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DINODINOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

DINO Stock Forecast: HF Sinclair Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$125
+0.47% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $119 — -5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$22.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
97 / 100
Median analyst target
$119
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$7.1B+11.8% y/y
Operating income$847.0M
Net income$650.0M
Free cash flow$355.0M
Quarterly, 7 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.3%
1M
+9.9%
YTD
+178.2%
1Y
+155.5%
From 52W high
−2.3%
From 52W low
+179.4%
$45
$128
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

DINO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HF Sinclair Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Oct 2026
97 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
98
Growth
96
Revisions
92
Value
91
Issuance
76
Quality
69
Volatility
59
Accruals
50
Size
9

Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (50): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

DINO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DINO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26DINOHigh $145Median $119Low $73

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
6 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $73Median $119High $145

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 12 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$93 → $135
12 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$86 → $122
12 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$95 → $110
9 Oct 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$114 → $142
8 Oct 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$85 → $119
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$126 → $133
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
14 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$78 → $127
14 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
14 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$105 → $140
14 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
8 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
8 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$105 → $126
1 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$67 → $93
4 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
4 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$79 → $85
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$81 → $86
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DINO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

DINO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. returned +155.5% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

DINO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26DINOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

DINO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+77.8%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.9×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.3×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
53.2%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
328.8%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.5%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.7%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
6.1%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
19.5%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 76% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

HF Sinclair Corp. (DINO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • HF Sinclair Corp. has a market value of $22.3B and an enterprise value of $23.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $27.6B. The latest quarter grew 53.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.2B, a 4.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.3B, after $537.0M of capital spending.

  • HF Sinclair Corp. spent $430.0M on share buybacks and $372.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 177.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.9×; forward P/E: 8.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.68%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • HF Sinclair Corp. employs 5,165 people — $5.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 17 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

DINO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
DINOHF Sinclair Corp.$22.3B
97
PBFPBF Energy, Inc.$10.3B
92
CVICVR Energy, Inc.$6.2B
95
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.$4.6B
98
PSXPhillips 66$115.4B
89
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.$4.2B
98
VLOValero Energy Corp.$131.9B
98

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HF Sinclair Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest DINO news & analysis

Is HF Sinclair Stock a Buy at Elevated Valuation Levels?

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says HF Sinclair is expensive relative to peers, with a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 6.76x versus the industry average of 6.63x. The excerpt notes that a premium valuation can signal market confidence in the company’s prospects.

Why it matters — DINO watchers may consider how its valuation compares with the industry and what the premium may indicate about market confidence.

Top 3 Energy Stocks That May Fall Off A Cliff In October

Benzinga · 14 Oct 2026neutral

A Benzinga headline identifies three energy stocks that may be at risk of falling in October. The excerpt says that, as of Oct. 14, 2026, these stocks could be flashing a warning for investors who prioritize momentum.

Why it matters — DINO watchers may note the sector-level momentum warning, though the excerpt does not identify HF Sinclair as one of the three stocks.

HF Sinclair (DINO) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights HF Sinclair (DINO) in a headline as a top-ranked growth stock. The excerpt describes Zacks Style Scores as a feature of its Premium research service for helping investors find stocks.

Why it matters — DINO watchers may note the growth-stock ranking and the research service feature highlighted by Zacks.

HF Sinclair: Adversity Creates Opportunity

Seeking Alpha · 12 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says HF Sinclair could benefit from continued geopolitical disruptions and tight refined-product balances, particularly in diesel, which it expects to support elevated crack spreads. The article presents projections for DINO’s 2026 EBITDA and a 2027 price target.

Why it matters — DINO watchers may note the article’s view that constrained supply and elevated crack spreads could support the company’s earnings outlook.

3 Energy Growth Stocks to Buy as Oil Supply Risks Persist

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research identified APA, EQNR and DINO as energy companies with distinct growth opportunities amid elevated crude prices and strained fuel supplies, citing production plans and strategic initiatives.

Why it matters — The item places DINO among companies whose plans and initiatives are presented as growth opportunities amid ongoing oil supply risks.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about DINO stock

What is the DINO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $119, with estimates ranging from $73 to $145. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is DINO stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank DINO?

As at 15 Oct 2026, HF Sinclair Corp. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).

Will DINO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies -5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HF Sinclair Corp. 97 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the DINO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering HF Sinclair Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DINO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $73 to $145 over the next 12 months.

How has DINO stock performed over the past year?

HF Sinclair Corp. returned +155.5% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does HF Sinclair Corp. do?

HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products.

What is the latest news on DINO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 16 Oct 2026): "Is HF Sinclair Stock a Buy at Elevated Valuation Levels?". Zacks Investment Research says HF Sinclair is expensive relative to peers, with a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 6.76x versus the industry average of 6.63x. The excerpt notes that a premium valuation can signal market confidence in the company’s prospects.

Company

About HF Sinclair Corp.

HF Sinclair Corporation is an independent energy company that produces, refines, and markets a broad range of petroleum and specialty products. Its current operations span refining, marketing, renewables, lubricants and specialty products, and midstream logistics, supporting the supply of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, specialty chemicals, and asphalt-related products. The company serves industrial, commercial, and wholesale markets through a network of refineries, terminals, pipelines, and branded distribution channels across the United States. HF Sinclair Corporation plays a significant role in the North American energy market by connecting crude oil processing with product distribution and transportation, while also serving customers that rely on fuels, lubricants, and other refined products for everyday operations.

CEO Mr. Franklin Myers J.D. · 5,165 employees · United States · https://www.hfsinclair.com