VVVVVVConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

VVV Stock Forecast: Valvoline, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$34
+0.47% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Valvoline, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +32.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$45
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
−13.9%
YTD
+16.9%
1Y
−12.6%
From 52W high
−16.5%
From 52W low
+17.7%
$29
$41
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VVV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valvoline, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Quality
77
Revisions
65
Growth
57
Accruals
51
Value
47
Momentum
47
Issuance
37
Size
26

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (37): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (26): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VVV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VVV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VVVHigh $48Median $45Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says16 analysts
12 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $45High $48

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Aug 2026BenchmarkInitiatesBuy$48
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$47$46
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$47$45
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$44$48
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$35$41
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$42$45
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
20 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$42$47
29 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral$35
29 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral
28 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight
28 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight$35
11 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy
8 May 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight
8 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VVV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

VVV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.6%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Valvoline, Inc. (VVV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
41.9×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
12.3×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.9×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.1%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
14.2%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Gross margin
39.5%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Operating margin
21.0%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
5.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.0%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 35% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

VVV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.3B
56
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.1B
71
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$4.0B
58
CARGCargurus, Inc.$3.3B
99
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.$3.1B
37
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$6.2B
92
ANAutoNation, Inc.$6.8B
59

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valvoline, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VVV news & analysis

Valvoline Announces Pricing and Upsizing of Senior Notes Offering

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline priced a $600 million offering of 6.125% Senior Notes due 2034, up $100 million from the originally planned $500 million offering. The upsized offering is part of a leverage-neutral refinancing transaction aimed at strengthening Valvoline's debt maturity profile.

Why it matters — The upsized note offering and refinancing affect Valvoline's capital structure and debt maturity profile, which are key factors for investors tracking the company's financial positioning.

Valvoline Announces Commencement of Senior Notes Offering

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline announced the commencement of an offering of $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of Senior Notes due 2034. The offering is part of a leverage-neutral coordinated refinancing transaction intended to strengthen the company's debt maturity profile and enhance liquidity. The notes will be unsubordinated unsecured obligations of Valvoline, with certain subsidiary guarantees.

Why it matters — Valvoline watchers would care because this refinancing affects the company's capital structure, debt maturity profile, and liquidity position.

Valvoline Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

Valvoline reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 sales and profit growth that management said met expectations, driven by higher pricing, transaction growth, and continued network expansion. The company also raised its full-year same-store-sales outlook while managing rising lubricant costs tied to constrained Group III base oil supply.

Why it matters — The raised full-year same-store-sales outlook and on-target quarterly growth signal continued operational momentum for Valvoline despite broader cost pressures.

Valvoline (VVV) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Valvoline (VVV) reported its earnings for the quarter ended June 2026. The report examines how the company's key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures.

Why it matters — VVV watchers would care because the report highlights how the company's key metrics stack up against analyst expectations and prior-year performance for the recent quarter.

Franchise Equity Partners Marks 50-Location Milestone with Velocity Auto Care Expansion

PRNewsWire · 5 Aug 2026positive

Franchise Equity Partners announced that its portfolio company Velocity Auto Care has reached 50 Valvoline Instant Oil Change service centers, with the newest location in Edinburg, Texas. The milestone follows the December 2024 acquisition of 38 franchise locations from Valvoline, and the company plans to add 18 more service centers through 2027.

Why it matters — The expansion shows continued growth of the Valvoline Instant Oil Change franchise network under new ownership, with Velocity Auto Care nearly doubling its footprint since acquiring 38 locations in 2024.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VVV stock

What is the VVV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Valvoline, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $35 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VVV stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Valvoline, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valvoline, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VVV?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Valvoline, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will VVV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +32.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valvoline, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VVV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valvoline, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VVV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $48 over the next 12 months.

How has VVV stock performed over the past year?

Valvoline, Inc. returned -12.6% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valvoline, Inc. do?

Valvoline Inc. is a leading automotive preventive maintenance company operating through a network of company-owned and franchised retail locations across the United States and Canada.

What is the latest news on VVV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 13 Aug 2026): "Valvoline Announces Pricing and Upsizing of Senior Notes Offering". Valvoline priced a $600 million offering of 6.125% Senior Notes due 2034, up $100 million from the originally planned $500 million offering. The upsized offering is part of a leverage-neutral refinancing transaction aimed at strengthening Valvoline's debt maturity profile.

Company

About Valvoline, Inc.

Valvoline Inc. is a leading automotive preventive maintenance company operating through a network of company-owned and franchised retail locations across the United States and Canada. The company specializes in quick-service oil changes, typically completed in approximately 15 minutes while customers remain in their vehicles. Valvoline's service offerings encompass a comprehensive range of automotive maintenance solutions, including full-service oil changes with Valvoline brand oil, battery replacements, bulb and wiper replacements, tire rotations, differential fluid service, fuel system cleaning, transmission service, air conditioning maintenance, and air filter replacement. Each full-service oil change includes an 18-point maintenance check to identify additional maintenance needs. The company operates and franchises approximately 2,200 retail locations under the Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Valvoline Great Canadian Oil Change brands. Additionally, Valvoline produces and markets automotive maintenance products including motor oils, antifreeze and coolants, transmission fluids, gear oils, filters, and related products. Founded in 1866 and headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky, Valvoline serves the passenger car and light truck market, with the majority of its revenue generated from operations in the United States.

CEO Ms. Lori A. Flees · 10,600 employees · United States · https://www.valvoline.com