VVVVVVConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

VVV Stock Forecast: Valvoline, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$31
+1.13% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Valvoline, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +47.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$45
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$544.6M+24.1% y/y
Operating income$112.3M
Net income$64.5M
Free cash flow$67.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.6%
1M
−7.5%
YTD
+5.1%
1Y
−24.7%
From 52W high
−24.9%
From 52W low
+5.8%
$29
$41
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VVV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valvoline, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
91
Quality
76
Revisions
64
Growth
56
Value
51
Accruals
51
Issuance
37
Momentum
34
Size
27

Volatility (91): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (34): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (27): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VVV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VVV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VVVHigh $49Median $45Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
11 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $45High $49

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$46$49
20 Aug 2026BenchmarkInitiatesBuy$48
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$47$46
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$47$45
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$44$48
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$35$41
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$42$45
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$42$47
29 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral$35
29 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral
28 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight
28 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight$35
11 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy
8 May 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VVV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VVV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Valvoline, Inc. returned −24.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VVV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VVVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VVV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.7%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Valvoline, Inc. (VVV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
37.7×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
11.0×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.1%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
14.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
39.5%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Operating margin
21.0%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
5.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.0%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.6%

Higher than 37% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Valvoline, Inc. (VVV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Valvoline, Inc. has a market value of $3.9B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 24.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $101.5M, a 5.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.80.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $135.3M.

  • Valvoline, Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 127.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 37.7×; forward P/E: 15.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.64%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Valvoline, Inc. employs 10,600 people $185K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VVV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VVVValvoline, Inc.$3.9B
52
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$3.9B
58
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.3B
68
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.$3.3B
36
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.7B
90
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.$2.4B
64
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.0B
58

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valvoline, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VVV news & analysis

Valvoline Instant Oil Change℠ Named a Top Franchise Brand for Multi-Unit Growth by Entrepreneur Magazine

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Valvoline Inc. announced that its Valvoline Instant Oil Change brand was ranked No. 34 in Entrepreneur magazine's listing of the Top Brands for Multi-Unit Owners. The recognition highlights the franchise system's appeal for prospective franchisees seeking multi-unit ownership and scalable growth.

Why it matters — A favorable ranking from Entrepreneur underscores the strength and attractiveness of Valvoline's franchise system, which supports its multi-unit growth strategy.

Valvoline Inc. to Participate in Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline Inc. announced it will participate in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference on Monday, September 14 at 3:35 p.m. ET. A live audio webcast will be available on the company's investor relations website, with an archived version available afterward.

Why it matters — The announcement signals that Valvoline will be presenting to investors at a major industry conference, offering a venue for company leadership to discuss its business.

Valvoline Announces Pricing and Upsizing of Senior Notes Offering

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline priced a $600 million offering of 6.125% Senior Notes due 2034, up $100 million from the originally planned $500 million offering. The upsized offering is part of a leverage-neutral refinancing transaction aimed at strengthening Valvoline's debt maturity profile.

Why it matters — The upsized note offering and refinancing affect Valvoline's capital structure and debt maturity profile, which are key factors for investors tracking the company's financial positioning.

Valvoline Announces Commencement of Senior Notes Offering

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline announced the commencement of an offering of $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of Senior Notes due 2034. The offering is part of a leverage-neutral coordinated refinancing transaction intended to strengthen the company's debt maturity profile and enhance liquidity. The notes will be unsubordinated unsecured obligations of Valvoline, with certain subsidiary guarantees.

Why it matters — Valvoline watchers would care because this refinancing affects the company's capital structure, debt maturity profile, and liquidity position.

Valvoline Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

Valvoline reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 sales and profit growth that management said met expectations, driven by higher pricing, transaction growth, and continued network expansion. The company also raised its full-year same-store-sales outlook while managing rising lubricant costs tied to constrained Group III base oil supply.

Why it matters — The raised full-year same-store-sales outlook and on-target quarterly growth signal continued operational momentum for Valvoline despite broader cost pressures.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VVV stock

What is the VVV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Valvoline, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $35 to $49. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VVV stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Valvoline, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valvoline, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VVV?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Valvoline, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (91 of 100).

Will VVV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +47.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valvoline, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VVV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valvoline, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VVV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $49 over the next 12 months.

How has VVV stock performed over the past year?

Valvoline, Inc. returned -24.7% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valvoline, Inc. do?

Valvoline Inc. is a vehicle maintenance services company focused on quick, convenient preventive care for passenger cars, light trucks, and other vehicles.

What is the latest news on VVV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 2 Sept 2026): "Valvoline Instant Oil Change℠ Named a Top Franchise Brand for Multi-Unit Growth by Entrepreneur Magazine". Valvoline Inc. announced that its Valvoline Instant Oil Change brand was ranked No. 34 in Entrepreneur magazine's listing of the Top Brands for Multi-Unit Owners. The recognition highlights the franchise system's appeal for prospective franchisees seeking multi-unit ownership and scalable growth.

Company

About Valvoline, Inc.

Valvoline Inc. is a vehicle maintenance services company focused on quick, convenient preventive care for passenger cars, light trucks, and other vehicles. Through its company-operated and franchised service centers, Valvoline provides oil changes, fluid exchanges, battery replacement, tire rotation, filter changes, wiper blade replacement, and other manufacturer-recommended maintenance services. Its retail network serves drivers across the United States and Canada under banners such as Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Great Canadian Oil Change. The company’s business is centered on fast service delivery and routine vehicle upkeep, making it a significant player in the automotive aftermarket and quick-lube market. Valvoline Inc. is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

CEO Ms. Lori A. Flees · 10,600 employees · United States · https://www.valvoline.com