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LADConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

LAD Stock Forecast: Lithia Motors, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$360
+0.63% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $458 — +27.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$7.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
$458
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$9.8B+2.2% y/y
Operating income$396.0M
Net income$261.6M
Free cash flow−$122.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.9%
1M
−4.6%
YTD
+9.0%
1Y
+8.7%
From 52W high
−15.6%
From 52W low
+48.8%
$242
$427
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LAD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Lithia Motors, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
86
Value
74
Momentum
73
Issuance
60
Volatility
46
Quality
36
Growth
25
Accruals
25
Size
17

Revisions (86): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

LAD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LAD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$300$400$500$600Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26LADHigh $525Median $458Low $340

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
10 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $340Median $458High $525

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$360 → $415
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$400 → $470
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$325 → $340
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$365 → $455
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$400 → $475
30 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral—
30 July 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral$370 → $440
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$306 → $395
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$370 → $360
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$348 → $370
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$350 → $417
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$305 → $306

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LAD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

LAD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. returned +8.7% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LAD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26LADS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LAD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.5%
Analysts raising
15
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.0×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.7×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.2%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1.5%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.3%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.6%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Net margin
1.9%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.7%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 16% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Lithia Motors, Inc. has a market value of $7.9B and an enterprise value of $24.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $37.9B. The latest quarter grew 2.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $720.1M, a 1.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $30.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$504.3M, after $355.5M of capital spending.

  • Lithia Motors, Inc. spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $52.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 22.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.0×; forward P/E: 8.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.77%, paying out 7% of earnings.

  • Lithia Motors, Inc. employs 30,000 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LAD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$7.9B
49
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.7B
59
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.1B
58
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.7B
88
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.3B
60
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.4B
67
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$3.9B
57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Lithia Motors, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LAD news & analysis

2 Auto Retailers to Watch Amid Tight Inventory and Costly Loans

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that while auto demand remains resilient, rising prices, tighter inventory and higher borrowing costs could test sales. The firm notes that Lithia Motors (LAD) and Penske Automotive (PAG) are worth holding due to their strategic efforts.

Why it matters — The report highlights how industry headwinds like tight inventory and costly loans may affect auto retailers, while suggesting LAD's strategic positioning supports holding the stock.

Lithia's Record Quarter Keeps the Bull Case Alive

MarketBeat · 9 Sept 2026positive

Lithia Motors, the largest automotive retailer in the United States, reported a record quarter that sustains the bullish case for shareholders, who have recently benefited from strong stock performance.

Why it matters — A record quarter reinforces investor confidence in the company's ongoing growth and market-leading position in U.S. auto retail.

Lithia & Driveway (LAD) Continues Strategic Network Expansion in Texas with Rockwall Hyundai Acquisition and Provides Share Repurchase Update

GlobeNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026positive

Lithia & Driveway announced the acquisition of Rockwall Hyundai in Rockwall, Texas, as part of its ongoing strategic network expansion. The dealership is expected to bring approximately $75 million in annualized revenue.

Why it matters — The acquisition demonstrates Lithia's continued network growth in Texas, which supports its strategic expansion and adds meaningful revenue to its dealership portfolio.

Lithia & Driveway Invests in More than 200 Youth Nonprofits Nationwide through Lithia4Kids Community Giving Grants

GlobeNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026positive

Lithia & Driveway announced it is investing $500,000 through its Lithia4Kids Community Giving Grants to support more than 200 nonprofit youth and community organizations nationwide. The grants will fund local initiatives including schools, children's hospitals, and youth enrichment programs in communities the company serves.

Why it matters — The investment highlights Lithia's corporate social responsibility and community engagement, reinforcing the company's brand and ties within the markets it operates.

Lithia Motors (LAD) Down 8.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026negative

Lithia Motors reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has fallen 8.4% since that report. The article questions whether the stock can rebound from this decline.

Why it matters — A LAD watcher would care because the stock's decline since the last earnings report raises questions about near-term performance and investor confidence.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LAD stock

What is the LAD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $458, with estimates ranging from $340 to $525. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LAD stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LAD?

As at 14 Sept 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (86 of 100).

Will LAD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +27.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LAD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Lithia Motors, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LAD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $340 to $525 over the next 12 months.

How has LAD stock performed over the past year?

Lithia Motors, Inc. returned +8.7% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Lithia Motors, Inc. do?

Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support.

What is the latest news on LAD?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "2 Auto Retailers to Watch Amid Tight Inventory and Costly Loans". Zacks Investment Research reports that while auto demand remains resilient, rising prices, tighter inventory and higher borrowing costs could test sales. The firm notes that Lithia Motors (LAD) and Penske Automotive (PAG) are worth holding due to their strategic efforts.

Company

About Lithia Motors, Inc.

Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support. Through its Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations segments, the company serves consumers across physical dealership locations and digital platforms, including its Driveway and GreenCars brands. Lithia Motors also offers fleet management and leasing-related services, making it a broad provider across the vehicle ownership lifecycle. Headquartered in Medford, Oregon, Lithia Motors operates across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and plays a significant role in the retail automotive market by connecting manufacturers, lenders, and customers through an integrated sales, service, and finance model.

CEO Mr. Bryan B. DeBoer · 30,000 employees · United States · https://www.lithia.com