NLNLIndustrials · Security & Protection Services

NL Stock Forecast: NLI Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$7.01
−0.14% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$342.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
48 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$43.6M+8.0% y/y
Operating income$6.1M
Net income$9.9M
Free cash flow$9.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.2%
1M
+11.2%
YTD
+34.4%
1Y
+20.2%
From 52W high
−15.1%
From 52W low
+43.2%
$4.90
$8.26
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NLI Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
48 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
89
Momentum
67
Issuance
61
Size
59
Value
57
Volatility
50
Growth
49
Revisions
25
Quality
15

Accruals (89): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (15): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$5.50$6.00$6.50$7.00$7.50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NL

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
0 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Sept 2024BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$5.00$6.00
25 Aug 2023BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
25 May 2021BarclaysDowngradeUnderweight
14 June 2018BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight
15 Nov 2017BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
1 Dec 2015BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
28 Aug 2015BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
17 Mar 2015BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
3 Feb 2014BarclaysInitiatesUnderweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, NLI Holdings, Inc. returned +20.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

NLI Holdings, Inc. (NL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.6×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.8×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.0%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
2422.3%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Gross margin
35.6%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.4%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
−15.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.7%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

NLI Holdings, Inc. (NL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • NLI Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $342.8M and an enterprise value of $256.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $161.8M. The latest quarter grew 8.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$22.8M, a −14.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.52.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.1M, after $3.1M of capital spending.

  • NLI Holdings, Inc. spent $28.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 48.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 27.6×; forward P/E: 7.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.68%, paying out 175% of earnings.

  • NLI Holdings, Inc. employs 2,812 people $58K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NLNLI Holdings, Inc.$342.8M
48
CIXCompX International, Inc.$439.8M
73
MGMISTRAS Group, Inc.$625.0M
94
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.$896.6M
47
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd.$99.9M
21
NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.$1.3B
87
SPCBSuperCom Ltd.$62.6M
22

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NLI Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NL news & analysis

NL Q2 Earnings Rise Y/Y as CompX & Kronos Results Improve

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026positive

NLI Holdings reported second-quarter earnings that rose year over year, driven by improved margins at CompX and a return to profit at Kronos. The results support an upbeat 2026 outlook despite ongoing cost pressures.

Why it matters — NL watchers would care because improving performance at both CompX and Kronos underpins a more optimistic outlook for the company despite cost pressures.

NLI HOLDINGS ANNOUNCES QUARTERLY DIVIDEND FOR THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2026 AT $.10 PER SHARE

GlobeNewsWire · 5 Aug 2026positive

NLI Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share on its common stock. The dividend is payable on September 22, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on September 3, 2026.

Why it matters — Investors following NL would care because the company is returning cash to shareholders through a declared quarterly dividend.

NLI REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

GlobeNewsWire · 5 Aug 2026positive

NLI Holdings reported second-quarter 2026 net income attributable to stockholders of $9.0 million, or $.18 per share, up from $.3 million, or $.01 per share, in the second quarter of 2025. For the first six months of 2026, net income was $13.3 million, or $.27 per share, compared with $1.0 million, or $.02 per share a year earlier, with results including unrealized gains on marketable equity securities.

Why it matters — A NL watcher would care because the company's reported earnings improved substantially year over year for both the quarter and first half, driven in part by gains on marketable equity securities.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NL stock

Is NL stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering NLI Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NLI Holdings, Inc. 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NL?

As at 12 Sept 2026, NLI Holdings, Inc. ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (89 of 100).

What is the NL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NLI Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has NL stock performed over the past year?

NLI Holdings, Inc. returned +20.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NLI Holdings, Inc. do?

NLI Holdings, Inc. is a holding company that operates primarily through its subsidiary, CompX International, in the component products business.

What is the latest news on NL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 18 Aug 2026): "NL Q2 Earnings Rise Y/Y as CompX & Kronos Results Improve". NLI Holdings reported second-quarter earnings that rose year over year, driven by improved margins at CompX and a return to profit at Kronos. The results support an upbeat 2026 outlook despite ongoing cost pressures.

Company

About NLI Holdings, Inc.

NLI Holdings, Inc. is a holding company that operates primarily through its subsidiary, CompX International, in the component products business. The company focuses on engineered products used in security, access control, and marine applications, including cabinet locks, electronic locks, marine hardware, trim tabs, throttle controls, and related accessories. Its products serve a broad range of industrial and commercial customers across sectors such as healthcare, office furniture, storage, transportation, gas stations, and vending equipment. NLI Holdings also maintains an interest in chemicals through a separate business segment that produces titanium dioxide pigments, which are used in a variety of everyday materials and manufacturing processes. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, NLI Holdings plays a specialized role in industrial manufacturing by supplying niche components and materials that support equipment makers and end markets worldwide.

CEO Ms. Courtney J. Riley · 2,812 employees · United States · https://www.nliholdingsinc.com