ADTIndustrials · Security & Protection ServicesThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $9.25 — -6.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 92 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ADT, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (46): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.75 → $7.25 |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.50 → $7.75 |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $8.50 |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $9.00 → $7.00 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 26 Aug 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 Jan 2025 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 12 Dec 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 2 Aug 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 22 Mar 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 29 Feb 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Sept 2023 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ADT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, ADT, Inc. returned +16.5% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
ADT, Inc. has a market value of $7.2B and an enterprise value of $15.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.2B. The latest quarter grew 2.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $612.8M, a 11.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.71.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B, after $356.4M of capital spending.
ADT, Inc. spent $711.7M on share buybacks and $180.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 10.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.23%, paying out 30% of earnings.
ADT, Inc. employs 12,200 people — $423K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ADT, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AI investors are increasingly buying businesses in sectors such as accounting, property management and call centers, rather than backing only software providers serving them.
Why it matters — The headline places ADT in the context of investor interest in acquiring businesses, but the excerpt does not provide details about ADT specifically.
Brodsky & Smith announced an investigation involving ADT Inc. and three other companies, and invited shareholders to contact the firm to discuss it.
Why it matters — ADT shareholders are among the investors the firm says may discuss the investigation; the excerpt provides no further details about its subject.
ADT shares surged 33% on Oct. 29 after an all-cash acquisition deal valued at $10 per share was announced.
Why it matters — The acquisition terms and sharp share move are relevant to ADT watchers tracking the company’s deal developments.
Thrive Holdings has acquired ADT for $10 per share, representing about $7.6 billion in equity value. ADT said the deal’s total enterprise value is $15.3 billion.
Why it matters — ADT watchers may want to note the acquisition terms and the stated equity and enterprise values.
ADT shareholders are set to receive $10.00 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $7.6 billion in equity and $15.3 billion in enterprise value. Ademi LLP is investigating the deal price, benefits to company insiders, and restrictions on competing offers.
Why it matters — ADT watchers may be interested in the proposed per-share consideration and the law firm’s review of the transaction’s terms.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $9.25, with estimates ranging from $7 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering ADT, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 92 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, ADT, Inc. ranks 92 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies -6.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 92 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering ADT, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $10 over the next 12 months.
ADT, Inc. returned +16.5% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions.
The most recent item we track (PYMNTS, 30 Oct 2026): "Why AI Investors Are Buying ADT, Accountants and Call Centers". AI investors are increasingly buying businesses in sectors such as accounting, property management and call centers, rather than backing only software providers serving them.
ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions. Its offerings include burglar and life safety alarms, fire and carbon monoxide detection, video surveillance, smart security cameras, access control, and home automation tools designed to help customers monitor and manage their properties. ADT also provides professional installation, system maintenance, and 24/7 monitoring services through its network of monitoring centers and field teams. The company serves homeowners, renters, and small business operators across the United States, combining security hardware, connected software, and emergency response capabilities under the ADT brand. Based in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. plays a central role in the U.S. security and smart home market by delivering integrated protection and convenience services for homes and businesses.
CEO Mr. James David DeVries · 12,200 employees · United States · https://www.adt.com
