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PARRPARREnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PARR Stock Forecast: Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$82
−3.48% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $85 — +4.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$4.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
98 / 100
Median analyst target
$85
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$3.0B+56.8% y/y
Operating income$627.4M
Net income$462.9M
Free cash flow$242.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
+1.7%
YTD
+132.5%
1Y
+148.9%
From 52W high
−5.0%
From 52W low
+145.5%
$33
$86
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PARR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
98 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
100
Momentum
97
Growth
96
Value
89
Revisions
84
Quality
83
Volatility
70
Size
26
Accruals
18

Issuance (100): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PARR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PARRHigh $95Median $85Low $65

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
6 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $65Median $85High $95

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$80 → $85
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$100 → $95
23 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$77 → $92
23 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$78 → $100
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$80 → $85
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$79 → $80
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$60 → $65
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 May 2026MizuhoUpgradeOutperform—
10 Apr 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeBuy—
9 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
8 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
25 Mar 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
17 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
12 Mar 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PARR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PARR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +148.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PARR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PARRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PARR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+49.3%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.0×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.1×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
56.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
677.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
27.5%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Operating margin
21.1%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
9.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
53.5%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
16.9%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.2B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter grew 56.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $847.1M, a 9.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.32.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $412.4M, after $142.6M of capital spending.

  • Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. spent $81.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 49.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 5.0×; forward P/E: 6.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. employs 1,758 people — $4.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PARR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.$4.2B
98
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.$4.6B
98
CVICVR Energy, Inc.$5.0B
90
PBFPBF Energy, Inc.$9.1B
94
WKCWorld Kinect Corp.$1.8B
99
DINOHF Sinclair Corp.$19.8B
97
APCARKO Petroleum Corp.$872.4M
1

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PARR news & analysis

Can Par Pacific's Distillate-Focused Refining Model Drive Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research article highlights that Par Pacific's distillate-heavy refining system, tight product inventories, and steady execution support its potential for earnings and free cash flow growth. The piece frames these factors as drivers of the company's growth outlook.

Why it matters — This item signals that Par Pacific's refining configuration and disciplined execution are viewed as supportive of its earnings and free cash flow potential, which matters to investors tracking the company's growth trajectory.

Oil Prices are High, But These 2 Refining Stocks are Still Crushing It

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026positive

According to a Zacks Investment Research report, Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) and DINO have gained more than 50% over the past six months. The gains are attributed to tight refining capacity, low fuel inventories, and firm demand supporting margins.

Why it matters — The report highlights that favorable refining conditions and strong margin support have driven PARR's significant stock gains, making this relevant for investors tracking the company's recent performance.

Par Pacific Surges 148% in a Year: Should You Bet on the Momentum?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026positive

Par Pacific Holdings has surged 148% over the past year, with the gains backed by a flexible crude mix, strong refining margins, and a 3.50x EV/EBITDA valuation below the industry average.

Why it matters — The item highlights the operational and valuation factors underpinning PARR's substantial one-year momentum.

Can Par Pacific's Diversified Downstream Platform Drive Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Par Pacific Holdings' diversified refining, retail and logistics platform as a support for earnings, noting that constrained capacity and elevated crack spreads are aiding profitability.

Why it matters — A PARR watcher would care because the article underscores how the company's diversified downstream operations and favorable market conditions are underpinning its earnings.

Are Oils-Energy Stocks Lagging Par Pacific (PARR) This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining how Par Pacific (PARR) and Phillips 66 (PSX) have performed compared to the oils-energy sector so far this year. The article compares their year-to-date returns against the broader sector.

Why it matters — A PARR watcher would care because it places the company's year-to-date performance in context relative to both a sector peer and the broader oils-energy group.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PARR stock

What is the PARR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $85, with estimates ranging from $65 to $95. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PARR stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PARR?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (100 of 100).

Will PARR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +4.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PARR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $95 over the next 12 months.

How has PARR stock performed over the past year?

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +148.9% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. do?

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii.

What is the latest news on PARR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "Can Par Pacific's Distillate-Focused Refining Model Drive Growth?". A Zacks Investment Research article highlights that Par Pacific's distillate-heavy refining system, tight product inventories, and steady execution support its potential for earnings and free cash flow growth. The piece frames these factors as drivers of the company's growth outlook.

Company

About Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii. Par Pacific Holdings Inc. provides both renewable and conventional fuels through a network of refineries that produce transportation fuels and other refined products, supported by storage, marine, rail, rack, pipeline, and trucking infrastructure. The company also operates fuel retail businesses, including the Hele brand in Hawaii and the nomnom convenience store chain in the Pacific Northwest, serving consumer and commercial demand for gasoline, diesel, and related products. In addition, Par Pacific Holdings Inc. holds an ownership interest in natural gas production assets in Western Colorado, adding upstream exposure within its broader energy portfolio. Its integrated business model connects crude sourcing, fuel production, distribution, and retailing in logistically complex markets.

CEO Mr. William Monteleone · 1,758 employees · United States · https://www.parpacific.com