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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Live MPC Stock Price & Analysis

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$153.78

+3.66 (2.44%)

12 Month Price Forecast For MPC

$153.78
Current Price
$48.40B
Market Cap
19 Ratings
Buy 11
Hold 8
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings

Distance to MPC Price Forecasts

+24.9%
To High Target of $192.00
+10.5%
To Median Target of $170.00
-8.3%
To Low Target of $141.00

MPC Price Momentum

-2.0%
1 Week Change
+8.1%
1 Month Change
-9.5%
1 Year Change
+10.2%
Year-to-Date Change
-30.5%
From 52W High of $221.11
+17.8%
From 52W Low of $130.54

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Disclaimer: The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.

Data last updated: February 11, 2025 11:14 AM UTC

MPC Analyst Ratings & Price Targets

Based on our analysis of 22 Wall Street analysts, MPC has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $170.00 (ranging from $141.00 to $192.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (7.8/10). Currently trading at $153.78, the median forecast implies a 10.5% upside. This outlook is supported by 11 Buy, 8 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.

The most optimistic forecast comes from Justin Jenkins at Raymond James, projecting a 24.9% upside.

Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

MPC Analyst Consensus

11
Buy
8
Hold
0
Sell

MPC Price Target Range

Low
$141.00
Average
$170.00
High
$192.00
Current: $153.78

Latest MPC Stock Forecasts by Analyst

These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for MPC.

Date Firm Analyst Rating Change Price Target
Feb 5, 2025 Wells Fargo Roger Read Overweight Maintains $183.00
Jan 17, 2025 Raymond James Justin Jenkins Strong Buy Maintains $192.00
Jan 10, 2025 Wells Fargo Roger Read Overweight Maintains $182.00
Dec 16, 2024 Mizuho Nitin Kumar Neutral Maintains $174.00
Dec 9, 2024 Wells Fargo Roger Read Overweight Maintains $186.00
Nov 11, 2024 Barclays Theresa Chen Overweight Maintains $159.00
Nov 6, 2024 TD Cowen Jason Gabelman Buy Maintains $170.00
Oct 10, 2024 Scotiabank Paul Cheng Sector Outperform Maintains $170.00
Oct 10, 2024 Barclays Theresa Chen Overweight Maintains $168.00
Oct 10, 2024 Citigroup Vikram Bagri Neutral Maintains $167.00
Oct 9, 2024 Wells Fargo Roger Read Overweight Maintains $183.00
Oct 9, 2024 JP Morgan John Royall Neutral Maintains $171.00
Oct 4, 2024 BMO Capital Phillip Jungwirth Outperform Maintains $190.00
Oct 2, 2024 JP Morgan John Royall Neutral Maintains $172.00
Sep 20, 2024 Piper Sandler Ryan Todd Neutral Maintains $145.00
Sep 16, 2024 Mizuho Nitin Kumar Neutral Maintains $193.00
Sep 16, 2024 Morgan Stanley Connor Lynagh Overweight Maintains $182.00
Aug 7, 2024 TD Cowen Jason Gabelman Buy Maintains $190.00
Jul 18, 2024 Wolfe Research Doug Leggate Outperform Reinstates $0.00
Jul 15, 2024 Jefferies Lloyd Byrne Buy Maintains $231.00

Stocks Similar to Marathon Petroleum Corp

The following stocks are similar to Marathon Petroleum based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Financial Data

Marathon Petroleum Corp has a market capitalization of $48.40B with a P/E ratio of 15.2x. The company generates $142.67B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 3.2% profit margin.

Revenue growth is -14.8% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +3.2% and return on equity of +21.1%.

Valuation Metrics

Market Cap $48.40B
Enterprise Value $78.28B
P/E Ratio 15.2x
PEG Ratio 15.0x
Price/Sales 0.3x

Growth & Margins

Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Gross Margin +6.0%
Operating Margin +3.2%
Net Margin +3.2%
EPS Growth -81.0%

Financial Health

Cash/Price Ratio +10.4%
Current Ratio 1.2x
Debt/Equity 114.3x
ROE +21.1%
ROA +5.2%

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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Company Overview

About Marathon Petroleum Corp

What They Do

Integrated downstream energy company in the U.S.

Business Model

The company operates through two main segments: Refining & Marketing and Midstream. It refines crude oil and other feedstocks, sells refined products such as gasoline and diesel, and distributes these products through various channels including wholesale marketing and long-term contracts. The Midstream segment enhances revenue by transporting and storing crude oil and refined products, as well as handling natural gas.

Additional Information

Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Findlay, Ohio, Marathon Petroleum has a significant presence in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions. The company also engages in the production of renewable fuels and petrochemicals, positioning itself strategically in the evolving energy market.

Company Information

Sector

Energy

Industry

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Employees

18,200

CEO

Ms. Maryann T. Mannen

Country

United States

IPO Year

2011

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Latest News & Analysis

MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

In Q4, MPC invested $921 million in capital programs, with 53% in Refining and 41% in Midstream, up from $780 million in the same quarter last year.

Why It Matters

Increased capital spending signals MPC's commitment to growth in refining and midstream, potentially enhancing future revenue and profitability, influencing investor confidence and stock performance.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Positive
MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Marathon Petroleum priced $2.0 billion in unsecured senior notes: $1.1 billion at 5.15% due 2030 and $900 million at 5.70% due 2035, to refinance existing debt and for corporate purposes.

Why It Matters

Marathon Petroleum's bond issuance indicates financial restructuring, potentially lowering interest expenses and improving cash flow, which can enhance profitability and stock valuation.

Source: PRNewsWire
Market Sentiment: Neutral
MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Cyclical stocks may outperform as indicators improve. Focus on industrials, energy, and transportation is advised, with potential for strong returns and dividend growth, despite risks from geopolitical and economic factors.

Why It Matters

Cyclical stocks may outperform with improving global growth signs. Focus on industrials, energy, and transportation suggests potential for strong returns and dividends, despite existing risks.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Positive
MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) reported a nearly 81% year-over-year decline in Q4 earnings per share, with an adjusted EPS of $0.77, as per its earnings report on February 4.

Why It Matters

Marathon Petroleum's significant EPS decline signals reduced profitability, potentially impacting stock performance and investor confidence in the company's future earnings.

Source: The Motley Fool
Market Sentiment: Negative
MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) will hold its Q4 2024 earnings conference call on February 4, 2025, at 11:00 AM ET, featuring key executives and analysts.

Why It Matters

The Q4 2024 earnings call for Marathon Petroleum indicates upcoming financial performance insights, which can influence stock valuation and investor sentiment in the energy sector.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Neutral
MPC stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) reported quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.06, but down from $3.98 per share year-over-year.

Why It Matters

Marathon Petroleum's earnings beat estimates, signaling strong performance despite a year-over-year decline, which could influence stock price and investor sentiment positively.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Positive

Frequently Asked Questions About MPC Stock

What is Marathon Petroleum Corp's (MPC) stock forecast for 2025?

Based on our analysis of 22 Wall Street analysts, Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) has a median price target of $170.00. The highest price target is $192.00 and the lowest is $141.00.

Is MPC stock a good investment in 2025?

According to current analyst ratings, MPC has 11 Buy ratings, 8 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $153.78. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.

What is the price prediction for MPC stock?

Wall Street analysts predict MPC stock could reach $170.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 10.5% increase from the current price of $153.78. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.

What is Marathon Petroleum Corp's business model?

The company operates through two main segments: Refining & Marketing and Midstream. It refines crude oil and other feedstocks, sells refined products such as gasoline and diesel, and distributes these products through various channels including wholesale marketing and long-term contracts. The Midstream segment enhances revenue by transporting and storing crude oil and refined products, as well as handling natural gas.

What is the highest forecasted price for MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp?

The highest price target for MPC is $192.00 from Justin Jenkins at Raymond James, which represents a 24.9% increase from the current price of $153.78.

What is the lowest forecasted price for MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp?

The lowest price target for MPC is $141.00 from at , which represents a -8.3% decrease from the current price of $153.78.

What is the overall MPC consensus from analysts for Marathon Petroleum Corp?

The overall analyst consensus for MPC is bullish. Out of 22 Wall Street analysts, 11 rate it as Buy, 8 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $170.00.

How accurate are MPC stock price projections?

Stock price projections, including those for Marathon Petroleum Corp, are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.