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SPCE Stock Forecast: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$3.01
−1.95% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3.3 — +9.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 29 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$465.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
29 / 100
Median analyst target
$3.30
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$134K−67.0% y/y
Operating income−$64.9M
Net income−$55.9M
Free cash flow−$90.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.7%
1M
−1.0%
YTD
−6.2%
1Y
−24.2%
From 52W high
−60.0%
From 52W low
+38.7%
$2.17
$7.52
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SPCE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
29 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
78
Issuance
59
Size
54
Momentum
44
Growth
40
Accruals
38
Quality
21
Volatility
19
Value
5

Revisions (78): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Value (5): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SPCE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SPCE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPCEHigh $5.00Median $3.30Low $2.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
2 Buy4 Hold1 Sell
Low $2.00Median $3.30High $5.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Apr 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$2.50 → $3.00
2 Apr 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
9 Oct 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
21 Aug 2025BernsteinMaintainsUnderperform—
30 June 2025Goldman SachsAssumesNeutral$3.00
16 May 2025JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Mar 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
10 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$53 → $47
17 Sept 2024Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$35 → $5.00
9 Aug 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
8 Aug 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
17 July 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
20 June 2024Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
13 May 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
9 May 2024Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
8 May 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SPCE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SPCE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. returned −24.2% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SPCE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPCES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SPCE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.5×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / sales
448.4×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−1.9×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−67.0%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−67.0%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
−20931.3%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−48452.2%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Net margin
−4613.0%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−75.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Return on assets
−19.0%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $465.4M and an enterprise value of $475.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0M. The latest quarter shrank 67.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$247.7M, a −23867.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.38.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$386.5M, after $174.0M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 141.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: −0.5×; forward P/E: −5.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. employs 694 people — $1K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SPCE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.$465.4M
29
TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.$434.8M
52
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.$595.6M
7
IAInnovative Solutions & Support, Inc.$351.0M
82
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.$646.0M
100
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.$653.8M
85
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.$694.3M
6

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SPCE news & analysis

Intuitive Machines vs. Virgin Galactic: Which Has More Potential?

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Intuitive Machines (LUNR) and Virgin Galactic (SPCE), highlighting their differing strengths in the space sector—lunar infrastructure for LUNR versus commercial spaceflight growth for SPCE.

Why it matters — SPCE watchers would care because the article positions Virgin Galactic's commercial spaceflight growth as a distinct strength within the broader space race.

Virgin Galactic Receives Final Approval by the Court to Settle Derivative Claims With No Findings of Wrongdoing

Business Wire · 18 Aug 2026positive

Virgin Galactic announced that on August 14, 2026, the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York granted final approval of a settlement resolving all claims in the shareholder derivative actions In re Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Derivative Litigation and St. Jean v. Branson, with no findings of wrongdoing.

Why it matters — The court's final approval removes legal uncertainty from pending derivative litigation against the company and its leadership.

Virgin Galactic: Watching The Runway, Not The Stars (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 16 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha upgraded Virgin Galactic's rating from Sell to Hold, citing an improved outlook while noting persistent high risk and volatility. Management guides for positive quarterly cash flow by 2027, though ongoing stock dilution, elevated short interest, operational delays, and uncertainty remain concerns.

Why it matters — A SPCE watcher would care because the upgrade from Sell to Hold signals a shift in the rating outlook, even as dilution, short interest, and operational delays continue to weigh on the stock.

SPCE Q2 Earnings Call Flags Delay but Strong Ticket Demand

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Virgin Galactic's Q2 earnings call revealed a delay in the first commercial Delta flight to February 2027, while maintaining its 2027 cash flow target and reporting sustained strong ticket demand.

Why it matters — A SPCE watcher would care because the Delta flight delay pushes back a key revenue milestone, though the reiterated cash flow target and robust ticket demand signal confidence in the company's long-term outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SPCE stock

What is the SPCE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3.3, with estimates ranging from $2 to $5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SPCE stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 29 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SPCE?

As at 6 Oct 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. ranks 29 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (78 of 100).

Will SPCE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +9.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 29 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SPCE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SPCE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $2 to $5 over the next 12 months.

How has SPCE stock performed over the past year?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. returned -24.2% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. do?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is an aerospace and space travel company focused on commercial human spaceflight.

What is the latest news on SPCE?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 1 Oct 2026): "Intuitive Machines vs. Virgin Galactic: Which Has More Potential?". Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Intuitive Machines (LUNR) and Virgin Galactic (SPCE), highlighting their differing strengths in the space sector—lunar infrastructure for LUNR versus commercial spaceflight growth for SPCE.

Company

About Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is an aerospace and space travel company focused on commercial human spaceflight. Virgin Galactic develops, manufactures, and operates reusable spaceflight systems that support suborbital space experiences for private individuals, researchers, and government customers. Its current business spans spacecraft design and development, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operations, and post-flight maintenance. The company also works with advanced air and space vehicles that are used to deliver passenger flights and research missions. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is positioned within the broader aerospace and defense market as a specialized provider of space tourism and scientific access to space, serving customers seeking brief journeys beyond Earth’s atmosphere rather than traditional orbital launch services.

CEO Mr. Michael A. Colglazier · 694 employees · United States · https://www.virgingalactic.com