The 5 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Petroleum Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $22 — +17.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 1 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ARKO Petroleum Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Size (47): Smaller than most of the companies we track.
Growth (1): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on APC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Mizuho | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Raymond James | Initiates | Strong Buy | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Stifel | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 29 May 2019 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 22 May 2019 | Cowen & Co. | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 16 May 2019 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $60 → $75 |
| 7 May 2019 | Stifel | Downgrade | Hold | $68 → $76 |
| 30 Apr 2019 | Bernstein | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 29 Apr 2019 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 26 Apr 2019 | Tudor Pickering | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 25 Apr 2019 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 25 Apr 2019 | Johnson Rice | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 25 Apr 2019 | Scotiabank | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 17 Apr 2019 | Susquehanna | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 16 Apr 2019 | Argus Research | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 15 Apr 2019 | BMO Capital | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 15 Apr 2019 | MKM Partners | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. APC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 91% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
ARKO Petroleum Corp. has a market value of $1.5B and an enterprise value of $1.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.0B. The latest quarter grew 27.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $38.5M, a 0.6% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $32.4M.
Trailing P/E: 22.7×; forward P/E: 15.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 10.85%, paying out 32% of earnings.
ARKO Petroleum Corp. employs 360 people — $16.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ARKO Petroleum Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
ARKO Corp. reported its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 financial guidance. The announcement was made on August 7, 2026.
Why it matters — A quarterly earnings report with reaffirmed full-year guidance provides APC watchers with an update on the company's recent financial performance and its outlook for the rest of 2026.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s (APC) Q2 2026 earnings call. The item provides the earnings call transcript for the company.
Why it matters — APC watchers would care because the earnings call transcript offers an official account of the company's second-quarter 2026 results and management discussion.
ARKO Petroleum Corp. reported higher second-quarter earnings and cash flow. Management also outlined an agreement to acquire U.S. Petroleum Partners, a transaction that would expand its wholesale distribution network, add terminal and transportation assets, and contribute approximately $30 million of annual adjusted EBITDA after closing.
Why it matters — A watcher of APC would care because the acquisition of U.S. Petroleum Partners could expand the company's wholesale distribution network and add terminal and transportation assets, while supporting stronger quarterly earnings and cash flow.
ARKO Petroleum Corp. announced it will report its second quarter 2026 financial results and host a conference call on August 6, 2026.
Why it matters — The announcement provides the scheduled date for APC's quarterly earnings release, which shareholders and analysts will watch for updates on the company's financial performance.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering ARKO Petroleum Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $22, with estimates ranging from $21 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering ARKO Petroleum Corp., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ARKO Petroleum Corp. 1 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, ARKO Petroleum Corp. ranks 1 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (47 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +17.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ARKO Petroleum Corp. 1 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering ARKO Petroleum Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for APC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $21 to $25 over the next 12 months.
Arko Petroleum Corp. is a growth-oriented fuel distribution company and one of the largest wholesale fuel distributors by gallons sold in North America.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 7 Aug 2026): "ARKO Corp. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results". ARKO Corp. reported its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 financial guidance. The announcement was made on August 7, 2026.
Arko Petroleum Corp. is a growth-oriented fuel distribution company and one of the largest wholesale fuel distributors by gallons sold in North America. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, it specializes in the wholesale distribution of motor fuel to ARKO retail sites, third-party dealers under long-term contracts, and fleet fueling locations across more than 30 U.S. states, including the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Northeast, Southeast, and Southwest regions. The company operates through key segments such as wholesale, fleet fueling, and GPM Petroleum, delivering over 2.1 billion gallons of fuel annually to independent dealers, consignment agents, commercial fleets, and more than 1,100 ARKO convenience stores like Fas Mart and E-Z Mart, as well as over 2,000 third-party gas stations. As a subsidiary of ARKO Corp., it maintains strong supplier relationships, established logistics infrastructure, and predictable cash flows tied to fuel throughput, with limited exposure to retail consumer trends. Recently completing its initial public offering, Arko Petroleum Corp. focuses on high-volume distribution, debt reduction, and operational efficiency, playing a vital role in the U.S. fuel supply chain by ensuring consistent supply to diverse customers.
CEO Mr. Arie Kotler · 360 employees · United States · https://www.arkopetroleum.com
