KMXConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck DealershipsThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering CarMax, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — +11.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores CarMax, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Quality (37): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KMX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $50 → $65 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | $45 → $50 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $64 → $70 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $61 → $67 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Underperform | $33 → $48 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Underperform | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $47 → $53 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $45 → $56 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $50 → $60 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $57 → $62 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $66 → $74 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $44 → $47 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
KMX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, CarMax, Inc. returned +32.8% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 89% of US stocks
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
CarMax, Inc. has a market value of $7.9B and an enterprise value of $25.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $26.3B. The latest quarter grew 17.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $222.5M, a 0.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.53.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $994.3M, after $507.6M of capital spending.
CarMax, Inc. spent $441.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 26.3×; forward P/E: 15.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
CarMax, Inc. employs 28,000 people — $941K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own CarMax, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlighted CarMax among five stocks it said stand out for superior efficiency ratios and strong earnings surprises.
Why it matters — The item identifies CarMax's efficiency ratios and earnings surprises as notable factors for investors following KMX.
The headline asks why CarMax shares are down 2% since its last earnings report. The excerpt says CarMax reported earnings 30 days ago and asks what may come next for the stock, but provides no explanation for the decline.
Why it matters — KMX watchers are given the reported share move and timing, but the excerpt does not identify its cause or what may follow.
Zacks Investment Research presents CarMax (KMX) as a top-ranked value stock and highlights its Style Scores as a feature of the Zacks Premium research service.
Why it matters — The item draws attention to a Zacks value-stock ranking and research tool relevant to those following KMX.
CarMax is described as making progress in its turnaround, with comparable sales and EPS beating expectations despite layoffs and a difficult used-car market. Profit growth is increasingly supported by financing and warranties, alongside cost-cutting, competitive pricing, and value-added services.
Why it matters — The update highlights improving sales momentum and profitability, while showing that financing and warranty income are becoming more important to KMX's results.
CarMax was named to Fortune’s 2026 Best Workplaces in Retail list for the 12th consecutive year, ranking sixth in the large company category.
Why it matters — The recognition highlights CarMax’s workplace reputation and its stated commitment to supporting associates.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering CarMax, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $43 to $96. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering CarMax, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks CarMax, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, CarMax, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +11.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks CarMax, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering CarMax, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KMX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $96 over the next 12 months.
CarMax, Inc. returned +32.8% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
CarMax Inc. is a leading used vehicle retailer in the United States that offers a broad selection of pre-owned cars, trucks, and SUVs through a combination of physical stores and digital shopping tools.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Oct 2026): "Buy These 5 Top-Ranked Stocks With Superior Financial Efficiency". Zacks Investment Research highlighted CarMax among five stocks it said stand out for superior efficiency ratios and strong earnings surprises.
CarMax Inc. is a leading used vehicle retailer in the United States that offers a broad selection of pre-owned cars, trucks, and SUVs through a combination of physical stores and digital shopping tools. The company’s core business centers on buying, reconditioning, merchandising, and selling used vehicles, supported by vehicle service offerings and customer-friendly pricing. CarMax Inc. also operates CarMax Auto Finance, which provides financing solutions for retail vehicle buyers, adding an integrated lending component to its marketplace. In addition, the company participates in wholesale vehicle auctions, helping move inventory across its nationwide network. Its business model is built around a streamlined, omnichannel car-buying experience that serves individual consumers across multiple stages of ownership and financing. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, CarMax Inc. plays a major role in automotive retail and used-vehicle finance.
CEO Mr. Keith Barr · 28,000 employees · United States · https://www.carmax.com
