CXWIndustrials · Security & Protection ServicesThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $42 — +20.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores CoreCivic, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (95): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CXW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $41 → $45 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | $30 → $42 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | $30 |
| 7 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $36 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Noble Capital Markets | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Noble Capital Markets | Maintains | Outperform | $28 → $35 |
| 26 June 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Benchmark | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 July 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 June 2025 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 8 May 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Jones Trading | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Northland Capital Markets | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 13 Sept 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 9 Aug 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CXW appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, CoreCivic, Inc. returned +63.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
CoreCivic, Inc. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $4.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.5B. The latest quarter grew 27.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $127.9M, a 5.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.25.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $57.3M, after $142.8M of capital spending.
CoreCivic, Inc. spent $190.2M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 27.7×; forward P/E: 14.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 5.04%, paying out 0% of earnings.
CoreCivic, Inc. employs 13,651 people — $182K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own CoreCivic, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A CoreCivic executive sold 29,000 shares of common stock in a transaction valued at $981,378. The sale reduced the executive's direct ownership of the company's common stock by 15%.
Why it matters — A notable insider sale reducing an executive's stake by 15% can draw attention from CXW watchers monitoring insider activity for signals about leadership's view of the company.
CoreCivic reported second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded average analyst estimates for adjusted earnings per share and adjusted EBITDA. The company also outlined facility sales, debt repayments, and expanded share-repurchase capacity.
Why it matters — The earnings beat and announced capital-allocation moves signal stronger than expected financial performance for CXW watchers.
CoreCivic, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management's discussion of the company's quarterly financial results.
Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide direct insight into management's perspective on operational performance and forward outlook, which is key for investors tracking CXW.
CoreCivic (CXW) secured a five-year ICE contract for a 1,600-bed facility, which is expected to generate about $75 million in annual revenue once fully operational. The news was included in a Wall Street Lunch roundup that also noted rising networking stocks.
Why it matters — A new five-year ICE contract adds a substantial, multi-year source of government-backed revenue for CoreCivic watchers.
CoreCivic announced that it has been awarded a new contract with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to use its 1,600-bed Prairie Correctional Facility in Appleton, Minnesota, which has been idle since 2010.
Why it matters — The contract puts CoreCivic's long-idle 1,600-bed Prairie facility back into service, potentially adding new revenue from ICE utilization.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $42, with estimates ranging from $40 to $45. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks CoreCivic, Inc. 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Sept 2026, CoreCivic, Inc. ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +20.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks CoreCivic, Inc. 87 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering CoreCivic, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CXW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $45 over the next 12 months.
CoreCivic, Inc. returned +63.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government solutions company that owns and operates correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities across the United States.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 29 Aug 2026): "CoreCivic Exec Sells 29,000 Shares, Netting Nearly $1 Million". A CoreCivic executive sold 29,000 shares of common stock in a transaction valued at $981,378. The sale reduced the executive's direct ownership of the company's common stock by 15%.
CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government solutions company that owns and operates correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities across the United States. The company serves federal, state, and local government agencies through three main business segments: Safety, Community, and Properties. CoreCivic Safety focuses on managing correctional and detention facilities, CoreCivic Community provides residential reentry centers and related support services, and CoreCivic Properties offers government real estate solutions, including flexible leasing arrangements and build-to-suit facilities. CoreCivic also supports rehabilitation and reintegration programs that include education, life skills, employment training, and other services designed for individuals transitioning back into the community. Based in Brentwood, Tennessee, CoreCivic plays a significant role in the U.S. correctional infrastructure and government services market.
CEO Mr. Patrick Swindle · 13,651 employees · United States · https://www.corecivic.com
