VLOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $318 — -3.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valero Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Volatility (61): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VLO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −3.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $289 → $300 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $338 → $350 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $279 → $323 |
| 31 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $280 → $355 |
| 31 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $292 → $356 |
| 23 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Overweight | $329 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $286 → $357 |
| 22 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $292 → $338 |
| 21 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $259 → $302 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $250 → $300 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | $300 → $340 |
| 13 July 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VLO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| VLOValero Energy Corp. | $95.1B | 98 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp. | $97.8B | 95 |
| PSXPhillips 66 | $90.9B | 88 |
| DINOHF Sinclair Corp. | $16.2B | 97 |
| PBFPBF Energy, Inc. | $8.1B | 92 |
| WMBThe Williams Cos., Inc.* | $90.0B | 42 |
| DKDelek US Holdings, Inc. | $4.0B | 99 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas refining & marketing companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valero Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) as one of five top-ranked quality stocks identified using DuPont analysis, which evaluates profitability, asset efficiency, and leverage.
Why it matters — VLO watchers would care because the analysis suggests the company stands out positively on key financial metrics used to assess stock quality.
Top U.S. fuel makers boosted returns to shareholders in the second quarter, as prolonged disruptions to crude supplies through the Strait of Hormuz sent fuel prices and refining margins surging.
Why it matters — For a Valero Energy Corp. watcher, rising refining margins and increased shareholder returns signal a favorable operating environment for a major U.S. refiner.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Valero Energy (VLO) as a top momentum stock for the long term using its Zacks Style Scores feature from the Zacks Premium research service.
Why it matters — The article positions VLO as a strong pick for momentum-focused investors, which could draw attention to the stock's performance characteristics.
Valero Energy's stock reached a 52-week high, and Zacks Investment Research is examining the company's fundamentals to assess whether further gains are possible.
Why it matters — VLO watchers would care because the stock hitting a 52-week high prompts a closer look at fundamentals to gauge the sustainability of its momentum.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted five low-leverage stocks, including Valero Energy Corp. (VLO), as having strong earnings growth and resilient balance sheets amid high oil prices and market volatility.
Why it matters — The mention suggests that VLO's low leverage and solid fundamentals may be viewed favorably by investors seeking stability during periods of high energy prices and uncertain markets.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $318, with estimates ranging from $190 to $365. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Valero Energy Corp., 10 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Aug 2026, Valero Energy Corp. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -3.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Valero Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VLO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $365 over the next 12 months.
Valero Energy Corp. returned +152.8% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Valero Energy Corporation is an American energy company that focuses on manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and petrochemical products. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and founded in 1980, Valero operates an extensive network of petroleum refineries, ethanol plants, and renewable diesel facilities across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and other international markets.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Use DuPont Analysis to Pick 5 Top-Ranked Quality Stocks". Zacks Investment Research highlighted Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) as one of five top-ranked quality stocks identified using DuPont analysis, which evaluates profitability, asset efficiency, and leverage.
Valero Energy Corporation is an American energy company that focuses on manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and petrochemical products. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and founded in 1980, Valero operates an extensive network of petroleum refineries, ethanol plants, and renewable diesel facilities across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and other international markets. The company’s core products include gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, distillates, asphalt and various petrochemicals, serving wholesale, retail, industrial and commercial customers in multiple regions. Valero’s business is organized into three main segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel and Ethanol, reflecting its presence in both traditional hydrocarbons and lower-carbon liquid fuels. Through these segments, Valero plays a significant role in global fuel supply chains, converting crude oil and other feedstocks into essential energy products that support transportation, industry and everyday economic activity. Its scale and integrated logistics make Valero one of the most prominent independent refiners and fuel manufacturers in the energy market today.
CEO Mr. R. Lane Riggs · 9,785 employees · United States · https://www.valero.com