The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $458 — +27.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Lithia Motors, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (86): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LAD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $360 → $415 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $400 → $470 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $325 → $340 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $365 → $455 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $400 → $475 |
| 30 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Downgrade | Neutral | $370 → $440 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $306 → $395 |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $370 → $360 |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $348 → $370 |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $350 → $417 |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $305 → $306 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LAD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. returned +4.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Lithia Motors, Inc. has a market value of $7.9B and an enterprise value of $24.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $37.9B. The latest quarter grew 2.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $720.1M, a 1.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $30.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$504.3M, after $355.5M of capital spending.
Lithia Motors, Inc. spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $52.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 11.8×; forward P/E: 8.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.78%, paying out 7% of earnings.
Lithia Motors, Inc. employs 30,000 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Lithia Motors, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Lithia Motors, the largest automotive retailer in the United States, reported a record quarter that sustains the bullish case for shareholders, who have recently benefited from strong stock performance.
Why it matters — A record quarter reinforces investor confidence in the company's ongoing growth and market-leading position in U.S. auto retail.
Lithia & Driveway announced the acquisition of Rockwall Hyundai in Rockwall, Texas, as part of its ongoing strategic network expansion. The dealership is expected to bring approximately $75 million in annualized revenue.
Why it matters — The acquisition demonstrates Lithia's continued network growth in Texas, which supports its strategic expansion and adds meaningful revenue to its dealership portfolio.
Lithia & Driveway announced it is investing $500,000 through its Lithia4Kids Community Giving Grants to support more than 200 nonprofit youth and community organizations nationwide. The grants will fund local initiatives including schools, children's hospitals, and youth enrichment programs in communities the company serves.
Why it matters — The investment highlights Lithia's corporate social responsibility and community engagement, reinforcing the company's brand and ties within the markets it operates.
Lithia Motors reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has fallen 8.4% since that report. The article questions whether the stock can rebound from this decline.
Why it matters — A LAD watcher would care because the stock's decline since the last earnings report raises questions about near-term performance and investor confidence.
On Tuesday, risk appetite returned to high-beta auto retail names, with Carvana jumping 5% while CarMax and Lithia Motors inched higher. The move reflects renewed investor interest in the sector's more volatile stocks.
Why it matters — Lithia Motors shares rose modestly alongside the broader auto retail sector, signaling improved investor sentiment toward the industry even as the bulk of gains went to higher-beta peers.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $458, with estimates ranging from $340 to $525. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Sept 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (86 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +27.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Lithia Motors, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LAD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $340 to $525 over the next 12 months.
Lithia Motors, Inc. returned +4.9% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 9 Sept 2026): "Lithia's Record Quarter Keeps the Bull Case Alive". Lithia Motors, the largest automotive retailer in the United States, reported a record quarter that sustains the bullish case for shareholders, who have recently benefited from strong stock performance.
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support. Through its Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations segments, the company serves consumers across physical dealership locations and digital platforms, including its Driveway and GreenCars brands. Lithia Motors also offers fleet management and leasing-related services, making it a broad provider across the vehicle ownership lifecycle. Headquartered in Medford, Oregon, Lithia Motors operates across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and plays a significant role in the retail automotive market by connecting manufacturers, lenders, and customers through an integrated sales, service, and finance model.
CEO Mr. Bryan B. DeBoer · 30,000 employees · United States · https://www.lithia.com
