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ARCO Stock Forecast: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Price Predictions for 2026

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$8.54

+0.14 (1.67%)

ARCO Stock Forecast 2026-2027

$8.54
Current Price
$1.80B
Market Cap
9 Ratings
Buy 6
Hold 3
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings

Distance to ARCO Price Targets

+40.5%
To High Target of $12.00
+5.4%
To Median Target of $9.00
-0.5%
To Low Target of $8.50

ARCO Price Momentum

+2.3%
1 Week Change
+6.2%
1 Month Change
+21.0%
1 Year Change
+16.3%
Year-to-Date Change
-4.9%
From 52W High of $8.98
+31.2%
From 52W Low of $6.51
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Latest ARCO Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions

Based on our analysis of 9 Wall Street analysts, ARCO has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $9.00 (ranging from $8.50 to $12.00). The overall analyst rating is Strong Buy (8.0/10). Currently trading at $8.54, the median forecast implies a 5.4% upside. This outlook is supported by 6 Buy, 3 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.

The most optimistic forecast comes from Ian Luketic at JP Morgan, projecting a 40.5% upside. Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Pedro Pinto at Banco Bradesco BBI S.A, suggesting a 0.5% downside.

Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

ARCO Analyst Ratings

6
Buy
3
Hold
0
Sell

ARCO Price Target Range

Low
$8.50
Average
$9.00
High
$12.00
Current: $8.54

Latest ARCO Stock Forecasts by Analyst

These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for ARCO.

Date Firm Analyst Rating Change Price Target
Nov 11, 2025 JP Morgan Froylan Mendez Neutral Maintains $8.70
Nov 3, 2025 Banco Bradesco BBI S.A Pedro Pinto Neutral Downgrade $8.50
Jul 2, 2025 JP Morgan Froylan Mendez Neutral Downgrade $8.80
Sep 13, 2024 JP Morgan Ian Luketic Overweight Maintains $12.00
Dec 1, 2023 Jefferies Pedro Baptista Buy Initiates $15.00
Aug 10, 2023 JP Morgan Ian Luketic Overweight Maintains $13.00
Aug 7, 2023 Barclays Antonio Hernandez Overweight Maintains $13.50
May 18, 2023 B of A Securities Robert Ford Buy Maintains $12.00
Feb 6, 2023 Barclays Antonio Hernandez Overweight Maintains $10.00
Sep 27, 2022 Barclays Antonio Hernandez Overweight Initiates $9.00
Aug 17, 2022 Goldman Sachs Richard Cathcart Buy Maintains $10.00
Jun 15, 2022 Bradesco Corretora Outperform Upgrade $N/A
Mar 24, 2022 B of A Securities Robert Ford Buy Upgrade $10.00
Feb 23, 2022 Credit Suisse Outperform Upgrade $N/A
Jan 19, 2022 Goldman Sachs Thiago Bortoluci Buy Upgrade $7.00
Apr 23, 2021 Goldman Sachs Neutral Initiates $N/A
Jan 28, 2021 Bradesco Neutral Downgrade $N/A
Jan 28, 2021 Bradesco Corretora Neutral Downgrade $N/A
Jul 2, 2020 Bradesco Corretora Outperform Upgrade $6.00
Jul 2, 2020 Bradesco Outperform Upgrade $N/A

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Competitors

The following stocks are similar to Arcos Dorados based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Financial Data

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.80B with a P/E ratio of 8.3x. The company generates $4.68B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 4.5% profit margin.

Revenue growth is +10.7% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +9.4% and return on equity of +33.2%.

Valuation Metrics

Market Cap $1.80B
Enterprise Value $3.55B
P/E Ratio 8.3x
PEG Ratio -0.1x
Price/Sales 0.4x

Growth & Margins

Revenue Growth (YoY) +10.7%
Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin +9.4%
Net Margin +4.5%
EPS Growth -56.9%

Financial Health

Cash/Price Ratio +23.5%
Current Ratio 1.0x
Debt/Equity 290.8x
ROE +33.2%
ROA +6.9%
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Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. logo

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Business Model

About Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

What They Do

Operates McDonald's franchises in Latin America.

Business Model

The company generates revenue by managing and operating McDonald's restaurants across multiple countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. By holding exclusive rights to these franchises, it can adapt its offerings to meet local tastes while maintaining brand standards, thereby driving customer engagement and sales.

Additional Information

Arcos Dorados is not only a significant player in the fast-food industry but also contributes to local economies through job creation and community initiatives. Its ability to innovate and respond to regional preferences positions it as a vital link between global food trends and local market demands.

Company Information

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Restaurants

Employees

0

CEO

Mr. Marcelo Rabach

Country

Uruguay

IPO Year

2011

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Latest News & Analysis

Latest News

ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados, McDonald's key franchisee in LatAm, is underperforming, trading below its IPO price. Despite revenue growth, challenges persist, leading to a hold rating with a forward P/E of 12x.

Why It Matters

Arcos Dorados' underperformance and low margins despite revenue growth raise concerns about future profitability, affecting investor sentiment and potential returns.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Neutral
ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) held its Q4 2025 earnings call, discussing financial results and company performance. Further details can be accessed in the full transcript.

Why It Matters

The Q4 2025 earnings call for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. provides insights into financial performance, growth prospects, and market positioning, influencing investment decisions and stock valuation.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Neutral
ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ARCO) reported its Q4 and full-year results for 2025, highlighting its position as Latin America's largest restaurant chain and a leading McDonald's franchisee.

Why It Matters

Arcos Dorados' financial results highlight its market dominance and resilience, which may signal stability and growth potential, affecting investor sentiment and stock performance.

Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment: Neutral
ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados (ARCO) reported a quarterly loss of $0.04 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.20, and down from earnings of $0.28 per share a year prior.

Why It Matters

Arcos Dorados' significant earnings miss and shift from profit to loss may signal declining performance, impacting investor confidence and potentially driving stock prices down.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Neutral
ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados (ARCO) may not meet earnings expectations in its upcoming report due to a lack of key performance indicators. Investors should brace for potentially disappointing results.

Why It Matters

Arcos Dorados may underperform in its earnings report, indicating potential stock price decline or volatility, impacting investment decisions and market sentiment.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Negative
ARCO stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. will hold its Annual Shareholders' Meeting on April 10, 2026, in Montevideo, Uruguay, for shareholders of record as of March 16, 2026.

Why It Matters

The announcement of Arcos Dorados' AGM date provides shareholders with key information to prepare for discussions on company performance, governance, and potential dividends, impacting investment decisions.

Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment: Neutral

Frequently Asked Questions About ARCO Stock

What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (ARCO) stock forecast for 2026?

Based on our analysis of 9 Wall Street analysts, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) has a median price target of $9.00. The highest price target is $12.00 and the lowest is $8.50.

Is ARCO stock a good investment in 2026?

According to current analyst ratings, ARCO has 6 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $8.54. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.

What is the long-term price prediction for ARCO stock?

Wall Street analysts predict ARCO stock could reach $9.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 5.4% increase from the current price of $8.54. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.

What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s business model?

The company generates revenue by managing and operating McDonald's restaurants across multiple countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. By holding exclusive rights to these franchises, it can adapt its offerings to meet local tastes while maintaining brand standards, thereby driving customer engagement and sales.

What is the highest forecasted price for ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.?

The highest price target for ARCO is $12.00 from Ian Luketic at JP Morgan, which represents a 40.5% increase from the current price of $8.54.

What is the lowest forecasted price for ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.?

The lowest price target for ARCO is $8.50 from Pedro Pinto at Banco Bradesco BBI S.A, which represents a -0.5% decrease from the current price of $8.54.

What is the overall ARCO consensus from analysts for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.?

The overall analyst consensus for ARCO is bullish. Out of 9 Wall Street analysts, 6 rate it as Buy, 3 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $9.00.

How accurate are ARCO stock price projections?

Stock price projections, including those for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

Important Disclaimer

The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.

Last updated: April 10, 2026 3:53 AM UTC
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