The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $160 — -2.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Target Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (60): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TGT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 19 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $115 → $140 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $150 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $148 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $170 → $185 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $150 → $170 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $127 → $161 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $150 → $175 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $146 → $153 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $166 → $178 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $155 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | $170 → $182 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $147 → $167 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $166 → $185 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $165 → $185 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $170 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $161 → $177 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $127 → $146 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | $150 → $170 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $130 → $147 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TGT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Target Corp. returned +84.7% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Target Corp. has a market value of $74.4B and an enterprise value of $86.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $106.4B. The latest quarter grew 5.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.5B, a 3.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.57.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $3.0B, after $4.0B of capital spending.
Target Corp. spent $158.0M on share buybacks and $2.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.0×; forward P/E: 17.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.83%, paying out 47% of earnings.
Target Corp. employs 400,000 people — $266K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Target Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Target is expanding its beauty strategy with the launch of Beauty Studio on Sept. 10 in more than 600 stores, featuring 1,600-plus products from 90 brands.
Why it matters — A Target watcher would care because the company is broadening its beauty offerings across a large portion of its store footprint, which could affect its merchandising strategy and customer appeal.
Haleon, maker of Sensodyne toothpaste, has negotiated improved shelf placement at U.S. retailers including Walmart and Target to boost product visibility amid rising grocery costs affecting shopper spending.
Why it matters — A Target watcher would care because improved shelf positioning for a major consumer brand signals shifting in-store merchandising arrangements that could affect Target's retail layout and supplier relationships.
Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Target (TGT) and Costco (COST) as potential value stocks in the Retail - Discount Stores sector, asking which of the two offers the better value opportunity for investors at this time.
Why it matters — TGT watchers would be interested in this comparison because it directly assesses Target's value proposition relative to a key competitor in the discount retail sector.
Target's stock has risen 66% in 2026, significantly outperforming both the broader retail sector and the S&P 500 this year. The retail ETF (XRT) was essentially flat, down 0.1% year to date to $85.86.
Why it matters — The article highlights Target's strong year-to-date performance relative to the rest of the retail sector, which would be of interest to investors tracking the stock's momentum.
Target raised its full-year outlook, signaling confidence in its turnaround strategy. The news also notes that a recent Halloween costume controversy was another unforced error in Target's efforts to win back customers.
Why it matters — A TGT watcher would care because the raised outlook points to improving financial expectations while the costume controversy signals ongoing challenges in rebuilding customer relationships.
The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $160, with estimates ranging from $121 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 38 analysts covering Target Corp., 12 rate it a Buy, 22 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Target Corp. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, Target Corp. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 38 analysts implies -2.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Target Corp. 94 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Target Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TGT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $121 to $200 over the next 12 months.
Target Corp. returned +84.7% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Target Corp. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Sept 2026): "Target Expands Beauty Strategy With 600-Store Studio Rollout". Target is expanding its beauty strategy with the launch of Beauty Studio on Sept. 10 in more than 600 stores, featuring 1,600-plus products from 90 brands.
Target Corp. is a U.S. general merchandise retailer that operates a large network of stores and digital shopping channels. The company offers a broad assortment of products spanning apparel, beauty, food and beverage, home goods, electronics, toys, household essentials, and seasonal items, serving consumers who want convenient shopping with value-oriented pricing. Target Corp. also features proprietary and exclusive brands, shop-in-shop concepts, and a curated merchandise mix that supports a differentiated retail experience. Its business is built around combining in-store convenience with online fulfillment through Target.com and related digital services. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target Corp. is a major consumer retail name with a broad presence across everyday essentials and discretionary merchandise categories.
CEO Mr. Michael J. Fiddelke · 400,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.target.com
