The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $161 — +3.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Target Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (97): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (61): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TGT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $125 → $190 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $115 → $140 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $150 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $148 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $170 → $185 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $150 → $170 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $127 → $161 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $150 → $175 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $146 → $153 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TGT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Target Corp. returned +81.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Target Corp. has a market value of $69.0B and an enterprise value of $82.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $107.7B. The latest quarter grew 5.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 4.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.63.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $4.5B, after $4.3B of capital spending.
Target Corp. spent $153.0M on share buybacks and $2.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 15.8×; forward P/E: 15.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.05%, paying out 47% of earnings.
Target Corp. employs 400,000 people — $269K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Target Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Target's AI shopping partnerships and rising digital traffic are presented as creating new growth avenues. Strong digital sales and gains in same-day delivery are also highlighted.
Why it matters — These developments point to digital commerce and delivery as areas of focus for Target watchers.
Target (TGT) closed the recent trading session at $151.99, down 1.06% from the prior day's close. The headline says the decline was larger than the market's.
Why it matters — TGT watchers may note the stock's session decline and its relative performance versus the market.
Zacks Investment Research added NATL, BGC, CCNE, FRME and UVSP to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on October 13, 2026. Target was not named in the excerpt.
Why it matters — The update does not report a change or development specific to Target, so it offers no direct company news for TGT watchers.
The Motley Fool article names Target as its preferred dividend stock over the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF for a five-year investment horizon. It notes the S&P 500's dividend yield is about 1%, compared with about 3% for Target at its current share price.
Why it matters — The yield comparison highlights Target's dividend as a point of interest for TGT watchers.
Zacks Investment Research included Target (TGT), along with REPYY and CLMT, on its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list for October 13, 2026.
Why it matters — The listing identifies TGT as one of the stocks featured in Zacks’ momentum roundup.
The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $161, with estimates ranging from $128 to $190. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 38 analysts covering Target Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 21 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Target Corp. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Target Corp. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 38 analysts implies +3.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Target Corp. 97 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Target Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TGT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $190 over the next 12 months.
Target Corp. returned +81.6% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Target Corp. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "Target's Agentic Commerce Push Opens New Digital Growth Avenues". Target's AI shopping partnerships and rising digital traffic are presented as creating new growth avenues. Strong digital sales and gains in same-day delivery are also highlighted.
Target Corp. is a U.S. general merchandise retailer that operates a large network of stores and digital shopping channels. The company offers a broad assortment of products spanning apparel, beauty, food and beverage, home goods, electronics, toys, household essentials, and seasonal items, serving consumers who want convenient shopping with value-oriented pricing. Target Corp. also features proprietary and exclusive brands, shop-in-shop concepts, and a curated merchandise mix that supports a differentiated retail experience. Its business is built around combining in-store convenience with online fulfillment through Target.com and related digital services. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target Corp. is a major consumer retail name with a broad presence across everyday essentials and discretionary merchandise categories.
CEO Mr. Michael J. Fiddelke · 400,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.target.com
