PSXEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 hold a median 12-month price target of $264 — -2.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Phillips 66 on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (94): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (38): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PSX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $245 → $274 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $255 → $295 |
| 17 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $260 → $310 |
| 17 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $196 → $284 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $240 → $300 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $235 → $300 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $209 → $264 |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $239 → $335 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $208 → $209 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $183 → $216 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $200 → $220 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PSX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Phillips 66 returned +111.2% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 76% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Phillips 66 has a market value of $107.7B and an enterprise value of $125.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $152.2B. The latest quarter grew 53.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 4.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.55.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.4B, after $2.5B of capital spending.
Phillips 66 spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $2.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 15.4×; forward P/E: 10.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.88%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Phillips 66 employs 12,600 people — $12.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Phillips 66 — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks says Phillips 66 benefits from strong fuel demand, tight inventories and a diversified midstream business, despite elevated crude oil prices.
Why it matters — These factors highlight demand and midstream conditions shaping PSX's business even as crude prices remain elevated.
Zacks Investment Research says Phillips 66's earnings estimates are projected to increase for 2026–27, citing refining gains, stronger cash flow, lower debt and growth projects as supports for momentum.
Why it matters — These factors and the projected earnings-estimate increases are relevant to investors tracking PSX's business outlook.
Zacks Investment Research examines whether Phillips 66 (PSX) qualifies as a top pick for momentum investors. The article frames PSX as a potentially strong candidate for momentum-focused stock selection.
Why it matters — The piece highlights PSX's momentum characteristics, which could be of interest to investors tracking the stock's performance trends.
Zacks Investment Research examines whether Phillips 66 stock is worth buying at elevated valuation levels. It notes that PSX's premium valuation is supported by strong refining margins, diversified cash flows, and a clear debt-reduction plan, despite broader industry underperformance.
Why it matters — The analysis highlights the fundamentals underpinning PSX's premium valuation, which matters to investors weighing the stock's price relative to industry headwinds.
Phillips 66 announced that Rich Harbison, executive vice president of Refining, has decided to retire effective Dec. 31, 2026. The announcement was made via Business Wire from Houston.
Why it matters — A leadership transition in the key Refining segment could signal a change in direction for this core part of Phillips 66's operations.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 have a median 12-month price target of $264, with estimates ranging from $173 to $340. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Phillips 66, 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Phillips 66 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Phillips 66 ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -2.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Phillips 66 88 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Phillips 66 publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PSX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $173 to $340 over the next 12 months.
Phillips 66 returned +111.2% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Oct 2026): "Phillips 66: Fuel Demand & Midstream Strength Support the Business". Zacks says Phillips 66 benefits from strong fuel demand, tight inventories and a diversified midstream business, despite elevated crude oil prices.
Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain. Phillips 66 processes crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel, while also handling natural gas, natural gas liquids, and liquefied petroleum gas through its midstream network. The company also manufactures and markets petrochemicals, plastics, lubricants, and specialty products used in industries such as transportation, aviation, agriculture, construction, and power generation. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Phillips 66 plays a significant role in supplying essential energy and materials to industrial, commercial, and consumer markets across the United States and internationally.
CEO Dr. Mark E. Lashier · 12,600 employees · United States · https://www.phillips66.com
