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TGTConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

TGT Stock Forecast: Target Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$156
−0.07% on the day

The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $161 — +2.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$71.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
96 / 100
Median analyst target
$161
Analysts covering
38
Revenue$26.5B+5.3% y/y
Operating income$2.6B
Net income$1.9B
Free cash flow$2.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
−8.1%
YTD
+64.1%
1Y
+83.9%
From 52W high
−8.1%
From 52W low
+91.7%
$81
$170
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TGT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Target Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
96 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
95
Momentum
92
Issuance
90
Value
80
Growth
77
Volatility
70
Accruals
65
Quality
60
Size
4

Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (60): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TGT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TGT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TGTHigh $200Median $161Low $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says38 analysts
12 Buy22 Hold4 Sell
Low $125Median $161High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 19 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$115 → $140
20 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$150 → $160
20 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$148 → $160
20 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$170 → $185
20 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$150 → $170
20 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$127 → $161
20 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$150 → $175
20 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
20 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$146 → $153
20 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$166 → $178
20 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$155 → $160
20 Aug 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$170 → $182
20 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$147 → $167
20 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$166 → $185
20 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$165 → $185
17 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$155 → $170
14 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$161 → $177
14 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$127 → $146
14 Aug 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$150 → $170
14 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$130 → $147

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TGT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TGT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Target Corp. returned +83.9% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TGT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TGTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TGT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+22.6%
Analysts raising
35
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Target Corp. (TGT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.4×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
4.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.9×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
100.7%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.7%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.0%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Net margin
4.1%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
26.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.0%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Target Corp. (TGT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Target Corp. has a market value of $71.0B and an enterprise value of $84.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $107.7B. The latest quarter grew 5.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 4.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.63.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $4.5B, after $4.3B of capital spending.

  • Target Corp. spent $153.0M on share buybacks and $2.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 454.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.4×; forward P/E: 16.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.95%, paying out 47% of earnings.

  • Target Corp. employs 400,000 people — $269K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TGT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TGTTarget Corp.$71.0B
96
DGDollar General Corp.$26.5B
83
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$21.7B
86
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.$401.6B
51
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$11.5B
67
WMTWalmart, Inc.$880.9B
45
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.6B
37

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Target Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TGT news & analysis

Why Women-Run Companies Deserve a Place in Your Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting that women-led companies, including Target (TGT) among others such as BMY, HALO, NEO, and ROST, are redefining growth through discipline, agility, and results. The piece discusses why these companies deserve a place in investors' portfolios.

Why it matters — The article presents Target as an example of a women-led company whose leadership approach is being recognized in a broader investment discussion, offering TGT watchers context on how the company is viewed among peers.

How Walmart, Target and Dollar General Are Scaling Retail Media

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks reports that Walmart, Target and Dollar General are each scaling their retail media operations through advertising, customer data, e-commerce and in-store channels, with each retailer taking a distinct path to growth.

Why it matters — A TGT watcher would care because the piece highlights Target's retail media expansion as one of its key growth avenues alongside its retail peers.

Target's Retail Media Growth Highlights an Expanding Profit Lever

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Sept 2026positive

According to Zacks, Target's Roundel advertising business grew nearly 20% in fiscal Q2 2026, boosting higher-margin non-merchandise revenues and supporting margin performance. The growth highlights an expanding profit lever for the company.

Why it matters — TGT investors would care because growth in Target's higher-margin retail media business helps support overall margin performance beyond traditional merchandise sales.

Target Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend

PRNewsWire · 23 Sept 2026neutral

Target Corporation's board of directors has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.16 per common share, as announced on Sept. 23, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration confirms Target's ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders through its regular quarterly payout.

Target Sees Underlying 2026 Margin Above 2025 as Profitability Improves

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026positive

Target expects its fiscal 2026 underlying operating margin to be about 50 basis points higher than in 2025, driven by improved gross margin even as selling, general and administrative costs rise.

Why it matters — A TGT watcher would care because the company's projected margin improvement points to strengthening underlying profitability for the coming fiscal year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TGT stock

What is the TGT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $161, with estimates ranging from $125 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TGT stock a buy right now?

Of the 38 analysts covering Target Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 22 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Target Corp. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TGT?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Target Corp. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).

Will TGT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 38 analysts implies +2.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Target Corp. 96 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TGT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Target Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TGT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has TGT stock performed over the past year?

Target Corp. returned +83.9% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Target Corp. do?

Target Corp. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on TGT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Sept 2026): "Why Women-Run Companies Deserve a Place in Your Portfolio". Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting that women-led companies, including Target (TGT) among others such as BMY, HALO, NEO, and ROST, are redefining growth through discipline, agility, and results. The piece discusses why these companies deserve a place in investors' portfolios.

Company

About Target Corp.

Target Corp. is a U.S. general merchandise retailer that operates a large network of stores and digital shopping channels. The company offers a broad assortment of products spanning apparel, beauty, food and beverage, home goods, electronics, toys, household essentials, and seasonal items, serving consumers who want convenient shopping with value-oriented pricing. Target Corp. also features proprietary and exclusive brands, shop-in-shop concepts, and a curated merchandise mix that supports a differentiated retail experience. Its business is built around combining in-store convenience with online fulfillment through Target.com and related digital services. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target Corp. is a major consumer retail name with a broad presence across everyday essentials and discretionary merchandise categories.

CEO Mr. Michael J. Fiddelke · 400,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.target.com