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DLTR Stock Forecast: Dollar Tree, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$131
−0.66% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +6.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$24.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
85 / 100
Median analyst target
$140
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$5.0B+7.2% y/y
Operating income$473.3M
Net income$347.3M
Free cash flow$391.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.2%
1M
+1.3%
YTD
+6.5%
1Y
+28.4%
From 52W high
−7.2%
From 52W low
+54.1%
$85
$141
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

DLTR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dollar Tree, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
85 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
93
Value
77
Revisions
71
Issuance
71
Accruals
70
Growth
70
Volatility
68
Momentum
57
Size
9

Quality (93): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (57): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

DLTR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DLTR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26DLTRHigh $170Median $140Low $98

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
10 Buy15 Hold3 Sell
Low $98Median $140High $170

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$114 → $121
28 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$130 → $145
28 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$145 → $150
25 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$135 → $145
25 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$136 → $138
19 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold$85 → $135
19 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold—
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$145 → $155
11 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsUnderperform$90 → $98
11 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsUnderperform—
31 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform$124 → $127
31 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 July 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral—
8 July 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral$105 → $125
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$140
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$160 → $170
29 May 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsUnderperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DLTR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

DLTR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Dollar Tree, Inc. returned +28.4% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

DLTR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26DLTRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

DLTR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.4%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.1×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / book
7.3×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
173.1%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.9%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.2%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Net margin
8.0%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
46.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.3%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. has a market value of $24.7B and an enterprise value of $30.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $19.7B. The latest quarter grew 7.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.3B, a 6.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $1.6B, after $1.1B of capital spending.

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. spent $1.7B on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 193.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.1×; forward P/E: 16.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. employs 150,000 people — $132K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

DLTR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$24.7B
85
DGDollar General Corp.$28.8B
83
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$11.8B
65
TGTTarget Corp.$74.0B
94
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.4B
36
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.3B
57
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$4.5B
39

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dollar Tree, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest DLTR news & analysis

Dollar General and Dollar Tree Are Recovering, But Not for the Same Reason

MarketBeat · 31 Aug 2026positive

The report notes that after years of store rationalizations, divestitures, concept launches, and streamlined operations, dollar-store chains including Dollar Tree appear better positioned to recover value lost over the past few years.

Why it matters — For Dollar Tree watchers, the article signals that the company's restructuring efforts may be starting to pay off in terms of regaining lost value.

Party balloons could become a ‘luxury' as the Iran war spurs a helium shortage

Market Watch · 30 Aug 2026negative

Dollar Tree said a helium shortage, spurred by the Iran war, has hit sales of its balloons and party supplies. Researchers noted this could foreshadow higher costs for other industries that depend on the gas.

Why it matters — A helium squeeze could pressure Dollar Tree's party-supply sales and potentially raise its costs, a category tied to store traffic.

Two Dollar Stores Beat on Sales. Only One Got Punished, and Cramer Says This Is Why.

24/7 Wall Street · 28 Aug 2026negative

Two dollar store chains beat earnings expectations on the same day, yet the one with stronger comparable sales saw its stock fall while the weaker performer rose. Jim Cramer attributes the divergent market reaction to a years-old mistake that he says is still influencing the stock's performance.

Why it matters — Dollar Tree investors would care because the article suggests the company's stock is being weighed down by a long-standing misstep despite beating earnings and delivering stronger sales.

Dollar Stores See High-Income Shoppers Hunting Value

PYMNTS · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Dollar stores are seeing increased business from middle- and high-income households, while their traditional low-income customers remain under pressure from the cost of necessities. This dual trend was reflected in second-quarter earnings results reported by Dollar General and Dollar Tree.

Why it matters — The shift in customer demographics, with more high-income shoppers seeking value alongside financially strained low-income customers, could affect Dollar Tree's customer mix and sales dynamics.

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Dollar Tree, Inc. held its Q2 2027 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of the event. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter financial results and management commentary.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides DLTR watchers with direct insight into the company's latest quarterly performance and management's perspective.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about DLTR stock

What is the DLTR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $98 to $170. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is DLTR stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dollar Tree, Inc. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank DLTR?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Dollar Tree, Inc. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (93 of 100).

Will DLTR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +6.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dollar Tree, Inc. 85 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the DLTR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Dollar Tree, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DLTR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $98 to $170 over the next 12 months.

How has DLTR stock performed over the past year?

Dollar Tree, Inc. returned +28.4% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Dollar Tree, Inc. do?

Dollar Tree Inc. is a North American value retailer that operates discount variety stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada banners.

What is the latest news on DLTR?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 Aug 2026): "Dollar General and Dollar Tree Are Recovering, But Not for the Same Reason". The report notes that after years of store rationalizations, divestitures, concept launches, and streamlined operations, dollar-store chains including Dollar Tree appear better positioned to recover value lost over the past few years.

Company

About Dollar Tree, Inc.

Dollar Tree Inc. is a North American value retailer that operates discount variety stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada banners. The company focuses on everyday essentials and impulse items sold at low opening price points, including consumables, household goods, health and beauty products, seasonal merchandise, party supplies, crafts, toys, snacks, and home décor. Its store model is built around convenience, frequent new product assortments, and a broad selection tailored to budget-conscious shoppers. Dollar Tree Inc. also supports its retail network through distribution centers and an online shopping platform, serving customers across the United States and Canada. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, Dollar Tree Inc. plays a significant role in the consumer staples retail segment by providing accessible, high-turnover merchandise in small-box neighborhood formats.

CEO Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr. · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.dollartree.com