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XPOF Stock Forecast: Xponential Fitness, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$4.96
+2.27% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $5 — +0.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 29 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$240.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
29 / 100
Median analyst target
$5.00
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$66.0M−13.4% y/y
Operating income$11.0M
Net income−$4.8M
Free cash flow−$4.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.4%
1M
+3.3%
YTD
−39.7%
1Y
−37.1%
From 52W high
−44.9%
From 52W low
+35.9%
$3.65
$9.00
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

XPOF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Xponential Fitness, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
29 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
94
Value
85
Size
65
Quality
43
Growth
29
Revisions
27
Volatility
19
Momentum
11
Issuance
8

Accruals (94): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Issuance (8): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

XPOF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XPOF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XPOFHigh $8.00Median $5.00Low $4.50

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.50Median $5.00High $8.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$7.00 → $4.50
10 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
10 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $5.00
10 Aug 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral—
10 Aug 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral$7.00 → $5.00
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimDowngradeNeutral—
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimDowngradeNeutral—
19 Mar 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
19 Mar 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
12 Mar 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
12 Mar 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
2 Mar 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
27 Feb 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
21 Nov 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
10 Nov 2025GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
17 Oct 2025UBSInitiatesNeutral—
8 Aug 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
12 May 2025GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
9 May 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
14 Mar 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XPOF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

XPOF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Xponential Fitness, Inc. returned −37.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

XPOF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XPOFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

XPOF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−27.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
26.6×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.5×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−13.4%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
67.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Operating margin
18.1%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Net margin
−14.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.7%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.8%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Xponential Fitness, Inc. has a market value of $240.2M and an enterprise value of $661.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $288.5M. The latest quarter shrank 13.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$58.0M, a −20.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.47.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$9.6M.

  • Xponential Fitness, Inc. spent $1.9M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 42.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 26.6×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Xponential Fitness, Inc. employs 226 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

XPOF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelLeisure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.$240.2M
29
ESCAEscalade, Inc.$257.2M
99
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.$205.3M
96
JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.$320.0M
84
FNKOFunko, Inc.$363.5M
98
CLARClarus Corp.$131.3M
91
JOUTJohnson Outdoors, Inc.$459.2M
91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Xponential Fitness, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest XPOF news & analysis

Xponential Fitness outlook hit by weaker sales, slower studio expansion

Proactive Investors · 17 Sept 2026negative

Xponential Fitness lowered its guidance after weaker sales, and UBS cut its price target to $4.50 from $7 amid slower studio expansion. The revised financial year 2026 guidance puts revenue at $250 million to $260 million and EBITDA at $91 million to $97 million.

Why it matters — A XPOF watcher would care because weaker sales, a slower studio rollout, and reduced guidance signal deteriorating growth prospects for the company.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. Appoints Jennifer Ryu as Chief Financial Officer

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026positive

Xponential Fitness, Inc. announced the appointment of Jennifer Ryu as Chief Financial Officer, effective October 19, 2026, following a previously announced search process. She will succeed interim CFO Robert Julian, who will remain a consultant to the company.

Why it matters — A XPOF watcher would care because the company has formally filled its CFO role, providing leadership stability and clarity on the finance function's permanent leadership.

Xponential Fitness Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026negative

Xponential Fitness reported second-quarter results that fell below its internal expectations, prompting the boutique fitness franchisor to lower its full-year outlook. This came as same-store sales declined, merchandise operations remained under pressure, and the company continued investing in paid marketing and digital initiatives.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would care because the lowered full-year guidance and declining same-store sales suggest weaker near-term performance for the franchisor's core operations.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and management discussion.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would rely on this transcript for direct insight into the company's latest quarterly performance and management commentary.

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

This item reviews Xponential Fitness' second-quarter 2026 results, noting that its top- and bottom-line figures indicate how the business performed during the quarter. It suggests it could be worth examining how some key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Why it matters — XPOF watchers would care because the piece examines how the company's key metrics stack up against analyst estimates and prior-year performance for the quarter ended June 2026.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about XPOF stock

What is the XPOF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $4.5 to $8. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is XPOF stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Xponential Fitness, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. 29 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank XPOF?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Xponential Fitness, Inc. ranks 29 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (94 of 100).

Will XPOF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +0.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. 29 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the XPOF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Xponential Fitness, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XPOF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.5 to $8 over the next 12 months.

How has XPOF stock performed over the past year?

Xponential Fitness, Inc. returned -37.1% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Xponential Fitness, Inc. do?

Xponential Fitness Inc Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Xponential Fitness, Inc., a boutique fitness franchisor focused on health and wellness experiences. Xponential Fitness operates a portfolio of studio brands that span Pilates, stretching, yoga, barre, indoor cycling, rowing, boxing-inspired classes, and functional training.

What is the latest news on XPOF?

The most recent item we track (Proactive Investors, 17 Sept 2026): "Xponential Fitness outlook hit by weaker sales, slower studio expansion". Xponential Fitness lowered its guidance after weaker sales, and UBS cut its price target to $4.50 from $7 amid slower studio expansion. The revised financial year 2026 guidance puts revenue at $250 million to $260 million and EBITDA at $91 million to $97 million.

Company

About Xponential Fitness, Inc.

Xponential Fitness Inc Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Xponential Fitness, Inc., a boutique fitness franchisor focused on health and wellness experiences. Xponential Fitness operates a portfolio of studio brands that span Pilates, stretching, yoga, barre, indoor cycling, rowing, boxing-inspired classes, and functional training. Its business centers on franchising fitness concepts to studio operators, supporting a broad network of locations that serve consumers seeking specialized, instructor-led workouts. The company’s brand lineup includes Club Pilates, StretchLab, YogaSix, Pure Barre, CycleBar, Row House, Rumble, AKT, Stride, and BFT, giving it exposure to multiple exercise formats and member demographics. Based in Irvine, California, Xponential Fitness plays a role in the growing boutique fitness market by offering diversified wellness brands through a franchise model.

CEO Mr. Michael M. Nuzzo · 226 employees · United States · https://www.xponential.com