DINOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $88 — -6.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HF Sinclair Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (98): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (49): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DINO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $85 |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $81 → $86 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $81 → $109 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $79 → $98 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | $85 |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $71 → $81 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $87 → $95 |
| 29 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 June 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DINO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 82% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HF Sinclair Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Phillips 66, along with HF Sinclair Corp. and Kinder Morgan, is advancing the $5B Western Gateway Pipeline project, which aims to enhance market access and logistics flexibility.
Why it matters — As a partner in the project, DINO stands to benefit from improved market connectivity and logistical advantages that could support its long-term cash-flow potential.
HF Sinclair enters late 2026 with stronger earnings and cash flow, but its richer stock valuation and refining risks could temper upside, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — A DINO watcher would care because the report weighs the company's improved earnings and cash position against valuation and refining risks that could limit gains.
On August 11, 2026, Zacks Investment Research named HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO), along with QUAD and ALX, to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list.
Why it matters — DINO watchers may take note that the company was recognised on a prominent Zacks momentum stock list for that date.
HF Sinclair, along with Phillips 66 and Kinder Morgan, has finalized a joint venture agreement and decided to proceed with the proposed $5 billion Western Gateway Pipeline system.
Why it matters — The Western Gateway Pipeline is a significant infrastructure investment that expands HF Sinclair's midstream footprint and could enhance its crude supply logistics.
Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan, and HF Sinclair announced a final investment decision to proceed with the Western Gateway Pipeline system.
Why it matters — The pipeline decision signals HF Sinclair's involvement in a significant midstream infrastructure project that could affect its logistics and transport capabilities.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $88, with estimates ranging from $67 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Aug 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies -6.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering HF Sinclair Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DINO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $67 to $114 over the next 12 months.
HF Sinclair Corp. returned +119.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that focuses on refining, renewables, marketing, lubricants and midstream operations across North America and select international markets. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, it produces and markets high-value light products including gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel and other specialty petroleum products for transportation and industrial use.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "PSX, KMI & DINO Advance $5B Western Gateway Pipeline Project". Phillips 66, along with HF Sinclair Corp. and Kinder Morgan, is advancing the $5B Western Gateway Pipeline project, which aims to enhance market access and logistics flexibility.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that focuses on refining, renewables, marketing, lubricants and midstream operations across North America and select international markets. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, it produces and markets high-value light products including gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel and other specialty petroleum products for transportation and industrial use. HF Sinclair owns and operates seven complex refineries in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Wyoming, Washington and Utah, supplying fuels primarily to the Southwest United States, the Rocky Mountains, the Pacific Northwest and neighboring Plains states. The company is structured into five main segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream, providing an integrated downstream platform. Its renewables activities center on multiple renewable diesel units, while its lubricants and specialties subsidiaries manufacture base oils and specialized lubricants in the U.S., Canada and the Netherlands and export products to more than 80 countries. HF Sinclair also offers transportation, terminalling, storage and throughput services through extensive pipeline and terminal infrastructure that supports both its own refineries and third-party customers.
CEO Mr. Franklin Myers J.D. · 5,165 employees · United States · https://www.hfsinclair.com