TICKERNERD
Menu
TGTConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

TGT Stock Forecast: Target Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$154
−0.66% on the day

The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $135 — -12.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$69.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
78 / 100
Median analyst target
$135
Analysts covering
38
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.2%
1M
+15.3%
YTD
+61.1%
1Y
+53.0%
From 52W high
−0.7%
From 52W low
+88.2%
$82
$156
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TGT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Target Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
78 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
87
Issuance
82
Momentum
77
Value
76
Accruals
68
Volatility
67
Quality
54
Growth
38
Size
4

Revisions (87): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (38): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TGT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TGT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TGTHigh $170Median $135Low $92

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says38 analysts
12 Buy23 Hold3 Sell
Low $92Median $135High $170

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −12.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$129 → $157
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$144 → $166
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$135 → $150
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$133 → $148
31 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform$124 → $135
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$140 → $165
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$130 → $135
21 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$145 → $150
26 June 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$140 → $161
26 June 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform—
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform—
12 June 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
21 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
21 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TGT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TGT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.1%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Target Corp. (TGT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

Price / book
4.3×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.2×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.7%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−24.6%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.0%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.5%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Net margin
3.2%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
22.0%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.0%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TGT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TGTTarget Corp.$69.9B
78
DGDollar General Corp.$26.9B
78
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$24.9B
86
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$11.9B
55
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.$426.9B
52
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.9B
29
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.5B
61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Target Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TGT news & analysis

Q2 Earnings Season Enters Final Stretch: Walmart Headlines Upcoming Retail Earnings

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026negative

As the Q2 earnings season enters its final stretch, several retail companies including Walmart have yet to report. Big-box retailers are described as facing a difficult operating environment, with elevated fuel costs adding to consumers' financial burdens and raising retailers' expenses.

Why it matters — Target, as a fellow big-box retailer, operates in the same difficult environment with elevated fuel costs pressuring both consumer spending and retailer expenses.

Why Target (TGT) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Target Corp. (TGT) as a top value stock for the long term. The article notes that the Zacks Style Scores feature of the Zacks Premium research service helps identify strong stocks such as TGT.

Why it matters — TGT watchers would care because Zacks' screening ranks Target favorably among long-term value investment candidates.

Target Stock Flies To New Highs As Earnings Approach, But Walmart Stuck In Neutral

Investors Business Daily · 14 Aug 2026positive

Target stock is trading near new highs as its earnings report approaches, while Walmart shares are struggling. Investors are preparing for a series of retail-sector earnings reports.

Why it matters — A TGT watcher would care because Target's stock strength heading into its earnings report signals positive momentum for the company ahead of its results.

Seeking Clues to Target (TGT) Q2 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining Wall Street's top- and bottom-line estimates for Target's second-quarter earnings, along with projections for key company metrics. The piece offers a look at how analysts expect Target to have performed in the quarter ending July 2026.

Why it matters — A Target watcher would care because the piece consolidates analyst projections for key metrics ahead of the company's Q2 earnings report, offering context for what may be reported.

Hincks: Retail Sales Still Strong Despite Decline, WMT Earnings Key for Momentum

Schwab Network · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Despite a decline in July 2026 retail sales, the metrics remain up year-over-year. Kevin Hincks cites upcoming earnings from Walmart, Target, Home Depot and related retailers as important catalysts for the retail sector.

Why it matters — A Target watcher would care because Target's next earnings report is highlighted as a key catalyst that could drive momentum for the retail space.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TGT stock

What is the TGT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $135, with estimates ranging from $92 to $170. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TGT stock a buy right now?

Of the 38 analysts covering Target Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 23 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Target Corp. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TGT?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Target Corp. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (87 of 100).

Will TGT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 38 analysts implies -12.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Target Corp. 78 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TGT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Target Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TGT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $92 to $170 over the next 12 months.

How has TGT stock performed over the past year?

Target Corp. returned +53.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Target Corp. do?

Target Corporation is an American general merchandise retailer that operates a broad mix of stores and digital commerce channels. The company sells food and beverages, household essentials, apparel, beauty products, electronics, toys, home goods, and seasonal merchandise through its stores and Target.com.

What is the latest news on TGT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "Q2 Earnings Season Enters Final Stretch: Walmart Headlines Upcoming Retail Earnings". As the Q2 earnings season enters its final stretch, several retail companies including Walmart have yet to report. Big-box retailers are described as facing a difficult operating environment, with elevated fuel costs adding to consumers' financial burdens and raising retailers' expenses.

Company

About Target Corp.

Target Corporation is an American general merchandise retailer that operates a broad mix of stores and digital commerce channels. The company sells food and beverages, household essentials, apparel, beauty products, electronics, toys, home goods, and seasonal merchandise through its stores and Target.com. It also supports shoppers with private-label brands, same-day fulfillment services, and in-store pickup options that connect its physical locations with its online platform. Target serves individual consumers and families across everyday shopping categories, making it a major participant in U.S. retail distribution. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target Corporation focuses on convenience, assortment, and a unified shopping experience across its brick-and-mortar and digital businesses.

CEO Mr. Michael J. Fiddelke · 415,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.target.com