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VLOVLOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

VLO Stock Forecast: Valero Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$346
−0.82% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $323 — -6.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$100.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
98 / 100
Median analyst target
$323
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$44.5B+48.8% y/y
Operating income$5.2B
Net income$4.1B
Free cash flow$5.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
+14.8%
YTD
+115.7%
1Y
+143.0%
From 52W high
−1.2%
From 52W low
+140.4%
$144
$350
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VLO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valero Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
98 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
97
Growth
94
Revisions
91
Quality
77
Volatility
77
Value
76
Issuance
76
Accruals
72
Size
3

Momentum (97): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (72): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VLO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VLO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VLOHigh $365Median $323Low $190

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
10 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $190Median $323High $365

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$289 → $300
3 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$338 → $350
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$279 → $323
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$280 → $355
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$292 → $356
23 July 2026Piper SandlerAssumesOverweight$329
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$286 → $357
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$292 → $338
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$259 → $302
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$250 → $300
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$300 → $340
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
1 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
29 June 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
12 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VLO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VLO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Valero Energy Corp. returned +143.0% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VLO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VLOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VLO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+56.3%
Analysts raising
15
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.5×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
4.0×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
51.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
421.0%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.3%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Net margin
5.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
27.6%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.6%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.4%

Higher than 33% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Valero Energy Corp. has a market value of $100.4B and an enterprise value of $107.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $139.4B. The latest quarter grew 51.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $7.6B, a 5.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.10.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.1B, after $788.0M of capital spending.

  • Valero Energy Corp. spent $4.8B on share buybacks and $1.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 287.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.5×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.39%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • Valero Energy Corp. employs 9,785 people — $14.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 25 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VLO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VLOValero Energy Corp.$100.4B
98
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.$101.3B
96
PSXPhillips 66$97.9B
89
DINOHF Sinclair Corp.$17.9B
97
PBFPBF Energy, Inc.$8.5B
94
WMBThe Williams Cos., Inc.*$86.2B
43
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.$4.3B
99

* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas refining & marketing companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valero Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VLO news & analysis

Can Phillips 66, Marathon, or Valero Afford Delek US Holdings Now?

24/7 Wall Street · 24 Aug 2026neutral

Delek US Holdings closed at $71.47 on August 21, 2026, up 141.0% year to date and 215.7% over one year, near its 52-week high of $72.00. The headline raises the question of whether Phillips 66, Marathon, or Valero could afford to acquire Delek.

Why it matters — The item considers whether Valero, as a major refiner, could afford an acquisition of Delek US Holdings, making it relevant to VLO watchers monitoring potential consolidation in the refining sector.

This Top Oils and Energy Stock is a #1 (Strong Buy): Why It Should Be on Your Radar

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted an oils and energy stock as a #1 (Strong Buy) based on its Zacks Rank, which identifies stocks with a positive earnings outlook and strong market-beating potential.

Why it matters — A VLO watcher would care because the article suggests the highlighted stock currently holds one of the highest rankings for expected earnings performance.

Can Tight Global Fuel Supply Sustain Valero's Export Opportunity?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

According to Zacks Investment Research, Valero Energy's refining outlook is supported by tight global fuel inventories, constrained capacity, and strong international export demand.

Why it matters — A VLO watcher would care because these conditions point to a favorable environment for Valero's refining and export operations.

Best Growth Stocks to Buy for August 21st

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

On August 21st, 2026, Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) was added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks list, alongside CNC and ENS, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) designation signals that analysts rank VLO among top growth stocks, which is notable for investors tracking the company.

Here's Why Valero Energy (VLO) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Valero Energy (VLO) as a strong value stock, using its Style Scores system that helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style.

Why it matters — VLO watchers may learn how the company is being rated by Zacks' style-based screening tool, which could inform how value-oriented investors view the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VLO stock

What is the VLO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $323, with estimates ranging from $190 to $365. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VLO stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Valero Energy Corp., 10 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VLO?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Valero Energy Corp. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (97 of 100).

Will VLO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -6.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VLO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valero Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VLO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $365 over the next 12 months.

How has VLO stock performed over the past year?

Valero Energy Corp. returned +143.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valero Energy Corp. do?

Valero Energy Corporation is a multinational energy company focused on refining, renewable diesel, and ethanol production. It manufactures and markets transportation fuels, including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and other refined products, along with petrochemical feedstocks and related industrial materials.

What is the latest news on VLO?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 24 Aug 2026): "Can Phillips 66, Marathon, or Valero Afford Delek US Holdings Now?". Delek US Holdings closed at $71.47 on August 21, 2026, up 141.0% year to date and 215.7% over one year, near its 52-week high of $72.00. The headline raises the question of whether Phillips 66, Marathon, or Valero could afford to acquire Delek.

Company

About Valero Energy Corp.

Valero Energy Corporation is a multinational energy company focused on refining, renewable diesel, and ethanol production. It manufactures and markets transportation fuels, including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and other refined products, along with petrochemical feedstocks and related industrial materials. The company also operates low-carbon liquid fuel businesses that support the energy transition within existing fuel supply chains. Valero Energy Corporation serves customers across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, and other international markets, supplying products to wholesale, commercial, and industrial end users. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, and founded in 1980, Valero Energy Corporation plays a significant role in global fuel processing, distribution, and marketing infrastructure.

CEO Mr. R. Lane Riggs · 9,785 employees · United States · https://www.valero.com