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GPIGPIConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

GPI Stock Forecast: Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$261
+0.42% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $327 — +25.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$3.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
42/ 100
Median analyst target
$327
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$5.4B−5.6% y/y
Operating income$206.2M
Net income$103.3M
Free cash flow$19.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.6%
1M
+8.6%
YTD
−33.3%
1Y
−33.6%
From 52W high
−38.5%
From 52W low
+16.1%
$225
$425
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GPI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Group 1 Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
42/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
97
Volatility
88
Issuance
62
Accruals
56
Quality
53
Growth
40
Size
29
Revisions
27
Momentum
13

Value (97): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (13): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

GPI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GPI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GPIHigh $405Median $327Low $232

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $232Median $327High $405

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 14 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$320 → $300
29 Oct 2026StoneXMaintainsBuy$425 → $375
29 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$271 → $259
12 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$360 → $330
7 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$330 → $271
6 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$365 → $320
6 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$275 → $260
5 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeUnderweight$300 → $232
28 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
28 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$387 → $357
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$435 → $365
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
7 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$400 → $300
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$440 → $360
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$320 → $275
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
31 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$380 → $320
31 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

GPI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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The AI build-out map
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  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

GPI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned −33.6% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GPI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GPIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GPI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.3×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.4×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−6.7%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
691.5%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.0%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.8%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
1.7%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.4%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.2%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 69% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $3.1B and an enterprise value of $8.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.2B. The latest quarter shrank 6.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $290.0M, a 1.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.01.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $166.3M.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. spent $459.9M on share buybacks and $25.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 11.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.3×; forward P/E: 6.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.84%, paying out 7% of earnings.

  • Group 1 Automotive, Inc. employs 20,452 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GPI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.$3.1B42
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$3.7B55
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.1B61
DRVNDriven Brands Holdings, Inc.$2.0B73
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.8B67
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.$2.0B40
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.3B82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Group 1 Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GPI news & analysis

What Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Group 1 Automotive reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $5.4 billion, gross profit of $855 million, adjusted net income of $112 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $9.36 from continuing operations. On its earnings call, the dealership operator emphasized after-sales growth initiatives, cost control and portfolio optimization.

Why it matters — The results and stated priorities provide GPI watchers an update on the company’s financial performance and operational focus.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Group 1 Automotive held its third-quarter 2026 financial results conference call on October 28, 2026. The excerpt lists company and call participants and provides the opening announcement that the call was being recorded.

Why it matters — The transcript records management’s quarterly results call, which GPI watchers may consult for company commentary; the excerpt contains no financial results or substantive discussion.

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says Group 1 Automotive’s Q3 headline results for the quarter ended September 2026 can be assessed alongside key metrics, Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals. The excerpt does not provide the results or comparisons.

Why it matters — The comparisons could help GPI watchers evaluate quarterly performance, but this excerpt contains no specific metrics or outcomes.

Kerrigan Advisors Represents Atlanta-Based Hennessy Automobile Companies in Sale – 3rd Largest Transaction in Industry History

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Group 1 Automotive acquired Hennessy Automobile Companies, an Atlanta-based family-owned luxury automotive group, in a transaction described as the third-largest in industry history. The acquisition includes 10 dealerships across Lexus, Porsche, Jaguar Land Rover, Honda, Cadillac and Ford.

Why it matters — The deal adds 10 dealerships to Group 1 Automotive’s portfolio, spanning several brands and the Atlanta market.

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

Group 1 Automotive reported quarterly earnings of $9.36 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.65. Earnings were $10.45 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — GPI watchers may note both the earnings miss and the year-over-year decline in reported earnings per share.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GPI stock

What is the GPI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $327, with estimates ranging from $232 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GPI stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GPI?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Group 1 Automotive, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (97 of 100).

Will GPI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +25.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Group 1 Automotive, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GPI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Group 1 Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GPI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $232 to $405 over the next 12 months.

How has GPI stock performed over the past year?

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. returned -33.6% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Group 1 Automotive, Inc. do?

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom.

What is the latest news on GPI?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 28 Oct 2026): "What Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call". Group 1 Automotive reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $5.4 billion, gross profit of $855 million, adjusted net income of $112 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $9.36 from continuing operations. On its earnings call, the dealership operator emphasized after-sales growth initiatives, cost control and portfolio optimization.

Company

About Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is an automotive retail company that operates dealerships and collision centers across the United States and the United Kingdom. Group 1 Automotive sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealership network and digital platform, while also providing vehicle financing, service and insurance contracts, parts sales, maintenance, and collision repair. The company’s business model combines vehicle sales with recurring after-sales services, making it active across both front-end retail and ongoing ownership support. Group 1 Automotive works with a broad range of vehicle brands and serves individual consumers and commercial customers through its U.S. and U.K. operations. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Group 1 Automotive is a significant participant in the global automotive retail market, focused on integrated sales, service, and financing solutions.

CEO Mr. Daryl Adam Kenningham · 20,452 employees · United States · https://www.group1auto.com