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WMTWMTConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

WMT Stock Forecast: Walmart, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$107
−0.06% on the day

The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Walmart, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $130 — +21.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 45 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$849.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
45 / 100
Median analyst target
$130
Analysts covering
43
Revenue$187.9B+5.9% y/y
Operating income$9.4B
Net income$6.5B
Free cash flow$7.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.4%
1M
−7.2%
YTD
−3.6%
1Y
+3.9%
From 52W high
−20.3%
From 52W low
+6.9%
$100
$134
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WMT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Walmart, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
45 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Quality
81
Revisions
60
Momentum
55
Accruals
52
Issuance
51
Growth
48
Value
27
Size
0

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (27): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WMT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMTHigh $155Median $130Low $81

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says43 analysts
37 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $81Median $130High $155

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$140
10 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$132
31 Aug 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$155
31 Aug 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$140 → $120
21 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
21 Aug 2026BNP ParibasReiteratesOutperform$146 → $137
21 Aug 2026BNP ParibasReiteratesOutperform—
21 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$145 → $140
21 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$147 → $132
21 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$150 → $132
21 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$135 → $130
21 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
21 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$137 → $125
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$140 → $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WMT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Walmart, Inc. returned +3.9% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WMT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120125130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WMT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.7%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
19
Fundamentals

Walmart, Inc. (WMT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
38.7×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
9.0×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.8×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.9%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−9.4%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
26.1%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
3.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
22.3%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.4%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 20% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Walmart, Inc. (WMT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Walmart, Inc. has a market value of $849.4B and an enterprise value of $916.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $735.8B. The latest quarter grew 5.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $22.5B, a 3.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $13.5B.

  • Walmart, Inc. spent $7.0B on share buybacks and $7.7B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 7.9B.

  • Trailing P/E: 38.7×; forward P/E: 33.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.93%, paying out 35% of earnings.

  • Walmart, Inc. employs 2,100,000 people — $350K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WMT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WMTWalmart, Inc.$849.4B
45
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.$397.4B
50
TGTTarget Corp.$71.6B
95
DGDollar General Corp.$26.9B
82
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$21.5B
84
KOThe Coca-Cola Co.*$379.6B
90
PGProcter & Gamble Co.*$340.9B
62

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few discount stores companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Walmart, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WMT news & analysis

Here's Why Walmart Won't Reclaim a $1 Trillion Market Cap Anytime Soon

The Motley Fool · 19 Sept 2026negative

A Motley Fool analysis argues Walmart is unlikely to reclaim a $1 trillion market cap anytime soon, noting that it trades at a premium to Amazon and Target while delivering growth rates similar to Target's. The piece highlights that online advertising revenue—identified as the main catalyst for Walmart's profit margin expansion—is already decelerating.

Why it matters — WMT watchers would care because the report challenges the growth and margin-expansion narrative supporting Walmart's valuation premium.

Walmart Inc. (WMT) Presents at Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Walmart presented at the Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference, with the session made available as a transcript. The conference appearance gave Walmart an opportunity to discuss its business with analysts and investors within the retail sector.

Why it matters — A Walmart watcher would care because the company's remarks at a major industry conference can offer insight into its strategic priorities and how it sees the retail landscape.

The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha ranks the Dividend Kings—stocks with 50+ years of increasing dividends—using 9F Quality Scores that blend qualitative and quantitative factors. Among the ranked names, ADP is highlighted as the best total-return candidate for its value, quality, and projected dividend growth.

Why it matters — Walmart watchers can see where WMT stands among fellow Dividend Kings and how its quality and dividend-growth profile compares with the group's leading candidates.

Amazon Is Spending $6.8 Billion to Manufacture Walmart's Geography Advantage

PYMNTS · 17 Sept 2026neutral

PYMNTS reports that Amazon is investing $6.8 billion to close Walmart's delivery advantage, which may involve building and manufacturing its own version of a neighborhood store network rather than relying solely on faster warehouses.

Why it matters — A WMT watcher would care because Amazon's substantial investment targets the neighbourhood store footprint that underpins Walmart's delivery edge.

JSAIY or WMT: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing J. Sainsbury PLC (JSAIY) and Walmart (WMT) as value stock options within the Retail - Supermarkets sector, presenting both as candidates for investors to consider.

Why it matters — The piece evaluates Walmart's value proposition relative to a supermarket-sector peer, which may inform how investors assess WMT among its sector competitors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WMT stock

What is the WMT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Walmart, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $130, with estimates ranging from $81 to $155. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WMT stock a buy right now?

Of the 43 analysts covering Walmart, Inc., 37 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Walmart, Inc. 45 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WMT?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Walmart, Inc. ranks 45 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will WMT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 43 analysts implies +21.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Walmart, Inc. 45 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WMT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Walmart, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $81 to $155 over the next 12 months.

How has WMT stock performed over the past year?

Walmart, Inc. returned +3.9% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Walmart, Inc. do?

Walmart Inc. is a multinational retail and wholesale company that serves customers through stores, clubs, e-commerce platforms, and mobile applications.

What is the latest news on WMT?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 19 Sept 2026): "Here's Why Walmart Won't Reclaim a $1 Trillion Market Cap Anytime Soon". A Motley Fool analysis argues Walmart is unlikely to reclaim a $1 trillion market cap anytime soon, noting that it trades at a premium to Amazon and Target while delivering growth rates similar to Target's. The piece highlights that online advertising revenue—identified as the main catalyst for Walmart's profit margin expansion—is already decelerating.

Company

About Walmart, Inc.

Walmart Inc. is a multinational retail and wholesale company that serves customers through stores, clubs, e-commerce platforms, and mobile applications. Walmart Inc. operates a broad merchandising network that includes supercenters, discount stores, neighborhood markets, and membership warehouse clubs, offering groceries, household essentials, apparel, electronics, and a wide range of general merchandise. The company also provides digital shopping and fulfillment services that connect in-store operations with online ordering, pickup, and delivery. Through its Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club segments, Walmart Inc. serves consumers and businesses across multiple markets worldwide. Headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, Walmart Inc. plays a central role in everyday retail by combining scale, logistics, and technology to support value-oriented shopping across physical and digital channels.

CEO Mr. John R. Furner · 2,100,000 employees · United States · https://www.stock.walmart.com