DGConsumer Defensive · Discount StoresThe 30 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar General Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +12.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dollar General Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (33): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $125 → $160 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $148 → $151 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $165 → $170 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | $140 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $120 → $135 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | $113 → $129 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $116 → $133 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $128 → $141 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $132 → $145 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $118 → $123 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Dollar General Corp. returned +29.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Dollar General Corp. has a market value of $26.9B and an enterprise value of $41.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $43.6B. The latest quarter grew 5.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.7B, a 3.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.0B.
Dollar General Corp. spent $520.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 14.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.91%, paying out 31% of earnings.
Dollar General Corp. employs 194,000 people — $225K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dollar General Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Ross Stores, Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree.
Why it matters — Dollar General is one of the retailers featured in the article, making the outlook relevant to DG watchers.
Zacks Investment Research says Ross Stores, Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree stand to benefit as value shopping gains momentum amid inflation, digital innovation and changing consumer habits.
Why it matters — Dollar General is included among the retailers identified as positioned to benefit from the shift toward value shopping.
Zacks Investment Research compares Dollar General and Ross Stores as potential value stocks in the Retail - Discount Stores sector, asking which offers value investors a better return for their money.
Why it matters — The comparison puts Dollar General’s value-stock appeal in focus for investors following DG.
Zacks Equity Research named BP p.l.c. its Bull of the Day and MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. its Bear of the Day in an item dated October 6, 2026.
Why it matters — The item discusses BP and MasterCraft Boat, not Dollar General, so it provides no specific update about DG.
Zacks Investment Research compares Costco and Dollar General as retail stocks, noting that the two companies rely on distinct growth drivers. For Dollar General, these include store remodels, delivery and merchandising gains, while Costco leans on memberships and warehouses.
Why it matters — A DG watcher would care because the piece highlights the specific operational growth levers — remodels, delivery and merchandising — that Dollar General is relying on as it is evaluated against a major retail peer.
The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar General Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $90 to $176. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 30 analysts covering Dollar General Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 17 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dollar General Corp. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Dollar General Corp. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 30 analysts implies +12.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dollar General Corp. 84 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Dollar General Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $90 to $176 over the next 12 months.
Dollar General Corp. returned +29.0% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Dollar General Corp. is a discount retailer that operates a large network of small-format stores serving everyday shopping needs across the United States.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Oct 2026): "Zacks Industry Outlook Ross Stores, Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree". Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Ross Stores, Target, Dollar General and Dollar Tree.
Dollar General Corp. is a discount retailer that operates a large network of small-format stores serving everyday shopping needs across the United States. The company focuses on affordable, convenient merchandise for households seeking value and accessibility, especially in communities where quick trips and local stores are important. Its product assortment includes food, snacks, cleaning supplies, paper goods, health and beauty items, basic apparel, housewares, seasonal products, and private-label brands alongside nationally recognized consumer names. Dollar General also supports community-oriented retail formats and serves a broad customer base through stores designed for easy shopping and frequent visits. Headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, Dollar General Corp. plays a significant role in the consumer staples retail market by providing essential goods in a convenient, neighborhood-oriented format.
CEO Mr. Todd J. Vasos · 194,000 employees · United States · https://www.dollargeneral.com
