AAPLTechnology · Consumer ElectronicsThe 43 Wall Street analysts covering Apple, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $340 — -2.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Apple, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (38): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
As of 31 October 2026, our factor model ranks Apple 85.7 out of 100 within the US stocks it tracks. Quality (97.2) and Debt and Equity Issuance (97.5) are the strongest families, backed by a 50.1% gross margin and buybacks that keep shrinking the share count. Momentum (92.9), Estimate Revisions (80.7) and Low Volatility (86.0) support; Growth (67.0) sits mid-pack; Value (39.1), Investment/Accruals (36.9) and Market Cap (0) drag.
The Street's average target is $332.39, below the $344.79 close of 30 October 2026; targets range from $245 to $405, and the median is $337.50. Of the 43 analysts covering Apple, 24 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 13 Hold and 6 Sell or Strong Sell. Our model ranks the shares near the top of its universe while the consensus target sits below the price.
Apple reports quarterly results in the week of 2 November 2026, the first under chief executive John Ternus, with memory costs rising. The Estimate Revisions family is the swing factor: as of 24 September 2026, current-year consensus EPS is $8.82, up 0.7% over 90 days, while next year's $9.55 is down 1.6%. Analyst reaction to the report is what that family measures, so it is the first place a change in the rank would show.
As of 2 Nov 2026The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAPL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $375 → $400 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $330 → $340 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $245 → $261 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $270 → $295 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $360 → $355 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Keybanc | Reiterates | Underweight | $250 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $355 → $350 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Neutral | $303 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $400 → $390 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $296 → $340 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Loop Capital | Downgrade | Hold | $370 → $330 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | MoffettNathanson | Maintains | Neutral | $304 → $283 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $340 → $360 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $360 → $355 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Overweight | $360 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AAPL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Apple, Inc. returned +30.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Apple, Inc. has a market value of $5.1T and an enterprise value of $4.8T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $466.8B. The latest quarter grew 11.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $128.9B, a 27.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.72.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $136.7B.
Apple, Inc. spent $82.2B on share buybacks and $15.6B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 38.9×; forward P/E: 32.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.31%, paying out 12% of earnings.
Apple, Inc. employs 150,000 people — $3.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| AAPLApple, Inc. | $5.1T | 80 |
| NVDANVIDIA Corp.* | $4.8T | 73 |
| MSFTMicrosoft Corp.* | $4.1T | 68 |
| AVGOBroadcom Inc.* | $1.5T | 69 |
| MUMicron Technology, Inc.* | $894.9B | 94 |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.* | $796.9B | 59 |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies, Inc.* | $410.7B | 67 |
* Nearest Technology names by size — few consumer electronics companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Apple, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Apple is about to impose greater restrictions on dating apps and AI companions, according to Fast Company.
Why it matters — The change concerns Apple's policies for app categories available to users.
Apple reported strong iPhone and Mac revenue despite weak smartphone and PC trends. The company also faces several headwinds, and its stock remains pricey after years of multiple expansion.
Why it matters — AAPL watchers may weigh resilient product revenue against the headwinds and elevated valuation described in the article.
Apple is reportedly reducing the daily amount its engineering teams can spend on AI, according to Bloomberg, as reported by TechCrunch. The change comes after the company worked to integrate AI into its engineering processes.
Why it matters — The reported budget change may interest AAPL watchers as a shift in how Apple’s engineering teams use AI.
Apple reversed sharply from a 13-week low to reach a new record high, with renewed demand noted. Traders are watching for potential pullbacks and confirmation of the breakout.
Why it matters — AAPL watchers may track whether the move holds or gives way to a pullback.
Apple shares surged to an all-time high on Wednesday, marking the stock’s best day in over a year and reinforcing its standing as a heavyweight in tech.
Why it matters — AAPL watchers may note the shares’ strong performance as investors seek a safe haven from extensive artificial-intelligence spending.
The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Apple, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $340, with estimates ranging from $250 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 43 analysts covering Apple, Inc., 24 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 6 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Apple, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Apple, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 43 analysts implies -2.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Apple, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Apple, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAPL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $250 to $405 over the next 12 months.
Apple, Inc. returned +30.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Apple designs and sells the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and AirPods, plus software and services including app distribution, cloud storage, media streaming and subscriptions. It sold $466.8 billion in the four quarters through June 2026 and employs about 150,000 people from its base in Cupertino, California.
The most recent item we track (Fast Company, 5 Nov 2026): "Apple is restricting a fast-growing category of apps. Here's what users need to know". Apple is about to impose greater restrictions on dating apps and AI companions, according to Fast Company.
Apple designs and sells the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch and AirPods, plus software and services including app distribution, cloud storage, media streaming and subscriptions. It sold $466.8 billion in the four quarters through June 2026 and employs about 150,000 people from its base in Cupertino, California. Its device-management and other offerings also serve enterprise, education and government customers.
CEO Mr. John Ternus · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.apple.com
