DINOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $94 — -11.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HF Sinclair Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (49): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DINO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −11.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $67 → $93 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $85 |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $81 → $86 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $81 → $109 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $79 → $98 |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | $85 |
| 17 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $71 → $81 |
| 13 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $87 → $95 |
| 29 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 June 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DINO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. returned +112.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 59% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
HF Sinclair Corp. has a market value of $18.9B and an enterprise value of $19.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $27.6B. The latest quarter grew 53.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.2B, a 4.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.3B, after $537.0M of capital spending.
HF Sinclair Corp. spent $430.0M on share buybacks and $372.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.1×; forward P/E: 11.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.98%, paying out 19% of earnings.
HF Sinclair Corp. employs 5,165 people — $5.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HF Sinclair Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
HF Sinclair (DINO) has reached a fresh 52-week high, and the report examines the company's fundamentals to assess whether further gains are possible.
Why it matters — A 52-week high signals strong recent stock performance, and the focus on fundamentals provides HF Sinclair watchers with insight into whether the momentum may be sustained.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted HF Sinclair as a value stock to buy as September market volatility picks up, citing rising yields, oil prices and slowing growth as heightened risks. The excerpt lists Match Group, Amkor Technology and HF Sinclair as value opportunities in this environment.
Why it matters — A DINO watcher would care because the article positions HF Sinclair as a value stock that could hold appeal amid rising oil prices and market volatility, reflecting potential investor interest in the company.
HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) has announced plans to spin off its lubricants business. The move is intended to simplify the company's portfolio, sharpen capital allocation, and support long-term shareholder value.
Why it matters — DINO watchers would care because the spin-off could reshape the company's business structure and capital allocation strategy going forward.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted HF Sinclair Corp. as a top oils and energy stock with a #1 (Strong Buy) Zacks Rank, indicating a positive earnings outlook. The article notes that the Zacks Rank helps investors identify strong, market-beating stocks.
Why it matters — A #1 (Strong Buy) Zacks Rank signals a positive earnings outlook for HF Sinclair, which is relevant information for those tracking the company.
HF Sinclair (DINO) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 7.2% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares following the earnings release.
Why it matters — A DINO watcher would care because the stock's post-earnings gain signals investor response to the company's latest financial results and raises questions about its near-term trajectory.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $94, with estimates ranging from $70 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies -11.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering HF Sinclair Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DINO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $114 over the next 12 months.
HF Sinclair Corp. returned +112.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Sept 2026): "HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?". HF Sinclair (DINO) has reached a fresh 52-week high, and the report examines the company's fundamentals to assess whether further gains are possible.
HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products. The company serves industrial, commercial, and wholesale markets through a network of refineries, terminals, pipelines, and branded distribution channels across the United States. HF Sinclair Corporation plays a significant role in the North American energy market by connecting crude oil processing with product distribution and transportation, while also serving customers that rely on fuels, lubricants, and other refined products for everyday operations.
CEO Mr. Franklin Myers J.D. · 5,165 employees · United States · https://www.hfsinclair.com
