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DLTR Stock Forecast: Dollar Tree, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$132
+2.38% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $130 — -1.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$25.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
87 / 100
Median analyst target
$130
Analysts covering
27
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.6%
1M
+4.6%
YTD
+6.9%
1Y
+16.8%
From 52W high
−6.9%
From 52W low
+54.6%
$85
$141
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

DLTR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dollar Tree, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
87 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Quality
86
Accruals
86
Revisions
81
Value
70
Momentum
54
Volatility
53
Growth
43
Size
9

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (43): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

DLTR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DLTR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26DLTRHigh $170Median $130Low $98

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says27 analysts
10 Buy14 Hold3 Sell
Low $98Median $130High $170

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold$85 → $135
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$145 → $155
11 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsUnderperform—
11 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsUnderperform$90 → $98
31 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform—
31 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform$124 → $127
8 July 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral—
8 July 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral$105 → $125
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$140
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$160 → $170
29 May 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsUnderperform—
29 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
28 May 2026Freedom BrokerDowngradeHold—
27 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
27 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DLTR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

DLTR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.6%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.1×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / book
7.3×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.2×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.2%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.9%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
6.5%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.0%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.7%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

DLTR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$25.3B
87
DGDollar General Corp.$27.2B
75
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$12.3B
68
TGTTarget Corp.$74.9B
96
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.5B
33
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.3B
61
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$4.7B
31

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dollar Tree, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest DLTR news & analysis

Dollar Tree Q2 Earnings Around the Corner: What Should Investors Know?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Dollar Tree's (DLTR) Q2 results are expected to show sales and earnings growth, with store optimization, category initiatives, and market gains shaping the company's outlook ahead of the earnings release.

Why it matters — DLTR watchers would care because the upcoming Q2 report offers a key indicator of whether the company's store optimization and category strategies are translating into financial growth.

Bet on These 3 Stocks After Recent Broker Rating Upgrades

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Zacks reported that Dollar Tree is among stocks that recently received broker rating upgrades, citing projected solid earnings growth. The company was highlighted alongside Darling Ingredients and EnerSys following the upgrades.

Why it matters — A broker rating upgrade and positive earnings-growth outlook may raise investor attention and confidence in Dollar Tree's stock.

Are These Top Stocks The Next AI Productivity Beneficiaries?

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026neutral

The article discusses how AI's next phase may benefit established businesses that use automation to lower costs, improve productivity, and strengthen margins. Goldman Sachs has identified labor-intensive companies with substantial wage exposure to AI automation, and a Quant system narrows potential beneficiaries to those with strong fundamentals.

Why it matters — A Dollar Tree watcher would care because the retailer is a labor-intensive business that could be identified as a potential AI productivity beneficiary if it leverages automation to reduce costs and improve margins.

Dollar Tree, Inc. to Host Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Dollar Tree, Inc. announced it will report financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, ended August 1, 2026, before the stock market opens on Thursday, August 27, 2026. The company will then hold an earnings conference call at 8 a.m. ET, with CEO Mike Creedon and CFO Stewart Glendinning discussing the results and leading a question-and-answer session.

Why it matters — Dollar Tree watchers would care because the conference call offers a scheduled opportunity to hear the company's leadership discuss the second-quarter results and respond to investor and analyst questions directly.

Dollar Tree Stock May Not Be a Good Bargain This Month

Schaeffers Research · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Schaeffers Research published a note questioning whether Dollar Tree stock is a good bargain this month, while the stock traded up 1.2% to $130.94.

Why it matters — The analysis provides a cautious view on Dollar Tree's near-term value, which DLTR watchers may weigh against the stock's modest gain.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about DLTR stock

What is the DLTR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $130, with estimates ranging from $98 to $170. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is DLTR stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering Dollar Tree, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dollar Tree, Inc. 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank DLTR?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Dollar Tree, Inc. ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will DLTR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies -1.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dollar Tree, Inc. 87 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the DLTR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Dollar Tree, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DLTR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $98 to $170 over the next 12 months.

How has DLTR stock performed over the past year?

Dollar Tree, Inc. returned +16.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Dollar Tree, Inc. do?

Dollar Tree, Inc. is a discount retail company that operates a large network of variety stores across the United States and Canada.

What is the latest news on DLTR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Aug 2026): "Dollar Tree Q2 Earnings Around the Corner: What Should Investors Know?". Zacks Investment Research reports that Dollar Tree's (DLTR) Q2 results are expected to show sales and earnings growth, with store optimization, category initiatives, and market gains shaping the company's outlook ahead of the earnings release.

Company

About Dollar Tree, Inc.

Dollar Tree, Inc. is a discount retail company that operates a large network of variety stores across the United States and Canada. The company focuses on offering everyday merchandise at fixed low price points, targeting value-conscious consumers seeking affordable options for household needs. Its product mix includes consumables such as food, snacks, cleaning supplies, paper products, and health and beauty items, as well as seasonal goods, party supplies, crafts, toys, and general merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. serves a broad customer base that spans urban, suburban, and rural markets, often locating stores in neighborhood and community shopping centers for convenient access. The company’s model emphasizes streamlined assortments, private-label offerings, and high inventory turnover to support consistent value positioning. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, Dollar Tree, Inc. plays a significant role in the North American discount retail sector by providing low-cost shopping alternatives for everyday essentials and discretionary items.

CEO Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr. · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.dollartree.com