AAPLTechnology · Consumer ElectronicsThe 44 Wall Street analysts covering Apple, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $340 — -0.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Apple, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (36): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
As of 13 October 2026, our factor model ranks Apple 86 of 100 across the US stocks it tracks. The highest family readings carry the rank: Debt/Equity Issuance at 97.5, Quality at 97.4, and Momentum at 96.7. Low Volatility follows at 85.1.
Value is weak at 43.8, and the Investment/Accruals family sits at 36.0 on its check of reported profit. The market-cap factor is near zero because Apple is far larger than most companies we track.
The 44 analysts covering Apple set an average price target of $328.09 and a median of $340, against a last close of $341.27 on 13 October 2026. Their ratings number 6 strong buy, 19 buy, 13 hold, 3 sell, and 3 strong sell. Wall Street's average target sits a little under the current price while the model reads the stock strongly.
Revenue grew 16.4% year over year in the latest quarter, though news reports on 14 October 2026 flag early signs of a weaker 2026 iPhone sales cycle. A slip in margins or a break in the accrual signal would each change the reading, as would new CEO John Ternus taking a more hands-on design role.
As of 14 Oct 2026The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAPL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $340 → $360 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $360 → $355 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Overweight | $360 |
| 23 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 23 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Reiterates | Buy | $370 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $365 → $380 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Reiterates | Buy | $370 |
| 17 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $380 → $370 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Neutral | $303 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $400 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Reiterates | Buy | $366 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AAPL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Apple, Inc. returned +38.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Apple, Inc. has a market value of $5.0T and an enterprise value of $5.0T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $466.8B. The latest quarter grew 16.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $128.9B, a 27.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.72.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $136.7B.
Apple, Inc. spent $82.2B on share buybacks and $15.6B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 39.3×; forward P/E: 35.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.31%, paying out 12% of earnings.
Apple, Inc. employs 150,000 people — $3.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| AAPLApple, Inc. | $5.0T | 86 |
| NVDANVIDIA Corp.* | $5.4T | 76 |
| MSFTMicrosoft Corp.* | $4.0T | 64 |
| AVGOBroadcom Inc.* | $1.6T | 68 |
| MUMicron Technology, Inc.* | $1.0T | 96 |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.* | $930.7B | 67 |
| INTCIntel Corp.* | $518.7B | 70 |
* Nearest Technology names by size — few consumer electronics companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Apple, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The Polen Focus Growth Portfolio returned 4.46% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with 0.92% for the Index. Apple was listed among the quarter’s largest relative detractors, though the excerpt notes that the Portfolio did not own Apple.
Why it matters — The update mentions Apple as a relative detractor despite the Portfolio not holding the stock.
The Motley Fool asks whether Apple can overtake Nvidia as the world’s largest company in 2027, noting that Nvidia’s strength is expected to be felt next year as it grows rapidly again. It also says Apple is priced at a major premium to Nvidia.
Why it matters — AAPL watchers may consider the article’s comparison of Apple’s valuation with Nvidia’s and its view of Nvidia’s growth.
During Tim Cook’s 15 years as CEO, Apple’s annual revenue rose from $108 billion to $416 billion, while iPhone sales increased from $47 billion to nearly $210 billion. The item contrasts that growth with the different challenge facing new leader John Ternus.
Why it matters — AAPL watchers may view the figures as context for the scale of growth achieved under Cook and the leadership challenge now facing Ternus.
Apple closed above a US$5 trillion market valuation, becoming the second company to reach the milestone after Nvidia. Its shares finished at a record high as new chief executive John Ternus took charge.
Why it matters — The milestone and record closing share price mark a significant moment for AAPL as leadership transitions to John Ternus.
OpenAI claims a former employee brought confidential documents about an “unreleased device” to Apple. The alleged theft was discovered during a recent, ongoing forensic investigation related to a lawsuit.
Why it matters — The claim involves Apple as the alleged recipient of confidential documents concerning an unreleased device.
The 44 Wall Street analysts covering Apple, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $340, with estimates ranging from $215 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 44 analysts covering Apple, Inc., 25 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 6 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Apple, Inc. 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Apple, Inc. ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 44 analysts implies -0.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Apple, Inc. 86 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Apple, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAPL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $215 to $405 over the next 12 months.
Apple, Inc. returned +38.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Apple designs, makes and sells the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and AirPods, and runs digital services in app distribution, cloud storage, media streaming and subscriptions. It sells to consumers, enterprises, schools and governments across major global markets and is based in Cupertino, California, with about 150,000 employees.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 15 Oct 2026): "Polen Focus Growth Portfolio Q3 2026 Portfolio Update". The Polen Focus Growth Portfolio returned 4.46% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with 0.92% for the Index. Apple was listed among the quarter’s largest relative detractors, though the excerpt notes that the Portfolio did not own Apple.
The Value family, at 43.8 of 100, reflects the shares costing a lot relative to profits and assets, with a trailing price-to-earnings of 39.1 and price-to-book of 46.3. The Quality family, at 97.4, reflects margins that rank above most US stocks, with an operating margin of 32.6%. The two families measure different things.
The market-cap factor at 0.02 of 100 is a size measure against the US stocks Ticker Nerd tracks, not a flaw. Larger companies tend to be more scrutinised and less often mispriced, so the factor reads near the bottom for Apple even as the overall rank is high.
Free cash flow reached $136.7 billion over the twelve months to 30 June 2026, exceeding net income of $128.9 billion. Reported profit is therefore well covered by cash. The Investment/Accruals family at 36.0 still ranks low because it weighs how earnings were counted and how fast the balance sheet is growing.
Apple designs, makes and sells the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and AirPods, and runs digital services in app distribution, cloud storage, media streaming and subscriptions. It sells to consumers, enterprises, schools and governments across major global markets and is based in Cupertino, California, with about 150,000 employees. For the twelve months to 30 June 2026 it posted sales of $466.8 billion.
CEO Mr. John Ternus · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.apple.com
