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PSX Stock Forecast: Phillips 66 Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$257
−0.93% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 hold a median 12-month price target of $242 — -5.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$104.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
88 / 100
Median analyst target
$242
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$51.0B+53.1% y/y
Operating income$4.3B
Net income$3.9B
Free cash flow$6.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.8%
1M
+10.6%
YTD
+103.3%
1Y
+102.3%
From 52W high
−1.4%
From 52W low
+108.8%
$123
$261
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PSX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Phillips 66 on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
88 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
94
Growth
94
Revisions
91
Issuance
90
Volatility
69
Value
57
Quality
52
Accruals
38
Size
2

Momentum (94): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (38): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PSX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PSX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300$350Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PSXHigh $335Median $242Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
12 Buy6 Hold2 Sell
Low $160Median $242High $335

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$235 → $300
3 Sept 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$209 → $264
1 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$239 → $335
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$208 → $209
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$183 → $216
6 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$200 → $220
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$240 → $255
6 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$201 → $239
6 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$212 → $235
23 July 2026Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$208
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$207 → $235
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$220 → $240

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PSX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PSX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Phillips 66 returned +102.3% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PSX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PSXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PSX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+43.5%
Analysts raising
15
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Phillips 66 (PSX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.8×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.2×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
53.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
338.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.2%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.5%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
4.7%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
23.5%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.0%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 44% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Phillips 66 (PSX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Phillips 66 has a market value of $104.0B and an enterprise value of $121.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $152.2B. The latest quarter grew 53.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 4.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.55.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.4B, after $2.5B of capital spending.

  • Phillips 66 spent $1.2B on share buybacks and $2.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 399.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.8×; forward P/E: 11.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.96%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Phillips 66 employs 12,600 people — $12.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PSX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PSXPhillips 66$104.0B
88
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.$111.2B
96
VLOValero Energy Corp.$115.9B
97
DINOHF Sinclair Corp.$19.8B
97
PBFPBF Energy, Inc.$9.1B
94
CVICVR Energy, Inc.$5.0B
90
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.$4.6B
98

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Phillips 66 — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PSX news & analysis

Oil Above $100 Is Creating a New Opportunity Beyond the Major Producers

MarketBeat · 12 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that oil prices above $100 are creating new opportunities beyond the major producers, following a pattern in which rising oil prices have generally coincided with falling stocks amid the U.S.-Iran conflict.

Why it matters — A PSX watcher would care because higher oil prices could create opportunities for the company as a downstream refiner operating beyond the major producers, though stock market reactions have been mixed.

It's September: Brace For Impact With Top Growth And Income Stocks

Seeking Alpha · 10 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that September's historically weak seasonality and rising Treasury yields could increase volatility, particularly for growth stocks with premium valuations. Higher rates can compress growth-stock multiples even when underlying fundamentals remain strong, potentially creating entry points when price declines outpace fundamental deterioration.

Why it matters — A PSX watcher would care because rising yields and seasonal volatility could pressure growth-oriented stocks' valuations even if company fundamentals stay solid.

Phillips 66 (PSX) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether Phillips 66 (PSX) qualifies as a strong candidate for momentum investors. The article evaluates the company's attributes as a potential top stock pick for those following momentum strategies.

Why it matters — PSX watchers would be interested in an assessment of the company's momentum characteristics from a major research firm, which could influence how it is perceived in the market.

Phillips 66: I Was Wrong On The Duration, Not On The Cycle

Seeking Alpha · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Phillips 66 reported strong Q2 results with record refining margins and high crude utilization, while also improving its balance sheet as net debt fell to $16.5B and liquidity reached $10.5B. The article maintains a Hold rating, noting current valuation already prices in strong earnings and favorable macro tailwinds, with further deleveraging targeted.

Why it matters — A PSX watcher would care because the report details the company's robust quarterly performance and strengthening balance sheet, while flagging that the stock's valuation already reflects these strengths.

Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Phillips 66 (PSX): Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research article highlights that Wall Street analysts are looking optimistic about Phillips 66 (PSX) and discusses whether such sell-side recommendations should factor into investor buy, sell, or hold decisions. The piece notes that media coverage of analyst rating changes can influence a stock's price and examines how meaningful these recommendations really are.

Why it matters — PSX watchers would care because the article points to a broadly positive analyst outlook on the company and explores how influential those brokerage-firm rating changes can be for the stock's movement.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PSX stock

What is the PSX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Phillips 66 have a median 12-month price target of $242, with estimates ranging from $160 to $335. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PSX stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Phillips 66, 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Phillips 66 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PSX?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Phillips 66 ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (94 of 100).

Will PSX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -5.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Phillips 66 88 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PSX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Phillips 66 publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PSX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $335 over the next 12 months.

How has PSX stock performed over the past year?

Phillips 66 returned +102.3% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Phillips 66 do?

Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain.

What is the latest news on PSX?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 12 Sept 2026): "Oil Above $100 Is Creating a New Opportunity Beyond the Major Producers". The article notes that oil prices above $100 are creating new opportunities beyond the major producers, following a pattern in which rising oil prices have generally coincided with falling stocks amid the U.S.-Iran conflict.

Company

About Phillips 66.

Phillips 66 is an integrated energy manufacturing and logistics company focused on refining, transporting, storing, and marketing fuel and related products. Its current operations span Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels, creating a diversified platform across the energy value chain. Phillips 66 processes crude oil and other feedstocks into transportation fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel, while also handling natural gas, natural gas liquids, and liquefied petroleum gas through its midstream network. The company also manufactures and markets petrochemicals, plastics, lubricants, and specialty products used in industries such as transportation, aviation, agriculture, construction, and power generation. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Phillips 66 plays a significant role in supplying essential energy and materials to industrial, commercial, and consumer markets across the United States and internationally.

CEO Dr. Mark E. Lashier · 12,600 employees · United States · https://www.phillips66.com