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EVLV Stock Forecast: Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$4.95
−0.40% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +102.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$890.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$10
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$43.8M+34.4% y/y
Operating income−$7.2M
Net income−$9.3M
Free cash flow$2.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.4%
1M
−17.9%
YTD
−30.9%
1Y
−38.0%
From 52W high
−43.5%
From 52W low
+1.0%
$4.90
$8.76
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

EVLV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
95
Quality
80
Accruals
66
Revisions
54
Size
46
Momentum
32
Volatility
29
Value
29
Issuance
15

Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (15): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

EVLV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EVLV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26EVLVHigh $11Median $10Low $8

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
5 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $8Median $10High $11

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +102.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026Ladenburg ThalmannInitiatesBuy$8.00
9 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$10
9 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
14 Nov 2025Lake StreetMaintainsBuy—
15 Aug 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
15 Aug 2025Lake StreetUpgradeBuy—
15 Aug 2025TD CowenReinstatesBuy$10
21 May 2025Lake StreetMaintainsHold—
21 May 2025Northland Capital MarketsUpgradeOutperform—
30 Apr 2025Lake StreetMaintainsHold—
28 Oct 2024Lake StreetMaintainsHold—
12 Aug 2024Northland Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2024Craig-HallumAssumesBuy$8.50 → $5.75
10 May 2024Lake StreetDowngradeHold—
10 May 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
28 Mar 2024Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
1 Mar 2024Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
21 Nov 2023Lake StreetInitiatesBuy—
10 Nov 2023Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
14 Sept 2023Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EVLV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

EVLV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. returned −38.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

EVLV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26EVLVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

EVLV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−24.7×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.2×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / book
7.5×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−356.2×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
34.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
34.4%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Gross margin
50.2%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Operating margin
−21.4%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.0%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−4.9%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
−5.3%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $890.4M and an enterprise value of $875.5M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $171.4M. The latest quarter grew 34.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$5.2M, a −3.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.03.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$5.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 180.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: −24.7×; forward P/E: −135.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. employs 286 people — $599K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

EVLV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.$890.4M
47
MGMISTRAS Group, Inc.$625.0M
94
NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.$1.3B
87
CIXCompX International, Inc.$439.8M
73
NLNLI Holdings, Inc.$342.5M
48
CXWCoreCivic, Inc.$3.4B
87
BRCBrady Corp.$4.1B
97

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest EVLV news & analysis

Evolv Technology Joins Partner Alliance for Safer Schools to Support K-12 School Safety Mission

Business Wire · 9 Sept 2026positive

Evolv Technology announced it has been approved as a Partner of the Partner Alliance for Safer Schools (PASS), a nonprofit focused on improving K-12 school safety. As a PASS Partner, Evolv will participate in PASS training, collaboration, and knowledge-sharing to support evidence-based school safety decisions.

Why it matters — The partnership expands Evolv's involvement in the K-12 school safety sector, potentially broadening its reach and credibility in that market.

Evolv Offers Good Risk/Reward At A 52-Week Low

Seeking Alpha · 7 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Evolv Technologies is trading at a 52-week low but shows strong revenue growth, improved cash flow, and upwardly revised FY26 guidance. The article highlights its AI-driven competitive advantage, expanding customer base with 70 new customers, and adoption of Gen2 and eXpedite, while acknowledging gross margin pressure from purchase subscriptions and Gen2 upgrades being offset by price increases and manufacturing changes.

Why it matters — Evolv watchers would care because the article frames the stock at a 52-week low as offering compelling risk/reward, reinforced by solid growth, upwardly revised guidance, and a defensible AI/data moat despite current margin pressures.

Evolv Technology Expands Market Reach and Deepens Customer Adoption as Demand for AI-Powered Security Remains Strong

Business Wire · 14 Aug 2026positive

Evolv Technology highlighted continued momentum for its AI-powered weapons detection solutions in the public safety market, citing broad customer adoption, product portfolio expansion, and growing demand for integrated security solutions as reflected in its second quarter earnings report.

Why it matters — EVLV watchers would care because the company is confirming expanding market reach and deeper customer adoption of its AI security products.

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha has published the transcript of Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.'s (EVLV) Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's quarterly earnings discussion.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides EVLV watchers with direct insight into management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance.

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026positive

Evolv Technologies reported a second-quarter loss of $0.05 per share, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.06 loss and a loss of $0.25 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — The narrower-than-expected quarterly loss and improvement over the prior-year period provide an update on Evolv's recent financial performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about EVLV stock

What is the EVLV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $8 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is EVLV stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank EVLV?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).

Will EVLV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +102.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. 47 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the EVLV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EVLV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $11 over the next 12 months.

How has EVLV stock performed over the past year?

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. returned -38.0% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. do?

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc., a security technology company focused on AI-based touchless screening solutions.

What is the latest news on EVLV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 9 Sept 2026): "Evolv Technology Joins Partner Alliance for Safer Schools to Support K-12 School Safety Mission". Evolv Technology announced it has been approved as a Partner of the Partner Alliance for Safer Schools (PASS), a nonprofit focused on improving K-12 school safety. As a PASS Partner, Evolv will participate in PASS training, collaboration, and knowledge-sharing to support evidence-based school safety decisions.

Company

About Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc., a security technology company focused on AI-based touchless screening solutions. The company develops, manufactures, markets, and sells products and related services designed to help organizations detect weapons while minimizing disruption from harmless personal items. Its portfolio includes screening systems and analytics tools used in venues, schools, hospitals, industrial workplaces, and other public settings. Evolv serves customers that need faster, more automated security workflows, combining sensors, software, cloud-based services, and data analysis in a single offering. The company operates in the security screening market, where its products are positioned for use in environments that require high-throughput screening and consistent threat detection.

CEO Mr. John Kedzierski · 286 employees · United States · https://evolv.com