ANConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck DealershipsThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering AutoNation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $218 — +21.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 27 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AutoNation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (82): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $300 → $250 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $248 → $213 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $260 → $230 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $210 → $185 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $250 → $175 |
| 21 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $290 → $255 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $241 → $246 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $220 → $232 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $240 → $250 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $287 → $290 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $235 → $210 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $202 → $224 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $255 → $260 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, AutoNation, Inc. returned −8.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 91% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
AutoNation, Inc. has a market value of $5.9B and an enterprise value of $16.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $27.5B. The latest quarter shrank 0.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $679.0M, a 2.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.46.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: −$104.0M, after $290.6M of capital spending.
AutoNation, Inc. spent $872.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.6×; forward P/E: 7.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.76%, paying out 0% of earnings.
AutoNation, Inc. employs 24,800 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AutoNation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The headline identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of AutoNation, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call; no call details are included in the provided text.
Why it matters — AN watchers can use the transcript to review management's discussion, but the excerpt provides no specific financial or operating information.
AutoNation missed earnings expectations, while sales exceeded expectations. The company has repurchased 9% of its shares so far this year and plans additional buybacks equal to 17%.
Why it matters — AN watchers may note the contrasting earnings and sales results alongside the company's announced share repurchase plans.
Seeking Alpha says AutoNation’s Q3 adjusted EPS rose 2% year over year, while service revenue and profits showed resilience amid weak vehicle sales. The article highlights service operations’ 51% share of gross profit and notes the stock had declined 14%.
Why it matters — The service business’s contribution to gross profit is presented as a source of durability when vehicle sales are weak.
AutoNation reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted EPS of $5.11, up 2% year over year and marking its seventh consecutive quarter of adjusted EPS growth. Management said record after-sales profit, captive finance growth and share repurchases offset lower vehicle sales amid sluggish demand.
Why it matters — AN watchers may note continued adjusted EPS growth despite softer vehicle sales, supported by strength in after-sales and captive finance.
Zacks Investment Research says AutoNation’s Q3 revenue and EPS provide a view of performance for the quarter ended September 2026, while highlighting that key metrics can also be compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures.
Why it matters — Those comparisons offer AN watchers additional context for assessing the quarter’s results.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering AutoNation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $218, with estimates ranging from $175 to $300. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering AutoNation, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AutoNation, Inc. 27 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, AutoNation, Inc. ranks 27 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (82 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +21.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AutoNation, Inc. 27 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AutoNation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $300 over the next 12 months.
AutoNation, Inc. returned -8.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
AutoNation, Inc. is an automotive retailer that operates a broad network of franchised dealerships and related service businesses across the United States.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 Oct 2026): "AutoNation, Inc. (AN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". The headline identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of AutoNation, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call; no call details are included in the provided text.
AutoNation, Inc. is an automotive retailer that operates a broad network of franchised dealerships and related service businesses across the United States. The company sells new and pre-owned vehicles through domestic, import, and premium luxury franchises, serving a wide range of consumer brands and market segments. Its operations also include automotive parts and repair, maintenance services, collision centers, and vehicle protection products, creating a connected retail and aftersales platform for car owners. AutoNation further supports customers through finance-related offerings, including indirect vehicle financing through AutoNation Finance and other financing arrangements. Headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, AutoNation plays a significant role in the U.S. automotive retail market by combining vehicle sales, service, and financing within a single customer-focused business model.
CEO Mr. Michael M. Manley · 24,800 employees · United States · https://www.autonation.com
