DINOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 17 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $122 — +24.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HF Sinclair Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (98): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DINO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $127 → $130 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Overweight | $152 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $100 → $110 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $93 → $135 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $86 → $122 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $95 → $110 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $114 → $142 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $85 → $119 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $126 → $133 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $78 → $127 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $105 → $140 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
DINO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. returned +90.4% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 81% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
HF Sinclair Corp. has a market value of $19.4B and an enterprise value of $19.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $27.6B. The latest quarter grew 49.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.2B, a 4.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.3B, after $537.0M of capital spending.
HF Sinclair Corp. spent $430.0M on share buybacks and $372.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 5.3×; forward P/E: 5.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.03%, paying out 10% of earnings.
HF Sinclair Corp. employs 5,165 people — $5.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HF Sinclair Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research discusses how investors can identify highly ranked value stocks, focusing on stocks with a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), as Wall Street begins a busy week.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention HF Sinclair, so it offers no company-specific information for DINO watchers.
Zacks Investment Research says HF Sinclair has rallied 55.6% and points to surging refining margins, earnings growth, and a discounted valuation as factors supporting further upside potential.
Why it matters — DINO watchers may want to note the reported refining-margin strength and the factors cited in the article’s positive assessment.
Seeking Alpha reports that HF Sinclair shares have rebounded sharply and posted record Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $11.75, supported by war-induced crack spread premiums, refinery waivers, and buybacks. It also notes the company has moved to a net-cash balance sheet and reduced its share count by 9%, while capital returns lag its 50% payout framework.
Why it matters — DINO watchers may weigh the improved balance sheet and earnings against the article’s warning that underlying margins are cyclical and recent results reflect elevated market conditions.
Zacks Investment Research says DINO, PSX and VLO are gaining momentum following October’s rally, citing strong quarterly earnings, favorable refining conditions and improving growth prospects.
Why it matters — The report identifies DINO’s earnings, refining conditions and growth prospects as factors behind its recent momentum.
Zacks says its analysis centers on the Zacks Rank system, which uses earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends. The excerpt does not state whether HF Sinclair is undervalued.
Why it matters — DINO watchers can note the factors Zacks considers, but the excerpt provides no specific valuation conclusion about the company.
The 17 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $122, with estimates ranging from $85 to $160. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 17 analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Nov 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +24.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 98 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering HF Sinclair Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DINO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $85 to $160 over the next 12 months.
HF Sinclair Corp. returned +90.4% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Nov 2026): "Best Value Stocks to Buy Now in November". Zacks Investment Research discusses how investors can identify highly ranked value stocks, focusing on stocks with a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), as Wall Street begins a busy week.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products. The company serves industrial, commercial, and wholesale markets through a network of refineries, terminals, pipelines, and branded distribution channels across the United States. HF Sinclair Corporation plays a significant role in the North American energy market by connecting crude oil processing with product distribution and transportation, while also serving customers that rely on fuels, lubricants, and other refined products for everyday operations.
CEO Mr. Franklin Myers J.D. · 5,165 employees · United States · https://www.hfsinclair.com
