The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $161 — -1.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Target Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (93): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Quality (59): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TGT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $170 → $165 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $125 → $190 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $115 → $140 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $150 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $148 → $160 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $170 → $185 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $150 → $170 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $127 → $161 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $150 → $175 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Sector Weight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $146 → $153 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
TGT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Target Corp. returned +88.5% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Target Corp. has a market value of $70.1B and an enterprise value of $85.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $107.7B. The latest quarter grew 5.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 4.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.63.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $4.5B, after $4.3B of capital spending.
Target Corp. spent $153.0M on share buybacks and $2.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 16.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.00%, paying out 47% of earnings.
Target Corp. employs 400,000 people — $269K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Target Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
MarketWatch’s headline says 12 stocks are considered good bets to beat the 10-year Treasury over the next decade; the excerpt characterizes them as investment newsletters’ favorite Dividend Aristocrat stocks.
Why it matters — The item concerns a group of stocks and Dividend Aristocrats, but the excerpt does not identify Target as one of them.
Zacks Investment Research notes that Target (TGT) is up 1.06% over one week and asks whether it has the qualities momentum investors seek.
Why it matters — The item highlights TGT’s recent one-week performance and frames it in terms of momentum investing.
The article compares Target and Walmart’s shareholder payouts, saying both retailers raised guidance and collected tariff refunds while emphasizing that their dividend approaches differ. Its headline says Target’s yield is nearly four times Walmart’s.
Why it matters — The comparison highlights Target’s dividend yield as a point of distinction for shareholders focused on retirement income.
Zacks Investment Research reports that Zacks.com users have recently paid close attention to Target (TGT), prompting a review of the stock.
Why it matters — TGT watchers may note the increased attention from Zacks.com users, though the excerpt gives no details about the stock’s outlook.
Alibaba generated consistently higher revenue than Target over the last eight comparable quarters, measured in U.S. dollars. Both companies showed mostly steady quarter-over-quarter trends, with pronounced seasonal increases during holiday quarters.
Why it matters — The comparison provides context on Target’s recent revenue trends relative to Alibaba and highlights shared holiday-season patterns.
The 38 Wall Street analysts covering Target Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $161, with estimates ranging from $128 to $190. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 38 analysts covering Target Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 21 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Target Corp. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Target Corp. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 38 analysts implies -1.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Target Corp. 96 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Target Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TGT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $190 over the next 12 months.
Target Corp. returned +88.5% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Target Corp. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Market Watch, 4 Nov 2026): "These 12 stocks are good bets to beat the 10-year Treasury over the next decade". MarketWatch’s headline says 12 stocks are considered good bets to beat the 10-year Treasury over the next decade; the excerpt characterizes them as investment newsletters’ favorite Dividend Aristocrat stocks.
Target Corp. is a U.S. general merchandise retailer that operates a large network of stores and digital shopping channels. The company offers a broad assortment of products spanning apparel, beauty, food and beverage, home goods, electronics, toys, household essentials, and seasonal items, serving consumers who want convenient shopping with value-oriented pricing. Target Corp. also features proprietary and exclusive brands, shop-in-shop concepts, and a curated merchandise mix that supports a differentiated retail experience. Its business is built around combining in-store convenience with online fulfillment through Target.com and related digital services. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target Corp. is a major consumer retail name with a broad presence across everyday essentials and discretionary merchandise categories.
CEO Mr. Michael J. Fiddelke · 400,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.target.com
