SPCESPCEIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

SPCE Stock Forecast: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 29 Oct 2026
$2.73
+2.63% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $3.05 — +11.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$407.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
28/ 100
Median analyst target
$3.05
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$134K−67.0% y/y
Operating income−$64.9M
Net income−$55.9M
Free cash flow−$90.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+12.8%
1M
−10.2%
YTD
−15.0%
1Y
−32.1%
From 52W high
−63.7%
From 52W low
+25.8%
$2.17
$7.52
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SPCE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 29 Oct 2026
28/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
71
Issuance
59
Size
55
Momentum
45
Growth
40
Accruals
38
Volatility
22
Quality
21
Value
5

Revisions (71): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Value (5): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

SPCE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SPCE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPCEHigh $5.00Median $3.05Low $2.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
2 Buy4 Hold1 Sell
Low $2.00Median $3.05High $5.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Apr 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$2.50 → $3.00
2 Apr 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
9 Oct 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
21 Aug 2025BernsteinMaintainsUnderperform—
30 June 2025Goldman SachsAssumesNeutral$3.00
16 May 2025JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Mar 2025SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
10 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$53 → $47
17 Sept 2024Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$35 → $5.00
9 Aug 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
8 Aug 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
17 July 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
20 June 2024Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
13 May 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
13 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
9 May 2024Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
8 May 2024SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SPCE appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

SPCE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 29 Oct 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. returned −32.1% against +13.1% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SPCE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPCES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SPCE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / sales
392.9×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−1.7×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−67.0%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−67.0%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
−20931.3%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−48452.2%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Net margin
−4613.0%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−75.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Return on assets
−19.0%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $407.8M and an enterprise value of $418.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0M. The latest quarter shrank 67.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$247.7M, a −23867.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.38.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$386.5M, after $174.0M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 141.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: −0.5×; forward P/E: −3.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. employs 694 people — $1K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 28 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SPCE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.$407.8M28
TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.$434.9M52
IAInnovative Solutions & Support, Inc.$384.2M81
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.$564.3M8
SATLSatellogic, Inc.$575.0M40
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.$577.5M89
PUSAPowerus Corp.$296.5M18

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SPCE news & analysis

Virgin Galactic Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call

Business Wire · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Virgin Galactic announced it will report its third-quarter 2026 financial results after U.S. markets close on November 12, 2026. The company will hold a conference call that day at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time, with a live webcast and replay available through its Investor site.

Why it matters — The announcement gives SPCE watchers the date and time to follow the company’s quarterly results and management discussion.

Virgin Galactic's Spaceship Apeiron Arrives Home to Spaceport America

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Virgin Galactic flew Apeiron, the lead Spaceship in its next-generation fleet, to Spaceport America in New Mexico, its permanent home and base of operations. Earlier that day, the company named the spacecraft and revealed its completed livery at its Spaceship Factory in Mesa, Arizona.

Why it matters — The arrival marks a milestone for Virgin Galactic’s next-generation fleet, placing its lead Spaceship at its designated base of operations.

Virgin Galactic Unveils Spaceship Apeiron

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Virgin Galactic announced that its new spaceship will be named Apeiron, a name inspired by the ancient Greek concept of the boundless. The name was selected through a public vote that drew thousands of responses from 83 countries across six continents.

Why it matters — The announcement identifies the name of Virgin Galactic’s new spaceship and reflects participation from the global space community.

Virgin Galactic Sets October 28 for Lead Delta Class Spaceship's Arrival at Spaceport America, Marking Start of Flight Test Preparations

Business Wire · 26 Oct 2026positive

Virgin Galactic announced that its lead next-generation Spaceship is scheduled to fly with launch vehicle Eve from its Mesa, Arizona factory to Spaceport America on October 28. The arrival is expected to mark the shift from vehicle assembly to flight test preparations.

Why it matters — The planned arrival marks a new operational milestone for SPCE’s next-generation fleet as it moves toward flight testing.

Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic Reopened Ticket Sales at $750,000 a Seat in 2026, Up From the $600,000 It Charged for 700 Previously Sold Seats. Is SPCE Stock's Pricing Power Finally Catching Up to Its Cash Burn?

The Motley Fool · 18 Oct 2026positive

Virgin Galactic reopened ticket sales at $750,000 per seat, up from $600,000 for 700 seats previously sold. The company reported strong ticket sales in its March quarterly release and expects passenger flights to begin early next year.

Why it matters — Higher ticket prices and strong sales underpin management’s guidance for positive cash flow during 2027, a key consideration for SPCE watchers assessing the company’s cash burn.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SPCE stock

What is the SPCE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $3.05, with estimates ranging from $2 to $5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SPCE stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 29 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SPCE?

As at 29 Oct 2026, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (71 of 100).

Will SPCE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +11.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SPCE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SPCE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $2 to $5 over the next 12 months.

How has SPCE stock performed over the past year?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. returned -32.1% over the 12 months to 29 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. do?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is an aerospace and space travel company focused on commercial human spaceflight.

What is the latest news on SPCE?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 29 Oct 2026): "Virgin Galactic Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call". Virgin Galactic announced it will report its third-quarter 2026 financial results after U.S. markets close on November 12, 2026. The company will hold a conference call that day at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time, with a live webcast and replay available through its Investor site.

Company

About Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is an aerospace and space travel company focused on commercial human spaceflight. Virgin Galactic develops, manufactures, and operates reusable spaceflight systems that support suborbital space experiences for private individuals, researchers, and government customers. Its current business spans spacecraft design and development, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operations, and post-flight maintenance. The company also works with advanced air and space vehicles that are used to deliver passenger flights and research missions. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is positioned within the broader aerospace and defense market as a specialized provider of space tourism and scientific access to space, serving customers seeking brief journeys beyond Earth’s atmosphere rather than traditional orbital launch services.

CEO Mr. Michael A. Colglazier · 694 employees · United States · https://www.virgingalactic.com