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AROWAROWFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

AROW Stock Forecast: Arrow Financial Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$37
+1.17% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Arrow Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +16.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$678.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$43
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$44.2M+10.1% y/y
Net income$11.0M
Free cash flow$11.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
−5.3%
YTD
+20.8%
1Y
+40.3%
From 52W high
−12.2%
From 52W low
+47.1%
$25
$42
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AROW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Arrow Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
90
Momentum
88
Quality
63
Volatility
58
Size
49
Revisions
47
Accruals
46
Issuance
39
Value
37

Growth (90): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Value (37): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AROW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AROW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35$40$45Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AROWHigh $46Median $43Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $42Median $43High $46

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Sept 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform$44
28 July 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$43 → $46
28 July 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform$42
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—
12 June 2026Piper SandlerAssumesOverweight$43
5 May 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
20 Dec 2024Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$32
9 Jan 2024Hovde GroupInitiatesMarket Perform—
28 Sept 2020Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AROW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AROW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Arrow Financial Corp. returned +40.3% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AROW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AROWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AROW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−5.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Arrow Financial Corp. (AROW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.9×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.6%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1.5%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
34.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
30.1%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.3%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Arrow Financial Corp. (AROW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Arrow Financial Corp. has a market value of $678.0M and an enterprise value of $819.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $175.2M. The latest quarter grew 4.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $51.3M, a 29.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.10.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $44.6M.

  • Arrow Financial Corp. spent $2.1M on share buybacks and $19.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 16.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.9×; forward P/E: 8.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.27%, paying out 38% of earnings.

  • Arrow Financial Corp. employs 575 people — $305K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AROW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AROWArrow Financial Corp.$678.0M
63
TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc.$688.6M
60
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.$691.4M
55
BCALCalifornia Bancorp$693.8M
88
CARECarter Bankshares, Inc.$675.2M
99
MSBIMidland States Bancorp, Inc.$675.0M
90
RRBIRed River Bancshares, Inc.$670.7M
80

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Arrow Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AROW news & analysis

This Arrow Financial Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Wednesday

Benzinga · 2 Sept 2026positive

An analyst initiated coverage on Arrow Financial Corp. on a bullish note, according to Benzinga's roundup of top Wall Street analyst initiations for Wednesday. The item notes this among other analyst rating changes.

Why it matters — A bullish initiation of coverage adds a fresh positive perspective on Arrow Financial that AROW watchers may consider when tracking analyst sentiment.

5 Stocks to Buy This Week If You Want Dividend Income in August

24/7 Wall Street · 6 Aug 2026neutral

24/7 Wall Street listed five dividend-paying stocks whose ex-dividend windows are about to close, including Arrow Financial, which goes ex-dividend on August 11, 2026. Cheesecake Factory, PC Connection, and Willis Lease Finance share that date, while Columbia Financial reaches its cutoff on August 12.

Why it matters — An AROW watcher would care because the ex-dividend date marks the cutoff for shareholders to be eligible for the company's upcoming dividend payment.

Why Arrow Financial (AROW) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Arrow Financial (AROW) as a strong dividend stock, noting that finding a quality dividend stock is challenging but AROW possesses the necessary qualities.

Why it matters — This article suggests that AROW may be an attractive option for income-focused investors looking for reliable dividend payments.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AROW stock

What is the AROW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Arrow Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $42 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AROW stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Arrow Financial Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Arrow Financial Corp. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AROW?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Arrow Financial Corp. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (90 of 100).

Will AROW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +16.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Arrow Financial Corp. 63 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AROW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Arrow Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AROW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $46 over the next 12 months.

How has AROW stock performed over the past year?

Arrow Financial Corp. returned +40.3% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Arrow Financial Corp. do?

Arrow Financial Corporation is a bank holding company based in Glens Falls, New York, providing a range of banking, insurance, and wealth management services through its subsidiaries. Arrow Financial Corporation serves individuals, small businesses, and commercial clients with deposit accounts, lending products, mortgage financing, cash management solutions, and related financial services.

What is the latest news on AROW?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 2 Sept 2026): "This Arrow Financial Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Wednesday". An analyst initiated coverage on Arrow Financial Corp. on a bullish note, according to Benzinga's roundup of top Wall Street analyst initiations for Wednesday. The item notes this among other analyst rating changes.

Company

About Arrow Financial Corp.

Arrow Financial Corporation is a bank holding company based in Glens Falls, New York, providing a range of banking, insurance, and wealth management services through its subsidiaries. Arrow Financial Corporation serves individuals, small businesses, and commercial clients with deposit accounts, lending products, mortgage financing, cash management solutions, and related financial services. Its insurance operations complement its core banking activities, while wealth management services support customers seeking advisory and investment-related offerings. The company focuses on regional financial services across northeastern New York, where it plays a role in personal banking, business banking, and community-oriented financial solutions. Arrow Financial Corporation’s business model centers on relationship-based service and a diversified mix of banking and fee-generating services within the regional banking sector.

CEO Mr. David S. DeMarco · 575 employees · United States · https://www.arrowfinancial.com