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AIRO Stock Forecast: AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$6.34
−2.91% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +160.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 9 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$208.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
9 / 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$43.2M+75.9% y/y
Operating income$1.7M
Net income−$2.0M
Free cash flow−$33.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.1%
1M
−14.3%
YTD
−22.5%
1Y
−68.3%
From 52W high
−68.4%
From 52W low
+8.4%
$6
$20
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AIRO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
9 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
67
Issuance
42
Revisions
40
Accruals
32
Value
28
Quality
27
Volatility
15
Momentum
9
Growth
5

Size (67): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (5): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AIRO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AIRO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AIROHigh $20Median $17Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
2 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $13Median $17High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +160.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$16 → $13
8 Apr 2026BTIGDowngradeNeutral—
8 Apr 2026BTIGDowngradeNeutral—
5 Jan 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
24 Nov 2025BTIGMaintainsBuy—
21 Nov 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
17 Nov 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
8 July 2025BTIGInitiatesBuy—
8 July 2025Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
8 July 2025MizuhoInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AIRO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AIRO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. returned −68.3% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AIRO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AIROS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AIRO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−38.4×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.9×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
0.3×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−20.7×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
75.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
75.9%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Gross margin
64.1%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.8%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
−23.9%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.8%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $208.0M and an enterprise value of $191.9M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $106.6M. The latest quarter grew 75.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$25.4M, a −23.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.83.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$56.9M.

  • Shares outstanding: 31.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: −38.4×; forward P/E: −10.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. employs 223 people — $478K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AIRO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.$208.0M
9
DPRODraganfly, Inc.$187.2M
17
SIDUSidus Space, Inc.$175.0M
14
POWWOutdoor Holding Co.$250.9M
75
MRLNMerlin, Inc.$150.6M
6
SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.$143.0M
86
CODACoda Octopus Group, Inc.$122.4M
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AIRO news & analysis

A New Era Arrives: Airo Trains Make Their Amtrak Cascades Debut

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026positive

Amtrak has begun passenger service using AIRO's new Airo trainsets on the Cascades route, operating four daily trips between Vancouver, B.C., Seattle, Portland, and Eugene. This marks the first introduction of Airo trains into passenger service anywhere in the country, with additional trainsets planned for service.

Why it matters — For AIRO Group Holdings, this milestone represents the first commercial deployment of its Airo trainsets and the beginning of the product's rollout into scheduled passenger service.

Siemens-Built Amtrak Airo Fleet Enters Service, Marking Major Milestone in U.S. Rail Modernization

Business Wire · 30 Sept 2026positive

Amtrak and Siemens announced that the new Airo fleet has entered passenger service, with the inaugural journey running through the Pacific Northwest on the Amtrak Cascades route. The Siemens-designed and -manufactured trainsets mark the beginning of a national rollout modernizing rail service across the country.

Why it matters — This milestone brings the Siemens-built Airo trainsets into passenger service, signaling progress for the rail modernization program connected to AIRO Group Holdings.

AIRO Invited to Phase 2.5 of Drone Dominance Program

Business Wire · 23 Sept 2026positive

AIRO Group Holdings announced it has been invited to participate in Phase 2.5 of the Drone Dominance Program, one of 17 companies selected. The company will take part in the Phase 2.5 Bomber Qualifier at Camp Grayling, Michigan, in October 2026, where 17 drones will be evaluated across three mission sets and two testing stages.

Why it matters — Selection for this next phase signals continued progress and recognition of AIRO's drone capabilities within a major defense program evaluation.

A New Era for Amtrak Cascades: Airo Fleet Debuts Sept. 30

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Amtrak will debut its new Airo trainsets on the Amtrak Cascades route beginning Sept. 30, with two trainsets operating four daily trips between Vancouver, B.C., Seattle, Portland and Eugene, Oregon. Additional trainsets will enter service through early 2027 as the rollout continues.

Why it matters — The debut marks the first phase of the Airo fleet's introduction into passenger service, signaling progress in bringing AIRO's newest trainsets to customers.

AIRO To Participate in H.C. Wainwright 28th Annual Global Investment Conference

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that CEO Joe Burns and CFO Dr. Mariya Pylypiv will host virtual one-on-one investor meetings on September 14 and 15, 2026, at the H.C. Wainwright 28th Annual Global Investment Conference.

Why it matters — AIRO watchers may be interested in the company's scheduled investor engagement at a prominent industry conference, which provides an opportunity for direct interaction with its leadership.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AIRO stock

What is the AIRO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $13 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AIRO stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. 9 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AIRO?

As at 6 Oct 2026, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 9 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (67 of 100).

Will AIRO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +160.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. 9 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AIRO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AIRO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has AIRO stock performed over the past year?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. returned -68.3% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. do?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based aerospace and defense company focused on advanced aviation, autonomy, and air mobility solutions.

What is the latest news on AIRO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "A New Era Arrives: Airo Trains Make Their Amtrak Cascades Debut". Amtrak has begun passenger service using AIRO's new Airo trainsets on the Cascades route, operating four daily trips between Vancouver, B.C., Seattle, Portland, and Eugene. This marks the first introduction of Airo trains into passenger service anywhere in the country, with additional trainsets planned for service.

Company

About AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based aerospace and defense company focused on advanced aviation, autonomy, and air mobility solutions. The company operates through four main business segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its products and services include uncrewed aerial systems for commercial and defense use, avionics and electronics for aircraft and eVTOL platforms, pilot and operational training services, and development of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft. AIRO serves defense, government, commercial, and industrial customers across aerospace and aviation markets, with operations extending to North America and Europe. The company combines manufacturing, systems integration, and mission-support capabilities to address specialized needs in aviation technology and next-generation mobility.

CEO Captain Joseph D. Burns · 223 employees · United States · https://www.theairogroup.com