note the comparison’s focus on dividend history and business trajectory, though the excerpt does not specify whether its criticism applies to STZ.

STZ Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Improving Demand and Outlook

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Oct 2026positive

Constellation Brands reported improving beer demand, stronger marketing and healthier inventories, and raised hopes that fiscal 2027 earnings will be near the high end of guidance.

Why it matters — These operating trends and the outlook update may inform STZ watchers’ view of the company’s demand and earnings trajectory.

Constellation Brands Beat Earnings, But Beer Demand Is Still a Problem

MarketBeat · 8 Oct 2026neutral

Constellation Brands reported a solid beat on both earnings and revenue. The headline also notes that beer demand remains a problem.

Why it matters — STZ watchers may weigh the strong reported results against the continued concern about beer demand.

These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On Constellation Brands Following Q2 Results

Benzinga · 8 Oct 2026negative

Constellation Brands reported better-than-expected second-quarter results after Tuesday’s market close. The headline says analysts subsequently cut their forecasts, but the excerpt provides no details about the revisions.

Why it matters — STZ watchers may note that analysts lowered forecasts despite the company’s better-than-expected quarterly results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STZ stock

What is the STZ stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Constellation Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $150, with estimates ranging from $99 to $209. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STZ stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Constellation Brands, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Constellation Brands, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STZ?

As at 16 Oct 2026, Constellation Brands, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (94 of 100).

Will STZ stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +14.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Constellation Brands, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STZ stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Constellation Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STZ are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $99 to $209 over the next 12 months.

How has STZ stock performed over the past year?

Constellation Brands, Inc. returned -3.0% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Constellation Brands, Inc. do?

Constellation Brands Inc. Class A is a beverage company focused on the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits.

What is the latest news on STZ?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 10 Oct 2026): "STZ vs. TAP: Which Beer Stock Will Actually Grow Your Retirement Income?". A 24/7 Wall Street article compares Constellation Brands and Molson Coors, saying both beer stocks are down but warning that one has a concerning dividend history and business trajectory that could make its yield a trap. The excerpt does not identify which company the warning concerns.

Company

About Constellation Brands, Inc.

Constellation Brands Inc. Class A is a beverage company focused on the production, marketing, and distribution of beer, wine, and spirits. The company serves consumer markets through a portfolio that spans premium beer labels, wine offerings, and distilled spirits, giving it a broad presence across the alcoholic beverages category. Its operations are organized around beer, wine and spirits, along with corporate and related segments that support the business. Constellation Brands Inc. Class A plays a significant role in the consumer staples sector by supplying branded alcoholic beverages to retail, hospitality, and wholesale channels in key North American and international markets. The company is headquartered in Rochester, New York, and its business is centered on established drink brands and large-scale distribution across the beverage industry.

CEO Mr. Nicholas Ian Fink J.D. · 9,400 employees · United States · https://www.cbrands.com