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XPOF Stock Forecast: Xponential Fitness, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$5.18
+2.37% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $6.25 — +20.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$257.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
32 / 100
Median analyst target
$6.25
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.4%
1M
−17.5%
YTD
−37.1%
1Y
−40.2%
From 52W high
−42.4%
From 52W low
+21.6%
$4.26
$9.00
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

XPOF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Xponential Fitness, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
32 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
94
Value
90
Size
65
Quality
43
Volatility
34
Growth
29
Revisions
28
Momentum
13
Issuance
8

Accruals (94): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Issuance (8): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

XPOF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XPOF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00$10.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26XPOFHigh $10.00Median $6.25Low $5.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $5.00Median $6.25High $10.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $5.00
10 Aug 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral$7.00 → $5.00
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimDowngradeNeutral—
19 Mar 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
19 Mar 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
12 Mar 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
12 Mar 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
2 Mar 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
27 Feb 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
21 Nov 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
10 Nov 2025GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
17 Oct 2025UBSInitiatesNeutral—
8 Aug 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
12 May 2025GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
14 Mar 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
14 Mar 2025Lake StreetMaintainsBuy—
14 Mar 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
14 Mar 2025StifelDowngradeHold—
23 Jan 2025Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XPOF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

XPOF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
26.6×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.6×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.2×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−13.4%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
67.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Operating margin
18.1%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Net margin
−14.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.7%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.8%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

XPOF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelLeisure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.$257.0M
32
ESCAEscalade, Inc.$288.9M
99
JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.$291.6M
74
FNKOFunko, Inc.$363.5M
98
CLARClarus Corp.$142.5M
90
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.$141.6M
82
PLBYPlayboy, Inc.$140.1M
48

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Xponential Fitness, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest XPOF news & analysis

Xponential Fitness Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026negative

Xponential Fitness reported second-quarter results that fell below its internal expectations, prompting the boutique fitness franchisor to lower its full-year outlook. This came as same-store sales declined, merchandise operations remained under pressure, and the company continued investing in paid marketing and digital initiatives.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would care because the lowered full-year guidance and declining same-store sales suggest weaker near-term performance for the franchisor's core operations.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and management discussion.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would rely on this transcript for direct insight into the company's latest quarterly performance and management commentary.

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

This item reviews Xponential Fitness' second-quarter 2026 results, noting that its top- and bottom-line figures indicate how the business performed during the quarter. It suggests it could be worth examining how some key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would care because the piece examines how the company's key metrics stack up against analyst estimates and prior-year performance for the quarter ended June 2026.

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026negative

Xponential Fitness reported quarterly earnings of $0.02 per share for Q2, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.09 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.26 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would care because the company fell short of analyst expectations and posted a notable year-over-year decline in quarterly earnings, which may reflect on its financial performance.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026negative

Xponential Fitness, Inc. announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. Revenue was $66.0 million, a 13% decrease from the prior-year quarter, while North America system-wide sales were flat at $437.3 million and North America same store sales decreased 6.8% versus growth of 2.4% in Q2 2025.

Why it matters — The results show declines in revenue and same store sales, key indicators of the company's operating performance for XPOF watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about XPOF stock

What is the XPOF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $6.25, with estimates ranging from $5 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is XPOF stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank XPOF?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Xponential Fitness, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (94 of 100).

Will XPOF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +20.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the XPOF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XPOF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $5 to $10 over the next 12 months.

How has XPOF stock performed over the past year?

Xponential Fitness, Inc. returned -40.2% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Xponential Fitness, Inc. do?

Xponential Fitness Inc. is a prominent player in the health and wellness sector, known for its comprehensive franchising model that encompasses a robust portfolio of boutique fitness brands.

What is the latest news on XPOF?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 9 Aug 2026): "Xponential Fitness Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Xponential Fitness reported second-quarter results that fell below its internal expectations, prompting the boutique fitness franchisor to lower its full-year outlook. This came as same-store sales declined, merchandise operations remained under pressure, and the company continued investing in paid marketing and digital initiatives.

Company

About Xponential Fitness, Inc.

Xponential Fitness Inc. is a prominent player in the health and wellness sector, known for its comprehensive franchising model that encompasses a robust portfolio of boutique fitness brands. The company's primary function is to develop and manage high-quality, technologically advanced fitness locations across numerous modalities, such as Pilates, cycling, and yoga. Xponential Fitness plays an influential role in the fitness industry by combining individual studio experiences with the scalability and reach of corporate oversight. Their brands include well-known names such as Pure Barre, Club Pilates, and CycleBar, among others. These fitness studios cater to a diverse customer base, providing personalized workout experiences. Xponential Fitness Inc.'s market role is significant, offering franchise opportunities to entrepreneurs while also tapping into the growing demand for personalized and community-focused fitness solutions. As health and wellness continue to gain importance globally, Xponential Fitness leverages this trend by ensuring its portfolio is both diverse and adaptable to evolving consumer preferences.

CEO Mr. Michael M. Nuzzo · 226 employees · United States · https://www.xponential.com