VLOVLOEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

VLO Stock Forecast: Valero Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Aug 2026
$330
+1.95% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $318 — -3.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$95.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
98 / 100
Median analyst target
$318
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+9.2%
1M
+18.1%
YTD
+105.8%
1Y
+152.8%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+152.8%
$131
$330
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VLO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valero Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
98 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
98
Growth
94
Revisions
91
Value
78
Quality
77
Issuance
76
Accruals
72
Volatility
61
Size
3

Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (61): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VLO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VLO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300$350Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VLOHigh $365Median $318Low $190

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
10 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $190Median $318High $365

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −3.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$289$300
3 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$338$350
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$279$323
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$280$355
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$292$356
23 July 2026Piper SandlerAssumesOverweight$329
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$286$357
22 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$292$338
21 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$259$302
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$250$300
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$300$340
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy
1 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
29 June 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold
12 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
27 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VLO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

VLO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+49.0%
Analysts raising
13
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.8×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
4.1×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.6×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
51.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
421.0%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.3%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Net margin
5.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
27.6%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.6%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 35% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

VLO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VLOValero Energy Corp.$95.1B
98
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.$97.8B
95
PSXPhillips 66$90.9B
88
DINOHF Sinclair Corp.$16.2B
97
PBFPBF Energy, Inc.$8.1B
92
WMBThe Williams Cos., Inc.*$90.0B
42
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.$4.0B
99

* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas refining & marketing companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valero Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VLO news & analysis

Use DuPont Analysis to Pick 5 Top-Ranked Quality Stocks

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) as one of five top-ranked quality stocks identified using DuPont analysis, which evaluates profitability, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Why it matters — VLO watchers would care because the analysis suggests the company stands out positively on key financial metrics used to assess stock quality.

Top US refiners see profits soar, step up investor rewards

Reuters · 12 Aug 2026positive

Top U.S. fuel makers boosted returns to shareholders in the second quarter, as prolonged disruptions to crude supplies through the Strait of Hormuz sent fuel prices and refining margins surging.

Why it matters — For a Valero Energy Corp. watcher, rising refining margins and increased shareholder returns signal a favorable operating environment for a major U.S. refiner.

Why Valero Energy (VLO) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Valero Energy (VLO) as a top momentum stock for the long term using its Zacks Style Scores feature from the Zacks Premium research service.

Why it matters — The article positions VLO as a strong pick for momentum-focused investors, which could draw attention to the stock's performance characteristics.

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Valero Energy's stock reached a 52-week high, and Zacks Investment Research is examining the company's fundamentals to assess whether further gains are possible.

Why it matters — VLO watchers would care because the stock hitting a 52-week high prompts a closer look at fundamentals to gauge the sustainability of its momentum.

5 Low-Leverage Stocks to Buy as High Oil Prices Shake Investor Confidence

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlighted five low-leverage stocks, including Valero Energy Corp. (VLO), as having strong earnings growth and resilient balance sheets amid high oil prices and market volatility.

Why it matters — The mention suggests that VLO's low leverage and solid fundamentals may be viewed favorably by investors seeking stability during periods of high energy prices and uncertain markets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VLO stock

What is the VLO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Valero Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $318, with estimates ranging from $190 to $365. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VLO stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Valero Energy Corp., 10 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VLO?

As at 12 Aug 2026, Valero Energy Corp. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).

Will VLO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -3.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valero Energy Corp. 98 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VLO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valero Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VLO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $365 over the next 12 months.

How has VLO stock performed over the past year?

Valero Energy Corp. returned +152.8% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valero Energy Corp. do?

Valero Energy Corporation is an American energy company that focuses on manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and petrochemical products. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and founded in 1980, Valero operates an extensive network of petroleum refineries, ethanol plants, and renewable diesel facilities across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and other international markets.

What is the latest news on VLO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Use DuPont Analysis to Pick 5 Top-Ranked Quality Stocks". Zacks Investment Research highlighted Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) as one of five top-ranked quality stocks identified using DuPont analysis, which evaluates profitability, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Company

About Valero Energy Corp.

Valero Energy Corporation is an American energy company that focuses on manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels and petrochemical products. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and founded in 1980, Valero operates an extensive network of petroleum refineries, ethanol plants, and renewable diesel facilities across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and other international markets. The company’s core products include gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, distillates, asphalt and various petrochemicals, serving wholesale, retail, industrial and commercial customers in multiple regions. Valero’s business is organized into three main segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel and Ethanol, reflecting its presence in both traditional hydrocarbons and lower-carbon liquid fuels. Through these segments, Valero plays a significant role in global fuel supply chains, converting crude oil and other feedstocks into essential energy products that support transportation, industry and everyday economic activity. Its scale and integrated logistics make Valero one of the most prominent independent refiners and fuel manufacturers in the energy market today.

CEO Mr. R. Lane Riggs · 9,785 employees · United States · https://www.valero.com