The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $387 — +29.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Lithia Motors, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (77): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Accruals (23): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LAD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $375 → $345 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $409 → $386 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $320 → $315 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $335 → $305 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $470 → $440 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $440 → $335 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $415 → $375 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $340 → $320 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $358 → $310 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $455 → $409 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $360 → $415 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $400 → $470 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
LAD appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. returned −4.0% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 92% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Lithia Motors, Inc. has a market value of $6.6B and an enterprise value of $23.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $37.9B. The latest quarter grew 2.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $720.1M, a 1.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $30.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$504.3M, after $355.5M of capital spending.
Lithia Motors, Inc. spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $52.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.6×; forward P/E: 7.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.93%, paying out 7% of earnings.
Lithia Motors, Inc. employs 30,000 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Lithia Motors, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The item highlights weakening new-vehicle and F&I performance at Lithia & Driveway, along with rising operating expenses, elevated debt and intense competition.
Why it matters — These pressures may threaten LAD’s profitability and financial flexibility.
Seeking Alpha highlighted 25 stocks that increased dividends in its October 17–23, 2026 roundup. The excerpt names Comfort Systems USA and West Pharmaceutical Services, but does not mention Lithia Motors.
Why it matters — The roundup provides no dividend information specific to LAD, so its relevance to Lithia Motors watchers is limited.
Lithia Motors acquired four Kia and Hyundai dealerships in Memphis—Gossett Kia, Gossett Hyundai, Gossett Kia South, and Gossett Hyundai South—from Gossett Motor Cars. Kerrigan Advisors represented the seller in the transaction.
Why it matters — The deal adds four Kia and Hyundai dealerships in Memphis to Lithia Motors.
Seeking Alpha downgraded Lithia Motors from “buy” to “hold,” citing rising economic risks and elevated auto loan delinquencies. The excerpt also notes acquisition-driven revenue growth, pressure on per-vehicle profitability—especially for new vehicles—and net debt of $15.77 billion.
Why it matters — LAD watchers may weigh the downgrade alongside the cited profitability pressures, debt level, and 13.4x EV/EBITDA valuation.
Lithia Motors held its Q3 2026 results conference call on October 21, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The excerpt provides the call details but no financial results or management commentary.
Why it matters — The call is a relevant source for LAD watchers, but the supplied excerpt contains no information about the quarter’s performance or outlook.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $387, with estimates ranging from $305 to $490. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering Lithia Motors, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Lithia Motors, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (77 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +29.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Lithia Motors, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Lithia Motors, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LAD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $305 to $490 over the next 12 months.
Lithia Motors, Inc. returned -4.0% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Oct 2026): "Lithia & Driveway Stock After Q3 Earnings: Buy, Hold or Sell?". The item highlights weakening new-vehicle and F&I performance at Lithia & Driveway, along with rising operating expenses, elevated debt and intense competition.
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an automotive retailer that provides new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, vehicle financing and insurance products, and related aftersales support. Through its Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations segments, the company serves consumers across physical dealership locations and digital platforms, including its Driveway and GreenCars brands. Lithia Motors also offers fleet management and leasing-related services, making it a broad provider across the vehicle ownership lifecycle. Headquartered in Medford, Oregon, Lithia Motors operates across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and plays a significant role in the retail automotive market by connecting manufacturers, lenders, and customers through an integrated sales, service, and finance model.
CEO Mr. Bryan B. DeBoer · 30,000 employees · United States · https://www.lithia.com
