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KMX Stock Forecast: CarMax, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$60
−0.22% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering CarMax, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $55 — -8.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$8.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$55
Analysts covering
19
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.0%
1M
+7.5%
YTD
+55.1%
1Y
+3.1%
From 52W high
−3.6%
From 52W low
+94.0%
$31
$62
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KMX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores CarMax, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Revisions
92
Accruals
75
Value
53
Momentum
46
Volatility
43
Quality
38
Growth
24
Size
18

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (24): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

KMX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KMX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26KMXHigh $96Median $55Low $33

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says19 analysts
3 Buy14 Hold2 Sell
Low $33Median $55High $96

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −8.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral$38 → $60
21 July 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight—
21 July 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight$37 → $61
23 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$35 → $44
23 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
23 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$42 → $57
22 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
22 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$31 → $37
18 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$40 → $45
18 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
18 June 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
18 June 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$48 → $55
18 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$45 → $58
18 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
18 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$37 → $38
18 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
18 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$38 → $43
18 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
18 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KMX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

KMX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+16.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
37.2×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
26.4×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.5%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−11.8%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Gross margin
10.7%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.4%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
0.8%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
3.6%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.6%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

KMX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.5B
63
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$8.6B
44
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.2B
59
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$6.4B
93
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.4B
59
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.4B
73
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.3B
57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own CarMax, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KMX news & analysis

CarMax Named one of the 2026 PEOPLE® Companies That Care

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026positive

CarMax has been named one of the 2026 PEOPLE Companies That Care, ranking #70 and marking its seventh appearance on the list. The recognition, presented by PEOPLE magazine and Great Place To Work, highlights CarMax's people-first culture and commitment to supporting its communities.

Why it matters — The recognition reflects positively on CarMax's workplace culture and community engagement, which a KMX observer would see as affirming the company's employee- and community-focused reputation.

CARMAX, INC. (NYSE: KMX) SHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION ALERT: Bernstein Liebhard Investigates Potential Breaches of Fiduciary Duty

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026negative

Bernstein Liebhard LLP announced it is investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duty by certain directors and officers of CarMax, Inc. The law firm is seeking to determine whether the company's leadership fulfilled its obligations to shareholders and whether legal remedies may be available.

Why it matters — The shareholder investigation raises questions about potential legal exposure and governance concerns involving CarMax's directors and officers.

New Strong Buy Stocks for August 12th

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

On August 12, 2026, CarMax (KMX) was added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List, along with CNR, IX, THC, and SOLS, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A KMX watcher would care because the stock's inclusion on Zacks' Strong Buy list reflects a top-ranked assessment by the research firm.

CarMax (KMX) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026positive

Zacks highlighted CarMax (KMX) as a top-ranked value stock using its Style Scores system, which helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on their investing style.

Why it matters — KMX watchers would care because Zacks' screening tool is flagging the stock as a leading value pick among its peers.

CarMax Teams with Sierra to Enhance Inbound Sales Call Experience

GlobeNewsWire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

CarMax announced it is working with Sierra on its inbound sales call experience, deploying Sierra's AI voice-enabled agents in May to help customers reach the right destination or speak with an associate faster and more consistently regardless of call volume, time, or time zone.

Why it matters — KMX watchers would care because CarMax is investing in AI technology to improve customer service efficiency and call handling during its inbound sales operations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KMX stock

What is the KMX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering CarMax, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $55, with estimates ranging from $33 to $96. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is KMX stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering CarMax, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks CarMax, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KMX?

As at 15 Aug 2026, CarMax, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will KMX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies -8.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks CarMax, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the KMX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering CarMax, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KMX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $33 to $96 over the next 12 months.

How has KMX stock performed over the past year?

CarMax, Inc. returned +3.1% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does CarMax, Inc. do?

CarMax Inc. is a leading U.S.

What is the latest news on KMX?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 12 Aug 2026): "CarMax Named one of the 2026 PEOPLE® Companies That Care". CarMax has been named one of the 2026 PEOPLE Companies That Care, ranking #70 and marking its seventh appearance on the list. The recognition, presented by PEOPLE magazine and Great Place To Work, highlights CarMax's people-first culture and commitment to supporting its communities.

Company

About CarMax, Inc.

CarMax Inc. is a leading U.S. used-vehicle retailer and automotive services company headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. The company operates a nationwide network of stores and a digital platform that together provide a large selection of used cars, trucks, and SUVs across multiple makes and price points. CarMax focuses on a standardized, customer-centric buying experience, supported by vehicle inspection, reconditioning, and in-house service capabilities. Its business is organized around CarMax Sales Operations, which covers merchandising, retail sales, wholesale auctions, and vehicle servicing, and CarMax Auto Finance, which provides financing solutions to qualifying customers purchasing vehicles through its retail channel. The company also sells extended service plans and related protection products, expanding its role beyond simple vehicle sales. By combining physical locations with online tools that allow customers to browse inventory, secure financing, and complete purchases remotely, CarMax plays a significant role in the U.S. automotive retail market and the broader consumer credit ecosystem.

CEO Mr. Keith Barr · 28,000 employees · United States · https://www.carmax.com