TRCTRCIndustrials · Conglomerates

TRC Stock Forecast: Tejon Ranch Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$16
−0.12% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$440.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
80/ 100
Median analyst target
$26
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$14.3M+71.7% y/y
Operating income$348K
Net income$2.6M
Free cash flow−$7.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.9%
1M
−0.6%
YTD
+3.2%
1Y
+4.5%
From 52W high
−20.5%
From 52W low
+4.5%
$16
$20
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TRC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tejon Ranch Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
80/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Growth
94
Revisions
83
Momentum
63
Quality
58
Size
54
Value
53
Issuance
42
Accruals
37

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

TRC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TRC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$14$16$18$20$22$24$26Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TRCHigh $26Median $26Low $26

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Aug 2018Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

TRC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

TRC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Tejon Ranch Co. returned +4.5% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TRC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120125130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TRCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TRC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+63.6%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
73.9×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.7×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
87.8×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
71.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
71.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.4%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.4%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Net margin
10.6%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
1.2%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.3%

Higher than 64% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Tejon Ranch Co. has a market value of $440.4M and an enterprise value of $534.8M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $56.8M. The latest quarter grew 71.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $6.0M, a 10.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.23.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$30.4M, after $39.3M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 27.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 73.9×; forward P/E: 147.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.29%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Tejon Ranch Co. employs 65 people — $874K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TRC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelConglomerates
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TRCTejon Ranch Co.$440.4M80
BOCBoston Omaha Corp.$417.4M63
NNBRNN, Inc.$348.7M83
MATWMatthews International Corp.$611.6M44
FIPFTAI Infrastructure, Inc.$315.5M29
RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.$244.9M99
FBYDFalcon’s Beyond Global, Inc.$851.2M25

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tejon Ranch Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TRC news & analysis

Tejon Ranch: Plenty Of Land, But Patience Has A Price

Seeking Alpha · 19 Oct 2026negative

Seeking Alpha maintains a Hold rating on Tejon Ranch, citing high valuation multiples and inconsistent cash generation despite operational improvements. Its industrial portfolio is fully leased, but rents lag regional peers and recent earnings benefited from a one-time $6.9 million land sale.

Why it matters — TRC watchers may weigh limited core profitability and uncertain rent growth against the company’s fully leased industrial portfolio.

Glenbrook Capital Management Issues Letter to San Juan Royalty Trust Officer Requesting Explanation and Transparency Around Expenses, Capital Expenditures and the Trust's Financial Position

PRNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Glenbrook Capital Management, a unitholder of San Juan Royalty Trust (NYSE: TRC) holding more than 724,000 units, issued a letter to the Trust Officer, Argent Trust Company, requesting enhanced unitholder communication and transparency around the Trust's expenses, capital expenditures, financial position, liquidity, and outstanding credit facility.

Why it matters — A major unitholder is publicly pressing TRC's trust officer for greater disclosure of expenses, capital expenditures and finances, which could direct unitholder attention to the Trust's transparency and liquidity.

Tejon Ranch Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

Tejon Ranch reported second-quarter net income of $2.6 million, or $0.10 per share, versus a $1.7 million loss in the prior-year period. Revenue increased across its operating segments, and the company recorded income from a land contribution to a joint venture with Dedeaux Properties.

Why it matters — The swing to profitability from a year-ago loss, driven by higher segment revenue and the joint-venture land contribution, signals improved financial performance for the company.

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Tejon Ranch Co.'s Q2 2026 earnings call, covering the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and management discussion.

Why it matters — A TRC watcher would use the earnings call transcript for detailed management commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TRC stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TRC?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Tejon Ranch Co. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

What is the TRC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tejon Ranch Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TRC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $26 over the next 12 months.

How has TRC stock performed over the past year?

Tejon Ranch Co. returned +4.5% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tejon Ranch Co. do?

Tejon Ranch Co. is a California-based diversified real estate development and agribusiness company focused on managing and monetizing its extensive land holdings.

What is the latest news on TRC?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 29 Oct 2026): "Tejon Ranch Co. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call". Tejon Ranch Co. announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 operating and financial results before the market opens on November 5, 2026.

Company

About Tejon Ranch Co.

Tejon Ranch Co. is a California-based diversified real estate development and agribusiness company focused on managing and monetizing its extensive land holdings. Its current businesses include commercial and industrial real estate development, resort and residential development, mineral resources, farming, and ranch operations. The company’s land portfolio supports planning, entitlement, leasing, land sales, infrastructure development, and agricultural activities tied to its large private ranch property in the Tejon area. Through these segments, Tejon Ranch Co. serves markets tied to logistics, housing, land use, natural resources, and agricultural production. The company’s role in the financial market is shaped by its combination of real estate assets and land-based operations, making it a distinct participant in California land development and agribusiness.

CEO Mr. Matthew Walker · 65 employees · United States · https://tejonranch.com