PARREnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $93 — +21.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Neutral | $94 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Neutral | $90 → $94 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $104 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $77 → $92 |
| 23 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $78 → $100 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $85 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $79 → $80 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $60 → $65 |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
PARR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +88.6% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 67% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $3.8B and an enterprise value of $4.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.6B. The latest quarter grew 56.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $847.1M, a 9.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.32.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $412.4M, after $142.6M of capital spending.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. spent $81.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 4.3×; forward P/E: 4.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. employs 1,758 people — $4.9M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Par Pacific heads into Q3 2026 earnings with EPS estimates up 10.4% year over year. Higher crude costs are pressuring margins despite strong refinery utilization.
Why it matters — PARR watchers may note the contrast between rising EPS estimates and margin pressure from higher crude costs ahead of the earnings report.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted PARR among five stocks with low price-to-sales ratios, alongside GIII, DINO, GNW and PBF. The article cited solid fundamentals and growth catalysts as part of the group’s potential to deliver attractive returns.
Why it matters — PARR watchers may note that the article includes the company in a screen focused on low price-to-sales stocks and potential growth catalysts.
Zacks Investment Research says Par Petroleum lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat ahead of its upcoming report. The headline notes earnings are expected to grow, but the excerpt provides no further details.
Why it matters — PARR watchers may note Zacks’ pre-report assessment of earnings growth and the likelihood of a beat.
Zacks Investment Research describes its Style Scores as a way for investors to find top-rated stocks based on investing style, and frames the article around why Par Petroleum is a long-term growth stock.
Why it matters — The item presents PARR through Zacks’ growth-stock framing and points readers to its Style Scores as the basis for evaluating stocks.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted VLO, GWW, EXPD, PARR and CASY as five stocks to consider using DuPont analysis rather than relying on a simple ROE calculation.
Why it matters — PARR is included among the five stocks singled out in the article's DuPont-analysis screen.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $93, with estimates ranging from $85 to $117. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +21.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 96 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $85 to $117 over the next 12 months.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. returned +88.6% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "Par Pacific to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?". Par Pacific heads into Q3 2026 earnings with EPS estimates up 10.4% year over year. Higher crude costs are pressuring margins despite strong refinery utilization.
Par Pacific Holdings Inc. is a Houston-based energy company focused on refining, retail, and logistics operations across the western United States and Hawaii. Par Pacific Holdings Inc. provides both renewable and conventional fuels through a network of refineries that produce transportation fuels and other refined products, supported by storage, marine, rail, rack, pipeline, and trucking infrastructure. The company also operates fuel retail businesses, including the Hele brand in Hawaii and the nomnom convenience store chain in the Pacific Northwest, serving consumer and commercial demand for gasoline, diesel, and related products. In addition, Par Pacific Holdings Inc. holds an ownership interest in natural gas production assets in Western Colorado, adding upstream exposure within its broader energy portfolio. Its integrated business model connects crude sourcing, fuel production, distribution, and retailing in logistically complex markets.
CEO Mr. William Monteleone · 1,758 employees · United States · https://www.parpacific.com
