BBAIBBAITechnology · Information Technology Services

BBAI Stock Forecast: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$3.22
+4.89% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4 — +24.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 12 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
12 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.00
Analysts covering
2
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.5%
1M
+9.5%
YTD
−40.4%
1Y
−41.2%
From 52W high
−63.9%
From 52W low
+24.3%
$2.59
$8.91
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BBAI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
12 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
63
Growth
42
Size
40
Revisions
37
Quality
35
Accruals
29
Momentum
13
Value
13
Volatility
10

Issuance (63): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (10): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BBAI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BBAI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BBAIHigh $4.00Median $4.00Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.00Median $4.00High $4.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$5.00$4.00
31 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral
3 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral
3 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$6.00$5.00
3 Mar 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
3 Mar 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$8.00$6.00
7 Jan 2026Cantor FitzgeraldDowngradeNeutral
11 Nov 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
12 Aug 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
1 July 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
7 Mar 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight
7 Mar 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
30 Dec 2024HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
6 Nov 2024Cantor FitzgeraldAssumesOverweight$3.50
6 Nov 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
15 Oct 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
21 Aug 2024Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight
2 Aug 2024HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
3 May 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
12 Mar 2024Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BBAI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

BBAI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−3.9×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.7×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−17.4×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
Gross margin
32.8%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
−74.4%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Net margin
−65.2%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−16.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Return on assets
−7.6%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BBAI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInformation Technology Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BBAIBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.$1.5B
12
CNXCConcentrix Corp.$1.6B
49
GLOBGlobant SA$1.7B
52
DXCDXC Technology Co.$1.7B
74
EFOREverforth, Inc.$1.4B
62
CLVTClarivate Plc$1.3B
64
MGRTMega Fortune Co., Ltd.$1.3B
16

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BBAI news & analysis

Palantir Climbs 4% Through $180, BigBear.ai Rises 4%, ServiceNow Holds Flat: How Are Traders Picking the Software Winners?

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Aug 2026positive

On Friday, midday trading saw AI-related stocks concentrated in government-facing names rather than enterprise software, with Palantir climbing 4% through $180 and BigBear.ai also rising 4%, while ServiceNow held flat.

Why it matters — The report highlights that government-facing AI companies like BigBear.ai are among the day's gainers, reflecting where trader interest is currently concentrated.

Could Global Trade Trends Drive BigBear.ai's Next Growth Phase?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026positive

BigBear.ai sees global trade complexity as a driver of demand for its CargoSeer product, with its El Salvador rollout attracting interest from customs agencies in other countries.

Why it matters — A BBAI watcher would care because growing international interest in CargoSeer could signal expanding adoption of the company's trade-related offerings.

BigBear.ai Trades at a Discount, Stock Up 14% in a Month: Buy or Sell?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks reports that BigBear.ai (BBAI) shares have gained 14% over the past month, attributing the rise to stronger revenues, improved margins, and recent contract wins. The report notes, however, that ongoing losses and widening estimates moderate the appeal of its discounted valuation.

Why it matters — BBAI watchers would care because the article weighs the company's improving fundamentals and contract momentum against persistent losses and a tempered valuation outlook, informing their assessment of its current position.

BigBear.ai Appoints Retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Sean A.

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026positive

BigBear.ai announced the appointment of retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Sean A. Gainey to its Board of Directors, effective August 13, 2026. Gainey brings a 36-year Army career, including leadership in the Joint Force's modern counter-drone approach and command of JTF-Gold, the operational arm of Golden Dome.

Why it matters — A BBAI watcher would care because Gainey's deep defense and counter-drone expertise could strengthen the company's ties and credibility within the national security and defense technology sector it serves.

BigBear.ai vs. Texas Instruments: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 14 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published an article comparing BigBear.ai and Texas Instruments as technology stock considerations for 2026. It describes BigBear.ai as focused on AI and predictive analytics for U.S. intelligence and defense agencies, while Texas Instruments supplies analog and embedded semiconductors to industrial and automotive markets.

Why it matters — The piece highlights BigBear.ai's positioning in AI and predictive analytics for the intelligence and defense sector, offering BBAI watchers a comparative view of its market focus against a major semiconductor player.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BBAI stock

What is the BBAI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4, with estimates ranging from $4 to $4. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BBAI stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 12 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BBAI?

As at 22 Aug 2026, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ranks 12 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (63 of 100).

Will BBAI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +24.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 12 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BBAI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BBAI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $4 over the next 12 months.

How has BBAI stock performed over the past year?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. returned -41.2% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. is a technology company that provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions to government and commercial customers.

What is the latest news on BBAI?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 21 Aug 2026): "Palantir Climbs 4% Through $180, BigBear.ai Rises 4%, ServiceNow Holds Flat: How Are Traders Picking the Software Winners?". On Friday, midday trading saw AI-related stocks concentrated in government-facing names rather than enterprise software, with Palantir climbing 4% through $180 and BigBear.ai also rising 4%, while ServiceNow held flat.

Company

About BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. is a technology company that provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions to government and commercial customers. The company focuses on enabling data-driven decision-making in complex and high-stakes environments, particularly across national security, supply chain, logistics, and digital identity markets. BigBear.ai offers capabilities such as large-scale data conflation, real-time operational visibility, predictive analytics, and discrete event simulation to support scenario analysis and digital twin modeling for critical operations. Its portfolio includes AI-driven cybersecurity services, vulnerability assessment, and autonomous systems solutions tailored for defense and intelligence clients, as well as AI orchestration and consulting services. The company also delivers digital identity and biometric security solutions for global trade, travel, and regulated industries, and provides the Ask Sage generative AI platform for secure deployment and orchestration of AI agents in sensitive environments. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in McLean, Virginia, BigBear.ai today plays a role in supporting mission-critical operations where reliability, security, and timely insight are essential.

CEO Mr. Kevin McAleenan · 579 employees · United States · https://bigbear.ai