TICKERNERD
Menu
BBAIBBAITechnology · Information Technology Services

BBAI Stock Forecast: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$2.86
+2.51% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4 — +39.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 16 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
16 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.00
Analysts covering
2
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.1%
1M
−19.0%
YTD
−47.0%
1Y
−55.3%
From 52W high
−67.9%
From 52W low
+10.4%
$2.59
$8.91
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BBAI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
16 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
62
Revisions
50
Size
41
Growth
41
Quality
35
Accruals
29
Momentum
16
Value
13
Volatility
11

Issuance (62): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (11): The share price moves around a lot.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

BBAI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BBAI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BBAIHigh $4.00Median $4.00Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.00Median $4.00High $4.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +39.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$5.00 → $4.00
3 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $5.00
3 Mar 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$8.00 → $6.00
7 Jan 2026Cantor FitzgeraldDowngradeNeutral—
11 Nov 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
12 Aug 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
1 July 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
7 Mar 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
7 Mar 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
30 Dec 2024HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
6 Nov 2024Cantor FitzgeraldAssumesOverweight$3.50
6 Nov 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
15 Oct 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
21 Aug 2024Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
2 Aug 2024HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
3 May 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
12 Mar 2024Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
8 Mar 2024Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
8 Mar 2024HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
8 Mar 2024OppenheimerMaintainsPerform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

BBAI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−3.4×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Price / sales
10.2×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−14.6×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.2%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
32.8%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Operating margin
−74.4%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Net margin
−65.2%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−16.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Return on assets
−7.6%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BBAI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInformation Technology Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.$1.3B
16
MGRTMega Fortune Co., Ltd.$1.3B
8
CLVTClarivate Plc$1.3B
62
EFOREverforth, Inc.$1.2B
58
CNXCConcentrix Corp.$1.5B
48
VYXNCR Voyix Corp.$1.1B
74
GLOBGlobant SA$1.6B
45
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BBAI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest BBAI news & analysis

BigBear.ai vs. D-Wave Quantum: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 2 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published a comparison of BigBear.ai and D-Wave Quantum as technology stock investments for 2026. It notes that BigBear.ai focuses on government-centric decision intelligence, with over half of its revenue tied to major public sector contracts, while D-Wave Quantum leads the commercial quantum computing space with a growing list of blue chip partners and triple-digit revenue growth.

Why it matters — The piece gives BigBear.ai watchers context on how the company is positioned against a rival technology stock based on its government business focus.

BigBear.ai Stock Flat Following Q2 Revenue Beat and Backlog Growth

Benzinga · 31 July 2026neutral

BigBear.ai reported second-quarter results that beat revenue expectations and showed growth in its backlog, but the stock traded flat as investors weighed the mixed nature of the update.

Why it matters — For BBAI watchers, the revenue beat and backlog growth signal continued demand, while the flat share price suggests the market is still assessing the overall quality of the quarter.

Arista Networks vs. BigBear.ai: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 31 July 2026negative

A Motley Fool analysis compares Arista Networks and BigBear.ai as potential buys for 2026, highlighting BigBear.ai's role in government defense analytics while noting it faces revenue declines and persistent net losses, in contrast to Arista's highly profitable business model.

Why it matters — The comparison underscores challenges BigBear.ai must overcome—revenue declines and net losses—to become a more compelling investment relative to profitable peers in the tech sector.

BigBear.ai Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

BigBear.ai reported second-quarter 2026 revenue growth and a substantial improvement in gross margin. Management said it is pursuing additional contract wins, product deployments and acquisitions to expand in defense, security, trade and travel technology markets.

Why it matters — BigBear.ai watchers would care because the company's revenue growth, margin improvement, and planned expansion signal its ongoing development in key government and commercial technology markets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BBAI stock

What is the BBAI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4, with estimates ranging from $4 to $4. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BBAI stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 16 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BBAI?

As at 1 Aug 2026, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ranks 16 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (62 of 100).

Will BBAI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +39.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 16 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BBAI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BBAI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $4 over the next 12 months.

How has BBAI stock performed over the past year?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. returned -55.3% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. is a technology company that provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions to government and commercial customers.

What is the latest news on BBAI?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 2 Aug 2026): "BigBear.ai vs. D-Wave Quantum: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?". The Motley Fool published a comparison of BigBear.ai and D-Wave Quantum as technology stock investments for 2026. It notes that BigBear.ai focuses on government-centric decision intelligence, with over half of its revenue tied to major public sector contracts, while D-Wave Quantum leads the commercial quantum computing space with a growing list of blue chip partners and triple-digit revenue growth.

Company

About BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. is a technology company that provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions to government and commercial customers. The company focuses on enabling data-driven decision-making in complex and high-stakes environments, particularly across national security, supply chain, logistics, and digital identity markets. BigBear.ai offers capabilities such as large-scale data conflation, real-time operational visibility, predictive analytics, and discrete event simulation to support scenario analysis and digital twin modeling for critical operations. Its portfolio includes AI-driven cybersecurity services, vulnerability assessment, and autonomous systems solutions tailored for defense and intelligence clients, as well as AI orchestration and consulting services. The company also delivers digital identity and biometric security solutions for global trade, travel, and regulated industries, and provides the Ask Sage generative AI platform for secure deployment and orchestration of AI agents in sensitive environments. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in McLean, Virginia, BigBear.ai today plays a role in supporting mission-critical operations where reliability, security, and timely insight are essential.

CEO Mr. Kevin McAleenan · 579 employees · United States · https://bigbear.ai