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ADT Stock Forecast: ADT, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$7.05
+0.57% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $8.5 — +20.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 95 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
95 / 100
Median analyst target
$8.50
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$1.3B+2.0% y/y
Operating income$315.9M
Net income$153.8M
Free cash flow$541.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.4%
1M
−4.6%
YTD
−10.5%
1Y
−17.8%
From 52W high
−17.8%
From 52W low
+12.8%
$6.25
$8.58
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ADT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ADT, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
95 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
96
Value
95
Quality
89
Accruals
88
Revisions
82
Volatility
72
Growth
51
Momentum
39
Size
23

Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Momentum (39): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ADT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$6.00$6.50$7.00$7.50$8.00$8.50$9.00$9.50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ADTHigh $9.00Median $8.50Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
2 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $7.00Median $8.50High $9.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.50 → $7.75
4 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$10 → $8.50
4 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
3 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$9.00 → $7.00
17 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Aug 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
28 July 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2025RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
4 Apr 2025BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight—
29 Jan 2025RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
12 Dec 2024Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
25 Oct 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
2 Aug 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
22 Mar 2024BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
29 Feb 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
25 Sept 2023RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
9 Aug 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
12 July 2023Morgan StanleyReiteratesEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ADT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, ADT, Inc. returned −17.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ADT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ADTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ADT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.9%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ADT, Inc. (ADT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.8×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.8×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.0%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
79.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Operating margin
24.1%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Net margin
11.9%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.2%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.2%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 66% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ADT, Inc. (ADT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ADT, Inc. has a market value of $5.2B and an enterprise value of $12.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.2B. The latest quarter grew 2.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $612.8M, a 11.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.71.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B, after $356.4M of capital spending.

  • ADT, Inc. spent $711.7M on share buybacks and $180.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 733.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.8×; forward P/E: 7.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.12%, paying out 31% of earnings.

  • ADT, Inc. employs 12,200 people — $423K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ADT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ADTADT, Inc.$5.2B
95
BCOThe Brink's Co.$4.6B
86
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.$4.2B
89
BRCBrady Corp.$4.1B
97
MSAMSA Safety, Inc.$7.1B
94
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.4B
87
ALLEAllegion Plc$13.2B
71

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ADT, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ADT news & analysis

Should Value Investors Buy ADT (ADT) Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece asking whether value investors should buy ADT stock, explaining that its focus is on the Zacks Rank system which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends to highlight strong stock picks.

Why it matters — ADT watchers would care because this piece assesses ADT through Zacks' established value-investing framework and ranking methodology.

Do Options Traders Know Something About ADT Stock We Don't?

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market have drawn attention to ADT stock, suggesting investors should monitor the activity. The article points to unusual options trading as a signal warranting closer notice by shareholders.

Why it matters — ADT watchers would pay attention because shifting options-market activity can hint at how investors are positioning around the stock.

ADT: Recurring Customer Base Is Still Weak

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026negative

ADT Inc. remains rated a hold as recurring customer metrics weaken despite improved free cash flow and modestly raised FY2026 guidance. In Q2 2026, revenue rose 2% but core monitoring services declined, subscriber attrition climbed to 13.1%, and gross additions fell sharply, with organic growth failing to offset reduced affiliate and bulk acquisitions.

Why it matters — ADT watchers would care because continuing subscriber attrition and declining additions signal a weakening core customer base even as the company reports improving free cash flow.

All You Need to Know About ADT (ADT) Rating Upgrade to Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026positive

ADT (ADT) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.

Why it matters — The upgrade signals increased positive sentiment among analysts about ADT's near-term earnings potential, which investors may view as a favorable shift in the stock's outlook.

Are Investors Undervaluing ADT (ADT) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article questioning whether investors are currently undervaluing ADT (ADT), focusing on earnings estimates and estimate revisions as part of their stock evaluation system.

Why it matters — ADT watchers would care because the article examines whether the market's current valuation of ADT properly reflects the company's earnings outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ADT stock

What is the ADT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering ADT, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $8.5, with estimates ranging from $7 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ADT stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering ADT, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 95 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ADT?

As at 12 Sept 2026, ADT, Inc. ranks 95 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).

Will ADT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +20.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ADT, Inc. 95 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ADT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ADT, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $9 over the next 12 months.

How has ADT stock performed over the past year?

ADT, Inc. returned -17.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ADT, Inc. do?

ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions.

What is the latest news on ADT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Aug 2026): "Should Value Investors Buy ADT (ADT) Stock?". Zacks Investment Research published a piece asking whether value investors should buy ADT stock, explaining that its focus is on the Zacks Rank system which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends to highlight strong stock picks.

Company

About ADT, Inc.

ADT Inc. is an American security and smart home services company that provides residential and small business customers with monitored protection solutions. Its offerings include burglar and life safety alarms, fire and carbon monoxide detection, video surveillance, smart security cameras, access control, and home automation tools designed to help customers monitor and manage their properties. ADT also provides professional installation, system maintenance, and 24/7 monitoring services through its network of monitoring centers and field teams. The company serves homeowners, renters, and small business operators across the United States, combining security hardware, connected software, and emergency response capabilities under the ADT brand. Based in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. plays a central role in the U.S. security and smart home market by delivering integrated protection and convenience services for homes and businesses.

CEO Mr. James David DeVries · 12,200 employees · United States · https://www.adt.com