PARREnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $85 — +14.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (100): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (17): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $77 → $92 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $78 → $100 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $79 → $80 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $60 → $65 |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PARR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +138.2% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 67% of US stocks
Cheaper than 84% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.0B and an enterprise value of $4.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter grew 56.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $847.1M, a 9.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.14.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $412.4M, after $142.6M of capital spending.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. spent $81.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 4.5×; forward P/E: 6.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. employs 1,787 people — $4.8M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Par Pacific's refining network is positioned to benefit from tight global product inventories and resilient demand, which are expected to support refining margins in the near term, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — PARR watchers would care because tight inventories and steady demand are expected to support the company's refining margins near term.
Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether investors are undervaluing Par Pacific (PARR). The piece applies the firm's Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, along with value, growth, and momentum trends, to evaluate the stock.
Why it matters — The article signals that Zacks is actively scrutinizing Par Pacific's valuation, which PARR watchers would follow for signals about how the stock is perceived relative to its fundamentals.
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) enters the third quarter with refining margins still elevated, supported by strong fuel demand and tight global inventories, which help support earnings despite a planned turnaround in Hawaii.
Why it matters — A PARR watcher would care because continued refining margin strength could support the company's earnings heading into the third quarter despite the Hawaii turnaround.
Zacks Investment Research notes that Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) is trading at a cheap valuation, with flexible crude sourcing and strong refining margins supporting the stock after a 172.7% one-year rise. The article examines whether the company is undervalued at current levels.
Why it matters — PARR watchers would care because the analysis highlights the firm's valuation, crude flexibility, and refining margin strength as key factors behind the stock's recent surge.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece highlighting low price-to-sales stocks with solid fundamentals and favorable business momentum as potential value opportunities. The list includes PEB, M, PARR, APLE and PBF.
Why it matters — PARR is named among stocks that Zacks identifies as fitting a low price-to-sales value strategy, which may draw attention from investors screening for value opportunities.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $85, with estimates ranging from $65 to $95. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +14.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $95 over the next 12 months.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +138.2% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is an integrated energy company involved in the transportation, storage, and refining of oil and related products.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Aug 2026): "Will Tight Product Inventories Boost PARR's Refining Outlook?". Par Pacific's refining network is positioned to benefit from tight global product inventories and resilient demand, which are expected to support refining margins in the near term, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is an integrated energy company involved in the transportation, storage, and refining of oil and related products. It operates primarily in the Energy sector, offering a comprehensive suite of services that extend across the entire oil value chain. Par Pacific's core activities include owning and managing complex refineries, handling a wide array of refined products such as gasoline and distillates, and managing logistics through a network of pipelines and terminals. It plays a crucial role in ensuring energy distribution, primarily in niche markets like Hawaii, which rely heavily on its services for energy needs. The company also extends its operations into retail, offering fuel services and convenience stores that cater to end consumers. Par Pacific Holdings Inc. stands out for its strategic approach to markets with unique demand characteristics, leveraging its integrated assets to enhance efficiency and market responsiveness. Its business model not only supports regional energy demands but also contributes significantly to the broader energy supply chain in the United States.
CEO Mr. William Monteleone · 1,787 employees · United States · https://www.parpacific.com
