ALLEIndustrials · Security & Protection ServicesThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $170 — +13.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Allegion Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALLE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $142 → $160 |
| 24 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $150 → $164 |
| 24 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | $165 → $170 |
| 24 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $150 → $170 |
| 24 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 June 2026 | Longbow Research | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $165 → $142 |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 15 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALLE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Allegion Plc returned −14.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Allegion Plc has a market value of $12.6B and an enterprise value of $14.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.3B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $658.6M, a 15.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.62.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $671.1M, after $98.2M of capital spending.
Allegion Plc spent $160.6M on share buybacks and $181.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 19.5×; forward P/E: 15.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.49%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Allegion Plc employs 13,300 people — $322K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Allegion Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control.
Why it matters — Allegion is among the companies featured in the outlook, making the article relevant to ALLE watchers.
Allegion will release its 2026 third-quarter financial results on Thursday, Oct. 22, before the market opens. CEO John H. Stone and CFO Mike Wagnes will review the results on a conference call at 8 a.m. ET, with a live webcast and replay.
Why it matters — ALLE watchers can note the scheduled results release and management discussion for information about the company's third-quarter performance.
Zacks reports that rising costs and higher labor expenses are weighing on prospects for the Security and Safety Services industry. It names ALLE, ADT, ALRM and ITRN as notable industry players.
Why it matters — ALLE watchers may note the industry headwinds cited in the report, including rising costs and labor expenses.
Allegion acquired Overly Door, expanding its high-security door portfolio and strengthening its reach in institutional markets.
Why it matters — The acquisition may be relevant to ALLE watchers because it broadens the company’s product offerings and presence in key institutional markets.
Allegion plc, through its subsidiaries, has acquired Overly Door Company, a privately held Greensburg, Pennsylvania manufacturer of custom specialty doors for acoustic, blast, bullet-resistant and vault security, serving commercial and institutional customers including U.S. government, education and healthcare markets.
Why it matters — The acquisition expands Allegion's product portfolio into specialty and security door markets, strengthening its presence in the U.S. government, education and healthcare sectors.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Allegion Plc have a median 12-month price target of $170, with estimates ranging from $160 to $202. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Allegion Plc, 6 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Allegion Plc 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Allegion Plc ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +13.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Allegion Plc 69 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Allegion Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALLE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $202 over the next 12 months.
Allegion Plc returned -14.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Oct 2026): "Zacks Industry Outlook Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control". Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control.
Allegion plc is a global security products and solutions company focused on keeping people and property safe, secure, and productive. Allegion plc develops and sells a broad range of mechanical and electronic access control products, including locks, locksets, door controls, exit devices, portable locks, key systems, and integrated security systems. Its portfolio also includes doors, glass and door systems, accessories, and software-enabled solutions for access control, time and attendance, and workforce productivity. The company serves commercial, institutional, industrial, and residential customers through its Allegion Americas and Allegion International segments, with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania. Based in Dublin, Ireland, Allegion plc plays an important role in the building security market by supporting secure entry, facility management, and access management across a wide range of environments.
CEO Mr. John H. Stone · 13,300 employees · Ireland · https://www.allegion.com
