PARREnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $85 — -1.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (100): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $104 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $77 → $92 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $78 → $100 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $79 → $80 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $60 → $65 |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PARR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +144.9% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Cheaper than 81% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.2B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter grew 56.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $847.1M, a 9.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.32.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $412.4M, after $142.6M of capital spending.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. spent $81.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 5.0×; forward P/E: 5.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. employs 1,758 people — $4.9M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research asks whether Par Petroleum (PARR) could be a top stock pick for momentum investors. The excerpt provides no supporting analysis or conclusion.
Why it matters — PARR watchers may note the article's momentum-investor framing, while the excerpt gives no details to assess its basis.
Zacks Investment Research’s headline describes Par Petroleum (PARR) as a strong momentum stock. The excerpt points readers to Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify stocks, but provides no supporting details about PARR.
Why it matters — PARR watchers may note the article’s positive momentum framing, while the excerpt offers no specific evidence or metrics.
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR), along with CRGY and APA, was added to Zacks' Rank #1 (Strong Buy) value stocks list on October 6th, 2026.
Why it matters — The inclusion signals that Zacks has identified PARR as a strong buy value stock, which may draw attention from value-oriented investors.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Par Petroleum (PARR) as a strong growth stock using its Style Scores system, which helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The article points out reasons why the company merits attention on this basis.
Why it matters — PARR watchers would care because the piece signals that the company ranks well on Zacks' style-based screening criteria for growth investing.
Par Pacific Holdings appointed Jerry Stumbo as Executive Vice President of Refining and Logistics. Current executive Richard Creamer is set to retire in April 2027 and will serve as senior advisor through the transition.
Why it matters — This leadership transition in refining and logistics affects a key segment of Par Pacific's operations, so watchers would be interested in the planned succession and continuity.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $85, with estimates ranging from $65 to $104. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies -1.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $104 over the next 12 months.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +144.9% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 6 Oct 2026): "Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Par Petroleum (PARR) is a Great Choice". Zacks Investment Research asks whether Par Petroleum (PARR) could be a top stock pick for momentum investors. The excerpt provides no supporting analysis or conclusion.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii. Par Pacific Holdings Inc. provides both renewable and conventional fuels through a network of refineries that produce transportation fuels and other refined products, supported by storage, marine, rail, rack, pipeline, and trucking infrastructure. The company also operates fuel retail businesses, including the Hele brand in Hawaii and the nomnom convenience store chain in the Pacific Northwest, serving consumer and commercial demand for gasoline, diesel, and related products. In addition, Par Pacific Holdings Inc. holds an ownership interest in natural gas production assets in Western Colorado, adding upstream exposure within its broader energy portfolio. Its integrated business model connects crude sourcing, fuel production, distribution, and retailing in logistically complex markets.
CEO Mr. William Monteleone · 1,758 employees · United States · https://www.parpacific.com
