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NSSC Stock Forecast: Napco Security Technologies, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$35
−0.09% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Napco Security Technologies, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $50 — +42.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
85 / 100
Median analyst target
$50
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$55.8M+10.0% y/y
Operating income$18.4M
Net income$17.8M
Free cash flow$17.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.8%
1M
−4.8%
YTD
−14.7%
1Y
−18.7%
From 52W high
−24.7%
From 52W low
+1.4%
$35
$47
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NSSC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Napco Security Technologies, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
85 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
95
Volatility
76
Issuance
75
Growth
67
Accruals
67
Revisions
66
Value
65
Momentum
45
Size
41

Quality (95): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (45): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (41): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NSSC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NSSC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$35$40$45$50$55Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NSSCHigh $55Median $50Low $48

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $48Median $50High $55

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +42.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Aug 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$49
5 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$52
5 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$50 → $53
4 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
20 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
4 Nov 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
4 Nov 2025TD CowenUpgradeBuy—
17 Oct 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
10 Oct 2025Lake StreetMaintainsBuy—
24 Sept 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
26 Aug 2025Craig-HallumUpgradeBuy—
26 Aug 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
26 Aug 2025Lake StreetUpgradeBuy—
26 Aug 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2025MizuhoInitiatesOutperform—
25 June 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NSSC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NSSC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Napco Security Technologies, Inc. returned −18.7% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NSSC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NSSCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NSSC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.1×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.2×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
6.6×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.8×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.0%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
52.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Gross margin
61.3%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
21.3%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
23.9%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
17.5%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Napco Security Technologies, Inc. has a market value of $1.3B and an enterprise value of $1.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $202.3M. The latest quarter grew 10.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $43.0M, a 21.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.21.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $59.2M.

  • Napco Security Technologies, Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks and $20.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 35.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.1×; forward P/E: 19.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.93%, paying out 48% of earnings.

  • Napco Security Technologies, Inc. employs 1,049 people — $193K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NSSC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.$1.3B
85
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.$829.6M
50
MGMISTRAS Group, Inc.$653.0M
92
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.2B
87
CIXCompX International, Inc.$487.1M
74
BRCBrady Corp.$4.0B
96
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.$4.1B
92

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Napco Security Technologies, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NSSC news & analysis

Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?

PRNewsWire · 29 Sept 2026negative

A law firm is encouraging NAPCO Security Technologies shareholders to contact them to discuss their rights, alleging that insiders may have breached their fiduciary duties to shareholders. The firm says it would handle such matters on a contingent fee basis with no out-of-pocket costs to shareholders.

Why it matters — NSSC watchers would care because the firm's inquiry raises the possibility of an investigation into insider conduct and potential fiduciary breaches involving the company.

3 Stocks to Grab that Declared Dividend Hikes Amid Market Volatility

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted FMNB, MGEE and NSSC as dividend stocks amid market volatility, inflation and rate-hike concerns. The article notes that these companies have declared dividend hikes.

Why it matters — NSSC being named among dividend-stock picks signals that investors may see its dividend commitment as a point of interest during uncertain market conditions.

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 24 Aug 2026neutral

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. published its Q4 2026 earnings call transcript on Seeking Alpha, covering the company's financial results and management discussion for the fiscal fourth quarter.

Why it matters — A Napco watcher would care because the transcript offers direct insight into the company's latest quarterly performance and management commentary.

NAPCO Security Technologies Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 24 Aug 2026positive

NAPCO Security Technologies reported record fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year revenue for fiscal 2026, driven by growth in recurring service revenue, intrusion products, and radio sales. The company also announced a leadership transition, with longtime executive Kevin Buchel becoming CEO and President while founder Dick Soloway moved to Founder and Executive Chairman.

Why it matters — The record revenue results and leadership transition signal continued operational momentum and a defined succession plan for the company.

Napco Security Technologies Posts Upbeat Q4 Results, Joins Alvotech, Rum Group And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Monday

Benzinga · 24 Aug 2026positive

Napco Security Technologies reported upbeat Q4 results and was listed among major stocks moving higher on Monday. During the same session, broader U.S. markets were mixed, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 150 points.

Why it matters — NSSC watchers would note that the company's strong fourth-quarter results put it among stocks gaining ground on a day when broader markets were mixed.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NSSC stock

What is the NSSC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Napco Security Technologies, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $48 to $55. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NSSC stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Napco Security Technologies, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Napco Security Technologies, Inc. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NSSC?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (95 of 100).

Will NSSC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +42.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Napco Security Technologies, Inc. 85 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NSSC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Napco Security Technologies, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NSSC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $48 to $55 over the next 12 months.

How has NSSC stock performed over the past year?

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. returned -18.7% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Napco Security Technologies, Inc. do?

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a security technology company that develops, manufactures, and distributes electronic security products for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental use.

What is the latest news on NSSC?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 29 Sept 2026): "Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?". A law firm is encouraging NAPCO Security Technologies shareholders to contact them to discuss their rights, alleging that insiders may have breached their fiduciary duties to shareholders. The firm says it would handle such matters on a contingent fee basis with no out-of-pocket costs to shareholders.

Company

About Napco Security Technologies, Inc.

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a security technology company that develops, manufactures, and distributes electronic security products for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental use. Its portfolio includes intrusion and fire alarm systems, access control solutions, video surveillance equipment, wireless communication devices, and electronic door locking systems. The company also provides connected security services and school safety solutions, supporting monitoring, alerting, and facility protection needs across a broad range of environments. Napco Security Technologies serves security dealers, distributors, integrators, installers, and locksmiths through brands and divisions such as NAPCO Security Systems, Alarm Lock, Continental Access, and Marks USA. Headquartered in Amityville, New York, the company focuses on physical security, life safety, and building access applications in the modern security market.

CEO Mr. Kevin S. Buchel CPA · 1,049 employees · United States · https://www.napcosecurity.com