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ALLE Stock Forecast: Allegion Plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$150
+0.33% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $170 — +13.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$12.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
69 / 100
Median analyst target
$170
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.2B+12.7% y/y
Operating income$254.7M
Net income$184.6M
Free cash flow$180.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.4%
1M
−0.5%
YTD
−4.4%
1Y
−13.2%
From 52W high
−15.3%
From 52W low
+20.7%
$125
$178
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALLE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allegion Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Oct 2026
69 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
99
Quality
90
Issuance
82
Revisions
74
Growth
54
Momentum
50
Value
50
Accruals
32
Size
13

Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALLE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALLE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALLEHigh $202Median $170Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
6 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $160Median $170High $202

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$142 → $160
24 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$150 → $164
24 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral$165 → $170
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$150 → $170
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
11 June 2026Longbow ResearchUpgradeBuy—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$165 → $142
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
15 May 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
29 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALLE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ALLE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Allegion Plc returned −13.2% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ALLE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ALLES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ALLE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.9%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Allegion Plc (ALLE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.7×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
6.0×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.8×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
15.6%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.9%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.1%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
15.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
33.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.0%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 75% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Allegion Plc (ALLE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Allegion Plc has a market value of $12.8B and an enterprise value of $14.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.3B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $658.6M, a 15.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.62.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $671.1M, after $98.2M of capital spending.

  • Allegion Plc spent $160.6M on share buybacks and $181.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 85.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.7×; forward P/E: 15.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.46%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Allegion Plc employs 13,300 people — $322K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 10 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ALLE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALLEAllegion Plc$12.8B
69
MSAMSA Safety, Inc.$7.1B
93
ADTADT, Inc.$4.7B
94
BCOThe Brink's Co.$4.3B
81
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.$4.1B
91
BRCBrady Corp.$4.0B
96
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.2B
86

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allegion Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALLE news & analysis

Top 50 High-Quality Dividend Growth Stocks For October 2026

Seeking Alpha · 11 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha tracks 50 high-quality dividend-growth stocks to assess entry points using valuation and future-return estimates. Applied Materials, D.R. Horton, and Home Depot improved their rankings; Allegion is not mentioned in the excerpt.

Why it matters — ALLE watchers may note the article’s dividend-growth and valuation framework, but the excerpt provides no company-specific assessment of Allegion.

Allegion Schedules Webcast to Announce 2026 Third-Quarter Results

Business Wire · 8 Oct 2026neutral

Allegion will release its 2026 third-quarter financial results on Thursday, Oct. 22, before the market opens. CEO John H. Stone and CFO Mike Wagnes will review the results on a conference call at 8 a.m. ET, with a live webcast and replay.

Why it matters — ALLE watchers can note the scheduled results release and management discussion for information about the company's third-quarter performance.

4 Security and Safety Stocks to Watch Despite Industry Headwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Oct 2026negative

Zacks reports that rising costs and higher labor expenses are weighing on prospects for the Security and Safety Services industry. It names ALLE, ADT, ALRM and ITRN as notable industry players.

Why it matters — ALLE watchers may note the industry headwinds cited in the report, including rising costs and labor expenses.

Allegion Buys Overly Door, Strengthens Product Offerings

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Oct 2026positive

Allegion acquired Overly Door, expanding its high-security door portfolio and strengthening its reach in institutional markets.

Why it matters — The acquisition may be relevant to ALLE watchers because it broadens the company’s product offerings and presence in key institutional markets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALLE stock

What is the ALLE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc have a median 12-month price target of $170, with estimates ranging from $160 to $202. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALLE stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Allegion Plc, 6 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allegion Plc 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALLE?

As at 10 Oct 2026, Allegion Plc ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).

Will ALLE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +13.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allegion Plc 69 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALLE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Allegion Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALLE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $202 over the next 12 months.

How has ALLE stock performed over the past year?

Allegion Plc returned -13.2% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Allegion Plc do?

Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems.

What is the latest news on ALLE?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 11 Oct 2026): "Top 50 High-Quality Dividend Growth Stocks For October 2026". Seeking Alpha tracks 50 high-quality dividend-growth stocks to assess entry points using valuation and future-return estimates. Applied Materials, D.R. Horton, and Home Depot improved their rankings; Allegion is not mentioned in the excerpt.

Company

About Allegion Plc.

Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems. Its portfolio also includes doors, glass and door systems, accessories, and software-enabled solutions for access control, time and attendance, and workforce productivity. The company serves commercial, institutional, industrial, and residential customers through its Allegion Americas and Allegion International segments, with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania. Based in Dublin, Ireland, Allegion plc plays an important role in the building security market by supporting secure entry, facility management, and access management across a wide range of environments.

CEO Mr. John H. Stone · 13,300 employees · Ireland · https://www.allegion.com