GPIConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck DealershipsThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $359 — +51.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Group 1 Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (97): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Momentum (10): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GPI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +51.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $387 → $357 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $435 → $365 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $400 → $300 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $440 → $360 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $320 → $275 |
| 31 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | $380 → $320 |
| 31 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $470 → $435 |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $390 → $380 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $338 → $330 |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $500 → $440 |
| 7 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 May 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GPI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned −44.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $8.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.2B. The latest quarter shrank 5.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $290.0M, a 1.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.01.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $166.3M.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. spent $459.9M on share buybacks and $25.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.9×; forward P/E: 5.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.93%, paying out 9% of earnings.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. employs 20,452 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Group 1 Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Group 1 Automotive announced it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on October 28, 2026. CEO Daryl Kenningham and senior management will discuss the results on a conference call at 10:00 a.m. that morning.
Why it matters — GPI watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's quarterly results and management discussion.
Group 1 Automotive announced the closing of its private placement of senior unsecured notes totaling $1,250.0 million, comprising $625.0 million of 6.250% notes due 2032 and $625.0 million of 6.625% notes due 2035.
Why it matters — The closing completes a significant debt-financing transaction that adds long-term fixed-rate senior notes to Group 1's capital structure.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. announced the appointment of Benjamin Hart to its Board of Directors, effective November 1, 2026. The announcement was made on September 22, 2026.
Why it matters — GPI watchers may track board composition and governance changes, which can influence the company's strategic direction.
Group 1 Automotive announced the pricing of a private placement of $1.25 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes, split between $625.0 million of 6.250% notes due 2032 and $625.0 million of 6.625% notes due 2035. The company stated it has 249 dealerships in the U.S. and U.K.
Why it matters — This senior notes offering is significant for GPI investors because it represents a material debt financing transaction that affects the company's capital structure and future interest obligations.
Group 1 Automotive announced its intention to offer, subject to market conditions, $625.0 million in senior unsecured notes due 2032 and $625.0 million in senior unsecured notes due 2035, totaling $1,250.0 million. The offering was announced by the Houston-based Fortune 250 automotive retailer, which operates 249 dealerships in the U.S. and U.K.
Why it matters — This debt offering indicates that Group 1 is accessing capital markets to raise funds through new senior notes, which could matter to investors tracking the company's financing and capital structure.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $359, with estimates ranging from $232 to $450. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +51.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 34 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GPI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $232 to $450 over the next 12 months.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned -44.0% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 7 Oct 2026): "Group 1 Automotive Schedules Release of Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results". Group 1 Automotive announced it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on October 28, 2026. CEO Daryl Kenningham and senior management will discuss the results on a conference call at 10:00 a.m. that morning.
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom. Group 1 Automotive sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealership network and digital platform, while also providing vehicle financing, service and insurance contracts, parts sales, maintenance, and collision repair. The company’s business model combines vehicle sales with recurring after-sales services, making it active across both front-end retail and ongoing ownership support. Group 1 Automotive works with a broad range of vehicle brands and serves individual consumers and commercial customers through its U.S. and U.K. operations. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Group 1 Automotive is a significant participant in the global automotive retail market, focused on integrated sales, service, and financing solutions.
CEO Mr. Daryl Adam Kenningham · 20,452 employees · United States · https://www.group1auto.com
