DINOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $95 — -10.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HF Sinclair Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (97): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (49): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DINO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −10.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $78 → $127 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $105 → $140 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $105 → $126 |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $67 → $93 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $85 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $81 → $86 |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $81 → $109 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $79 → $98 |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | $85 |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $71 → $81 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $87 → $95 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 29 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DINO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. returned +105.2% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
HF Sinclair Corp. has a market value of $19.0B and an enterprise value of $20.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $27.6B. The latest quarter grew 53.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.2B, a 4.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.3B, after $537.0M of capital spending.
HF Sinclair Corp. spent $430.0M on share buybacks and $372.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.2×; forward P/E: 9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.97%, paying out 19% of earnings.
HF Sinclair Corp. employs 5,165 people — $5.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HF Sinclair Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights HF Sinclair (DINO) as a strong growth stock, citing its Zacks Style Scores tool as a way to identify top-performing stocks across value, growth, and momentum categories.
Why it matters — A favorable growth-stock designation from Zacks signals that DINO is being recognized by analysts as a standout performer, which could draw investor attention.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted DINO among five low price-to-sales stocks that signal value when supported by solid fundamentals, improving margins and healthy financial strength. PRAA, TPC, GPRE and PBF were also named.
Why it matters — The article calls out DINO as a value stock worth investor attention based on its price-to-sales ratio and underlying fundamentals.
Zacks published a comparison of Delek US Holdings and HF Sinclair refining stocks, examining upside potential. The article notes Delek's strong stock gains, lower valuation, and steep EPS estimate revisions highlight key differences with DINO, while both benefit from strong refining markets.
Why it matters — A DINO watcher would care because the piece offers a comparative view of HF Sinclair's positioning and valuation relative to a refining peer during favorable market conditions.
Zacks Investment Research published an analysis of HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO), highlighting that its diversified refining network and integrated operations position it to benefit from tighter product markets and favorable crack spreads.
Why it matters — DINO watchers would care because the company's diversification and integration are presented as strengths that could support resilience in the current refining environment.
HF Sinclair (DINO) has reached a 52-week high, and the item examines whether further gains are possible by looking at the company's fundamentals for clues about its future prospects.
Why it matters — A DINO watcher would care because reaching a 52-week high and an evaluation of the company's fundamentals could signal its current performance and outlook.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $95, with estimates ranging from $73 to $140. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies -10.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 96 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering HF Sinclair Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DINO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $73 to $140 over the next 12 months.
HF Sinclair Corp. returned +105.2% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Sept 2026): "Here's Why HF Sinclair (DINO) is a Strong Growth Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights HF Sinclair (DINO) as a strong growth stock, citing its Zacks Style Scores tool as a way to identify top-performing stocks across value, growth, and momentum categories.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products. The company serves industrial, commercial, and wholesale markets through a network of refineries, terminals, pipelines, and branded distribution channels across the United States. HF Sinclair Corporation plays a significant role in the North American energy market by connecting crude oil processing with product distribution and transportation, while also serving customers that rely on fuels, lubricants, and other refined products for everyday operations.
CEO Mr. Franklin Myers J.D. · 5,165 employees · United States · https://www.hfsinclair.com
