SAMSAMConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

SAM Stock Forecast: Boston Beer Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$181
+0.90% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Boston Beer Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $190 — +5.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
71 / 100
Median analyst target
$190
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$568.3M−3.3% y/y
Operating income$51.6M
Net income$51.6M
Free cash flow$127.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.0%
1M
+6.2%
YTD
−7.3%
1Y
−19.9%
From 52W high
−30.5%
From 52W low
+12.3%
$161
$260
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SAM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Boston Beer Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Oct 2026
71 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
97
Issuance
96
Value
84
Quality
82
Volatility
77
Momentum
38
Revisions
38
Size
36
Growth
10

Accruals (97): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (10): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SAM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SAM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SAMHigh $295Median $190Low $153

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
1 Buy11 Hold1 Sell
Low $153Median $190High $295

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$210 → $190
25 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$195 → $185
24 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$230 → $195
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$234 → $210
24 July 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy—
24 July 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy$315 → $295
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$245 → $190
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$240 → $195
8 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
6 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 May 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform—
4 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
1 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
1 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
1 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SAM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SAM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Boston Beer Co., Inc. returned −19.9% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SAM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SAMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SAM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−6.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
10
Fundamentals

Boston Beer Co., Inc. (SAM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.9×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−3.3%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−14.7%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Gross margin
50.4%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.6%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−8.6%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Boston Beer Co., Inc. (SAM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Boston Beer Co., Inc. has a market value of $1.8B and an enterprise value of $1.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B. The latest quarter shrank 3.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$70.1M, a −3.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−6.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $206.0M, after $53.2M of capital spending.

  • Boston Beer Co., Inc. spent $150.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 10.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.9×; forward P/E: 17.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Boston Beer Co., Inc. employs 2,736 people — $704K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SAM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBeverages - Brewers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SAMBoston Beer Co., Inc.$1.8B
71
TAPMolson Coors Beverage Co.$7.5B
56
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.$22.5B
62
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.*$1.9B
65
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.*$1.8B
99
STRAStrategic Education, Inc.*$1.8B
92
NOMDNomad Foods Ltd.*$1.7B
66

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few beverages - brewers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Boston Beer Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SAM news & analysis

Boston Beer's Q3 Earnings on Horizon: What Surprise Awaits Investors?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026positive

Zacks says Boston Beer is poised for Q3 earnings growth despite declining sales. Strong pricing, Sun Cruiser momentum and cost savings are cited as offsets to market headwinds.

Why it matters — SAM watchers may track whether these factors help earnings growth offset weaker sales and broader market pressure.

Dogfish Head's Most-Requested Rare Beer, Midas Touch, Returns

GlobeNewsWire · 15 Oct 2026positive

Dogfish Head is bringing back Midas Touch, a rare beer described as a recreation of an ancient beverage associated with King Midas. The ale was developed using chemical evidence found in the ruler’s tomb.

Why it matters — The return of a Dogfish Head beer is relevant to SAM watchers because Dogfish Head is part of the company’s brand portfolio.

SAM Pushes Innovation: Can New Cocktails & Coolers Gain Traction?

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Boston Beer Co. is expanding beyond traditional beer by introducing Sinless Vodka Cocktails and LYTT Electric Coolers, though the company notes that meaningful volume contributions from these new products may take time to materialize, according to a Zacks Investment Research report.

Why it matters — SAM watchers would care because this shows Boston Beer is diversifying its product portfolio outside of traditional beer, which could shape the company's future growth trajectory even if near-term volume impact remains limited.

Boston Beer Uses Innovation, Pricing & Brand Investments for Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Research reported that Boston Beer Co., Inc. (SAM) is pursuing growth and margin expansion through innovation, pricing, and brand investments, while also focusing on productivity efforts. The company continues to face a challenging demand environment.

Why it matters — SAM watchers would care because the company's strategy for navigating soft demand and improving margins centres on its innovation pipeline, pricing actions, and brand investment initiatives.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SAM stock

What is the SAM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Boston Beer Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $190, with estimates ranging from $153 to $295. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SAM stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Boston Beer Co., Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Boston Beer Co., Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SAM?

As at 16 Oct 2026, Boston Beer Co., Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (97 of 100).

Will SAM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +5.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Boston Beer Co., Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 16 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SAM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Boston Beer Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SAM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $153 to $295 over the next 12 months.

How has SAM stock performed over the past year?

Boston Beer Co., Inc. returned -19.9% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Boston Beer Co., Inc. do?

Boston Beer Company, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity in Boston Beer Company, Inc., a U.S.

What is the latest news on SAM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Oct 2026): "Boston Beer's Q3 Earnings on Horizon: What Surprise Awaits Investors?". Zacks says Boston Beer is poised for Q3 earnings growth despite declining sales. Strong pricing, Sun Cruiser momentum and cost savings are cited as offsets to market headwinds.

Company

About Boston Beer Co., Inc.

Boston Beer Company, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity in Boston Beer Company, Inc., a U.S. beverage producer focused on alcoholic drinks. The company develops, markets, and sells a portfolio that includes Samuel Adams beers, Twisted Tea, Truly hard seltzers, Angry Orchard ciders, Dogfish Head craft beverages, and Sun Cruiser ready-to-drink products. Its business is centered on branded alcoholic beverages sold primarily in the United States, serving consumer demand across beer, cider, flavored malt beverages, spirits-based ready-to-drink beverages, and distilled spirits. Boston Beer Company, Inc. Class A Common Stock reflects ownership in a company that operates across multiple beverage categories and participates in the broader packaged drinks market, where brand recognition, product variety, and distribution scale are key competitive factors. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

CEO Mr. C. James Koch J.D. · 2,736 employees · United States · https://www.bostonbeer.com