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ALLE Stock Forecast: Allegion Plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$153
+1.38% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $170 — +10.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$13.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
71 / 100
Median analyst target
$170
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.2B+12.7% y/y
Operating income$254.7M
Net income$184.6M
Free cash flow$180.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.4%
1M
−9.0%
YTD
−2.9%
1Y
−12.8%
From 52W high
−14.0%
From 52W low
+22.5%
$125
$178
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALLE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allegion Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
71 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
99
Quality
89
Revisions
82
Issuance
82
Growth
51
Value
50
Momentum
48
Accruals
32
Size
13

Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALLE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALLE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ALLEHigh $200Median $170Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
4 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $160Median $170High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$150 → $170
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$165 → $142
15 May 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
29 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Dec 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Oct 2025BairdMaintainsNeutral—
6 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Sept 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
14 Aug 2025BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight—
29 July 2025B of A SecuritiesUpgradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALLE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ALLE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Allegion Plc returned −12.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ALLE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ALLES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ALLE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Allegion Plc (ALLE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.1×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
6.2×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.2×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
15.6%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.9%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.1%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
15.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
33.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.0%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.4%

Higher than 33% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Allegion Plc (ALLE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Allegion Plc has a market value of $13.0B and an enterprise value of $14.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.3B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $658.6M, a 15.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.62.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $671.1M, after $98.2M of capital spending.

  • Allegion Plc spent $160.6M on share buybacks and $181.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 85.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.1×; forward P/E: 15.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.43%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Allegion Plc employs 13,300 people — $322K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ALLE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALLEAllegion Plc$13.0B
71
MSAMSA Safety, Inc.$7.1B
94
ADTADT, Inc.$5.2B
95
BCOThe Brink's Co.$4.6B
86
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.$4.2B
89
BRCBrady Corp.$4.1B
97
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.4B
87

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allegion Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALLE news & analysis

Allegion to Attend 2026 Morgan Stanley Annual Laguna Conference

Business Wire · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Allegion plc announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Mike Wagnes will discuss the company's long-term strategy at the 2026 Morgan Stanley Annual Laguna Conference, scheduled for Tuesday, Sept. 15, in Laguna Beach, California.

Why it matters — This is a routine investor-relations appearance where Allegion's CFO will present the company's long-term strategy to the investment community.

Ellen Rubin Joins Quanta Services Board of Directors

PRNewsWire · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Quanta Services announced the appointment of Ellen Rubin to its Board of Directors. Her appointment adds deep technology expertise, executive-level leadership, and board experience to the company.

Why it matters — This announcement concerns Quanta Services and does not involve Allegion, so it carries no direct relevance or stated impact for ALLE watchers.

Allegion Announces Tim Eckersley's Retirement, Names Serge Zappone Leader of Allegion International

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Allegion announced that Serge Zappone will become president, International, and senior vice president effective Jan. 1, 2027, succeeding Tim Eckersley, who plans to retire on Dec. 31, 2026, after a 40-year career. Zappone will join Allegion's executive leadership team, reporting to President and CEO John H. Stone.

Why it matters — Allegion watchers would care because the planned transition names the new leader of the company's international operations and marks a change in its executive leadership team.

These stocks in the red-hot healthcare sector have gotten too crowded to own

Market Watch · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Market Watch reported on new recommendations to make options bets that shares of GE HealthCare and Medtronic will fall, citing excessive bullish positioning in these healthcare stocks. The recommendation stems from concerns that too many bets had already been made on those stocks rising.

Why it matters — This item focuses on other healthcare companies and does not mention Allegion, so it has no direct relevance to ALLE investors.

Allegion to Attend 2026 Vertical Research Partners Global Industrials Conference

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Allegion plc announced that President and CEO John H. Stone will discuss the company's long-term strategy at the 2026 Vertical Research Partners Global Industrials Conference on Friday, Sept. 11. The conference will be held at the Water's Edge Resort in Westbrook, Connecticut.

Why it matters — The CEO's conference presentation gives ALLE watchers an opportunity to hear the company's long-term strategy directly from leadership at a major industrials-focused investor event.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALLE stock

What is the ALLE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc have a median 12-month price target of $170, with estimates ranging from $160 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALLE stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Allegion Plc, 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allegion Plc 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALLE?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Allegion Plc ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).

Will ALLE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +10.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allegion Plc 71 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALLE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Allegion Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALLE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has ALLE stock performed over the past year?

Allegion Plc returned -12.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Allegion Plc do?

Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems.

What is the latest news on ALLE?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 9 Sept 2026): "Allegion to Attend 2026 Morgan Stanley Annual Laguna Conference". Allegion plc announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Mike Wagnes will discuss the company's long-term strategy at the 2026 Morgan Stanley Annual Laguna Conference, scheduled for Tuesday, Sept. 15, in Laguna Beach, California.

Company

About Allegion Plc.

Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems. Its portfolio also includes doors, glass and door systems, accessories, and software-enabled solutions for access control, time and attendance, and workforce productivity. The company serves commercial, institutional, industrial, and residential customers through its Allegion Americas and Allegion International segments, with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania. Based in Dublin, Ireland, Allegion plc plays an important role in the building security market by supporting secure entry, facility management, and access management across a wide range of environments.

CEO Mr. John H. Stone · 13,300 employees · Ireland · https://www.allegion.com