PSXEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 hold a median 12-month price target of $220 — -9.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Phillips 66 on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (38): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PSX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −9.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 12 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $208 → $209 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $183 → $216 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $200 → $220 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $240 → $255 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $201 → $239 |
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $212 → $235 |
| 23 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Neutral | $208 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $207 → $235 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $220 → $240 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $183 → $204 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $195 → $200 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $218 → $235 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $177 → $183 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PSX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Phillips 66 returned +91.7% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Phillips 66 has a market value of $96.9B and an enterprise value of $114.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $152.2B. The latest quarter grew 53.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 4.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.55.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.4B, after $2.5B of capital spending.
Phillips 66 spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $2.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 110.9×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.09%, paying out 226% of earnings.
Phillips 66 employs 12,600 people — $12.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| PSXPhillips 66 | $96.9B | 89 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp. | $101.3B | 96 |
| VLOValero Energy Corp. | $103.6B | 98 |
| DINOHF Sinclair Corp. | $17.9B | 97 |
| PBFPBF Energy, Inc. | $8.5B | 94 |
| WMBThe Williams Cos., Inc.* | $86.2B | 43 |
| DKDelek US Holdings, Inc. | $4.3B | 99 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas refining & marketing companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Phillips 66 — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Phillips 66 shares rose 17.5% over the past month, driven by stronger refining margins and midstream growth. However, the stock's valuation and anticipated lower 2027 earnings temper expectations for further upside.
Why it matters — PSX watchers would want to understand both the drivers of the recent rally and the factors that could limit its sustainability.
The article questions whether larger refiners like Phillips 66 could afford to acquire Delek US Holdings, which has seen its stock price surge 141% year to date.
Why it matters — A potential acquisition of Delek US Holdings by Phillips 66 would be a significant strategic move in the refining sector, making deal feasibility a relevant consideration for PSX watchers.
Several industry giants that saw strong share price performance in 2026 recently announced large share buyback programs, including a combined $27 billion in repurchases. The buybacks signal management confidence in cash-flow strength and balance-sheet flexibility to keep returning capital after a strong run.
Why it matters — A PSX watcher would care because share repurchases among industry giants signal management confidence in cash-flow strength and continued capital returns, which is relevant to Phillips 66 amid its own buyback program.
Zacks reports that while WTI crude prices above $85 raise refiners' input costs, Phillips 66 could benefit from tight global fuel supplies, low inventories, and high crack spreads, making its refining backdrop supportive.
Why it matters — A PSX watcher would care because the balance between higher crude costs and favorable refining margins shapes the company's near-term earnings outlook.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Phillips 66 (PSX) as a top long-term momentum stock, referencing its Zacks Style Scores tool as a method for identifying top-rated stocks based on investing style.
Why it matters — A PSX watcher would note that Zacks is positioning the company favorably as a momentum pick for investors focused on long-term performance.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 have a median 12-month price target of $220, with estimates ranging from $160 to $260. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Phillips 66, 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Phillips 66 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Phillips 66 ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -9.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Phillips 66 89 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Phillips 66 publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PSX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $260 over the next 12 months.
Phillips 66 returned +91.7% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Phillips 66 is a diversified energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on the processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of fuels and related products. The company operates through key segments including Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Renewable Fuels, and Marketing and Specialties, providing an integrated platform across the downstream energy value chain.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Aug 2026): "PSX Gains 17.5% in a Month: Can Refining Strength Keep the Run Going?". Phillips 66 shares rose 17.5% over the past month, driven by stronger refining margins and midstream growth. However, the stock's valuation and anticipated lower 2027 earnings temper expectations for further upside.
Phillips 66 is a diversified energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on the processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of fuels and related products. The company operates through key segments including Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Renewable Fuels, and Marketing and Specialties, providing an integrated platform across the downstream energy value chain. Its midstream operations handle the gathering, transportation, and terminaling of crude oil, refined products, and natural gas liquids, while the refining segment converts crude oil into gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products for global markets. Through its chemicals and specialties businesses, Phillips 66 participates in the production of petrochemicals, lubricants, and performance products used in industrial and consumer applications. The company markets fuels and lubricants under brands such as Phillips 66, Conoco, 76, JET, Kendall, and Red Line, serving wholesale, retail, aviation, and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and other international markets. Founded in 1875 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, Phillips 66 plays a significant role in global energy supply and infrastructure.
CEO Dr. Mark E. Lashier · 12,600 employees · United States · https://www.phillips66.com
