PBFEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering PBF Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $80 — -10.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PBF Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (100): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Volatility (35): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PBF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −10.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $81 → $91 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $65 → $89 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $74 → $91 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $38 → $76 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $71 → $81 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $57 → $65 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $62 → $84 |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $65 → $74 |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $43 → $65 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $51 → $71 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $39 → $68 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | $58 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PBF appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, PBF Energy, Inc. returned +212.5% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 88% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
PBF Energy, Inc. has a market value of $10.1B and an enterprise value of $11.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $34.4B. The latest quarter grew 56.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 4.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.30.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $742.8M, after $914.6M of capital spending.
PBF Energy, Inc. spent $129.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 7.5×; forward P/E: 4.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.29%, paying out 10% of earnings.
PBF Energy, Inc. employs 3,678 people — $9.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PBF Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
PBF Energy has shifted from losing money in 2025 amid damage at its California plant to becoming one of the industry's most profitable names. Its shares are up more than 230% this year.
Why it matters — The turnaround and sharp share rise mark a significant change in PBF's operating and stock performance.
Zacks Investment Research identifies BP, PBF, VLO and MPC as low-beta energy stocks in the context of market volatility driven by high oil prices and Middle East tensions.
Why it matters — PBF is included among the energy stocks highlighted for their low-beta profile amid the stated market volatility.
Zacks Investment Research reports that PBF Energy shares rose 189.4% over a year, citing restored refinery operations, a strong earnings outlook, and discounted valuation.
Why it matters — These factors underpin the article’s positive view of PBF and may be relevant to investors tracking its operations, outlook, and valuation.
Zacks Investment Research poses a comparison between PBF Energy and Neste OYJ ADR, asking which stock offers the better value opportunity. The excerpt does not provide a conclusion.
Why it matters — PBF watchers may find the value comparison relevant, though the excerpt gives no assessment of which stock is the better value.
President Donald Trump said Russia agreed to send millions of tons of diesel to world markets, following a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin. The announcement came as U.S. fuel prices were near record highs ahead of the midterm elections.
Why it matters — A PBF watcher may follow the reported diesel supply because it concerns fuel availability in world markets and U.S. fuel prices.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering PBF Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $80, with estimates ranging from $55 to $99. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering PBF Energy, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PBF Energy, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Oct 2026, PBF Energy, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -10.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PBF Energy, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering PBF Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PBF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $55 to $99 over the next 12 months.
PBF Energy, Inc. returned +212.5% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
PBF Energy Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in PBF Energy Inc., an independent petroleum refining and logistics company.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 14 Oct 2026): "PBF Energy's Stunning Rally Faces a Critical Test". PBF Energy has shifted from losing money in 2025 amid damage at its California plant to becoming one of the industry's most profitable names. Its shares are up more than 230% this year.
PBF Energy Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in PBF Energy Inc., an independent petroleum refining and logistics company. PBF Energy produces and supplies transportation fuels, heating oil, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, blending components, asphalt, and other refined products through its refining and logistics operations. The company serves markets across the United States, including the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast, and also reaches select international destinations. Its logistics segment supports product movement and storage through terminaling, pipeline, rail, truck, and marine services. PBF Energy plays a significant role in the North American fuel supply chain by converting crude oil into products used by consumers, transportation networks, industry, and commercial customers. Headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, PBF Energy focuses on operating and supplying essential petroleum products across a broad set of energy markets.
CEO Mr. Matthew C. Lucey · 3,678 employees · United States · https://www.pbfenergy.com
