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ABG Stock Forecast: Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$209
−0.15% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $257 — +23.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 58 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
58 / 100
Median analyst target
$257
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$4.1B−0.9% y/y
Operating income$193.8M
Net income$187.8M
Free cash flow$174.3M
Quarterly, 7 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
+0.4%
YTD
−10.3%
1Y
−17.5%
From 52W high
−18.6%
From 52W low
+18.3%
$176
$256
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ABG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
58 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
98
Volatility
82
Revisions
66
Issuance
58
Quality
57
Momentum
49
Growth
33
Accruals
32
Size
27

Value (98): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (27): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ABG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ABG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ABGHigh $315Median $257Low $190

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $190Median $257High $315

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy$300
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$220 → $230
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$220 → $190
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$212 → $250
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$225 → $265
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$235 → $225
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$202 → $221
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
2 June 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
27 May 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
7 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
17 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
8 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
7 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ABG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ABG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. returned −17.5% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ABG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ABGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ABG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.3%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.8×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.1×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.3%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−25.0%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.7%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.1%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.8%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.2%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 8% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. has a market value of $3.7B and an enterprise value of $9.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $18.0B. The latest quarter grew 0.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $547.7M, a 3.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $28.25.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $540.6M.

  • Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. spent $257.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 18.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 7.8×; forward P/E: 6.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.43%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. employs 15,000 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ABG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$3.7B
58
VVVValvoline, Inc.$3.9B
52
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.3B
68
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.$3.3B
36
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.7B
90
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.$2.4B
64
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.0B
58

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ABG news & analysis

Asbury Automotive Group Announces Appointment of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026neutral

Asbury Automotive Group announced the appointment of a Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, as reported by Business Wire. The announcement was made from the company's headquarters in Atlanta.

Why it matters — A leadership appointment to the HR role signals an update to Asbury's executive team that could be of interest to those following the company's organizational structure.

Why Is Asbury Automotive (ABG) Down 15.5% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026negative

Asbury Automotive Group reported earnings roughly 30 days ago, and the stock has since declined 15.5%. The article examines what may come next for the company following that report.

Why it matters — The significant post-earnings share-price decline signals investor concerns that ABG watchers should track as they assess the company's recent performance and outlook.

Implied Volatility Surging for Asbury Automotive Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026neutral

A Zacks Investment Research article notes that implied volatility is surging for Asbury Automotive Group stock options, suggesting investors should pay close attention to recent movements in the options market.

Why it matters — An ABG watcher would care because rising implied volatility often signals increased uncertainty or impending price movement in the underlying stock.

ABG Q2 Earnings Beat on Used-Vehicle Gains, Revenues Miss

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

Asbury Automotive Group beat earnings expectations in Q2, as gains from used-vehicle profitability offset weaker new-car margins, though the company's revenues fell short of estimates.

Why it matters — An ABG watcher would care because the earnings beat suggests the company's used-vehicle strategy is helping to cushion the impact of narrowing new-car margins, even as top-line revenue growth disappoints.

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 28 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Asbury Automotive Group's Q2 2026 earnings call.

Why it matters — Investors tracking ABG would want to review the earnings call transcript for management's commentary on the company's second-quarter performance and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ABG stock

What is the ABG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $257, with estimates ranging from $190 to $315. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ABG stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. 58 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ABG?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 58 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (98 of 100).

Will ABG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +23.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. 58 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ABG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ABG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $315 over the next 12 months.

How has ABG stock performed over the past year?

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. returned -17.5% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. do?

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. is a franchised automotive retailer that operates a broad network of dealerships and related service businesses across the United States.

What is the latest news on ABG?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 31 Aug 2026): "Asbury Automotive Group Announces Appointment of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer". Asbury Automotive Group announced the appointment of a Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, as reported by Business Wire. The announcement was made from the company's headquarters in Atlanta.

Company

About Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. is a franchised automotive retailer that operates a broad network of dealerships and related service businesses across the United States. Asbury Automotive Group sells new and used vehicles and supports customers throughout the vehicle ownership cycle with financing and insurance products, vehicle maintenance, replacement parts, collision repair, and reconditioning services. The company also offers extended service contracts and other protection products through its Total Care Auto segment, which complements its dealership operations. Its business is built around retail automotive sales, after-sales service, and customer support for a wide range of vehicle brands, including luxury and import models. Headquartered in the Atlanta, Georgia area, Asbury Automotive Group plays a significant role in the U.S. automotive retail market by combining vehicle sales with recurring service and protection offerings.

CEO Mr. Daniel E. Clara · 15,000 employees · United States · https://www.asburyauto.com