PSXEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 hold a median 12-month price target of $297 — +5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Phillips 66 on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PSX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $264 → $268 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $345 → $346 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $295 → $308 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $335 → $345 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $217 → $297 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $216 → $282 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $220 → $250 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | $220 → $300 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $245 → $274 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $255 → $295 |
| 17 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $260 → $310 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
PSX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Phillips 66 returned +112.4% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 76% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Phillips 66 has a market value of $110.3B and an enterprise value of $124.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $152.2B. The latest quarter grew 46.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 4.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.55.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.4B, after $2.5B of capital spending.
Phillips 66 spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $2.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.1×; forward P/E: 9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.80%, paying out 16% of earnings.
Phillips 66 employs 12,600 people — $12.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| PSXPhillips 66 | $110.3B | 97 |
| VLOValero Energy Corp. | $111.5B | 99 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp. | $124.9B | 93 |
| DINOHF Sinclair Corp. | $19.7B | 99 |
| PBFPBF Energy, Inc. | $9.2B | 98 |
| CVICVR Energy, Inc. | $5.9B | 92 |
| WMBThe Williams Cos., Inc.* | $90.9B | 51 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas refining & marketing companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Phillips 66 — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Phillips 66 reported strong Q3 2026 earnings, supported by refining gains, and described progress on midstream expansion, debt reduction, and major pipeline investments.
Why it matters — The call highlights developments in refining performance, capital priorities, and infrastructure projects that PSX watchers may want to follow.
Phillips 66 reported third-quarter 2026 earnings of $5.6 billion, or $14.08 per share. The company cited high refinery utilization, record distillate production and strong midstream volumes; operating cash flow was $7.3 billion, including a $1.1 billion working-capital benefit.
Why it matters — The results and operating factors provide PSX watchers with an update on quarterly earnings and cash generation.
A MarketWatch headline reports that U.S. oil-refinery stocks are up roughly 150% this year. An analyst predicts a major maintenance season for refineries that have been running at high capacity.
Why it matters — The potential for extensive refinery maintenance is relevant to PSX watchers because it concerns operating conditions across the refining industry.
Phillips 66 reported third-quarter earnings of $5.6 billion. Management reduced total debt by $2 billion during the quarter.
Why it matters — The earnings report and debt reduction provide PSX watchers with information about the company’s third-quarter results and debt position.
Refiner stocks had their worst single-session drop since the tariff shock. The decline wiped out nearly $29 billion across three major refiners, even as Valero reported the most profitable quarter in its history.
Why it matters — The sharp sector-wide selloff is relevant to PSX watchers because it affected shares of major refiners.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 have a median 12-month price target of $297, with estimates ranging from $188 to $350. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Phillips 66, 11 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Phillips 66 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Phillips 66 ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Phillips 66 97 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Phillips 66 publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PSX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $188 to $350 over the next 12 months.
Phillips 66 returned +112.4% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "PSX Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Refining Strength and Growth Plans". Phillips 66 reported strong Q3 2026 earnings, supported by refining gains, and described progress on midstream expansion, debt reduction, and major pipeline investments.
Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain. Phillips 66 processes crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel, while also handling natural gas, natural gas liquids, and liquefied petroleum gas through its midstream network. The company also manufactures and markets petrochemicals, plastics, lubricants, and specialty products used in industries such as transportation, aviation, agriculture, construction, and power generation. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Phillips 66 plays a significant role in supplying essential energy and materials to industrial, commercial, and consumer markets across the United States and internationally.
CEO Dr. Mark E. Lashier · 12,600 employees · United States · https://www.phillips66.com
