WMTConsumer Defensive · Discount StoresThe 43 Wall Street analysts covering Walmart, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $127 — +9.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Walmart, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.
Value (26): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sept 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $130 → $125 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $140 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $132 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $155 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $140 → $120 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Outperform | $146 → $137 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $145 → $140 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $147 → $132 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $150 → $132 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $135 → $130 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Walmart, Inc. returned +9.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Walmart, Inc. has a market value of $893.5B and an enterprise value of $967.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $735.8B. The latest quarter grew 5.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $22.5B, a 3.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.77.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $13.5B.
Walmart, Inc. spent $7.0B on share buybacks and $7.7B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 40.7×; forward P/E: 34.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.88%, paying out 35% of earnings.
Walmart, Inc. employs 2,100,000 people — $350K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart, Inc. | $893.5B | 46 |
| COSTCostco Wholesale Corp. | $435.9B | 57 |
| TGTTarget Corp. | $70.3B | 97 |
| DGDollar General Corp. | $28.6B | 87 |
| DLTRDollar Tree, Inc. | $23.4B | 88 |
| KOThe Coca-Cola Co.* | $394.8B | 92 |
| PGProcter & Gamble Co.* | $364.5B | 69 |
* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few discount stores companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Walmart, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
State Street Investment Management launched four sector ETFs on Wednesday, designed to give each sector’s largest companies their full weight. XLKM aims to allocate 20.93% to Nvidia, compared with 15.41% in its Select Sector counterpart, XLK.
Why it matters — The launch concerns sector ETF weighting and does not provide specific information about Walmart.
Walmart shares advanced 3% as a hotter-than-expected September inflation report pushed money toward retailers selling everyday necessities. Costco and Target also edged higher.
Why it matters — The report links Walmart’s share move to investor interest in defensive retailers amid hotter inflation data.
Walmart shares are rising Wednesday as investors appear to favor consumer staples and other non-AI names while most of the market falls.
Why it matters — WMT watchers may note the shares' move amid a broader market decline and apparent investor preference for consumer staples.
Monica + Andy launched its first Baby Care collection, a six-piece line spanning skincare, bath, and laundry. The products are available at more than 1,500 Walmart stores, on Walmart.com, and through the brand’s direct-to-consumer channel, with each item priced at $20 or less.
Why it matters — The launch adds a new baby-care assortment from Monica + Andy to Walmart’s stores and online offering.
The Motley Fool headline frames a comparison of Home Depot and Walmart focused on scale and revenue seasonality. The excerpt notes that Home Depot earns revenue by supplying building materials and home renovation services to homeowners and professional contractors.
Why it matters — The comparison may provide context for WMT watchers considering how Walmart’s business and revenue patterns differ from Home Depot’s, though the excerpt gives no specific Walmart details.
The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Walmart, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $127, with estimates ranging from $81 to $155. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 43 analysts covering Walmart, Inc., 37 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Walmart, Inc. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Walmart, Inc. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 43 analysts implies +9.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Walmart, Inc. 46 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Walmart, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $81 to $155 over the next 12 months.
Walmart, Inc. returned +9.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Walmart Inc. is a multinational retail and wholesale company that serves customers through stores, clubs, e-commerce platforms, and mobile applications.
The most recent item we track (ETF Trends, 14 Oct 2026): "New State Street Sector ETFs Give Biggest Stocks Full Weight". State Street Investment Management launched four sector ETFs on Wednesday, designed to give each sector’s largest companies their full weight. XLKM aims to allocate 20.93% to Nvidia, compared with 15.41% in its Select Sector counterpart, XLK.
Walmart Inc. is a multinational retail and wholesale company that serves customers through stores, clubs, e-commerce platforms, and mobile applications. Walmart Inc. operates a broad merchandising network that includes supercenters, discount stores, neighborhood markets, and membership warehouse clubs, offering groceries, household essentials, apparel, electronics, and a wide range of general merchandise. The company also provides digital shopping and fulfillment services that connect in-store operations with online ordering, pickup, and delivery. Through its Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club segments, Walmart Inc. serves consumers and businesses across multiple markets worldwide. Headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, Walmart Inc. plays a central role in everyday retail by combining scale, logistics, and technology to support value-oriented shopping across physical and digital channels.
CEO Mr. John R. Furner · 2,100,000 employees · United States · https://www.stock.walmart.com
