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GPIGPIConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

GPI Stock Forecast: Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$278
−1.27% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $373 — +33.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
36 / 100
Median analyst target
$373
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$5.4B−5.6% y/y
Operating income$206.2M
Net income$103.3M
Free cash flow$19.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.1%
1M
+4.7%
YTD
−28.9%
1Y
−42.6%
From 52W high
−42.6%
From 52W low
+11.5%
$250
$485
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GPI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Group 1 Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
36 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
97
Volatility
85
Issuance
69
Quality
51
Accruals
49
Revisions
30
Size
29
Growth
20
Momentum
15

Value (97): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (15): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GPI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GPI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400$450$500Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GPIHigh $450Median $373Low $275

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $275Median $373High $450

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$435 → $365
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$400 → $300
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$440 → $360
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$320 → $275
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
31 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$380 → $320
31 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$470 → $435
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$390 → $380
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$338 → $330
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
7 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$500 → $440
7 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
27 May 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
12 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GPI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GPI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned −42.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GPI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GPIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GPI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−7.4%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
12
Fundamentals

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.6×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−5.6%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−26.5%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.0%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.8%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
1.3%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.5%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 17% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $3.3B and an enterprise value of $8.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.2B. The latest quarter shrank 5.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $290.0M, a 1.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.01.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $166.3M.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. spent $459.9M on share buybacks and $25.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 11.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 6.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.79%, paying out 9% of earnings.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. employs 20,452 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GPI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.$3.3B
36
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$3.9B
58
VVVValvoline, Inc.$3.9B
52
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.3B
68
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.$2.4B
64
DRVNDriven Brands Holdings, Inc.$2.0B
76
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.7B
90

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Group 1 Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GPI news & analysis

Group 1 Automotive Announces Pricing of $1,250.0 Million Offering of Senior Notes

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Group 1 Automotive announced the pricing of a private placement of $1.25 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes, split between $625.0 million of 6.250% notes due 2032 and $625.0 million of 6.625% notes due 2035. The company stated it has 249 dealerships in the U.S. and U.K.

Why it matters — This senior notes offering is significant for GPI investors because it represents a material debt financing transaction that affects the company's capital structure and future interest obligations.

Group 1 Automotive Announces $1,250.0 Million Offering of Senior Notes

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Group 1 Automotive announced its intention to offer, subject to market conditions, $625.0 million in senior unsecured notes due 2032 and $625.0 million in senior unsecured notes due 2035, totaling $1,250.0 million. The offering was announced by the Houston-based Fortune 250 automotive retailer, which operates 249 dealerships in the U.S. and U.K.

Why it matters — This debt offering indicates that Group 1 is accessing capital markets to raise funds through new senior notes, which could matter to investors tracking the company's financing and capital structure.

Group 1 Automotive Board Declares Quarterly Dividend

PRNewsWire · 11 Aug 2026positive

Group 1 Automotive announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.55 per share. This is consistent with the company's previously announced 10% increase in its annualized dividend rate from $2.00 per share in 2025 to $2.20 per share in 2026.

Why it matters — A GPI watcher would care because the declared dividend reflects a higher payout to shareholders, consistent with the company's announced increase in its annualized dividend rate.

Group 1 Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates on Lower Vehicle Volumes

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026negative

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) missed second-quarter earnings estimates as lower vehicle volumes pressured sales and margins. At the same time, acquisitions have continued to reshape the company's dealership portfolio.

Why it matters — A GPI watcher would care because the earnings miss and declining vehicle volumes signal weaker sales and margin performance, even as portfolio-changing acquisitions proceed.

Group 1 Automotive Appoints Dave Kimbell to Board of Directors

PRNewsWire · 11 Aug 2026positive

Group 1 Automotive announced the appointment of David C. Kimbell to its Board of Directors, effective August 10, 2026.

Why it matters — This adds a new board member whose experience and perspective could influence the company's strategic direction and governance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GPI stock

What is the GPI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $373, with estimates ranging from $275 to $450. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GPI stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 36 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GPI?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (97 of 100).

Will GPI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +33.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 36 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GPI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GPI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $275 to $450 over the next 12 months.

How has GPI stock performed over the past year?

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned -42.6% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Group 1 Automotive, Inc. do?

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom.

What is the latest news on GPI?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 8 Sept 2026): "Group 1 Automotive Announces Pricing of $1,250.0 Million Offering of Senior Notes". Group 1 Automotive announced the pricing of a private placement of $1.25 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes, split between $625.0 million of 6.250% notes due 2032 and $625.0 million of 6.625% notes due 2035. The company stated it has 249 dealerships in the U.S. and U.K.

Company

About Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom. Group 1 Automotive sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealership network and digital platform, while also providing vehicle financing, service and insurance contracts, parts sales, maintenance, and collision repair. The company’s business model combines vehicle sales with recurring after-sales services, making it active across both front-end retail and ongoing ownership support. Group 1 Automotive works with a broad range of vehicle brands and serves individual consumers and commercial customers through its U.S. and U.K. operations. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Group 1 Automotive is a significant participant in the global automotive retail market, focused on integrated sales, service, and financing solutions.

CEO Mr. Daryl Adam Kenningham · 20,452 employees · United States · https://www.group1auto.com