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CXW Stock Forecast: CoreCivic, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$33
+2.80% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $42 — +28.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
87 / 100
Median analyst target
$42
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$684.9M+27.3% y/y
Operating income$69.0M
Net income$37.1M
Free cash flow$93.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.7%
1M
−6.7%
YTD
+71.2%
1Y
+74.5%
From 52W high
−8.0%
From 52W low
+102.8%
$16
$36
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CXW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores CoreCivic, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
87 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
94
Revisions
91
Growth
85
Volatility
76
Value
75
Issuance
57
Quality
52
Accruals
31
Size
29

Momentum (94): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CXW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CXW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$15$20$25$30$35$40$45$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CXWHigh $45Median $42Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $42High $45

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
18 Sept 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy$42
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$41 → $45
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy$30 → $42
5 Aug 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy$30
5 Aug 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$36 → $41
7 July 2026Noble Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026Noble Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform$28 → $35
26 June 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
24 Mar 2026BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—
13 Feb 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
7 Nov 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
18 July 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
11 June 2025WedbushReiteratesOutperform—
8 May 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CXW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CXW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, CoreCivic, Inc. returned +74.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CXW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CXWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CXW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.0%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
26.7×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.9×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.3%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.7%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
5.1%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.8%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.3%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • CoreCivic, Inc. has a market value of $3.3B and an enterprise value of $4.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.5B. The latest quarter grew 27.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $127.9M, a 5.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.25.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $57.3M, after $142.8M of capital spending.

  • CoreCivic, Inc. spent $190.2M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 98.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 26.7×; forward P/E: 13.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.26%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • CoreCivic, Inc. employs 13,651 people — $182K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CXW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.3B
87
BRCBrady Corp.$4.0B
96
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.$4.1B
92
BCOThe Brink's Co.$4.2B
81
ADTADT, Inc.$4.8B
94
MSAMSA Safety, Inc.$7.0B
94
NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.$1.3B
85

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own CoreCivic, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CXW news & analysis

CoreCivic Announces 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates

GlobeNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026neutral

CoreCivic announced it will release its 2026 third quarter financial results after market close on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, and will host a live conference call broadcast at 10:00 a.m. central time (11:00 a.m. eastern) on Thursday, November 5, 2026.

Why it matters — Shareholders and analysts watching CXW will know the scheduled dates to access the company's third quarter results and management's commentary.

These companies look set to face high-profile hearings and other scrutiny if Democrats win the House

Market Watch · 3 Oct 2026neutral

Washington lobbying and law firms are advising companies to prepare for heightened scrutiny, as most modern midterm elections result in the White House party losing some congressional control. A potential Democratic House majority could bring high-profile hearings and greater oversight.

Why it matters — A CXW watcher would care because a Democratic House majority could lead to congressional hearings and oversight that may affect detention and corrections companies like CoreCivic.

Lucibeth N. Mayberry Named President and CEO and Director of CoreCivic Patrick D.

GlobeNewsWire · 25 Sept 2026positive

CoreCivic's Board of Directors has appointed Lucibeth N. Mayberry as President, CEO, and Director of the Company, as announced on September 25, 2026. The appointment was made by the Board of Directors of the Brentwood, Tennessee-based company.

Why it matters — A change in executive leadership at the top of the company is a significant development for CoreCivic shareholders and observers tracking its strategic direction.

CoreCivic Exec Sells 29,000 Shares, Netting Nearly $1 Million

The Motley Fool · 29 Aug 2026neutral

A CoreCivic executive sold 29,000 shares of common stock in a transaction valued at $981,378. The sale reduced the executive's direct ownership of the company's common stock by 15%.

Why it matters — A notable insider sale reducing an executive's stake by 15% can draw attention from CXW watchers monitoring insider activity for signals about leadership's view of the company.

CoreCivic Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

CoreCivic reported second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded average analyst estimates for adjusted earnings per share and adjusted EBITDA. The company also outlined facility sales, debt repayments, and expanded share-repurchase capacity.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and announced capital-allocation moves signal stronger than expected financial performance for CXW watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CXW stock

What is the CXW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $42, with estimates ranging from $40 to $45. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CXW stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering CoreCivic, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks CoreCivic, Inc. 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CXW?

As at 8 Oct 2026, CoreCivic, Inc. ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (94 of 100).

Will CXW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +28.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks CoreCivic, Inc. 87 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CXW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering CoreCivic, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CXW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $45 over the next 12 months.

How has CXW stock performed over the past year?

CoreCivic, Inc. returned +74.5% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does CoreCivic, Inc. do?

CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government solutions company that owns and operates correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities across the United States.

What is the latest news on CXW?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 5 Oct 2026): "CoreCivic Announces 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates". CoreCivic announced it will release its 2026 third quarter financial results after market close on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, and will host a live conference call broadcast at 10:00 a.m. central time (11:00 a.m. eastern) on Thursday, November 5, 2026.

Company

About CoreCivic, Inc.

CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government solutions company that owns and operates correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities across the United States. The company serves federal, state, and local government agencies through three main business segments: Safety, Community, and Properties. CoreCivic Safety focuses on managing correctional and detention facilities, CoreCivic Community provides residential reentry centers and related support services, and CoreCivic Properties offers government real estate solutions, including flexible leasing arrangements and build-to-suit facilities. CoreCivic also supports rehabilitation and reintegration programs that include education, life skills, employment training, and other services designed for individuals transitioning back into the community. Based in Brentwood, Tennessee, CoreCivic plays a significant role in the U.S. correctional infrastructure and government services market.

CEO Ms. Lucibeth N. Mayberry J.D. · 13,651 employees · United States · https://www.corecivic.com