DGConsumer Defensive · Discount StoresThe 31 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar General Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +5.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dollar General Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (32): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Upgrade | Buy | $140 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $125 → $160 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $148 → $151 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $165 → $170 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | $140 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $120 → $135 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | $113 → $129 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $116 → $133 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $128 → $141 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $132 → $145 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
DG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Dollar General Corp. returned +35.4% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 76% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Dollar General Corp. has a market value of $29.2B and an enterprise value of $43.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $43.6B. The latest quarter grew 5.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.7B, a 3.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.0B.
Dollar General Corp. spent $520.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.2×; forward P/E: 15.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.78%, paying out 31% of earnings.
Dollar General Corp. employs 194,000 people — $225K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dollar General Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Federal and state regulators are suing Dollar General after customers complained that register prices were higher than prices marked on shelves.
Why it matters — The lawsuit and pricing complaints are relevant to DG watchers assessing regulatory and customer concerns.
Zacks Investment Research discusses the Halloween Effect, which it says bodes well for stocks as the holiday shopping season approaches, and highlights four ETFs it describes as poised to benefit from rising seasonal spending.
Why it matters — Dollar General is a retailer, so the excerpt’s focus on seasonal spending may be relevant to DG watchers, though it does not mention the company.
Dollar General closed at $126.86, down 1.21% from its previous close, while the market gained.
Why it matters — DG watchers may note the stock’s decline contrasted with the broader market’s gain.
The FTC and 20 states sued Dollar General, alleging the company used deceptive pricing practices to extract millions in unlawful overcharges from vulnerable shoppers.
Why it matters — The allegations and lawsuit are relevant to DG watchers assessing the company’s regulatory and legal exposure.
The article frames Dollar General’s valuation question within Zacks’ approach, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions while also considering value, growth, and momentum trends.
Why it matters — DG watchers may note the article evaluates the stock through these factors, but the excerpt provides no specific valuation conclusion.
The 31 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar General Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $90 to $180. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 31 analysts covering Dollar General Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 17 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dollar General Corp. 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Dollar General Corp. ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 31 analysts implies +5.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dollar General Corp. 86 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Dollar General Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $90 to $180 over the next 12 months.
Dollar General Corp. returned +35.4% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Dollar General Corp. is a discount retailer that operates a large network of small-format stores serving everyday shopping needs across the United States.
The most recent item we track (WSJ, 31 Oct 2026): "Is Dollar General Charging Too Much?". Federal and state regulators are suing Dollar General after customers complained that register prices were higher than prices marked on shelves.
Dollar General Corp. is a discount retailer that operates a large network of small-format stores serving everyday shopping needs across the United States. The company focuses on affordable, convenient merchandise for households seeking value and accessibility, especially in communities where quick trips and local stores are important. Its product assortment includes food, snacks, cleaning supplies, paper goods, health and beauty items, basic apparel, housewares, seasonal products, and private-label brands alongside nationally recognized consumer names. Dollar General also supports community-oriented retail formats and serves a broad customer base through stores designed for easy shopping and frequent visits. Headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, Dollar General Corp. plays a significant role in the consumer staples retail market by providing essential goods in a convenient, neighborhood-oriented format.
CEO Mr. Todd J. Vasos · 194,000 employees · United States · https://www.dollargeneral.com
