ADTIndustrials · Security & Protection ServicesThe 6 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $8.5 — +30.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ADT, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Momentum (31): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.50 → $7.75 |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $8.50 |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $9.00 → $7.00 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 26 Aug 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 Jan 2025 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 12 Dec 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 2 Aug 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 22 Mar 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 29 Feb 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Sept 2023 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 9 Aug 2023 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 July 2023 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, ADT, Inc. returned −22.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
ADT, Inc. has a market value of $4.6B and an enterprise value of $12.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.2B. The latest quarter grew 2.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $612.8M, a 11.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.71.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B, after $356.4M of capital spending.
ADT, Inc. spent $711.7M on share buybacks and $180.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.6×; forward P/E: 6.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.48%, paying out 30% of earnings.
ADT, Inc. employs 12,200 people — $423K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ADT, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control.
Why it matters — ADT is one of the companies featured in the industry outlook, making the article relevant to readers following the company.
Zacks Investment Research notes that rising costs and higher labor expenses are weighing on prospects for the Security and Safety Services industry. ADT is listed among the notable players alongside ALLE, ALRM and ITRN.
Why it matters — ADT watchers may note the industry cost pressures highlighted in the item.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece asking whether investors are currently undervaluing ADT, noting that its focus is on the Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends.
Why it matters — ADT watchers would care because the article raises the question of whether the stock's current valuation is justified, indicating the company is under review for potential value opportunity.
ADT Inc. announced that its do-it-yourself smart home security solution, ADT Blu, is now available for purchase on Walmart.com. The move expands the product's availability through one of the nation's largest online retailers.
Why it matters — The expansion to Walmart.com broadens ADT's retail distribution reach for its DIY product, potentially increasing access to a wider customer base.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece asking whether value investors should buy ADT stock, explaining that its focus is on the Zacks Rank system which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends to highlight strong stock picks.
Why it matters — ADT watchers would care because this piece assesses ADT through Zacks' established value-investing framework and ranking methodology.
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $8.5, with estimates ranging from $7 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 6 analysts covering ADT, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, ADT, Inc. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +30.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 94 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering ADT, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $9 over the next 12 months.
ADT, Inc. returned -22.5% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Oct 2026): "Zacks Industry Outlook Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control". Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Allegion, ADT, Alarm.com Holdings and Ituran Location and Control.
ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions. Its offerings include burglar and life safety alarms, fire and carbon monoxide detection, video surveillance, smart security cameras, access control, and home automation tools designed to help customers monitor and manage their properties. ADT also provides professional installation, system maintenance, and 24/7 monitoring services through its network of monitoring centers and field teams. The company serves homeowners, renters, and small business operators across the United States, combining security hardware, connected software, and emergency response capabilities under the ADT brand. Based in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. plays a central role in the U.S. security and smart home market by delivering integrated protection and convenience services for homes and businesses.
CEO Mr. James David DeVries · 12,200 employees · United States · https://www.adt.com
